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Author Topic: Cricket match prediction discussions  (Read 595541 times)
vella85
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December 24, 2018, 08:47:52 PM
 #16041

There could be some good news for the Indian team as Ashwin has been bowling in practice and is a big chance to play on Boxing day. Australia could also make a change by dropping Peter Handscomb and bringing in Mitch Marsh as the selectors are looking for the all rounder option.

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December 25, 2018, 04:40:03 AM
 #16042

There could be some good news for the Indian team as Ashwin has been bowling in practice and is a big chance to play on Boxing day. Australia could also make a change by dropping Peter Handscomb and bringing in Mitch Marsh as the selectors are looking for the all rounder option.
He is injured I guess that's why he wasn't included in the 2nd test , I guess he hasn't recovered yet?
I also feel Jadeja should be included , he might come in handy as he can bat well too . I say , drop Umesh Yadav and pick Jadeja as Indian team doesn't need 4 pace bowlers , do they?



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December 25, 2018, 06:12:36 AM
Last edit: December 25, 2018, 06:49:28 AM by JSRAW
 #16043

There could be some good news for the Indian team as Ashwin has been bowling in practice and is a big chance to play on Boxing day. Australia could also make a change by dropping Peter Handscomb and bringing in Mitch Marsh as the selectors are looking for the all rounder option.

Indian Team Management keep doing fuck ups on a team combination. Ashwin bowling in nets can be good or bad both because nowadays players being a drop from the squad for showing so-called less intensity in nets.  Undecided

Mitch Marsh is Vice Captain, right?


drop Umesh Yadav and pick Jadeja as Indian team doesn't need 4 pace bowlers , do they?

Depends on the Pitch, if the pitch is green then most team always opts for 4 seamers (including 1 allrounder seam bowler, opposition batting lineup comes into play too) Spinners always comes handy in Test cricket due to over rate ratio even in seaming/bouncing condition (90 over per day / 15 over per hour)  Every captain struggles with over rate if he picks 4 seam bowler with no spinner in team. That's why we have seen Hanuman Vihari bowling 28 overs in 2nd test.

Yadav played around 40 test match but gets carried away 7 out of 10 times in seaming condition and ends up giving runs. so IMHO the Indian team should opt for Bhuvi if they need 4th seamer because he can bat too in the lower order.

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December 25, 2018, 08:21:12 AM
 #16044

KL rahul should be out from Test sqaud for good and let him play Domestic season and prove his worth.

This is my playing XI

1. Mayank Aggarwal
2. Murali VIjay
3.Pujara
4. Virat
5. Ajinkya Rahane
6. Hunuma Vihari
7. Rishab Pant
8. Jadeja/Ashwin
9. Ishant Sharma
10. MH. Shami
11. Bumrah

Team announced for 3rd test match. KL rahul, Murali Vijay ,Umesh Yadav out and Mayank aggarwal, ROhit Sharma, Jadeja playing in 3rd test. Ashwin is not fit again. Cool

Now who will open with Mayank aggarwal? Hanuma vihari or rohit sharma? that would be interesting to see if rohit opens and cash out this opportunity.
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December 25, 2018, 09:50:28 AM
 #16045

Odds I got for tonight:

New Zealand 1.38 / draw 7.0 / Sri Lanka 6.75 (2nd Test)
Australia 2.17 / draw 5.9 / India 2.64 (3rd Test)

Maybe Australia is the good play today, decent value.
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December 25, 2018, 10:14:44 AM
 #16046

Odds I got for tonight:

New Zealand 1.38 / draw 7.0 / Sri Lanka 6.75 (2nd Test)
Australia 2.17 / draw 5.9 / India 2.64 (3rd Test)

Maybe Australia is the good play today, decent value.

Is that related to betting? How does that work in general?. confusing for me.
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December 25, 2018, 10:20:58 AM
 #16047

Odds I got for tonight:

New Zealand 1.38 / draw 7.0 / Sri Lanka 6.75 (2nd Test)
Australia 2.17 / draw 5.9 / India 2.64 (3rd Test)

Maybe Australia is the good play today, decent value.

Is that related to betting? How does that work in general?. confusing for me.
Yes, they are the odds for the match.

For example I was saying that Australia is worth a stake, let's suppose you bet $100 on Australia to win, if they win you get a profit of $117.

If you think India will win, and you bet $100, if they win then you get a profit of $164.

If you bet on New Zealand to win, and they win, your net profit is $38 (for the same stake of $100).

Sports betting is always very risky though    Wink
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December 25, 2018, 10:36:39 AM
 #16048

Odds I got for tonight:

New Zealand 1.38 / draw 7.0 / Sri Lanka 6.75 (2nd Test)
Australia 2.17 / draw 5.9 / India 2.64 (3rd Test)

Maybe Australia is the good play today, decent value.

Is that related to betting? How does that work in general?. confusing for me.
Yes, they are the odds for the match.

For example I was saying that Australia is worth a stake, let's suppose you bet $100 on Australia to win, if they win you get a profit of $117.

If you think India will win, and you bet $100, if they win then you get a profit of $164.

If you bet on New Zealand to win, and they win, your net profit is $38 (for the same stake of $100).

Sports betting is always very risky though    Wink

Thank you. Sounds interesting, would like to get my hands dirty on this. never tried betting on anything before. where can i learn about that? We can bet online from India as well or here in BTT?
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December 25, 2018, 12:22:27 PM
 #16049

Odds I got for tonight:

New Zealand 1.38 / draw 7.0 / Sri Lanka 6.75 (2nd Test)
Australia 2.17 / draw 5.9 / India 2.64 (3rd Test)

Maybe Australia is the good play today, decent value.

Is that related to betting? How does that work in general?. confusing for me.
Yes, they are the odds for the match.

For example I was saying that Australia is worth a stake, let's suppose you bet $100 on Australia to win, if they win you get a profit of $117.

If you think India will win, and you bet $100, if they win then you get a profit of $164.

If you bet on New Zealand to win, and they win, your net profit is $38 (for the same stake of $100).

Sports betting is always very risky though    Wink

Thank you. Sounds interesting, would like to get my hands dirty on this. never tried betting on anything before. where can i learn about that? We can bet online from India as well or here in BTT?

You are welcome. Plenty of websites to bet on cricket if you are in India. I would recommend the platform Betkeen from Easysportbet.co.uk they have good odds, been using it for a while.

As a beginner it's not easy to win but it's possible, you just need patience and discipline.
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December 25, 2018, 04:08:10 PM
 #16050

Odds I got for tonight:

New Zealand 1.38 / draw 7.0 / Sri Lanka 6.75 (2nd Test)
Australia 2.17 / draw 5.9 / India 2.64 (3rd Test)

Maybe Australia is the good play today, decent value.
I don't think Aussies are having good time in test cricket (despite winning the last test). My odds are for India. Although I can see the bookies are keeping the Aussies ahead.

AUS: 11/10 INDIA: 13/8 Draws: 4/1

I wonder why no one is considering a draw?

By the way, finally
Quote
India have dropped both their openers - 97 runs between them in eight innings - for the Boxing Day Test.

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December 25, 2018, 08:02:50 PM
 #16051

It is always tricky to predict a draw. And I think most bettors don't like to bet on a draw, they like to support a team. Can be an attractive option actually given the relatively high odds on both encounters.
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December 25, 2018, 09:17:34 PM
 #16052

There could be some good news for the Indian team as Ashwin has been bowling in practice and is a big chance to play on Boxing day. Australia could also make a change by dropping Peter Handscomb and bringing in Mitch Marsh as the selectors are looking for the all rounder option.

Indian Team Management keep doing fuck ups on a team combination. Ashwin bowling in nets can be good or bad both because nowadays players being a drop from the squad for showing so-called less intensity in nets.  Undecided

Mitch Marsh is Vice Captain, right?


drop Umesh Yadav and pick Jadeja as Indian team doesn't need 4 pace bowlers , do they?

Depends on the Pitch, if the pitch is green then most team always opts for 4 seamers (including 1 allrounder seam bowler, opposition batting lineup comes into play too) Spinners always comes handy in Test cricket due to over rate ratio even in seaming/bouncing condition (90 over per day / 15 over per hour)  Every captain struggles with over rate if he picks 4 seam bowler with no spinner in team. That's why we have seen Hanuman Vihari bowling 28 overs in 2nd test.

Yadav played around 40 test match but gets carried away 7 out of 10 times in seaming condition and ends up giving runs. so IMHO the Indian team should opt for Bhuvi if they need 4th seamer because he can bat too in the lower order.

Yes Mitch Marsh is the vice captain and I think he has come in as the pitch is green and will suite him along with his batting so Australia can have 4 pace bowlers and the 1 spinner which could take spin on days 3-5. India have made some changes at the top with the debut of Mayank Agarwal to open the batting, alongside Hanuma Vihari. It will be interesting to see how these two face up to the fast pace attack of Strac, Hazlewood and Cummins.

These are the teams that have been named but there is still 2 hours before the match starts so we could see a late change or two but for now the teams are:

Australia XI: Marcus Harris, Aaron Finch, Usman Khawaja, Shaun Marsh, Travis Head, Mitchell Marsh, Tim Paine (c,wk), Pat Cummins, Mitchell Starc, Nathan Lyon, Josh Hazlewood

India XI: Mayank Agarwal, Hanuma Vihari, Cheteshwar Pujara, Virat Kohli (c), Ajinkya Rahane, Rohit Sharma, Rishabh Pant (wk), Ravindra Jadeja, Ishant Sharma, Mohammed Shami, Jasprit Bumrah.

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December 26, 2018, 02:15:38 AM
 #16053

Hey guys , first of all , Merry Christmas to all .

Australia take on India at MCG .
The pitch looks great to bat on .


Mayank Agarwal is making his debut and is a player you should look out for .


Indians are batting first and if you ask me they will score well .

I suggest you to go for <b>Draw</b> .

Reasons
-Indians have batsmen who are well suited  for this pitch and so do Aussies .
- If Indians manage to put up 350-400 and Aussies will chase it , it will take 3 days whole .

The odds are looking good for "Draw" too .

Good luck 



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onrise
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December 26, 2018, 05:22:30 AM
 #16054

In 3rd Test, after India winning the toss have decided to bat and have started well this time. They are 160/2 and Mayank have debut for India have in his first innings itself have recorded a fifty. He got out for a well played inning of 76. Currently Pujara and Kohli are on the pitch.

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December 26, 2018, 06:14:37 AM
 #16055

Hey guys , first of all , Merry Christmas to all .

Australia take on India at MCG .
The pitch looks great to bat on .


Mayank Agarwal is making his debut and is a player you should look out for .


Indians are batting first and if you ask me they will score well .

I suggest you to go for <b>Draw</b> .

Reasons
-Indians have batsmen who are well suited  for this pitch and so do Aussies .
- If Indians manage to put up 350-400 and Aussies will chase it , it will take 3 days whole .

The odds are looking good for "Draw" too .

Good luck 


90% of the Test match played in recent have given results , that is why odd for Draw is high so that gamblers should lure for high odd and lose the bet, but if you are taking draw bet for arbitrage then it will surely give you good profit in most of the match.

India after loosing 2 wickets have score 188, if india score above 450+ in first innings then their winning chances are up as the pitch start to crack from 4th day which give pace and spin to bowlers.
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December 26, 2018, 11:22:03 AM
 #16056

In 3rd Test, after India winning the toss have decided to bat and have started well this time. They are 160/2 and Mayank have debut for India have in his first innings itself have recorded a fifty. He got out for a well played inning of 76. Currently Pujara and Kohli are on the pitch.


At the end of day's play India did not lost more wickets and was 215/2 . the score is far less at an average of 2.41 being the net run rate. But good thing is that they have 8 wickets left and this is the good sign. Pujara is batting on 68 and Kohli on 47. OZ would be unhappy with getting just 2 wickets in the days play.

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December 26, 2018, 12:42:54 PM
 #16057

India after loosing 2 wickets have score 188, if india score above 450+ in first innings then their winning chances are up as the pitch start to crack from 4th day which give pace and spin to bowlers.
India is pretty much in the driving seat. 215/2 after day 1 means if nothing extra ordinary happens tomorrow at the first session then India is going for a big score. 500+ is not going to be that hard and that's gonna take the whole day of day two, except may be last few overs for Aussies.

In that case Aussies have to do very well in their first innings. Most probably they will get few overs (5 to 10) from day 2 because India will try to pick up few wickets. Aussies have to bat very well on day 3. If they don't then India will drive the car for sure.

Anyway, anything can happen after all it's India v Australia. My odds are still for India by the way.


Looking for an exciting test match.

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December 26, 2018, 02:48:10 PM
 #16058

In 3rd Test, after India winning the toss have decided to bat and have started well this time. They are 160/2 and Mayank have debut for India have in his first innings itself have recorded a fifty. He got out for a well played inning of 76. Currently Pujara and Kohli are on the pitch.


At the end of day's play India did not lost more wickets and was 215/2 . the score is far less at an average of 2.41 being the net run rate. But good thing is that they have 8 wickets left and this is the good sign. Pujara is batting on 68 and Kohli on 47. OZ would be unhappy with getting just 2 wickets in the days play.


Keeping wickets is good but even scoring also should be their, if India manages to score above 550+ score then their chances will become high and if Australia looses wickets soon then it will be very good. As in the commentary it was stating that due to high temperature from day 3 pitch can show spin and pace, which India should take benefit. Any how if the match is moving towards 4th day with 1st innings then draw odd will be low , so betting draw odd is good bet as you can get odd high right now and if both play smoothly then draw odd will come down. This way you can earn good in test cricket.

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December 26, 2018, 09:30:21 PM
 #16059

India is looking good at this stage and Kohli was very lucky to survive in the last few overs before the end of play as he was dropped by Paine which should of been taken. The new ball was difficult to play and India will need to get through the first hour in the morning session today as it will be hard to bat with the ball still being new. If India can pile on another 250+ runs today then it will put them in the box seat to win this test match. Today is going to be a hot day in Melbourne so India would want to keep the Australian team out there fielding for as long as they can. But they must also be careful to not bat too long as rain is forecast on the 5th day. The draw option has firmed up and is not into around $2.50 with most markets. 

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December 26, 2018, 10:55:18 PM
 #16060

We watch some extra ordinary spells from good bowlers in New Zealand and South Africa first oliver done great job for his team and take 6 wickets which packed Pakistan 181 for all out now just few minutes ago Boult done same great job for New Zealand and packed Sri Lanka for just 104 these both tests going to end in just 3 days because both pitches favoring fast bowlers.
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