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Author Topic: Germany League - Bundesliga Prediction Thread  (Read 756747 times)
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March 15, 2026, 11:22:45 PM
 #76661

Bayern Munich drew and Dortmund won. Now the gap is 9 points. Is that enough to make us excited about the title competition?

I assume no, not at all!  Tongue  8 weeks to go... Dortmund already missed that train when they lost to Bayern Munich home recently.

Nine points isn't a huge difference. This season Bayern has already dropped points (draws and even a loss) against very weak opponents, so it wouldn't be impossible for that to happen again. If we were talking about an 18-point gap, then I wouldn't have a problem saying Bayern are champions. But nine points isn't a sure thing, especially when you see in other leagues where good teams had a nine-point lead in the final rounds and still didn't become champions. I know the Bundesliga is dominated by Bayern, but the fact that Bayern drops points against weak opponents is a big problem.

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March 15, 2026, 11:35:29 PM
 #76662

The Bayerm Munich game was quite an extraordinary game, though i did expect a comeback but nevertheless they earned a point regardless. Bayern Leverkuseen had a really good game going on too, as they controlled possession on the pitch and maintained coordination on the ball. Bayern continues their unbeaten run with a 1-1 draw.

Based on my personal opinion Bayer Leverkusen was not good in the game because they should have won the game since Bayern Munich played with 10 men right firm the first half but instead of them getting another girl they allowed Bayern Munich to come back in the game which was not supposed to happen cause if they had been in that condition Bayern Munich would have scored more than 2 goals and the result would have been a different thing. Bayern Munich tried to control the game despite till the end they recorded another red card in the last minute but they didn't lose so it's a good result for them.
Bayer Leverkusen didn't win Bayern Munich despite the red card Bayern Munich received in the first half because Bayern Munich is far better than Bayer Leverkusen, and it was the red card that even helped Bayer Leverkusen draw 1-1 with Bayern Munich, and totally agreed with you that if it was Bayern Munich that was given the red card, Bayern Munich would have beat Bayer Leverkusen easily because Bayern Munich have a better team than Bayer Leverkusen.
Bayer Leverkusen are showing signs of great improvement. They played out a 1:1 draw with Arsenal who are in an excellent form in the Champions League and now 1:1 draw with Bayern Munich. A draw against two of the most inform teams at the moment is no small feat. Even with 10 men Bayern is still a force, if not that Bayer Leverkusen has improved in their gameplay Bayern would have easily won the match.
The second leg of their UCL with Arsenal is going to be really exciting and thrilling.

 
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March 15, 2026, 11:51:05 PM
 #76663

If they feel they're not comfortable they may file and an appeal, but at least they should know that nothing can be done in that regard again, it is just to prevent this mistakes in the future. Honestly I feel so bad for Bayern Munich and that was the advantage for Leverkusen in dividing the points. Two red cards in one match, even though Bayern Munich are in their best performance I think they will find it easy when it comes to a game like this. I was so impressed with how Bayern Munich fight very well to draw the match, yesterday wasn't easy for them but finally they succeeded in avoiding defeat.

Bayern Munich showed they're a top tier team as they managed to hold Bayer Leverkusen to a draw despite having received 2 red cards in the game(one coming late in the game). I can imagine how Hofmann must have been initally thrilled, along with supporters to have scored a late goal to give his side the win in that game only to have the goal disallowed in the end.
The game was quite intense with quite a number of fouls from both sides as they eagerly wanted the win. Bayern Munich in particular persevered and despite the early goal scored by Bayer Leverkusen, pushed on and scored a goal in the second half that helped them ultimately end the game with a draw and leaving with a point.

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March 16, 2026, 05:05:54 AM
 #76664

I noticed something about leipzig and stuttgart this season, previously they used to be two very ambitious and competitive teams, I mean as at last season and behind, but this season they have been really inconsistent but gradually they have been able to still maintain the 4th and 5th position on the table for a good length of time, I do not know if to say they are actually not really inconsistent but somehow not as patterned this season as they were previously

Except for Bayern Munich, every team in the Bundesliga has been inconsistent. Not just Stuttgart and Leipzig. But Leipzig's performance was quite strong a few days ago. But now their performance is inconsistent and weak. And the team is in fifth place in the points table. They will probably not be able to qualify for the champions league. Stuttgart is also 3 points behind Leipzig. Leipzig and leverkusen will probably try to occupy the fourth place in the table until the end of the  season. Even if no team is fighting for the Bundesliga title, the fight for the fourth place in the table will be quite intense.

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March 16, 2026, 06:19:41 AM
 #76665

Bayern Munich showed they're a top tier team as they managed to hold Bayer Leverkusen to a draw despite having received 2 red cards in the game(one coming late in the game). I can imagine how Hofmann must have been initally thrilled, along with supporters to have scored a late goal to give his side the win in that game only to have the goal disallowed in the end.
The game was quite intense with quite a number of fouls from both sides as they eagerly wanted the win. Bayern Munich in particular persevered and despite the early goal scored by Bayer Leverkusen, pushed on and scored a goal in the second half that helped them ultimately end the game with a draw and leaving with a point.
It's really hard to beat Bayern Munich in Bundesliga in direct match and in a title competition during a long season. In this match, Leverkusen failed, and in this season, Dortmund again very possibly fail to take a trophy and again they will finish Bundesliga season with a second position. In the last decade, it's like a pain for Dortmund to chase Bayern Munich in many seasons but have never won Bundesliga title.

Except for Bayern Munich, every team in the Bundesliga has been inconsistent. Not just Stuttgart and Leipzig. But Leipzig's performance was quite strong a few days ago. But now their performance is inconsistent and weak. And the team is in fifth place in the points table. They will probably not be able to qualify for the champions league. Stuttgart is also 3 points behind Leipzig. Leipzig and leverkusen will probably try to occupy the fourth place in the table until the end of the  season. Even if no team is fighting for the Bundesliga title, the fight for the fourth place in the table will be quite intense.
Bayern Munich mostly win Bundesliga title very early already while Dortmund already get a very solid second position and it's really small chance of losing a position in top four with Dortmund. There are competitions among some clubs for two other positions in top four, from Hoffeinhem, Stuttgart, Leipzig and Leverkusen with biggest disadvantage belongs to Leverkusen as they have less points, and have 5 points less than Hoffeinhem and Stuttgart. With only 8 matches left till the season ending, Leverkusen will need to get almost perfect results in remaining matches while need to be supported by bad results of Hoffeinhem, Stuttgart and Leipzig.

R


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March 16, 2026, 10:06:53 AM
 #76666

Bayern Munich drew and Dortmund won. Now the gap is 9 points. Is that enough to make us excited about the title competition?

I assume no, not at all!  Tongue  8 weeks to go... Dortmund already missed that train when they lost to Bayern Munich home recently.

Nine points isn't a huge difference. This season Bayern has already dropped points (draws and even a loss) against very weak opponents, so it wouldn't be impossible for that to happen again. If we were talking about an 18-point gap, then I wouldn't have a problem saying Bayern are champions. But nine points isn't a sure thing, especially when you see in other leagues where good teams had a nine-point lead in the final rounds and still didn't become champions. I know the Bundesliga is dominated by Bayern, but the fact that Bayern drops points against weak opponents is a big problem.
There are teams that will be topping their league by nine points difference, I would agree with you that nine points isn't a huge difference or gap, but for Bayern Munich to top Borussia Dortmund by nine points difference, that is a huge difference if you ask me because it's remaining eight matches for the 2025/2026 season to end, and from the look of this I don't see Bayern Munich dropping points that will allow Borussia Dortmund to overtake them at the top of the German Bundesliga table and win the title.

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March 16, 2026, 10:35:38 AM
 #76667

There are teams that will be topping their league by nine points difference, I would agree with you that nine points isn't a huge difference or gap, but for Bayern Munich to top Borussia Dortmund by nine points difference, that is a huge difference if you ask me because it's remaining eight matches for the 2025/2026 season to end, and from the look of this I don't see Bayern Munich dropping points that will allow Borussia Dortmund to overtake them at the top of the German Bundesliga table and win the title.

I think it depends on the league and the contending teams as well. For example, Arsenal is topping the Premier League table with nine points and with nine or eight games to go but they're still not sure whether they will win the league because they have a strong opponent (Manchester City) contending with them. If we have similar scenario in the Spanish Laliga, let say between Barcelona and Real Madrid, we would still find it difficult to predict how the outcome will look like. But here in the Bundesliga, Borussia Dortmund who's second on the table don't seem strong enough to go head to head with Bayern Munich so we can say the nine points difference is a huge gap and there's 95% chance bayern will win the league.

 
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March 16, 2026, 10:45:19 AM
 #76668


There are teams that will be topping their league by nine points difference, I would agree with you that nine points isn't a huge difference or gap, but for Bayern Munich to top Borussia Dortmund by nine points difference, that is a huge difference if you ask me because it's remaining eight matches for the 2025/2026 season to end, and from the look of this I don't see Bayern Munich dropping points that will allow Borussia Dortmund to overtake them at the top of the German Bundesliga table and win the title.

9 points ahead with 8 matches remaining, let's take a look at the opponents in those eight matches.

Berlin.
Freiburg.
St. Pauli.
Stuttgart.
Mainz.
Heidenheim.
Wolfsbrug.
Koln.

Bayern toughest opponent is only Stuttgart, and even then, Bayern won by a landslide in the first meeting, I think the title talk is over because it's already very clear who the winner is. The only interesting thing about the Bundesliga now is the battle for the top four and the relegation zone.

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March 16, 2026, 11:09:28 AM
 #76669

I noticed something about leipzig and stuttgart this season, previously they used to be two very ambitious and competitive teams, I mean as at last season and behind, but this season they have been really inconsistent but gradually they have been able to still maintain the 4th and 5th position on the table for a good length of time, I do not know if to say they are actually not really inconsistent but somehow not as patterned this season as they were previously

Except for Bayern Munich, every team in the Bundesliga has been inconsistent. Not just Stuttgart and Leipzig. But Leipzig's performance was quite strong a few days ago. But now their performance is inconsistent and weak. And the team is in fifth place in the points table. They will probably not be able to qualify for the champions league. Stuttgart is also 3 points behind Leipzig. Leipzig and leverkusen will probably try to occupy the fourth place in the table until the end of the  season. Even if no team is fighting for the Bundesliga title, the fight for the fourth place in the table will be quite intense.

This is the true fact!! Honestly speaking aside from Bayern Munich, almost all teams in the Bundesliga have just been quite inconsistent this season. Leipzig and Stuttgart are good teams, but their performances keep going up and down. As of right now the real battle is for the fourth position because that Champions League spot is very important. Leipzig, Stuttgart and maybe Leverkusen will keep fighting for that place until the end of the season. It will definitely be an interesting race to watch

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March 16, 2026, 11:22:53 AM
 #76670


This is where the question of the difference in quality between the two teams arises. After Bayern Munich received a red card, Leverkusen could not take any chances, they could not score any more goals. The goal in the first 6 minutes was the only goal from their side. But Bayern Munich was not ready to lose even after receiving a red card, they did not forget to attack even after losing Nicholas Jackson in the 42nd minute, they were able to equalize the match by scoring the first goal in the 69th minute. When Bayern Munich became a team of 9 men in the 84th minute of the match, the opposing team Leverkusen could not take any chances, this is not only a failure of Leverkusen, but also a question of the quality of the team.
Leverkusen is definitely not an equal with Bayern Munich at all levels and this game actually did prove it to be true and truly if not for the players lost by Munich, they would have had more goals seeing how they played even after they lost the first player, they were still very much fierce and were not discouraged, and when they lost the second, they still did not relent and resolved to defending, they still attacked and were looking for more goals. Nicolas Jackson really does need to work on himself, he cannot continue this way as it will affect the team too.

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March 16, 2026, 11:29:36 AM
 #76671

This is the true fact!! Honestly speaking aside from Bayern Munich, almost all teams in the Bundesliga have just been quite inconsistent this season. Leipzig and Stuttgart are good teams, but their performances keep going up and down. As of right now the real battle is for the fourth position because that Champions League spot is very important. Leipzig, Stuttgart and maybe Leverkusen will keep fighting for that place until the end of the season. It will definitely be an interesting race to watch

Until they start investing on their teams like Bayern Munich does then they'll be serious contenders in the Bundesliga, for now Bayern Munich remains the super champions of the league not just champions cause they've won it countless times and don't really have serious threats that could overthrow them by winning consistently like they've done over the years.

 They should keep fighting for top four while Bayern Munich grab the trophy yearly. Borussia Dortmund is the only team that's trying to be different from others but they still need serious investment to match Bayern Munich. However I'm very disappointed at Bayer Leverkusen, they don't even act like a team that won the league recently.

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March 16, 2026, 01:45:19 PM
 #76672

Until they start investing on their teams like Bayern Munich does then they'll be serious contenders in the Bundesliga, for now Bayern Munich remains the super champions of the league not just champions cause they've won it countless times and don't really have serious threats that could overthrow them by winning consistently like they've done over the years.

 They should keep fighting for top four while Bayern Munich grab the trophy yearly. Borussia Dortmund is the only team that's trying to be different from others but they still need serious investment to match Bayern Munich. However I'm very disappointed at Bayer Leverkusen, they don't even act like a team that won the league recently.
None of these teams can actually be competitive and eligible like Bayern Munich. The difference there is very clear because they've been absolutely everything made for the Bavarians. They have the finance and also owners that are solely dependent on the progress of the club. That's why we've seen the productivity of the club in the past decades, always forming the big angles in Bundesliga without any fierce oppositions.

Borrusia Dortmund already proven themselves but do you think they're good enough? Oh yes they are but the main problem is them always letting go of potential players. Bayern Munich are focus on winning trophies while Borrusia Dortmund is focus on accumulating profits from the triggering clauses of their players. So we can spot both differences. Bayern Munich win trophies while Dortmund generate academy players that have potential and trigger their sell clause in the transfer market.


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March 16, 2026, 03:28:02 PM
 #76673

Bayern Munich's advantage is that if/when they win Bundesliga early, that means they are going to be able to focus on UCL a lot better. Already they are very much ahead, so they could have a period where they play the young players, and bench players.

So if they do not play any of their normal good players, aside from maybe a few, they could do a fine job enough to win the league. You can take out their best eleven from them today and what remains could still win the league after this situation. Not normally, not like whole season, but they are already ahead so it should be possible for them to manage to do this now. It is not that hard and UCL is a lot more important and we could see them do a fine job one way or another if they work hard enough.


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March 16, 2026, 03:38:06 PM
 #76674

Bayern Munich's advantage is that if/when they win Bundesliga early, that means they are going to be able to focus on UCL a lot better. Already they are very much ahead, so they could have a period where they play the young players, and bench players.

So if they do not play any of their normal good players, aside from maybe a few, they could do a fine job enough to win the league. You can take out their best eleven from them today and what remains could still win the league after this situation. Not normally, not like whole season, but they are already ahead so it should be possible for them to manage to do this now. It is not that hard and UCL is a lot more important and we could see them do a fine job one way or another if they work hard enough.

No Bundesliga team is able to compete for the title. As a result, Bayern munich does not face any challenge to win the Bundesliga title. The season is still a long time away. Even then it is certain that Bayern munich will be champions. Now they can give full focus to champions league matches. They played well in the first match of round of 16. Munich won by a  huge margin of 6-1 . Munich is going to easily qualify for the quarter finals. Munich will likely face Real Madrid in the quarter-finals. This match will be the toughest match of this season's champions league for them.

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March 16, 2026, 04:13:34 PM
 #76675

There are teams that will be topping their league by nine points difference, I would agree with you that nine points isn't a huge difference or gap, but for Bayern Munich to top Borussia Dortmund by nine points difference, that is a huge difference if you ask me because it's remaining eight matches for the 2025/2026 season to end, and from the look of this I don't see Bayern Munich dropping points that will allow Borussia Dortmund to overtake them at the top of the German Bundesliga table and win the title.

I think it depends on the league and the contending teams as well. For example, Arsenal is topping the Premier League table with nine points and with nine or eight games to go but they're still not sure whether they will win the league because they have a strong opponent (Manchester City) contending with them. If we have similar scenario in the Spanish Laliga, let say between Barcelona and Real Madrid, we would still find it difficult to predict how the outcome will look like. But here in the Bundesliga, Borussia Dortmund who's second on the table don't seem strong enough to go head to head with Bayern Munich so we can say the nine points difference is a huge gap and there's 95% chance bayern will win the league.

What you say is true. In leagues like the Bundesliga and Ligue 1, if they have a nine-point lead over second-placed Bayern Munich, they are virtually guaranteed to be champions at the end of the season. Because both PSG and Bayern Munich dominate in both leagues other teams will be unable to challenge their dominance due to the above-average quality of their players.

This is different from leagues like the EPL, Italy and La Liga where there are many surprises, making the competition very fierce until the end of the season. That's also why some always say Ligue 1 and the Bundesliga are boring because sometimes, even before the season is over, the champions are easily predictable. This season's Ligue 1 season is a bit different. PSG faces pressure from Lens, but Lens pressure is negligible as PSG will still win the title. The Bundesliga this season can be said to be completely in the hands of Bayern Munich and in the next few matches they will secure the Bundesliga trophy and focus on the UCL.

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March 16, 2026, 04:47:05 PM
 #76676


There are teams that will be topping their league by nine points difference, I would agree with you that nine points isn't a huge difference or gap, but for Bayern Munich to top Borussia Dortmund by nine points difference, that is a huge difference if you ask me because it's remaining eight matches for the 2025/2026 season to end, and from the look of this I don't see Bayern Munich dropping points that will allow Borussia Dortmund to overtake them at the top of the German Bundesliga table and win the title.

9 points ahead with 8 matches remaining, let's take a look at the opponents in those eight matches.

Berlin.
Freiburg.
St. Pauli.
Stuttgart.
Mainz.
Heidenheim.
Wolfsbrug.
Koln.

Bayern toughest opponent is only Stuttgart, and even then, Bayern won by a landslide in the first meeting, I think the title talk is over because it's already very clear who the winner is. The only interesting thing about the Bundesliga now is the battle for the top four and the relegation zone.
Let's ask ourselves this crazy question, let's pretend that Bayern Munich will lose three matches in the German Bundesliga and dropped the nine points they are using to lead Borussia Dortmund, can Borussia Dortmund be able to remain consistent and win their matches to equal Bayern Munich in points? The answer is no, so Bayern Munich doesn't need to top Borussia Dortmund with a lot of points before we will know that Bayern Munich will beat Borussia Dortmund to the title race this season.

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March 16, 2026, 04:59:19 PM
 #76677

Nine points isn't a huge difference. This season Bayern has already dropped points (draws and even a loss) against very weak opponents, so it wouldn't be impossible for that to happen again. If we were talking about an 18-point gap, then I wouldn't have a problem saying Bayern are champions. But nine points isn't a sure thing, especially when you see in other leagues where good teams had a nine-point lead in the final rounds and still didn't become champions. I know the Bundesliga is dominated by Bayern, but the fact that Bayern drops points against weak opponents is a big problem.
I can argue with you all day that 9 point is a very huge gap in the German bundesliga because no team is as consistent as Bayern Munich there, so before Bayern Munich drop some points along the way, their biggest rival would have dropped even more points. If you are talking of the Spanish La'liga or in the English Premier League, I would have agreed with you because their are good teams available to take advantage of it, but in the German bundesliga, if a team like Bayern Munich goes 9 point clear at the top, the rest of other teams knows that it's over.

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March 16, 2026, 04:59:43 PM
 #76678

The referee should be queried for pasing a wrong judgement and maybe Bayern Munich could appeal for Diaz since the referee only agreed that he didn't make the right decision. My question is, do players get booked for diving? If not then the VAR should've stepped in to over rule the referee's judgement. Anyways Bayern Munich really tried to draw that match despite having two red cards, I know that Diaz was booked at a late minute but it's enough for Bayer Leverkusen to score more goals.

I don't think Bayern Munich will get anything out of such appeal. I watched the incident a couple of times to make sure. Diaz is really diving there. He just tries to show it like the GK tackles him but no avail.

And players get booked for diving, yeah. Deceiving the referee always deserves a yellow card I believe. It was just a desperate attempt by Diaz to get a penalty for his team while the score was 1-1.

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March 16, 2026, 05:09:00 PM
 #76679


So if they do not play any of their normal good players, aside from maybe a few, they could do a fine job enough to win the league. You can take out their best eleven from them today and what remains could still win the league after this situation. Not normally, not like whole season, but they are already ahead so it should be possible for them to manage to do this now. It is not that hard and UCL is a lot more important and we could see them do a fine job one way or another if they work hard enough.
Yes, they will try to win the Bundesliga as early as possible so as to focus on the Champions League competition, but I don’t think if they take off their first eleven from the Bundesliga from now they will survive the remaining matches because they have defensive lapses already, and if they decide to keep their top players to only. Champions league, the points gap might be closed by Dortmund; although the second eleven with some starters in the first team can still maintain and win the league to them, but I think if they can team up and add more points now because the Champions League get tougher, they can secure the championship and still have time to focus on the Champions League competition because they are among the favorites alongside Arsenal.

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March 16, 2026, 05:11:33 PM
 #76680

There are teams that will be topping their league by nine points difference, I would agree with you that nine points isn't a huge difference or gap, but for Bayern Munich to top Borussia Dortmund by nine points difference, that is a huge difference if you ask me because it's remaining eight matches for the 2025/2026 season to end, and from the look of this I don't see Bayern Munich dropping points that will allow Borussia Dortmund to overtake them at the top of the German Bundesliga table and win the title.

I think it depends on the league and the contending teams as well. For example, Arsenal is topping the Premier League table with nine points and with nine or eight games to go but they're still not sure whether they will win the league because they have a strong opponent (Manchester City) contending with them. If we have similar scenario in the Spanish Laliga, let say between Barcelona and Real Madrid, we would still find it difficult to predict how the outcome will look like. But here in the Bundesliga, Borussia Dortmund who's second on the table don't seem strong enough to go head to head with Bayern Munich so we can say the nine points difference is a huge gap and there's 95% chance bayern will win the league.

We can never predict in advance. But yes, we can make an assumption by looking at the performance of each team and the current consecutive position of each team that the possibility of which team winning is much higher. As we can see, currently Bayern Munich's position is very good and they are winning by a large margin. On the Premier League, Arsenal is performing very well and their position is very good from the beginning, but currently their position seems a little shaky. In La Liga, Barcelona is performing very well but Real Madrid is continuing to compete with them very well. There are still many matches left, we can never guarantee that this team will win. Because these leagues are not small at all, I don't think that the difference of 7 or 8 points is very big, these differences can change at any time.

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