I like it so much when people enter the trading frenzy and see only "buy buy".
I find it so funny when people only see what they want to see (check out the number of posts in the last couple of pages of this thread saying it is about to crash)! Show me an ATH or reasonable spike which did not end with a crash? Honestly get a grip, do you think this will some how end different? Tomorrow your going to be the bitcoin millionaire because the price will rise to 100k per coin? Of course it's going to end with a crash, use your mind. Bitcoin vindicated you from the hustling bankers of the world who treated you like a sheep, and right now the big whales are those hustling bankers, and guess what? your still acting like a sheep! They will dump as they always do and you will be left holding your dick thinking wtf just happened. Now....as you were... I am also amused when someone goes off on a rant on the basis of something that was neither said nor implied Where in the above post or elsewhere do you see me saying this upward trend will continue and for how long/to what price? Where in the above post or elsewhere do you see me saying there will not soon, at a given time or price will there not be a major correction? Where in the above post or elsewhere do you see me saying anything that could lead one to reasonably deduce I was following something/someone unthinkingly as per a sheep? What indication have I given in the above post or elsewhere that I would be surprised if the Bitcoin market plummeted (or went through the roof) tomorrow or at any point in the future? You suggest I use my mind? I suggest you may consider using this little exchange as an excuse to start actually reading what is in front of you and form your reply on the basis of what is written rather than on some fantasy based on unfounded assumptions. Now....as you were... PS, as if my previous post needed a tl;dr my comment was drawing attention to wobber's apparent failure to notice the 'buy buy buy' posts are countered by a significant number of 'crash crash crash' posts. It's just what happens here. Granted I don't see as many of the bear posts as I used to because some latter day bears are on Ignore due to my failure to see much of substance in their 'contributions'. I kinda miss the eloquent and intelligent - if persistently (except once!) misguided - contributions of the perma-bears of lore such as Proudhon.
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I like it so much when people enter the trading frenzy and see only "buy buy".
I find it so funny when people only see what they want to see (check out the number of posts in the last couple of pages of this thread saying it is about to crash)!
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Lawd almighty.. 4,800btc volume over 24hrs. Sure everyone else is watching the rabbit in the room.. I'll bet Coinbase had more 24hr volume. Meh, I've got an eye on Stamp and BTCChina, too... but have found they still don't lead as much as Gox. Especially Bitstamp. Where gox does 'lead' it appears to me to lead like a dog on a retracting leash these days! It might run on (or suddenly double back) enthusiastically but will soon be pulled up and has to look round to see if the others are following. And the aggregate of the others appear not to be blindly following. Often they will follow but sometimes they'll just say 'neh' so gox just wags its tail, forgets where it thought it wanted to go a minute ago and bounds off again in another (or the same) direction
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Yeah, it is absolutely a sign of craziness to care to do linear regression these days. Absolutely! You should fit an exponential growth law (Which you did essentially by taking the log() of the price). Anyway, an average 10-folding time of 10 months is impressive! Let's see how long BTC can keep this up! it's ready to plunge trust me. So many broke Joes trying to get cheap coins by making completely empty statements that no one will take seriously. "Trust him" lol! Not too late to swallow your ego and buy back in before you miss the boat. Bon voyage! That guy in the gif is about to broke his legs lol It kinda looks like it on first impression but if you look at it closely, from an anatomical perspective by going onto the ball of his right foot the hip joint is free to rotate, turning the whole leg with no lateral movement required of the knee joint, which is what would cause damage, it only being able to move in the sagital plane
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Thats impressive. hopefully an interesting weekend ahead!
I wouldn't bet weekend, but this lays the foundation for a much larger exposure of BTC to the public, which in turn will lead to increased buying to begin in the next weeks/months. Love it that this is happening and yet the price is not going bananas! I am hopeful it will stay that way and grow sustainably (however slowly or quickly that is) rather than going through the roof with a massive correction. One reason is that the market is bigger, broader and more mature now. Another is that with hardly any exchange having large orderbooks small market orders move the price substantially. But because all exchanges don't always follow suit to the same degree, rather than getting trigger-happy auto-responses exacerbating large price moves we are tending to get considered responses. I am not saying massive quick price boosts or freefall are no longer possible but I get the impression we're better protected against them happening at a whim - and I think the margin trading at Bitfinex is also helping with this regard. If I'm right in this respect the consequence should be that more of those finding out about Bitcoin for the first time now are likely to be able to get in and get involved with small amounts at around today's prices so we get better distribution rather than panic buying on a fast rise only for the whales to cause a big correction and cream the extra coins for themselves.
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Why is this happening now?
I don't know but it's fun isn't it The market movements appear to be getting more and more unpredictable to me, especially seeing as we have a much healthier balance of exchange volumes where any one of them could be taking the lead on a move. I therefore find it harder even to correlate a movement with news/new service events let alone to assign causation. So I do find it amusing that some here insist with such certainty what is the cause of what Not trying to teach my grandmother to suck eggs rpietila but did you ever see the quirky BBC tv programme called QI with Stephen Fry? They put in some questions to which there is no known answer - and if somebody spots it the screen shows a massive: ? ....and the big booming voice says: NOBODY KNOWS! I think of this often these days when someone asks why a market move is happening Edit: I just realised after posting you're asking not why the market is moving as it is but why the wikipedia hit explosion! Ah well. My answer therefore does not refer to your post at all but I'll leave it there because I like it
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Wow, are we really that bored with talking about bitcoins that this is deemed interesting??!! This is currently one of 2 'god' topics that currently make up 2/3rds of blockchained's top 10 bitcointalk topics!!
...and I'll second the person who suggested this belongs in 'Off Topic' because it has nothing to do with bitcoins.
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Comfortably holding onto the lead with volume too at reasonable overall volume.
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There will be the standard several-weeks' time delay for that surge, though. Still, even discounting all of that, I think we're going up toward the ATH and within a week or two, then beyond. (Very very short-term fall is possible.)
Exakt. I do not see a lot of investment coming in during the holidays. Certainly not to push us up another $55-60 in the next 2 months. Especially since there are still some people who would just be happy to break even from the April crash, even more so during the holidays. I don't think we will see ATHs until 2014. Not that what I like counts for anything but I like that scenario The idea that there's a big news splurge whereby many people get to hear about it (again) then get distracted by other stuff and holidays or don't want to 'invest' money just before the holidays and forget about it for now is great If it piques their interest but not enough to act then next time they hear about it they may understand a bit more. The better people understand the less naive money comes into Bitcoin which in turn reduces the risk of an overheated market and the inevitable consequence.
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sort of chinese dragon pattern? Love it - though it does look more dinosaur-like to me! All I care about is the tail going to point up or down? What can the dragon/dinosaur be fed to encourage its tail to rise
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We may be in a redo of March 2013... I have thinking this lately too. There's a strong resistance every time we go down, but now it's in higher grounds. It does feel familiar - yet I like that we're having a deeper and longer correction than last time round. My guess is people who last time just held on in until someone else sold big first this time want to jump in earlier and take profits. I'm guessing it is only a matter of time before we get to a situation where there's hardly any bitcoins for sale because everybody wants it to go higher first but the less certainty about the up, the better (in terms of not fluctuating too much*) as far as I'm concerned. *though I acknowledge large fluctuations are what traders want.
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sort of chinese dragon pattern? Love it - though it does look more dinosaur-like to me!
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If piqued that would be great but if it has peaked, not so good
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People don't really take it seriously yet. I've tried to explain the concept to a few friends but they still think the whole thing is BS.
that's great. it's when everyone and his grandma will invest in btc that i would go for the exit. Is it not likely by the time everyone and his grandma is buying they're not 'investing', rather either buying to protect wealth from a hyperinflating fiat or buying because it makes more sense and is easier to use to buy stuff than fiat. And if fiat is hyperinflating what are you exiting to? Not USD is my hunch!
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no way, all indication point towards a short term correction between 152-156
...except for the other indications pointing the other way can you show them to me ? I am failing to see them... My point was not that you guys are wrong. I am merely amused by and wanting to draw attention to the difference between 'all indicators' and 'all the indicators according to my models using my parameters'. They could be as primitive as a glance at chart shapes from a previous similar shape v. today as an indication or the most advanced simulation models. Of course all any trader has to go by is their own assessment (with varying degrees of sophistication) and makes or closes trades accordingly. Where the mark is overstepped, which is what I find so funny, is where that turns into the deluded belief that because one's own indicated predictions are that the market will behave a certain way, that the market is by necessity going to act according to said predicted behaviour. The news is bulls and bears: proclaiming your certainty of the future ain't going to make it so!!
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no way, all indication point towards a short term correction between 152-156
...except for the other indications pointing the other way
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Just watch the charts, they suggest a large drop very soon.
Charts don't suggest a thing. Your certainty that the chart tells you what is about to happen is as reliable as another's seeing the face of Jesus in burnt toast telling them it's a sign!
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Does anybody know what's going on at btc-e? The high volume?
This appears to be the most plausible explanation to me: There also seems to be a large amount of LTC volume there today. 10k+BTC in the BTC/LTC volume, and nearly 10K BTC worth in the LTC/USD market as well.
This is why their bitcoin volume is so high right now. When litecoin volume on btc-e spikes, it causes extra bitcoin volume on btc-e, as people trade across the various trading pairs of btc/ltc, btc/usd and ltc/usd.
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A bit late to the party but thanks for starting this thread. I have recently been taking much more notice of what's going on with trading in China so this will help draw my attention to aspects of interest. Thank you - and to those who, unlike this post, actually bring something of interest to the table
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Just a thought, given btc-e has been top of the volume table for nigh on a day now: OP, How's about changing the title of this thread to Wall Observer: BTC-e wall movement tracker?
I kinda like having mainly headed to the gox wall thread for a year or so now, over the last couple of months flipping between the various wall threads now that the era of gox's dominance appears to be over. It would be nice to have a btc-e one too (unless there's one already I've missed out on)?
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