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Author Topic: Germany League - Bundesliga Prediction Thread  (Read 746688 times)
mv1986
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January 25, 2026, 07:05:53 PM
 #75041

~

Insane odds, I wasn't even sure if I should take them
- double chance 5.25
- draw no bet 10.75

This is like free money, I lost $60 till now in 3 rounds and got $150 on this shit...
I almost felt like putting just $5 each, so I don't lose too much on a game I actually not even bothered to check while it was being played!


Ok draw no bet is the insurance, but what were the odds for a straight win? I bet it was around 15+, maybe 17.00.

Well that is a good cut then so far, but I know the feeling when in hindsight you already had the finger on the button, but then decided against it because you would feel like an idiot, thinking Augsburg could beat Bayern Cheesy

You mean HSV - Bayern 4+ goals or which game are you referring to? HSV has the second worst offence and they score slightly less than one goal on average. They are crazy bad!

.
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January 25, 2026, 07:17:05 PM
 #75042

Ok draw no bet is the insurance, but what were the odds for a straight win? I bet it was around 15+, maybe 17.00.

15x on betfair where I took it, it had up to 18x on some others but betting straight against Bayern feels stupid even down to my level of crazy betting.

You mean HSV - Bayern 4+ goals or which game are you referring to? HSV has the second worst offence and they score slightly less than one goal on average. They are crazy bad!

Well, I'm not betting on goals because of Hamburg, I'm betting more on Bayern feeling like this was such an embarrassing thing that they want to make up for it and trash the next one no matter which team it is.
They play against Eindhoven and they have absolutely nothing to gain there, they sit 3 points behind Arsenal and 3 above Real and Liverpool, so...I would guess they would not take that one too seriously but come back and demolish the next team in Bundesliga to reaffirm it's a done deal.

So, I'm not taking any form or gameplay into account but more strategic thinking.

.
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January 25, 2026, 07:38:58 PM
 #75043

Ok draw no bet is the insurance, but what were the odds for a straight win? I bet it was around 15+, maybe 17.00.

15x on betfair where I took it, it had up to 18x on some others but betting straight against Bayern feels stupid even down to my level of crazy betting.

You mean HSV - Bayern 4+ goals or which game are you referring to? HSV has the second worst offence and they score slightly less than one goal on average. They are crazy bad!

Well, I'm not betting on goals because of Hamburg, I'm betting more on Bayern feeling like this was such an embarrassing thing that they want to make up for it and trash the next one no matter which team it is.
They play against Eindhoven and they have absolutely nothing to gain there, they sit 3 points behind Arsenal and 3 above Real and Liverpool, so...I would guess they would not take that one too seriously but come back and demolish the next team in Bundesliga to reaffirm it's a done deal.

So, I'm not taking any form or gameplay into account but more strategic thinking.


Ah ok so you went with $10 each. Couldn't find how you put on those odds, but this is probably the only way it makes sense if you took home $150.

I think there could be a few things to consider now: I don't know for how long you have been following the Bundesliga, but when Bayern had these crazy runs, they were often unstoppable. However, as soon as they lost a game, you could literally feel they became more nervous once they conceded goals in games. That is at least my perception. Once this invincibility was broken, their opponents weren't as afraid anymore.

Second thing is - I know it is eight points between them and Dortmund - but if they lose one more game and or maybe tie two games, Dortmund is soon playing against them in the Signal Iduna Park. While I have n doubt they will win the Bundesliga eventually, another loss could be a little bit of a turn of events because they are finally in reach again for Dortmund. Bayern is still up against a couple of good teams and on a lucky day, teams like Stuttgart or Hoffenheim can steal points when in fact Augsburg can do it.

I kind of hope this is going to happen because the Bundesliga is boring like hell. But the real improbability is not about Bayern losing one more, but Dortmund winning ten in a row., including the one against Bayern (end of February).

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January 25, 2026, 07:55:18 PM
 #75044

I will allow Bayern Munic to play more matches so I know they have come back to their great form before I resume adding them to my parlays.

This season Bayern has already ruined my parlay three times, and the most irritating thing is that all three times they dropped points against opponents I thought they would beat without much difficulty. The fact that they have a terrible defense that concedes goals quite frequently makes betting on them increasingly dangerous because bookmakers offer very low odds on most Bayern games, something like @1.10, and for them to draw or lose is ridiculous.

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January 25, 2026, 08:48:22 PM
 #75045

Football is full of surprises,bayern munich defeat was a big shock, anyway It's usually happens and it has happen to almost all the big teams. It almost seems like a fixed match given that Bayern Munich dominated the match and were winning,yet Augsburg manage to win. Bayern Munich consistency has made us believe they can't lose any match and I lost my bet because I believe that too. It was a narrow victory for Augsburg and the first defeat for Bayern Munich this season.
Yeah, and against a team like Augsburg was definitely not calculated by anyone, a lot of people lost a lot of money I am sure of it. I would expect them to lose to bigger teams, while they are still better than teams like Dortmund or Leipzig or whatever, they are at least closer, like nearer to the top.

Augsburg wasn't like that, and considering how Bayern Munich managed to not only win games, but also score a bunch of goals each game while winning, it was a shocker that they lost this game and scored only one goal.

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January 25, 2026, 08:57:02 PM
 #75046

Football is full of surprises,bayern munich defeat was a big shock, anyway It's usually happens and it has happen to almost all the big teams. It almost seems like a fixed match given that Bayern Munich dominated the match and were winning,yet Augsburg manage to win. Bayern Munich consistency has made us believe they can't lose any match and I lost my bet because I believe that too. It was a narrow victory for Augsburg and the first defeat for Bayern Munich this season.

Many people lost their bet because everyone never believed that Bayern Munich will fail to win the match and against the team they were playing, I don’t think they can have an edge against Bayern Munich even when in their worst form. The loss was a shock to even Bayern Munich because they’ll never have imagined to get their first loss of the season to a team like Augsburg, more or less to have conceded not more than one goal in the match. Everyone can take defeat from football and this is not leaving any team behind, so Bayern Munich should also feel the taste of defeat.











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January 25, 2026, 09:26:10 PM
 #75047

I will allow Bayern Munic to play more matches so I know they have come back to their great form before I resume adding them to my parlays.

This season Bayern has already ruined my parlay three times, and the most irritating thing is that all three times they dropped points against opponents I thought they would beat without much difficulty. The fact that they have a terrible defense that concedes goals quite frequently makes betting on them increasingly dangerous because bookmakers offer very low odds on most Bayern games, something like @1.10, and for them to draw or lose is ridiculous.

Bayern Munich are something else this time around, and even if you are to bet, I will advise you not to get into them, because they might disappoint you and still make you lose your money. With the performance we witnessed yesterday, I don’t think Bayern Munich will make us happy, although I know the trophy is still theirs. Steady winning games will not be assured. Although this is their first loss, and no one is perfect, let’s see how the season goes on. There is still time.

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January 25, 2026, 10:01:19 PM
 #75048


This season Bayern has already ruined my parlay three times, and the most irritating thing is that all three times they dropped points against opponents I thought they would beat without much difficulty. The fact that they have a terrible defense that concedes goals quite frequently makes betting on them increasingly dangerous because bookmakers offer very low odds on most Bayern games, something like @1.10, and for them to draw or lose is ridiculous.

The fact is that there are no strong teams that can't lose, that's football. Of course I feel your disappointment, especially that your parlay bet was ruined by a team that 99% can say will win, but also if you calculate mathematically, if you only bet on Bayern throughout this season it is still profitable, because out of 19 matches they only disappointed 3 matches, the others were successful with victory. I personally consider their defeat for me to be more careful, because this means that there will be similar results next time.

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January 25, 2026, 10:21:53 PM
 #75049


This season Bayern has already ruined my parlay three times, and the most irritating thing is that all three times they dropped points against opponents I thought they would beat without much difficulty. The fact that they have a terrible defense that concedes goals quite frequently makes betting on them increasingly dangerous because bookmakers offer very low odds on most Bayern games, something like @1.10, and for them to draw or lose is ridiculous.

The fact is that there are no strong teams that can't lose, that's football. Of course I feel your disappointment, especially that your parlay bet was ruined by a team that 99% can say will win, but also if you calculate mathematically, if you only bet on Bayern throughout this season it is still profitable, because out of 19 matches they only disappointed 3 matches, the others were successful with victory. I personally consider their defeat for me to be more careful, because this means that there will be similar results next time.
It's true that surprises can happen at any time, and in the end, we saw Bayern Munich suffer a defeat after maintaining that record for half a season. Naturally, many were disappointed with the result, especially since they lost to a mediocre team, not the likes of Dortmund or Leverkusen.
On the other hand, betting on Bayern Munich going forward is still a sound choice, as it will still yield profits for bettors, especially if they bet consistently.

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January 25, 2026, 10:44:46 PM
 #75050


Bayern Munich are something else this time around, and even if you are to bet, I will advise you not to get into them, because they might disappoint you and still make you lose your money. With the performance we witnessed yesterday, I don’t think Bayern Munich will make us happy, although I know the trophy is still theirs. Steady winning games will not be assured. Although this is their first loss, and no one is perfect, let’s see how the season goes on. There is still time.
Even as they can actually disappoint, they actually can get to win the trophy this season, they have e really been diligent with their chase and one thing I'd sure, winning the title does not mean that you will not have bad days throughout the season but then it does not stop them from winning the title as they have the capacity. So far as the Bundesliga is concerned, I believe they are not going to suffer too many losses before the end of the season. So you can actually trust them to an extent but you may see some draw and not always wins.

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January 25, 2026, 11:21:23 PM
 #75051

Football is full of surprises,bayern munich defeat was a big shock, anyway It's usually happens and it has happen to almost all the big teams. It almost seems like a fixed match given that Bayern Munich dominated the match and were winning,yet Augsburg manage to win. Bayern Munich consistency has made us believe they can't lose any match and I lost my bet because I believe that too. It was a narrow victory for Augsburg and the first defeat for Bayern Munich this season.

Many people lost their bet because everyone never believed that Bayern Munich will fail to win the match and against the team they were playing, I don’t think they can have an edge against Bayern Munich even when in their worst form. The loss was a shock to even Bayern Munich because they’ll never have imagined to get their first loss of the season to a team like Augsburg, more or less to have conceded not more than one goal in the match. Everyone can take defeat from football and this is not leaving any team behind, so Bayern Munich should also feel the taste of defeat.

Bayern Munich players already looked tired in their champions League game I think that was why they couldn't score more two goals before the end of the game and coming to the league match against Augsburg the only people who survived that game are those who played them on goals or both teams to score those who expected Bayern to deliver as usual was disappointed because they lost to a team that is not doing well this season and they lost at home. It was there first league defeat this season it will remind them of the need to be careful when when they have everything under control.

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January 26, 2026, 04:50:19 AM
 #75052

I thought Bayern Munich wouldn't lose a match this year, but I was very surprised by this shocking defeat this week. Bayern Munich lost at home to one of the weaker teams in the league. This has caused a huge shock within the team itself. Many bettors lost many of their bets because of this match, as it was considered an almost certain outcome and was included in many betting slips. Now, Bayer Leverkusen's record of finishing a season undefeated continues.
Maybe Bayern Munich underrated FC Augsburg in the first half. The host created a few opportunities that would have made them take the game above the reach of the visitors. But they wasted these chances, which made them pay the price of losing three points. They couldn't replicate the feat of Bayern Leverkusen under Xabi Alonso. Its all good, they are still eight points ahead. 
I think the day Bayern Munich played against Augsburg wasn't their day; that's just the reason why Bayern Munich couldn't even beat a weak team like Augsburg on their home soil even when they dominated the game. I don't think Vincent Kompany was attempting to finish the season unbeaten to equal Xabi Alonso's record. Vincent Kompany was just making sure to always take 3 points in any match Bayern Munich plays in the Bundesliga so that no team will challenge Bayern Munich for the Bundesliga title, but unfortunately he failed to secure the 3 points against Augsburg.

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January 26, 2026, 06:21:09 AM
 #75053

Many people lost their bet because everyone never believed that Bayern Munich will fail to win the match and against the team they were playing, I don’t think they can have an edge against Bayern Munich even when in their worst form. The loss was a shock to even Bayern Munich because they’ll never have imagined to get their first loss of the season to a team like Augsburg, more or less to have conceded not more than one goal in the match. Everyone can take defeat from football and this is not leaving any team behind, so Bayern Munich should also feel the taste of defeat.
Absolutely, many people loss their bet by placing to Bayern Munich against Augsburg last match exactly playing at home make many people blame opportunity of Augsburg to beat Bayern. Loss from not favorite team very shock for Bayern Munich having consistent performance last several matches and unbeaten in Bundesliga finally have loss three points from the lower teams standings.

Bayern Munich's upcoming match against Hamburger SV the teams not winning last 5 matches in a row at Bundesliga and I think Bayern not difficult back to winning performance by getting three points at Volkspark stadium. Before facing Hamburger SV in Bundesliga match next week, Bayern Munich will play last match round in Champion League against PSV, will both match success winning by Bayern after getting first loss in domestic league?


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MinMan
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January 26, 2026, 08:50:00 AM
 #75054

It's true that surprises can happen at any time, and in the end, we saw Bayern Munich suffer a defeat after maintaining that record for half a season. Naturally, many were disappointed with the result, especially since they lost to a mediocre team, not the likes of Dortmund or Leverkusen.
On the other hand, betting on Bayern Munich going forward is still a sound choice, as it will still yield profits for bettors, especially if they bet consistently.
In domestic league, defeats like these are common because now any team can give surprise on their day with things are going pretty hard for big teams which are having busy schedule while their players are also facing problems of sliding down in their performance due to this.

Bundesliga is having long break but Bayern Munich players were still looking tired in last few games, this could be the problem for them because now their important time already begun, and they need to be stayed on their best for knockout stage, their performance will always key for their success and if they fail to keep momentum, their chances of keeping themselves preparing for trophies may face consequences.

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January 26, 2026, 08:55:13 AM
 #75055

Even as they can actually disappoint, they actually can get to win the trophy this season, they have e really been diligent with their chase and one thing I'd sure, winning the title does not mean that you will not have bad days throughout the season but then it does not stop them from winning the title as they have the capacity. So far as the Bundesliga is concerned, I believe they are not going to suffer too many losses before the end of the season. So you can actually trust them to an extent but you may see some draw and not always wins.
This season, Bayern Munich is still a team worthy of being relied upon as the team to win the Bundesliga title, as they still have a significant points gap over their current rivals. So, even though there's a possibility of a draw or a loss in some upcoming matches, Munich still deserves to be considered the best team in the Bundesliga this season, as rivals like Dortmund won't be able to surpass their capabilities this season, even though Dortmund is only eight points behind them in the Bundesliga standings.

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IceLincoln
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January 26, 2026, 09:22:54 AM
 #75056

It a great surprise to me too. This now look like a fixed game. Imagine Bayern win first half and later lose to Augsburg at full time. This is a pure 1/2 which comes with a very good odd. Most fixed games are often like this. Although I'm not saying the game is fixed but no one expect such from a big team like bayern even at home.
Football is full of surprises,bayern munich defeat was a big shock, anyway It's usually happens and it has happen to almost all the big teams. It almost seems like a fixed match given that Bayern Munich dominated the match and were winning,yet Augsburg manage to win. Bayern Munich consistency has made us believe they can't lose any match and I lost my bet because I believe that too. It was a narrow victory for Augsburg and the first defeat for Bayern Munich this season.
Shocking Surprises that may make you wonder if it was fixed or sold but it isn’t. I loved seeing Bayern lose a little despite losing some dollars. It makes them look normal and not some robots dominating German football. This lose will give some other teams going to face Bayern right now know theyre beatable in the league…. “If Augsburg can do it then we can”….. even if some might not actually prevail some may.
Sorry to all bettors around the world, Bayern will be back soon! Book them next game

 
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January 26, 2026, 10:09:34 AM
 #75057

It's true that surprises can happen at any time, and in the end, we saw Bayern Munich suffer a defeat after maintaining that record for half a season. Naturally, many were disappointed with the result, especially since they lost to a mediocre team, not the likes of Dortmund or Leverkusen.
On the other hand, betting on Bayern Munich going forward is still a sound choice, as it will still yield profits for bettors, especially if they bet consistently.

Munich suffered their first defeat of the season. We all thought Munich would finish the season undefeated. But it didn't happen. Munich lost 2-1 at home.

Many gamblers have lost money. Munich were naturally favorites in the home match. Had it been an away match, perhaps we would have been more cautious to bet on Munich's win. But Munich could not win the home match. It's sad.

But there's no denying that Augsburg's players performed superbly. They definitely deserve to win this match. They won by performing well. Munich's players attacked a lot. Even then they managed to score only one goal. Augsburg's attack as well as their defenders played very well.

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January 26, 2026, 11:09:13 AM
 #75058

Bayern Munich players already looked tired in their champions League game I think that was why they couldn't score more two goals before the end of the game and coming to the league match against Augsburg the only people who survived that game are those who played them on goals or both teams to score those who expected Bayern to deliver as usual was disappointed because they lost to a team that is not doing well this season and they lost at home. It was there first league defeat this season it will remind them of the need to be careful when when they have everything under control.

in my opinion I think it's easy to have a lot of stress having all these commitments to face, these players are really doing a lot of difficult things and one of these is to play a league that is squeezing them and in my opinion they can't continue like this for long, I see it very hard

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January 26, 2026, 11:17:38 AM
 #75059

Insane odds, I wasn't even sure if I should take them
- double chance 5.25
- draw no bet 10.75

This is like free money, I lost $60 till now in 3 rounds and got $150 on this shit...
I almost felt like putting just $5 each, so I don't lose too much on a game I actually not even bothered to check while it was being played!

You started betting against Bayern 4 rounds ago, did I understand correctly? This probably makes sense, as their incredible streak has dragged on for too long and is affecting their motivation in a negative way (the championship has already been won).

I watched the highlights but those are biased most of the time, I do need to find time and watch the game selection that spans like 20 minutes and watch what was really going down there, but it's clear Bayern messed it up anyhow.
I feel like going +4 goals next match, 3.75 is at 2x.

Are you referring to the game against PSV or Hamburg? Both are away games, so I wouldn't bet on them trying too hard even after the defeat.
Odds of Kane scoring against Hamburg is estimated at 1.44. Looks attractive.

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January 26, 2026, 11:36:37 AM
 #75060


This season, Bayern Munich is still a team worthy of being relied upon as the team to win the Bundesliga title, as they still have a significant points gap over their current rivals. So, even though there's a possibility of a draw or a loss in some upcoming matches, Munich still deserves to be considered the best team in the Bundesliga this season, as rivals like Dortmund won't be able to surpass their capabilities this season, even though Dortmund is only eight points behind them in the Bundesliga standings.
They understand that right now they are dominating the Bundesliga so much that no team will be able to catch up with them in the near future. That’s why as makes sense, Kompany is giving some players a rest, because there are still many very important matches ahead, and in the Bundesliga they have a comfortable cushion over their closest rivals. I didn’t expect them to lose to Augsburg in this round, but the first defeat had to happen sooner or later.

R


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