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Author Topic: Italian League Prediction Thread (Serie A)  (Read 785874 times)
QueenVera
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March 01, 2024, 06:49:18 PM
 #70001

Today Lazio and Milan will open the new week. Milan have stumbled a bit in recent games, they haven't won their last three matches. They have conceded 8 goals in these games, which shows the weakness of their defense. They have conceded a lot of goals in general this season. They had chased Juve in the league but missed the opportunity to catch them after failing to win their last two games. They still have a chance to finish 2nd and they are in a comfortable position in 3rd place, with no team below them close enough to bother them.
Lazio on the other hand are having good and bad results. They don't have much ambition in the league, they are in the middle of the table but they have Bayern München game on their minds. I think that's where all their focus is. So I don't think they can prepare much for the Milan game.

In the last matches between the two teams, there has always been a winner, never a draw. And usually the home team have won. But I see Milan with the advantage today. Lazio's mind will be on the next game. Milan seems to have more appetite for second place in the league. At odds above 2.05, a Milan win is a risk worth taking to me.
The Serie A game for the weekend will be opened with a tussle between Lazio who are very much confident in themselves and their ability so far to outshine Milan. They're the hosts and they've been able to record an encouraging game outcome in the past few weeks. The Serie A is gradually becoming a competitive league and it won't be a shock to see Lazio who for one in past times have been good competitors in the league, hold unto Milan till the last minutes.

 Checking the team stats, Lazio have been seen to have more wins than Milan, at thesame time, possessing bigger chances this time due to the drop in Milan's intensity of performance. Inter Milan have in the last weeks struggled to stay in every game they've had and even the few wins they've had were narrow victories which isn't a fully vested confidence against Lazio tonight. They're the visitors, they've had less wins all time against Lazio, recent performances have been poor and so there's less advantage for them to come out as the victors today.

 The odds in the game favours Lazio and then it's understandable that Milan will have to put in extra fighting efforts to give off a good, better performance. Fairly, the game ought to end in a draw, bit the chances are very much slim. They'll be inflow of goals no doubt but for my prediction, just one from these teams would gain the 3points tonight. We'd only have to stay back and watch patiently to see which of the two teams would have a brilliant performance played out on the pitch tonight too.
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March 01, 2024, 07:36:55 PM
 #70002

Lazio Milan this evening and it is a key game.
Both teams need to win to be comfortable in the top 4.

Lazio has a lot more to lose from this game, if they cannot win they will be probably out from the next champions league.


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March 01, 2024, 07:43:27 PM
 #70003

 In the last five games for Lazio, they have been able to win three and lost two and they lost their very last to Fiorentina who currently are one point above them in 7th place and as they play hosts to AC Milan, they will want to put on a fight to at least secure points but it will be a tough tasj to achieve especially as their opponents are a very strong and formidable side who are in the top three of the Serie A table. It's safe to say this will be a difficult game for Lazio as Ac Milan are still smarting from the draw Atalanta forced them to during the week and they will be looking to get their pound of flesh from the hosts. It's difficult to predict who will be the winner but it's going to be a GG affair.

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March 01, 2024, 07:44:44 PM
Last edit: March 04, 2024, 02:15:45 PM by tusandii
 #70004

If Milan really wants to pursue the runner up position in Serie A, they should be able to beat Lazio with a stronger effort because Lazio will be very strong competing at home, which usually makes Lazio's defense very strong and can make things difficult for Milan.
What I'm worried about is that Milan often has big ambitions to win and ultimately loses control and doesn't see the risk of a comeback from the opponent.
I just want to see if Milan really has difficulty scoring a win, at least getting 1 score from a draw would be safer.
AC Milan have to get three points and beat Lazio tonight if want close with runner up position, but next several days Milan have focus for playing in the first leg Europe League against Slavia Praha and need to make some rotation if want secure the winning result for the first leg match. Which the match will priority by AC Milan's manager Stefano Pioli between domestic league or first leg of Europe League, Milan remaining 4 points to reach 2n position from Juventus but last several matches performance in domestic league Milan losses many points and difficult for catching up Juventus points.

Lazio has good perform when playing in their home, current standing outside from Europe League and Champion League spot I don't think easily for Lazio losing three points against AC Milan.
Currently the formation data has started to be published and I see Giroud in the front position and supported by other players such as Pulisic who is usually Giroud's partner, creating a good partnership.
The two clubs use different formations. Lazio uses a 4-3-3 formation, which means they prioritize defense and Milan 4-2-3-1, which means Milan still has attacking and defensive ambitions.
Regarding the pressure of the match schedule in the Champions League and in Serie A, it seems to be affecting the current performance and after seeing all this data I believe betting on both clubs scoring with odds @1.79 is safer and looks more convincing.

Looking at Milan's current performance makes us a little confident that we can beat Lazio because there is another goal to get second place, displacing Juventus, so this is an opportunity for Milan to get 3 points, but Lazio cannot be underestimated, the most important thing is that Milan must be careful because Lazio has very high attacking speed. quickly and without the opponent realizing it, he could break into Milan's goal.

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March 01, 2024, 07:50:54 PM
 #70005

They were beaten badly by Lazio with a score of 4:0 at the Stadio Olimpico at the end of January 2023. At that time Lazio appeared to be a pretty good team. At this meeting, I doubt if AC Milan can get full points to target the runner up position even though Lazio this season is not very good because they appear at home, Lazio is different when playing away.
The home match factor makes me doubt AC Milan will win.
In just a few minutes the match which we can call a big match will start soon, the Lazio vs Milan match will certainly be a hot and crucial match for the two teams at this time, Milan who was able to beat Lazio 2-0 in the first match of the season of course  will try to repeat the same results later, but Milan's performance is much different now compared to the start of the season so it might give Lazio a chance to avenge this defeat.

The match against Lazio is very crucial for Milan after 3 consecutive matches they failed to win and maybe Milan will looking for revenge over lazio in today match,  Meanwhile for Lazio, achieving three points will absolutely be their target so they can get back into the top big four zone like last season, apart from that the match against Milan will certainly be a mental test for them before facing Bayern Munich in the Champions League later, Lazio and Milan are actually the same performance is less stable at the moment so it looks like both teams will end the match with a draw, even though maybe Lazio will be slightly favored when they play at home.

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March 01, 2024, 07:51:35 PM
 #70006

Lazio Milan this evening and it is a key game.
Both teams need to win to be comfortable in the top 4.

Lazio has a lot more to lose from this game, if they cannot win they will be probably out from the next champions league.
Lazio is only favored to play at home but that does not guarantee because we know AC Milan will try to win points so as not to be pursued by Bologna even though the difference in points is still quite far, it's just that so far Milan has not won points well twice but this time it must be possible.

While Lazio is still far away to pursue the top 4 of Serie A.
Not sure Lazio will qualify in the Champion League it is in doubt despite winning the aggregate but Bayern playing at home will be even more aggressive they can even qualify with the second leg but not Lazio.

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March 01, 2024, 07:54:29 PM
 #70007

Paul Pogba said on his X account that he is heartbroken to see everything he has built in his football career taken away. It is a pity that Paul Pogba's career will end in this way when he is supposed to enjoy his career by signing a big-money contract, maybe with any Saudi Arabia club or any club in Major League Soccer.
Of course, Paul Pogba feels hurt because he got a 4 years ban. If he will be banned 4 years, he can play again when he is 34 years old. 4 years is a long time, it may kill Pogba's career because he has no chance to play in any professional team during 4 years. I don't know what Pogba will do in the next 4 years. If he is not patient, he may leave football career and try to have a new career in another field.

Sure, it is very unfortunate to see his career now. Pogba ever becomes a superstar, he becomes a big player in Juventus. Sadly, Pogba made a serious mistake, so he got the punishment now. I sill can't believe why Pogba uses doping or illegal drugs. As far as I know he is a religious person. However, the result of the test is positive, it means he really did it. I juts hope Pogba gets a big lesson from this case. So he must change his life and never do it again when he returns to the football again in the next 4 years.

By the way, I assume he can't play in any league when he is banned for 4 years. No Saudi teams that want to sign a player who can't play for the next 4 years.



Read: https://www.goal.com/en/lists/paul-pogba-banned-four-years-juventus-midfielder-punished-doping-scandal/blt729c25135d5cdecf#cs17461ea83770898b


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March 01, 2024, 08:34:28 PM
 #70008

AC Milan's dominance over Lazio and analytics make them clear favorites. The fact that they've won roughly half their matches suggests a psychological advantage in this game. I dont ride past achievements' bandwagon. The unpredictable nature of football gives Lazio's home performance versus Milan hope for an upset or a hard-fought draw.
In this match, Milan probably may have more ball possession, as well as slightly dominating the match compared to Lazio. But, the difference is, Milan still made the same mistakes, as in the past, namely they were less sharp in their attacks. It is proven that Lazio is the one that actually has more attack statistics, and has even fired a shot on target which is quite dangerous for Milan, while Milan has not. So, the farming this time is quite realistic and balanced. Both of them are trying hard to get the full 3 points to maintain their position, especially Lazio where competition is very tight in their position.

Napoli 19:45 Juventus

Monday 4th March
Inter Milan 19:45 Genoa
This will be a highly anticipated match. It would be much more interesting if Napoli could win, but in reality, Napoli's performance was not that great this time. It's just that, I was a little doubtful when I saw the results of Napoli's last match which were truly fantastic. But if it is against a big team like Juventus, I think this will make it quite difficult for Napoli to be more relaxed. Both of them definitely need full points, but it will really depend on what they can spare.

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March 01, 2024, 08:51:47 PM
 #70009

Lazio Milan this evening and it is a key game.
Both teams need to win to be comfortable in the top 4.

Lazio has a lot more to lose from this game, if they cannot win they will be probably out from the next champions league.



I think this is a match that cannot be predicted correctly and seeing both teams very flat in the first half makes me think both teams will share the same points. It seems that both teams also want to play safe and avoid defeat as much as possible. If Milan wins outright they will be closer to Juventus and maybe Lazio will have to give up more for the champions league next season.
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March 01, 2024, 08:58:02 PM
 #70010

What happened to Napoli? have they risen from their ashes? Did they wake up from lethargy? Did the new coach give him a magical potion? Incredibly they are winning 1-6 against Sassuolo who unfortunately is not going through a good moment and fight not to retreat in Serie B

This is the first victory Napoli has had this season with a lot of goals. However, I think they are back to their winning ways like previous seasons. Since the start of the season, we were expecting that Napoli would play this way, winning all of their games against weak opponents. How is it possible that the team that won Seria A last season is struggling to win their matches? After the appointment of the new head coach, Napoli's performance has changed. When Sassuolo scored the first goal against Napoli match, I thought that Napoli would lose because that is how they are playing this season, but I was mistaken. Napoli made a strong comeback, scoring six goals.

Victor Osimhen has scored five goals in their three previous games, it is obvious that his absence during the Afcon games has had an effect on their games. Napoli's chances of finishing in the top four this season will be quite slim, it won't be a simple challenge. The next game for Napoli is against Juventus, and I don't think they can get any points there.

the change of coach at the beginning of the season played a fundamental role in the balance of the locker room, Rudy Garcia is a tough guy who tries to be the iron sergeant inside the locker room, quite the opposite of Spalletti. Then the forced arrival of Mazzarri honestly dealt the final blow, I hope that Calzona will be able to give enthusiasm to this group and maybe manage to get a place in the European competitions

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March 01, 2024, 09:07:16 PM
 #70011

I think this is a match that cannot be predicted correctly and seeing both teams very flat in the first half makes me think both teams will share the same points. It seems that both teams also want to play safe and avoid defeat as much as possible. If Milan wins outright they will be closer to Juventus and maybe Lazio will have to give up more for the champions league next season.
Giving up on the UEFA Champions League title was compulsory for mediocre teams. Points shared means accolades for Lazio. They have the ginger to hold their ground at home and we don't expect the visitors to easily snatch the winning results. Lazio are not having any impact or urge to win, instead they're fighting for draw tie and this is the particular a results Stefano Pioli wouldn't accept. The prediction will likely end up in 2-1 because AC Milan doesn't relent but giving their best because they have a task to climb to second position on the table.

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March 01, 2024, 09:10:40 PM
 #70012

Lazio has a lot more to lose from this game, if they cannot win they will be probably out from the next champions league.
One of the Lazio players have been sent off, and with Lazio now playing with just ten men, it gives a lot of advantage to AC Milan to win this game. There is still enough time in the game, and it is a long time for Lazio to try to hold on defensively. The Lazio coach has reacted well by making changes, maybe that will help them. AC Milan coach has also made changes too, to make sure that they make use of the advantage. Both coaches really do not want to lose this game, Lazio will be aiming at a draw game the least, but AC Milan will want to take all three points.
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March 01, 2024, 09:14:29 PM
 #70013


AC Milan's dominance over Lazio and analytics make them clear favorites. The fact that they've won roughly half their matches suggests a psychological advantage in this game. I dont ride past achievements' bandwagon. The unpredictable nature of football gives Lazio's home performance versus Milan hope for an upset or a hard-fought draw.

Predicting the outcome of matches between Lazio and AC Milan should be challenging due to their comparable performance levels. Over past seasons, both teams have demonstrated strong records against each other, adding to the uncertainty. In today's match, it's difficult to foresee a clear winner as luck may play a significant role. Historically, home advantage tends to favor the hosting team, implying Lazio may have a slight edge or the possibility of a draw. Considering these factors, it's reasonable to speculate that Lazio could emerge as the favorite, but the unpredictability of football means any outcome is possible.
Napoli 19:45 Juventus

Monday 4th March
Inter Milan 19:45 Genoa

Recently, Juventus has experienced a decline in their performance on the pitch. It's hard to predict if they will seize an opportunity to triumph over Napoli, as their recent form hasn't been stellar. Similarly, while Napoli hasn't consistently showcased top-tier form, it's uncertain if they have what it takes to defeat Juventus, especially considering Juventus' struggles earlier in the season. However, if pressed to pick a favorite, I would lean towards Juventus clinching the victory despite their current slump.

Turning to the match between Inter Milan and Genoa, Inter Milan holds the advantage, primarily because it's their home game. Additionally, Inter Milan is currently enjoying a period of excellent form, increasing their likelihood of securing a win. Therefore, it's reasonable to expect Inter Milan to emerge victorious and secure three valuable points in their quest for success.

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March 01, 2024, 09:16:23 PM
 #70014

Pallegrini received a red card in the 57th minute. However, until now in the 71th minute, Milan has not been able to take advantage of this moment properly. With conditions 10 vs 11, Milan would have been far superior, but still, Milan still encountered various obstacles from Lazio, which in fact was still quite strong against Milan. Or is Milan really playing really badly?

Even Milan can only shoot twice on target, isn't that unsatisfactory given the match conditions which are actually not quite even? This will probably end the series if it continues like this.

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March 01, 2024, 09:18:36 PM
 #70015

Lazio Milan this evening and it is a key game.
Both teams need to win to be comfortable in the top 4.

Lazio has a lot more to lose from this game, if they cannot win they will be probably out from the next champions league.



It's still too early to say that if Lazio doesn't win this evening they might not participate in the next Champions League, there are still 11 matches to play and I would say that from fourth place to ninth place there are only 8 points difference, so they are a little 'all at risk of exclusion from European cups

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March 01, 2024, 09:19:19 PM
 #70016

~Snip
One of the Lazio players have been sent off, and with Lazio now playing with just ten men, it gives a lot of advantage to AC Milan to win this game. There is still enough time in the game, and it is a long time for Lazio to try to hold on defensively. The Lazio coach has reacted well by making changes, maybe that will help them. AC Milan coach has also made changes too, to make sure that they make use of the advantage. Both coaches really do not want to lose this game, Lazio will be aiming at a draw game the least, but AC Milan will want to take all three points.
Lazio was forced to play with 10 players from the 57th minute, so maybe Milan will maximize their numerical advantage to win this match. So far Lazio has not conceded even though they have lost one player, but if Milan appears more aggressive and puts Lazio under pressure, goals will soon be scored.

If Lazio loses this match then perhaps the players' performance will not be too good to face Bayern Munich in the second leg of the Champions League. Players' motivation will be very good if they win the game or manage to avoid defeat, but I think it's always difficult to survive without conceding when only playing with 10 players. Milan will maximize their advantage, but Lazio's defense is still quite good until the 75th minute.

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March 01, 2024, 09:20:28 PM
 #70017

I think an opportunity for AC Milan to win the game is here as Lazio is down by a man in the 57th minutes of the game which avails AC Milan enough time before the end of the game to be able to win the game if only they could perform well enough to win tonight's game because they have the opportunity to, AC Milan isn't a weak side and this season they have been showing some inconsistency actually but in a game like this I don't expect they will let this opportunity slide by them, I expected good utilization of it to their advantage as if they are able to secure three points by the end of the game tonight, they can be sure to be at the third position with 57 points which will mean for them that they are going to definitely be at the champions league next season without any doubts because they will be having a very firm spot at the third position on the table.

Lazio currently at the eight position with 41 point will not be able to get a champions league ticket even with a win in this game and neither will a draw help aswell but AC Milan will be at advantage either it ends in a draw or in their favor winning the game. And it's looking like AC Milan will soon be in the race to the top as they will be only 13 points away if they win tho nits much but can be achieved.

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March 01, 2024, 09:23:39 PM
 #70018

I think that Inter's 12 point advantage makes it pointless to pay attention to any other statistics (however, Inter is the best in absolutely everything - they scored the most goals and conceded the fewest). It seems to me that the only intrigue left at the top is who will take fourth place (who will take 2-3 place is not interesting since it is the same result). Apparently it will be either Bologna or Atalanta, in extreme cases Roma, all the others are too far away.
Inter Milan does not need to be talked about anymore, they are a strong club and difficult to beat with the acquisition of many goals making this team will remain strong, I see how Inter Milan's game is now more slick.

Now this is an interesting positioning to qualify for the Champion League, will Bologna survive? Their hunch is still not safe anything behind Atalanta and Roma can shift it but this will be the struggle for champions league tickets will be even more fierce and Bologna could be worthy. Cheesy

Napoli? That's already behind after the departure of their coach.

Napoli has no chance. There are 12 rounds until the end of the championship and Napoli is 8 points behind 4th place. In itself, such a lag is already a death sentence, but there are still a whole bunch of teams that are below 4th place but above Napoli. The likelihood that they will all suddenly start to play worse in the remaining games is negligible. The probability that Napoli will be in the top 4 is approximately equal to the probability that they will win all their remaining games. This is approximately 1 in 300.

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March 01, 2024, 09:40:52 PM
 #70019

Lazio Milan this evening and it is a key game.
Both teams need to win to be comfortable in the top 4.

Lazio has a lot more to lose from this game, if they cannot win they will be probably out from the next champions league.
Lazio is only favored to play at home but that does not guarantee because we know AC Milan will try to win points so as not to be pursued by Bologna even though the difference in points is still quite far, it's just that so far Milan has not won points well twice but this time it must be possible.

While Lazio is still far away to pursue the top 4 of Serie A.
Not sure Lazio will qualify in the Champion League it is in doubt despite winning the aggregate but Bayern playing at home will be even more aggressive they can even qualify with the second leg but not Lazio.

Now these two teams may be playing a draw, the match has been going on for 90 minutes but there are no goals and AC Milan as the away team is certainly a little safer because they get one point, Lazio played with 10 players from the 57th minute, AC Milan should have taken advantage from there. By the way, AC Milan's game has not been very good recently because they only won 2 times in the last 5 matches, the same thing with Juventus who always miss points from the last few matches.

Edit: Wow AC Milan just scored a goal in the 90+4 minute meaning they will collect 3 points and getting closer to Juventus, will AC Milan and Juventus compete for the runner up position?

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March 01, 2024, 09:42:06 PM
 #70020

~Snip
One of the Lazio players have been sent off, and with Lazio now playing with just ten men, it gives a lot of advantage to AC Milan to win this game. There is still enough time in the game, and it is a long time for Lazio to try to hold on defensively. The Lazio coach has reacted well by making changes, maybe that will help them. AC Milan coach has also made changes too, to make sure that they make use of the advantage. Both coaches really do not want to lose this game, Lazio will be aiming at a draw game the least, but AC Milan will want to take all three points.
Lazio was forced to play with 10 players from the 57th minute, so maybe Milan will maximize their numerical advantage to win this match. So far Lazio has not conceded even though they have lost one player, but if Milan appears more aggressive and puts Lazio under pressure, goals will soon be scored.
It becomes one of the substitutes for AC Milan who scores the goal finally for Milan to give them the three points. One of AC Milan's players by name Rafael Leão scored a goal just after the red card was shown to one of the Lazio's players, but the goal was cancelled for offside. It gave Lazio some believe that they could win, they tried to create some chances, but it was AC Milan who found the net at the end.  Lazio's goalkeeper Ivan Provedel tried his best, he made some good saves in the game. Lazio the home team finish the game with eight men, after two other players picked up red.
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