arallmuus
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 2674
Merit: 1425
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August 15, 2015, 06:38:54 PM |
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5% is so high you can trade on it ! i am trying it for somedays and got good result till now
This is totally variance and not a guarantee that you will get as high as 5 % again. Few days ago investor suffer a huge lost instantly and afterward the investment is back to 20+ BTC now. Pretty much a roller coaster and very risky , this would be a personal warning for you to not expect for "profit" solely . You might get a good result until now but dont expect that it will last forever To be honest, Investment in here is pretty much like a gamble itself which instead of gambling to win against the house , you are gambling against the player to lose and that means you could lose as well P.S : it seems MP is undergoing emergency maintenance currently, wonder what cause it?
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TwinWinNerD
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 1680
Merit: 1001
CEO Bitpanda.com
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August 15, 2015, 06:44:33 PM |
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@Monopoly you can trade everything. but there is no way you can longterm beat the expected value by strategically in/devesting. (Well you could if you can predict the future )
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RHavar (OP)
Legendary
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Activity: 1463
Merit: 1886
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August 15, 2015, 06:47:45 PM |
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P.S : it seems MP is undergoing emergency maintenance currently, wonder what cause it?
All done. Just fixing a potential data-corruption issue. I just used "emergency" to differentiate it from planned maintenance. And wasn't sure if falling back onto our slave machines would end up resulting in down-time or not, but everything seems to have gone perfectly.
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Check out gamblingsitefinder.com for a decent list/rankings of crypto casinos. Note: I have no affiliation or interest in it, and don't even agree with all the rankings ... but it's the only uncorrupted review site I'm aware of.
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tommorisonwebdesign
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August 15, 2015, 07:46:36 PM |
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I have not heard of this wallet until now. It looks like a pretty interesting concept. I don't gamble that often but I do see it's advantages it would have for gamblers. Good product.
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Signatures? How about learning a skill... I don't care either way. Everybody has to make a living somehow.
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TwinWinNerD
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 1680
Merit: 1001
CEO Bitpanda.com
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August 15, 2015, 08:29:18 PM |
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Is it possible to add a statistic to the moneypot.com site, that shows the expected profit of the investors? (houseedge*investorsshare*wageramout)
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ranlo
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 1988
Merit: 1007
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August 15, 2015, 08:51:02 PM |
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Is it possible to add a statistic to the moneypot.com site, that shows the expected profit of the investors? (houseedge*investorsshare*wageramout)
Even better would be some sort of table that just shows, for example: 08/15/15 | +2.93% 08/16/15 | -1.21% 08/17/15 | -0.39% More or less, something to quickly and easily see the profit/loss per day in a % format. Or even weekly.
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TwinWinNerD
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 1680
Merit: 1001
CEO Bitpanda.com
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August 15, 2015, 10:18:48 PM |
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Is it possible to add a statistic to the moneypot.com site, that shows the expected profit of the investors? (houseedge*investorsshare*wageramout)
Even better would be some sort of table that just shows, for example: 08/15/15 | +2.93% 08/16/15 | -1.21% 08/17/15 | -0.39% More or less, something to quickly and easily see the profit/loss per day in a % format. Or even weekly. This statistic you can track yourself already. The one I ask for is impossible (ok nearly impossible, one could monitor all apps) to track yourself.
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ranlo
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 1988
Merit: 1007
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August 15, 2015, 10:30:44 PM |
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Is it possible to add a statistic to the moneypot.com site, that shows the expected profit of the investors? (houseedge*investorsshare*wageramout)
Even better would be some sort of table that just shows, for example: 08/15/15 | +2.93% 08/16/15 | -1.21% 08/17/15 | -0.39% More or less, something to quickly and easily see the profit/loss per day in a % format. Or even weekly. This statistic you can track yourself already. The one I ask for is impossible (ok nearly impossible, one could monitor all apps) to track yourself. You can track yours yourself as well. I already do it. The amount fluctuates constantly, so you do it once per day. I figured we were just trying to lessen the burden on ourselves, .
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TwinWinNerD
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 1680
Merit: 1001
CEO Bitpanda.com
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August 15, 2015, 10:31:56 PM |
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Is it possible to add a statistic to the moneypot.com site, that shows the expected profit of the investors? (houseedge*investorsshare*wageramout)
Even better would be some sort of table that just shows, for example: 08/15/15 | +2.93% 08/16/15 | -1.21% 08/17/15 | -0.39% More or less, something to quickly and easily see the profit/loss per day in a % format. Or even weekly. This statistic you can track yourself already. The one I ask for is impossible (ok nearly impossible, one could monitor all apps) to track yourself. You can track yours yourself as well. I already do it. The amount fluctuates constantly, so you do it once per day. I figured we were just trying to lessen the burden on ourselves, . I think you are talking about another stat as me. Do you know how investors houseedge is calculated? Thats rather complicated and you need to know every single bet basically + the HE of the app it originated.
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ranlo
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 1988
Merit: 1007
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August 15, 2015, 10:33:50 PM |
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Is it possible to add a statistic to the moneypot.com site, that shows the expected profit of the investors? (houseedge*investorsshare*wageramout)
Even better would be some sort of table that just shows, for example: 08/15/15 | +2.93% 08/16/15 | -1.21% 08/17/15 | -0.39% More or less, something to quickly and easily see the profit/loss per day in a % format. Or even weekly. This statistic you can track yourself already. The one I ask for is impossible (ok nearly impossible, one could monitor all apps) to track yourself. You can track yours yourself as well. I already do it. The amount fluctuates constantly, so you do it once per day. I figured we were just trying to lessen the burden on ourselves, . I think you are talking about another stat as me. Do you know how investors houseedge is calculated? Thats rather complicated and you need to know every single bet basically + the HE of the app it originated. Expected profit of the investors, I was assuming, would just mean "if I invested 3 BTC now, how much could I expect to get as a return over x period?" In that case, you would just extrapolate from the average of the x days you've been tracking return. So I guess we are on a different page here, :p.
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TwinWinNerD
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 1680
Merit: 1001
CEO Bitpanda.com
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August 15, 2015, 10:36:05 PM |
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Expected profit is Wager amount * investors edge. But as the investors edge on moneypot is extremely variable, it can't be calculated with the "wagered amount" displayed on the site. Thats why I'd love to see it displayed.
Example: If the amount wagered goes up 100 BTC, it could mean +1 BTC expected value for investors, or close to +0 BTC expected value, depending on the composition of the bets that led to the 100 BTC wager.
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ranlo
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 1988
Merit: 1007
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August 15, 2015, 10:46:17 PM |
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Expected profit is Wager amount * investors edge. But as the investors edge on moneypot is extremely variable, it can't be calculated with the "wagered amount" displayed on the site. Thats why I'd love to see it displayed.
Example: If the amount wagered goes up 100 BTC, it could mean +1 BTC expected value for investors, or close to +0 BTC expected value, depending on the composition of the bets that led to the 100 BTC wager.
Ahhh, so you mean like: Bets 61,049,903 Wagered 10,398,319,818.69 bits Bets Profit 95,132,383.84 bits (0.91%) Expected Profit 92,179,703.39 bits (0.89%) But showing the Expected Profit for all sites (on the main page, in the box with all the other information)? If so, I'm all for that.
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TwinWinNerD
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 1680
Merit: 1001
CEO Bitpanda.com
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August 15, 2015, 10:47:22 PM |
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Expected profit is Wager amount * investors edge. But as the investors edge on moneypot is extremely variable, it can't be calculated with the "wagered amount" displayed on the site. Thats why I'd love to see it displayed.
Example: If the amount wagered goes up 100 BTC, it could mean +1 BTC expected value for investors, or close to +0 BTC expected value, depending on the composition of the bets that led to the 100 BTC wager.
Ahhh, so you mean like: Bets 61,049,903 Wagered 10,398,319,818.69 bits Bets Profit 95,132,383.84 bits (0.91%) Expected Profit 92,179,703.39 bits (0.89%) But showing the Expected Profit for all sites (on the main page, in the box with all the other information)? If so, I'm all for that. This number is not right either. its the expected profit of --> (APP dev + Moneypot + Investors)
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ranlo
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 1988
Merit: 1007
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August 15, 2015, 10:54:03 PM |
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Expected profit is Wager amount * investors edge. But as the investors edge on moneypot is extremely variable, it can't be calculated with the "wagered amount" displayed on the site. Thats why I'd love to see it displayed.
Example: If the amount wagered goes up 100 BTC, it could mean +1 BTC expected value for investors, or close to +0 BTC expected value, depending on the composition of the bets that led to the 100 BTC wager.
Ahhh, so you mean like: Bets 61,049,903 Wagered 10,398,319,818.69 bits Bets Profit 95,132,383.84 bits (0.91%) Expected Profit 92,179,703.39 bits (0.89%) But showing the Expected Profit for all sites (on the main page, in the box with all the other information)? If so, I'm all for that. This number is not right either. its the expected profit of --> (APP dev + Moneypot + Investors) Ahhhh, I think I follow now. So basically just encapsulate the investor profit from everything else for clarity purposes.
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TwinWinNerD
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 1680
Merit: 1001
CEO Bitpanda.com
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August 15, 2015, 10:54:48 PM |
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Expected profit is Wager amount * investors edge. But as the investors edge on moneypot is extremely variable, it can't be calculated with the "wagered amount" displayed on the site. Thats why I'd love to see it displayed.
Example: If the amount wagered goes up 100 BTC, it could mean +1 BTC expected value for investors, or close to +0 BTC expected value, depending on the composition of the bets that led to the 100 BTC wager.
Ahhh, so you mean like: Bets 61,049,903 Wagered 10,398,319,818.69 bits Bets Profit 95,132,383.84 bits (0.91%) Expected Profit 92,179,703.39 bits (0.89%) But showing the Expected Profit for all sites (on the main page, in the box with all the other information)? If so, I'm all for that. This number is not right either. its the expected profit of --> (APP dev + Moneypot + Investors) Ahhhh, I think I follow now. So basically just encapsulate the investor profit from everything else for clarity purposes. Close the investors profit we already know! But the expected profit we don't know
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ranlo
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 1988
Merit: 1007
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August 15, 2015, 11:00:07 PM |
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Expected profit is Wager amount * investors edge. But as the investors edge on moneypot is extremely variable, it can't be calculated with the "wagered amount" displayed on the site. Thats why I'd love to see it displayed.
Example: If the amount wagered goes up 100 BTC, it could mean +1 BTC expected value for investors, or close to +0 BTC expected value, depending on the composition of the bets that led to the 100 BTC wager.
Ahhh, so you mean like: Bets 61,049,903 Wagered 10,398,319,818.69 bits Bets Profit 95,132,383.84 bits (0.91%) Expected Profit 92,179,703.39 bits (0.89%) But showing the Expected Profit for all sites (on the main page, in the box with all the other information)? If so, I'm all for that. This number is not right either. its the expected profit of --> (APP dev + Moneypot + Investors) Ahhhh, I think I follow now. So basically just encapsulate the investor profit from everything else for clarity purposes. Close the investors profit we already know! But the expected profit we don't know There we go, finally. "Expected profit" could mean future or past. I think that's what was catching me. You mean the expected profit of bets that have already been made. It kept clicking in my head as looking for expected profit going into the future. English, huh?
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TwinWinNerD
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 1680
Merit: 1001
CEO Bitpanda.com
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August 15, 2015, 11:02:48 PM |
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In the mathematical sense: "Where would the profit be expected with the past bets right now?"
The other use is called "predicted profit" as in extrapolate past profits.
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Chemistry1988
Legendary
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Activity: 1120
Merit: 1000
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August 17, 2015, 10:47:27 AM |
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I notice that the proof-of-liabilities.txt has not been updated for at least two days. Ryan, please fix it.
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BitBatFan
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August 17, 2015, 10:51:52 AM |
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I'm curious how are server seeds generated? New seed every roll, new seed per user for 24 hours...?
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RHavar (OP)
Legendary
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Activity: 1463
Merit: 1886
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August 17, 2015, 01:35:21 PM |
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Yeah, it's on the todo-list to massively improve the investor displays. We have all the information there, it's just a question of nicely processing and displaying it. I notice that the proof-of-liabilities.txt has not been updated for at least two days. Ryan, please fix it. Sorry, updated I'm curious how are server seeds generated? New seed every roll, new seed per user for 24 hours...?
They are generated on a per-roll basis. As in, each bet must be placed against a pre-generated server secret
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Check out gamblingsitefinder.com for a decent list/rankings of crypto casinos. Note: I have no affiliation or interest in it, and don't even agree with all the rankings ... but it's the only uncorrupted review site I'm aware of.
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