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1  Other / Politics & Society / Re: SpaceX and the prospects of Mars colonization. on: March 21, 2019, 05:42:23 PM
It seems a fact that any astronauts going to Mars will return to Earth on a terrible health condition.

Just check the description of Scott Kelly on his own words:

"When I'm finally vertical, the pain in my legs is awful, and [...] it feels as though all the blood in my body is rushing to my legs, [...] they are swollen and alien stumps, not legs at all".
https://www.smh.com.au/lifestyle/astronaut-scott-kelly-on-the-devastating-effects-of-a-year-in-space-20170922-gyn9iw.html

And he just spent one year on the space station, still protected by Earth magnetic field. Imagine 18 months in deep space with 0 gravity and solar and cosmic radiation bombardments and about 3 more months on Mars waiting for the return window: https://image.gsfc.nasa.gov/poetry/venus/q2811.html

But when we think that from the initial crew of 237 men on the first world circumnavigation only 18 survived (a death toll of more than 92%: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ferdinand_Magellan#Survivors) we can understand why Elon Musk doesn't seem too much concerned with the health of the first Mars astronauts.

He knows he will find people willing to go and ruin their health for this historical opportunity. And he thinks that it will be worthy.

But SpaceX still lacks enough money to finish the Starship and sent it to Mars on a crewed voyage.

It's because of this that the news about the changing policy of NASA about using commercial rockets to go around the Moon next year can be financial decisive to SpaceX and to the Mars voyage:
https://www.space.com/nasa-eyes-private-rocket-orion-moon-trip.html

Because if NASA decides to contract SpaceX for this (ULA is still a serious candidate, since they built the Orion capsule; but they might not have enough time to prepare their Delta IV Heavy to do the trip), they probably will jump on board for Mars too.

If NASA accepted to sacrifice Scott Kelly health only for an experiment, they probably will accept even worst conditions to a few of their astronauts to be able to send them to Mars.

And even if they won't, Musk will have the necessary money to go to Mars, after all the money he will receive from NASA to send its astronauts and cargo to the Lunar Orbital Platform-Gateway and to the Moon.
2  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Why I'm an atheist on: March 21, 2019, 04:33:36 PM
Since religious beliefs were mainly invented as a tool to justify death denial, any acceptance that a different/contradictory religious belief might be truth or is a belief as legitimate as any other, means acceptance of death as final. Of course, this provokes serious reactions.

Therefore, empirical research confirms that when reminding of death, most religious people become more intolerant of different religious beliefs or non-beliefs.


And that the intensity of the intolerance will be proportional to the intimate insecurity of the beliefs. Which means that people with less psychological faith/security on their beliefs will be much more intolerant.

See inter alia:  Terror management and religion: evidence that intrinsic religiousness mitigates worldview defense following mortality salience: https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/16938037
A theoretical and empirical review of the death-thought accessibility concept in terror management research: https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/20804234

Some Buddhists monks seem to coupe with different beliefs with easy because they are real convinced that their beliefs are true.

This isn't good. Because it means that to be tolerant a religious person has to be absolutely convinced of the truth of his religious beliefs. On other words, you know... more or less, a fanatic.

Indeed, if that can make a religious person accept with a condescend smile "crazy" different beliefs or no beliefs, it can also make them explode themselves for their beliefs. With or without a simile. Makes little difference.


Throwing stones on my own ceiling, research also suggests that at least some atheists react to the idea of death with more vigorous denials of god and some intolerance to religious beliefs.

On first sight, this seems absurd, since the nonexistence of god is irrelevant to death. But perhaps some atheists really believe that god doesn’t exist with the same kind of strong conviction that believers have on his existence.

At least atheist philosophy of life depends on the veracity of the nonexistence of god. Like believers, atheist have something to lose if they are wrong.

Moreover, if they are atheists on the good sense, they should keep an open mind and be always open to any evidence that they are wrong. And so, by principle, an atheist should have some insecurity about the veracity of the nonexistence of god. Or he will be a "fanatic" also.

Thus, maybe deep down some atheists might also be afraid of being wrong and end up "burning in hell". This could explain the strong reaction and more vigorous denial of god after thinking about death.

So an atheist has to be enough convinced that he is right to be tolerant to believers, but he also has to stay open to any evidence that he might be wrong, as the scientific method demands.
3  Other / Politics & Society / Re: On the meaning of life and the long-term merits of technologic improvement on: March 21, 2019, 04:02:11 PM
If you like the terror of death management theory, check any lecture from Sheldon Solomon. He explains all details like if everyone on the audience was a complete moron and so his interventions are understandable even if you sleep on the middle.

Actually, he will make you laugh a lot.
4  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Privacy and the importance of biodata on: March 21, 2019, 03:43:13 PM
I love all these ancestry sites marketing to people using the emotional pull of being able to look at family history. The reality is they are hoovering up DNA

Yes, think twice before giving them a sample of your DNA without finding a way to hide your identity. For best and for worst, they will have the most important information about you.

I wonder if restaurants and bars of the future will sell samples of our DNA on the glasses we used.
5  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Poll: Is the creation of artificial superinteligence dangerous? on: March 21, 2019, 03:22:53 PM
Faced with the predictions that AI will remove millions of jobs and create millions of unemployed persons, most economists answer that this prediction was made several times in the past and failed miserably.

That millions of people lost indeed their jobs, but found new ones on new sectors.

Just think about agriculture. On 1900, France had 33% of its working force on agriculture. Now it has 2.9%. England had 15% on 1900. Now it has 1.2%.
https://ourworldindata.org/employment-in-agriculture

There can be no doubt that mechanization destroyed millions of jobs.

But that was compensated by the creation of new jobs.

The question is: this time will be different?

It will be if AI can replace humans on a scale faster than the pace at which the Economy can create new jobs.

AI (particularly intelligent robots) isn't cheap and so currently this isn't happen, but can happen in the near future.

It will be if AI can assume all functions of the average human (manual and intellectual) on terms that will leave no alternative jobs for them to do.

Again this is far from happening. But it can happen on the next 10 to 20 years.

Think about horses.

On 1900, there were 21.5 million horses on the USA, even if its human population was much smaller. On 1960 there were only 3 million horses. Since then, the number fluctuated, but below 5 million: http://www.humanesociety.org/sites/default/files/archive/assets/pdfs/hsp/soaiv_07_ch10.pdf

Will we be the new horses?

Some AI experts are building bunkers, fearing that society will collapse because of violent reactions from raising unemployment:
https://www.independent.co.uk/life-style/gadgets-and-tech/silicon-valley-billionaires-buy-underground-bunkers-apocalypse-california-a7545126.html
https://www.theguardian.com/news/2018/feb/15/why-silicon-valley-billionaires-are-prepping-for-the-apocalypse-in-new-zealand
6  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Why I'm an atheist on: February 21, 2019, 03:24:45 AM
Jewish historian Josephus and Roman historian Tacitus wrote about Jesus briefly given some credit to his historical existence.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Historicity_of_Jesus#Non-Christian_sources

Of course, this doesn't change all the later inventions about his life inspired on the Old Testament "prophecies" and on the "will to believe".
7  Other / Politics & Society / Re: SpaceX and the prospects of Mars colonization. on: February 21, 2019, 03:14:39 AM
The most serious problem SpaceX faces now is money. They didn't receive new funding from DOD's projects and it won't be easy to build the Starship from their current sources of revenue.

But Musk just wrote that they might be able to build it for less than what Falcon9 costed:

https://www.teslarati.com/spacex-ceo-elon-musk-says-that-bfr-could-cost-less-to-build-than-falcon-9/

This would be great news. But it's hard to believe, taking in account that the Starship will have to be able to endure a 6 months voyage to Mars and arrive there with its crew and passengers alive and "relatively" well of health.
8  Other / Politics & Society / Re: On the meaning of life and the long-term merits of technologic improvement on: February 21, 2019, 02:58:16 AM
One of the most ridiculous points some men try to make about death is that, if a man shouldn't show that he fears death, he should also pretend that he doesn't care for death, are willing to accept it naturally and with a sincere smile on his face or at least indifference.

One pathetic example is this interview of Neil DeGrasse Tyson by Larry King: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FiI-34PNsXY

Larry King is the courageous and honest one about the subject. Tyson the ridiculous liar.

Even David Sinclair, who spent years researching antiaging agents and takes them, lies about the subject and says he doesn't mind to die: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HOTS0HS7aq4

It's like saying he doesn't mind losing all the people he loves and even himself. He fears that a storm can bring down his house or that a stock-market crash takes his money, but if something takes everything from him, that is alright. Doesn't bother him at all. It's as natural as a storm. Carry on. No problem.

9  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Privacy and the importance of biodata on: February 21, 2019, 02:32:54 AM
Yuval Harari have some good points about this issue.

A brief summary of this thoughts on it here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xHHb7R3kx40
10  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Poll: Is the creation of artificial superinteligence dangerous? on: February 21, 2019, 02:17:48 AM
Really?

Speed of computation is related to level of intelligence?

No.


I wrote that once we have a human level AI it will be much ahead of us, because one of them will be able to to on a day what millions of humans can do on the same period.

And since millions of people are hard to coordinate when doing intellectual labor, the AI will be able to reach goals that millions of humans even cooperating won't.

Intelligence may be defined as the capacity to gather information, elaborate models/knowledge of reality and change reality with them to reach complex goals.

An human level AI will reach those goals faster than millions of us working together.

If by human level AI we'll have AI with the intelligence of some of the best of humanity, is like if we had millions of Einsteins working together. Just think on the possibilities.

Intelligence isn't only a qualitative capacity. Memory, speed and the capacity to handle an incredible amount of data are also a part of intelligence. A part decisive to reach goals.

Alphazero managed to discover new moves on Go and Chess that all humanity never discovered on more than a thousand years. So Alphazero is intelligent, even if it completely lacks consciousness and it's just a simple AI based on Reinforcement learning:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Reinforcement_learning
https://medium.freecodecamp.org/an-introduction-to-reinforcement-learning-4339519de419
11  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Poll: Is the creation of artificial superinteligence dangerous? on: January 02, 2019, 05:05:22 AM
We won't ever have a human level AI.

Once they have a general intelligence similar to ours, they will be much ahead of humans, because they function very close to the speed of light while humans' brains have a speed of less than 500km per hour.

And they will be able to do calculations at a much higher rate than us.
12  Other / Politics & Society / Re: SpaceX and the prospects of Mars colonization. on: January 02, 2019, 04:59:31 AM
SpaceX new baptized Starship (former BFR) seems to be advancing even ahead of schedule:

https://www.businessinsider.com/spacex-big-falcon-rocket-spaceship-hopper-vehicle-launches-2018-12?op=1
"SpaceX is building a 'test hopper' Mars spaceship in Texas — and Elon Musk says it could launch by March"
13  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Why I'm an atheist on: January 02, 2019, 04:55:41 AM
Some interesting facts:

http://worldhappiness.report/ed/2018/
Countries on the top 10 are some of the most non-religious ones.
I'm not saying that there is a causation relationship between atheism and happiness, but the common myth that religious people are happier was debunked by this report.

On statistics, there are some contradictory visions, but they seem to be caused by opposite trends:

On western countries, including the USA, there is a clear trend to an increase of atheists and other non-religious people. But in Africa and some parts of Asia, demographics are still increasing the number of religious people.

https://news.nationalgeographic.com/2016/04/160422-atheism-agnostic-secular-nones-rising-religion/
"The World's Newest Major Religion: No Religion"
"There have long been predictions that religion would fade from relevancy as the world modernizes, but all the recent surveys are finding that it’s happening startlingly fast."
Even if in Africa "religion is growing so fast that nones’ share of the global population will actually shrink in 25 years".

https://www.huffingtonpost.com/2013/07/23/most-religious-countries-least-religious_n_3640033.html
"Globally, the number of those claiming to be religious has dropped by 9 percent from 2005 to 2011, while the number of people identifying themselves as atheists has risen by 3 percent.
3. Four countries have experienced a drop in religiosity in their populations that is greater than 20 percent between 2005 and 2012. France and Switzerland saw decreases of 21 percent, while Ireland’s number of faithful declined by 22 percent and Vietnam’s by 23 percent."

https://www.conservapedia.com/Global_atheism_statistics
Of course, says "Atheism is in decline worldwide".

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Demographics_of_atheism
14  Other / Politics & Society / Re: SpaceX and the prospects of Mars colonization. on: November 16, 2018, 03:03:55 AM
Exploding nuclear bombs as a way of propulsion? Come on, the Orion project was crazy.

There are several alternatives, including nuclear:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nuclear_propulsion#Spacecraft
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nuclear_thermal_rocket

And also thorium small reactors:  https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Thorium-based_nuclear_power
15  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Why I'm an atheist on: November 16, 2018, 02:51:39 AM
Jonathan Swift: ‘It Is Useless To Attempt To Reason A Man Out Of A Thing He Was Never Reasoned Into’
16  Economy / Scam Accusations / Re: The Rock Trading www.therocktrading.com : Selective Scam (truffa) on: November 16, 2018, 02:46:39 AM
I just gave both founders negative feedback because of this scam for these reasons:

I was a Rock user for some years and never had any problem. I even gave you a vouch on this thread (that I just changed).

It's because of this that I'm astonished with this situation.

Unexplained and unnotified withdrawal blocks?

Imposing verification against your FAQ under threat of keeping the user money blocked?

Are you crazy? Do you realize how damaging this is for you?

What annoys me is that I could be on your situation.

Well, they didn't even try to justify themselves. I'm giving them both negative feedback.

A honest exchange like Kraken, when they want to force a user to verify based on clear terms of their TOS, they block trading and deposits, but not withdrawals. If the user don't want to verify, he can take his money and Kraken will close his account.

But I guess that if they were once honest, in the meanwhile they forgot about what is being a honest exchange.

This looks like a scam with the customary ploys.

17  Economy / Service Announcements / Re: [ANN] The Rock Trading ltd - Since 2007 on: November 16, 2018, 02:34:57 AM
What annoys me is that I could be on your situation.

Well, they didn't even try to justify themselves. I'm giving them both negative feedback.

A honest exchange like Kraken, when they want to force a user to verify based on clear terms of their TOS, they block trading and deposits, but not withdrawals. If the user don't want to verify, he can take his money and Kraken will close his account.

But I guess that if they were once honest, in the meanwhile they forgot about what is being a honest exchange.

This looks like a scam with the customary ploys.
18  Economy / Service Announcements / Re: [ANN] The Rock Trading ltd - Since 2007 on: November 07, 2018, 06:50:36 PM
Fellow bitcoiners:


Quick summary:



I) I have on the Rock Trading exchange 35519 euros and they blocked all my means of withdrawal, including all crypto, 9 months ago.

II) They refused several times to explain why, including on this thread.

III) They didn't tell me about the withdrawal block and let me keep entrapping money with deposits and trading/paying fees for months unaware of the block.

IV) When I complained, they demanded my documents even if their FAQ says "verification isn't mandatory" and the Rock CFO had confirmed me by email that verification was voluntary.

V) Since I argued this, they eventually said I didn't have to send my documents, but they said that my money would be kept blocked "much more time".

VI) When I said I would take this public, they started demanding a copy of my documents again.

VII) Mandatory verification has no basis on their TOS, so they invented an applicable european directive. But they know very well directives only apply to States in order for them to create legislation (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Directive_(European_Union).

VIII) Italy adopted their Legislative Decree No. 90 of 25 May 2017 on AML and KYC duties, but his article 3, n.º 5, says that crypto exchanges are restrictively ("limitatamente") subject to this duties only on their operations of conversion from crypto to fiat. That is, to customers who ask for fiat withdrawals. I left clear that I wouldn't ask for any fiat withdrawal.

IX) They just confirmed they are going to keep my money for good, even if I have overwhelming evidence that it's mine (check below).

X) Taken in account my overwhelming evidence, the fact that they keep raising doubts about my ownership is another confirmation that this is all pretexts and lies in order for them to keep my money. No honest person would deny my ownership.

XI) What they are doing is completely contrary to italian law (quoted above) and their own TOS/FAQ (see detailed analysis https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=4975753.msg46225609#msg46225609
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=4975753.msg45001851#msg45001851


I was a Rock user for some years and never had any problem. I even gave you a vouch on this thread (that I just changed).

It's because of this that I'm astonished with this situation.

Unexplained and unnotified withdrawal blocks?

Imposing verification against your FAQ under threat of keeping the user money blocked?

Are you crazy? Do you realize how damaging this is for you?
19  Other / Politics & Society / Re: SpaceX and the prospects of Mars colonization. on: November 07, 2018, 06:14:54 PM
He is a compulsive optimist.

Announcing unrealistic dates can put some pressure on his employees, but that can also backfire, since they and the public stop taking him seriously.
20  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Why I'm an atheist on: November 07, 2018, 06:11:50 PM
The problem of acceptance from believers that religion adoption is a matter of successful use of violence (mainly, conquest) or coercive and manipulative family education is that makes the spread of religions not a matter of its truthfulness, but a result of military and social trends.

Having one or another religion is essentially a question of random facts: someone born on a christian family, another on a Islamic one, etc.

Seeing here the "hand of god" leads to the conclusion that Islam is the truth religion, since it's the one growing faster (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Islam#Demographics).

On the other hand, we might conclude also that god thinks atheism is right, taking in account how much it has grown on the last century. On many countries in Europe or on China there are already a majority of atheists.
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