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100k,philipma1957,221,17497,2026-10-13
Also 204 more stairs
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Black bear in my backyard, looks like a big fluffy dog.
i pretty much lose one birdfeeder setup a year to bears on average. they just bend the pole over and casually open the individual feeders like it had the instructions to them. and then leave the bent up (and now useless) poles and arms.  Are you allowed to shoot them? We mostly get deer and are not allowed to shoot them. |
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There is no doubt SpaceX might do more x in a few years than bitcoin based on the value and how much is needed to reach such a height compared to bitcoin, but we can't also ignore the fact that bitcoin has done more during its stage from then to now.
That's by the way, I also think spacex stock is overhyped which I can't tell how long it will last with this pump or if it will continue which every one it can only worth my investment if I have the money to buy an asset but not for me to choose between selling bitcoin to acquire it or just holding my bitcoin.
and what pump it was 135 to start it got to 210 it dropped to 110 and is now about 156 so basically it is in its infancy. while btc is old and ponderous or is it? |
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Someone actually voted "Damn straight you better sell off some btc for some spacex", I hope it is not you @philipma1957? In reality, SpaceX has the fundamentals to push the price to $1,000 faster than it will take bitcoin to reach $500,000 but this is not enough to make me sell my bitcoin to buy SpaceX. I have confidence in bitcoin more than I do in SpaceX whose prospect depend on the Starlink and xAI / Starship spend. Hence, I voted "Maybe it's an interesting question". I might consider to raise funds for it though but such decision have not been made yet
I picked that but in transparent effort to explain I have 112 shares of spacex or around 17500 usd of it. I have more btc than that. Personally if you have 100,000 in investment assets maybe only 70 percent should be btc the other 30 percent can be other things like stock or precious metals |
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is there any thought keeping some funds 10% in cash.
The problem is that almost 100% of any proceeds from selling forum BTC is capital gains. So selling some just to keep it in cash is extremely tax-inefficient, especially if a lot of forum BTC is destined to eventually be donated to charities (which is not subject to capital gains tax). I think buying a lot of USD would only be a good idea if non-discretionary spending was a lot higher, such that falling BTC prices would be more catastrophic; or maybe if the expected future return from non-BTC assets just became unbelievably attractive. Moving the asset holding to regions of zero capital gain jurisdiction
That's not legally possible, at least not in a way that'd make financial sense. Yes. I haven't looked into the matter closely enough, so I don't have a strong opinion on which would be best. But a 501(c)(3) focused on Bitcoin development like that or Brink would be very good candidates. I'd also love to donate to a 501(c)(3) focused on creating a decentralized, anonymous, censorship-resistant forum, but I'm not aware of a good one working on that. Tor is too far from the forum's mission, I think, as would be political organizations like the EFF or Coin Center. Dude you are rich and you are brilliant with diamond hands for the forum. wish I was 1/50 as good as you are. I only know what I see. I see about 1100 btc in 2 wallets which you maintained and legally most likely (95% or higher) you own it. My suggestion would cost 10% of the coins and insure more than 10 years of expenses to run the forum even if btc dropped to 10k a coin but 8.3 mill would be about 5 mill after tax. And who wants to give 3.3 mill to the usa government. It was a suggestion I know usa tax law pretty well and other than giving it away the forum will owe tax bigly one day. We are now watching crazy ideas of taxing unspent capital gains being tossed around in Europe. It could happen here. you will likely need to pay 28% fed tax on sale of btc and it is basically full tax. and the state you are based in could want as much as 13.3% that would be about .413x8300000=3,427,900 tax or as I wrote 100 btc drops to about 5 million from 8.3 million it is why I said only do 10 percent of the coins as it would certainly mean you could run the forum easy peasy over the next 10 years for no fear of having to cash out btc in case of a crash. Many years ago I realized you knew btc value would become really big. Wish I was that good at it. One thing I do know is how to play things safe. cashing in 10 or 5 percent for a cash reserve for the forum is playing things safe. Also it is not complex or hard. and still keeps 90 to 95 percent of the coins intact. What ever you do is cool by me as you have done well by us. |
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lets face it the 30’s will be far worse than any decade most of the world has lived in.
Maybe for some. I also think it will be an extremely easy time to get rich if you put in the effort. All the opportunities are there, but robotics will also enable people to be very lazy. You can either sit around doing nothing but collecting a check and getting fat, or you can invest, budget, not get caught up in the next shiny thing while getting extremely wealthy. I have something re both the point and the counterpoint. Point: I was promised mass starvation by the early 21st century in a 1978 lecture with a suggestion to grow and eat worms as a solution (Club of Rome and "Limits to Growth", etc, etc). So far-it just didn't happen, no promise for the future. Counterpoint: why do you think that individual's meager agents would be effective against mega-agents deployed by some corps? What do you think would be easier: for a poor slob to learn all of the upcoming tech OR for an already rich just to pay up for a couple of thou "superior agents" from Anthropic or OpenAI. I don't think that doing nothing and collecting a check is a realistic scenario, all claims from Elon notwithstanding.It is a mortal lock he wants under 4 bIllion people on the planet. So we will see how it goes. BTW I just grabbed 10 more shares of spacex. And is 135 to 165 more early than 10 cents to 83,000 Do the math people. Og pointed this out and is likely correct. 6x165 is about 1000 6x 83000 is about 500,000 So make your guesses. At the new poll https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5596640.msg67234560#msg67234560I think it will be close but spacex does hit 1000 quicker than btc hits 500k I think that Space X will follow the East India company trajectory: first, a spectacular rise...$1000 sounds even low (it's about 12 tril while some already projecting 20-30 tril), then government would get jealous, just like they got envious of the East India company..laws followed and eventually it got dissolved. At some point we would probably even see the SpaceX army (to "control" the Moon or Mars, I dunno) as East India company had an "army" twice the size of the British crown at the time. East India company had a 15-27 year assent, then new laws were passed and it began its descent, lost it's monopoly in another 30 years or so and then got its powers and possessions transferred to the British crown in another 40 years. I expect the same in the SpaceX future, too, several decades from now. Yes, SpaceX is early and if they won't borrow over the hilt, they could be going up the next 10-20 years. I bought in during the IPO, then added at $120-125, thinking of adding more, but i did not sell any btc to do it. Btc is the core for me, SpaceX could become a secondary "core". my income and my funds are less then you. so 112 shares of spacex and 1+ coins of btc works okay for me. I still earn 0.0011 btc a day or 0.0011x365=0.402 coins a year with the mine |
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If you're looking for an additional SSD, this might be a decent option. However, the first thing that stands out in its specs is a TBW of only 540, which is quite low for an SSD with this much storage capacity. Allow me to counter this argument: for most users, this will be more than enough. If you check your current drive's SMART data, it should give you a good idea of how much "write data" you use. If you only store a blockchain, you'll use at most a few percent of this 540 TBW if you have 8 GB RAM. With more RAM, it'll write less. remember buy a 2tb Sata ssd is a hope for better down the road move. If I built a pc for a core wallet node using this ssd I would use it as a full boot drive. If I held coin in it it would be off line and not write much at all If I ran it as a node I would have a standard hdd copy of it. It depends on which small pc I found. https://www.ebay.com/itm/206593698269?this one does the job . I would drop the ssd in it with linux mint and run it as a full os boot + node. that pc has space for an nvme.2 and a 2.5 inch ssd if I was doing a node I would clone the drive to a hdd for a back up if I was doing a node+wallet I would clone the drive to 2 or 3 hdd's |
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If you're looking for an additional SSD, this might be a decent option. However, the first thing that stands out in its specs is a TBW of only 540, which is quite low for an SSD with this much storage capacity. Most likely, a low memory lifespan is one of the reasons why this SSD is offered at such a relatively low price. It has a 3 year warranty The Samsung pro at 1200 tbw has a 5 year warranty If you are storing your blockchain on it and not the os the writing is less. If you run it as the full and only boot drive for your pc the 540 tbw will be hit quicker |
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Did 60 more pushups today and 204 stairs.
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Here's 2025: Numbers in thousands of USD
Income 10
Expenses 420
Moderators 167
Other contractors 92
Security bounties 10 *
Tax 79
Hosting 59
Other 23
(* The largest bounty awarded in 2025 was $1500.) I decided that one of the biggest reasons why the forum software project failed was that I'm not a skilled manager, and I didn't have enough bandwidth to properly oversee something so big. So I'm very averse to trying any other really big projects like that. I do plan on hiring people for more incremental improvements. This is not an urgent problem, but if BTC prices stay this high long-term, then the current level of spending is excessively miserly. I plan to address this by: 1. Seeing if I can incrementally, slowly add useful expenses, such as perhaps hiring more people. (But I definitely don't want to spend money in wasteful or stupid ways.) And/or, 2. Considering whether some BTC should be donated to relevant 501(c)(3)s, such as Brink (as one possible example). The top priority, of course, is ensuring that the forum can continue operating for many decades to come. Considering the forum has 1100 plus btc is there any thought keeping some funds 10% in cash. 100 btc is over 8 million yeah tax is maybe 3 million leaving 5 million cash and still 1000 plus btc. 5 million cash at 4% government bonds is 200k income no risk. And we still have 1000 plus coins . If there is a drop in btc that lasts a decade the forum could tap into cash reserve. Never needing to cash the btc |
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So i saw a thread on maybe it is not early for btc.
It got me thinking
Spacex and btc are close to,the same market cap.
I have to say e8ther one could do 6x in less than 10 years.
But which is more likely to do 6x
Basically spacex breaks 1000 bucks
Or BTC breaks 500,000 bucks.
I THINK spacex wins this race in under 5 years.
Make a pick.
Disclosure
I have 110 shares of spacex say 18k
I have more Btc than 18k
I
So for now even though I picked spacex over btc in this poll I am better off if they both do 6x
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lets face it the 30’s will be far worse than any decade most of the world has lived in.
Maybe for some. I also think it will be an extremely easy time to get rich if you put in the effort. All the opportunities are there, but robotics will also enable people to be very lazy. You can either sit around doing nothing but collecting a check and getting fat, or you can invest, budget, not get caught up in the next shiny thing while getting extremely wealthy. I have something re both the point and the counterpoint. Point: I was promised mass starvation by the early 21st century in a 1978 lecture with a suggestion to grow and eat worms as a solution (Club of Rome and "Limits to Growth", etc, etc). So far-it just didn't happen, no promise for the future. Counterpoint: why do you think that individual's meager agents would be effective against mega-agents deployed by some corps? What do you think would be easier: for a poor slob to learn all of the upcoming tech OR for an already rich just to pay up for a couple of thou "superior agents" from Anthropic or OpenAI. I don't think that doing nothing and collecting a check is a realistic scenario, all claims from Elon notwithstanding.It is a mortal lock he wants under 4 bIllion people on the planet. So we will see how it goes. BTW I just grabbed 10 more shares of spacex. And is 135 to 165 more early than 10 cents to 83,000 Do the math people. Og pointed this out and is likely correct. 6x165 is about 1000 6x 83000 is about 500,000 So make your guesses. At the new poll https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5596640.msg67234560#msg67234560I think it will be close but spacex does hit 1000 quicker than btc hits 500k |
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Man… The son from Breaking Bad committed suicide… RIP. Hard to believe someone with an iconic role and money from royalties pouring in would choose to just end it, but it goes to show that money is nice, but it isn’t everything. Sad story that is still developing. Stacking Bitcoin is awesome, but don’t forget to have some fun in your life too!
He had cp and cp can get worse as you age. Maybe he got tired of suffering. Cp is cerebral palsy. My wife has a friend with it. Since 1978. Cane in his 20s crutchs in his 30s walker in his 40s scooter and an aid in his 50s he is 72 and mostly bed ridden now. So at 34 maybe suicide seemed good vs the above. |
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What I can say now is that we must seize this opportunity. I'm sure the price will reach $500,000, but not yet.
In the meantime, we must continue looking to acquire more BTC, accumulate a considerable amount, and pay close attention to the market, sticking to our accumulation method.
The secret to acquiring BTC is consistency, persevering until you achieve it, without becoming obsessed, but with the conviction of having a clear objective.
I'm not saying BTC won't hit $500k or $1M but I don't think we can be sure of that. There is nothing wrong with being bullish on Bitcoin's future. We can believe in its potential, sure, but we still gotta be realistic. Market can throw all kinds of surprises at us, and nobody knows for sure what's coming next. We don't control the market, and it's not gonna move according to what we hope for either. going to 500k by 2036 is only 6x todays price. it is pretty much a mortal lock to do that or crash to much lower. but 6x the price is no big deal look at it another way. spacex is 165 I would say it is certain to do 1000 by 2036 btc is 82500 I would say it is iffy to do 500,000 by 2036 or spacex was 135 and is now 165 btc was 10 cents and is now 82,500 so buy spacex to still be early. and I know btc was under 10 cents.I would rather get 5000 shares of spacex as a gift Than 1 btc as a gift assuming they are both around 83k value. do the math 135 usd to 165 usd 10 cents to 83,000 usd which is early today edit: I just talked myself into 10 more spacex shares.at op thanks for the thread. |
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First of all, I must apologise for posting such a serious topic on the 1st of April, but I've had it as a draft for a while and today is the day. Tonight, I would like to bring what in some circles has been recognised as 'hidden epidemic' - Neurotoxicity caused by excess of Vitamin B6. Don't get it wrong - Vitamin B6 is absolutely crucial, but the RDA is just 1.3mg and the half life is about a MONTH!. So your body doesn't get rid of the excess as efficiently as with other water-soluble vitamins. Now where it gets interesting: many multivitamin supplements contain 100mg of B6 per a pill, which is almost a hundred times more than RDA! Furthermore, many foods and drinks are fortified with vitamins nowadays, which usually includes B6. Usually that would be cereals, protein bars and powders, electrolyte drinks and energy drinks and more. I've been dealing with B6 toxicity for months (and unknowingly - for years) and as I've been researching the matter I was astonished by how many people are affected by it, and whas is even more scary - how many don't even know that their symptoms are caused by it Australia seems to be the only nation to be seriously alarmed by it so far as I've not seen any other states to take actions but we can see the Aussies are feeling very serious about it: Vitamin B6 toxicity cases prompt supplements to be restricted - ABC news Australia Vitamin B6 crisis will persist despite new rules, expert warns - The University of SydneySome more awareness from MSM: What is vitamin B6 toxicity and what are the symptoms of taking too much? - GuardianSimon never linked the pain in his hands and feet to multivitamins – but a pathology test did
This article is more than 1 year old
A growing number of consumers are presenting with symptoms linked to high levels of vitamin B6, pathologists say, while the supplement industry goes unpolicedVitamin B6 toxicity is more likely to develop among dehydrated individuals, which means people who sweat a lot or drink too much water without adequate sodium intake are seriously at risk. Many cases of so-called ''Long COVID" turned out to be B6 toxicity that was asymptomatically present before the acute respiratory disease and started manifesting after severe dehydration caused by the severe respiratory infection. Remember, health is the ultimate wealth. If you take multivitamin supplements, consume protein bars or shakes, drink energy or sports drinks - count how much vitamin B6 you consume daily and if it has been significantly above the RDA, maybe you should get your levels in blood tested. https://understandingb6toxicity.com/ is possibly the most complete database of everything related to B6 toxicity. WARNING: the site also sells some supplement products. It is NOT an advertisement and if anything, I strictly advise AGAINST purchasing supplements from brands without long history and impeccable reputation worldwide. I'm not a medical specialist and there are online communities with more experienced people, however, if you are dealing with it as well and need someone to talk to, my DMs are always open for you. this is cool and all, but I don't understand how do intake too much B6. Maybe from monster energy drinks? so maybe you can do the max number which is 100 mg day after day or maybe 50 mg day after day or maybe 25 mg day after day bear in mind the minimum is 1.3-1.7mg so lets say you need more 3mg a peach is 0.1 a carrot is 0.1 a beef burger of 4 oz is 0.6 4 oz of chicken breast is 0.9 to 1.0 4 oz of pork is 0.7 so 1 meal of chicken, carrots and a peach gives you about 1.2mg breakfast with 2 eggs is 0.2 add 2 slices of wheat toast for 0.2 more and 2 meals gave you 1.6mg a bowl of rice is 0.1 more add an apple for 0.1 more and you are at 1.8 3 typical meals in many countries add a centrum daily adult it has 2.0 and you are at 3.8 which is no where near a top level of 100mg or 25mg to be safe. I think people run into trouble with a B6 only pill https://www.amazon.com/Best-Naturals-Vitamin-250-Tablets/dp/B00MQ2MOP4/ref=sr_1_1_sspa?this links to a 50mg pill . So if you are sensitive this may be too much for you. and if you do it day after day it may build up over a few months time. |
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I believe this is about diplomacy rather than political theater. You don't wish Putin a "Happy Birthday" and expect to gain popularity for the upcoming US elections. Trump has already forcefully asked Zelensky to stop destroying oil refining capacity in Russia because it has seriously affected the price of diesel world-wide. Zelensky and the media can easily point and say, "Look it's the Iran conflict!" which purposely ignores a couple of realities; the Nord Stream disaster which has caused untold financial damage to Ukraine's European allies, the very countries Ukraine relies on for financial and military assistance, and forced them to seek other, more expensive supplies of energy. Secondly, the destruction of Russian refineries is responsible for a diesel prices increased of 60-65% - because Russia was supplying Turkey, Brazil and North Africa with refined diesel and now those countries are forced to find alternative sources. The loss of ~50% of Russian refining capacity has had a greater effect on diesel prices than a lack of crude oil shipments through Hormuz. Crude oil is easy, refined product is difficult. So, while it may seem like a drop in the bucket in absolute math, it is a bargaining tool that shows someone in a position of immense power is willing to trade some sanctions relief for a much-needed ceasefire... and a little bit of leverage can get you the rest of the bucket. The USA doesn't even need to import diesel as they refine more than enough at home but since its price is driven by a global market, domestic producers can demand global prices at home. If you also consider that 15-20% of the current diesel price is speculative, this gesture might be enough to give some needed relief to Americans.
Sorry, this doesn't stand against some fact checking. The most recent significant Diesel price surge happend within two weeks after the start of the Iran war, which was on the 28th of Feb, while Ukraine significantly intensified their attacks against refineries around the mid of June. Mid July the Houthis chimed in to attack Saudi tankers. This is the timeframe when Diesel price was on the rise again, after decreasing slowly in May, while Ukraine broadly intensified their attacks against refineries in June, with the most devastating hits in August and September. The price was rising around 2x-3x more at times of Iran-related war events compared to Russia war events in the "refinery department". How do you explain that? I see much stronger correlations regarding events of the useless war against Iran, while Trump promised to not get into another useless war. The US needs some more torches and pitchforks, and the Ukraine needs more support! OT: After UAF took out major datacenters in Russia, on many forums and social media platforms the posting of content against UA, or supporting AfD, FPOE and other european right-wing parties effectively vanished (or suddenly started to post texts in russian letters). Better statistics need more time and data, but it seems the global russian troll army wasn't a myth at all. They effectively also helped with the win of Trump in the elections, despite this has already been highlighted in various studies. The american voter became a sock puppet of Putin, and he is starting to grasp this. Note that i didn't accuse Trump of corruption and lying to the people. Because i don't need to. People are not as dumb as Donald ans his frens believe. Well, I believe you're tracking short-term timeline spikes from crude oil panic, but like I said before: crude oil is easy, refined product is difficult. My point was entirely about the permanent, structural deficit in global refined diesel capacity after the Russian refinery destruction and the countries who now have to chase after new sources for diesel. While related in theory, they are two completely different economic mechanisms. You can pump and ship all the crude oil you want but if you can't refine it, you haven't imcreased the supply of the required products. lets face it the 30’s will be far worse than any decade most of the world has lived in. |
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222k in 2030
600k + in 2036
pretty optimistic.
here is hoping you are correct about those numbers.
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How to contact you?
What plan do you have in mind? Send your Asic miner down to Ethiopia for OP to help you plugging and start mining away? Becareful what you wished for, that OP is a new account and the possibility of getting scammed is very high, if you like the idea of finding someone to help you plug your miner in and start hashing away you need someone who can be trusted on here, I'd read a Philipma1957 post talking about something this similar, he is one of the trusty on this forum, always avoid newbies and new accounts on this forum for any financial plans or services. yeah if you want an honest guy use my host in the USA. https://www.corexhosting.io/Nathan (owns it) he has been honest with me and my miners have earned over 60k in coin at his place. I started with him in 2024 around July maybe June I would need to look it up. he host my 9 s21xp's and 1 L9 all mining on viabtc. |
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Any Transformers The Movie 1986 fans around here? They just released a set of cards with Upper Deck for the 40 year anniversary, including a set of numbered cards and some autographs. I’m not a pack ripper but I am going to score a set of the numbered cards on eBay. One of my favorite movies ever. Now I’m going to have to watch for old cartoon voice actor signings.
Got my set of x/1986 numbered cards and a nice little display. I had to do some hunting to keep from overpaying for my Optimus Prime... I also found the 1 card I was missing to complete my PSA10 big head card collection (only 1 exists) and the seller wanted $750 for it! It is a $1 card... Someone else ended up buying it anyway, but I'm sure there are probably a dozen people sending their $1 cards in to be graded now so it is only a matter of time. When I complete it I'm scheduled to appear on a card collecting podcast.  Shoot me a pm if you get on the pod cast I have a lifetime goal on the Ben Franklin Phillie mint. I WANT every year ie 1950-1963 in pf69 condition. But those 1950,1951,1952,1953 pf69s are really pricey. The 1948 and 1949 do not come in pf of any kind. I ESTIMATE that 1948-1953 would be over 60k together in top rankings. While the 1954 to 1963 are about 14k together. In pf69 https://www.ngccoin.com/certlookup/6213670-001/69/ the 1952 in pf69 is rated at 13500 worth. listed on ebay at 10,500 which is pricey |
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So the scenario is not a nonsense
Sorry, no. You can't take a scenario which is nonsense and compare it to different credible scenarios that have some superficial similarities and say that that validates the nonsense scenario. I agree that any theory cannot be accepted as true simply because some similarity are found. Rather than dismissing this scenario outright we need to determine which of its assumption cannot be justified. This incident shows that risk of supply chain tampering and hidden hardware implant should be taken seriously. Ledger itself has confirmed that at least one affected device has an implant. However conclusion that all reseller, all device or entire Ledger ecosystem is compromised does not come from there. I think we need to evaluate each claim individually and determine whether available evidence actually supports it. Any credible incident does not prove any other theory by itself. But that certainly give new weight to question of whether similar attack vector is actually possible. %)$= -I'm glad they made these workarounds to steal secret keys. Imagine if it was like the pagers, they could be exploding! That is, there is no risk to life yet! I would love to be critical here, but yeah I could see that happening. |
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