Getting closer to Halving but .. no increase ?

[LoyceV]

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1207909.msg12680596#msg12680596

I don't see how the increase in price had anything to do with the halving. In this graph I read a very stable price before and after halving, followed by an exponential bubble, a collapse, and a new normal.
Since then the price went up, and down, and the past year went up again to end on the current 400+ (although it has been higher in the past year). Everybody expecting a large effect of the halving must have influenced the higher price, so I see no reason for an increase after the halving. If it happens months later, it is the "normal" variation again.

[1714656754]

1714656754

[Rune]

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1207909.msg12680596#msg12680596

I don't see how the increase in price had anything to do with the halving. In this graph I read a very stable price before and after halving, followed by an exponential bubble, a collapse, and a new normal.
Since then the price went up, and down, and the past year went up again to end on the current 400+ (although it has been higher in the past year). Everybody expecting a large effect of the halving must have influenced the higher price, so I see no reason for an increase after the halving. If it happens months later, it is the "normal" variation again.

Now that is interesting if we follow that pattern we might not see much movement until months after the halving.
I doubt that though Bitcoin is so much bigger now and so hype driven ppl will buy  more and more just trying to make quick money.

[mrhelpful]

People just expect the halving to be a price jump on the same day or something lol.

When the halving is a gradual price increase then a immediate one..

[traderbit]

We are getting closer every day but the price is staying at the $420 stage, i think we should wait until June and see what will happen, i expect at that time the price will be increased because of the panic buying probably.

[Raimonn]

I think that we will see higher prices on next weeks, but how big and fast will be the increase its very difficult to predict. The increase could be slowly if starts on following days or more fast an vertical if its on closer days to halving.

[nostal02]

I think that we will see higher prices on next weeks, but how big and fast will be the increase its very difficult to predict. The increase could be slowly if starts on following days or more fast an vertical if its on closer days to halving.

After the halving the price will steadily increase its price,but for now it will just play around 400-430 and will continue to do so until we have reach the halving.

[Rizla2345]

Shouldn´t it be pretty much priced in already? Markets do tend to try to be ahead of the curve after all.

[Yakamoto]

Shouldn´t it be pretty much priced in already? Markets do tend to try to be ahead of the curve after all.

Well, not necessarily. Especially considering the market right now, it is very possible that there are still increases to be had.

I think it won't be a 10-fold increase, but if something happens it will be fairly substantial.

[Rizla2345]

Shouldn´t it be pretty much priced in already? Markets do tend to try to be ahead of the curve after all.

Well, not necessarily. Especially considering the market right now, it is very possible that there are still increases to be had.

I think it won't be a 10-fold increase, but if something happens it will be fairly substantial.

I don´t know. Mining is probably pretty squeezed after the huge difficulty increases so you´d expect hefty selling into any major rallies. Those are stupendous investments, total hash rate is presently at over 1.3 Exahash/s.

[KennyR]

Shouldn´t it be pretty much priced in already? Markets do tend to try to be ahead of the curve after all.

Well, not necessarily. Especially considering the market right now, it is very possible that there are still increases to be had.

I think it won't be a 10-fold increase, but if something happens it will be fairly substantial.

This time how the price will be before and after depends on the market and the adoption. Halving will never occur same as the past time. Can see certain change in the growth as well percentage of increase.

[alisafidel58]

Shouldn´t it be pretty much priced in already? Markets do tend to try to be ahead of the curve after all.

Well, not necessarily. Especially considering the market right now, it is very possible that there are still increases to be had.

I think it won't be a 10-fold increase, but if something happens it will be fairly substantial.

This time how the price will be before and after depends on the market and the adoption. Halving will never occur same as the past time. Can see certain change in the growth as well percentage of increase.

Yeah,it wont be the same as the past halving and the price of bitcoin now rely on its users and companies that is willing to invest into the coin if there is not enough companies then we will still be at the same price level.

[Vaskiy]

Shouldn´t it be pretty much priced in already? Markets do tend to try to be ahead of the curve after all.

Well, not necessarily. Especially considering the market right now, it is very possible that there are still increases to be had.

I think it won't be a 10-fold increase, but if something happens it will be fairly substantial.

This time how the price will be before and after depends on the market and the adoption. Halving will never occur same as the past time. Can see certain change in the growth as well percentage of increase.

Yeah,it wont be the same as the past halving and the price of bitcoin now rely on its users and companies that is willing to invest into the coin if there is not enough companies then we will still be at the same price level.

Well looking at the price it seems the coming halving won't be as same as the previous one. But we can't expect anything we have to wait until halving and I think can see good increase in the coming weeks.

[armansolis593]

Shouldn´t it be pretty much priced in already? Markets do tend to try to be ahead of the curve after all.

Well, not necessarily. Especially considering the market right now, it is very possible that there are still increases to be had.

I think it won't be a 10-fold increase, but if something happens it will be fairly substantial.

This time how the price will be before and after depends on the market and the adoption. Halving will never occur same as the past time. Can see certain change in the growth as well percentage of increase.

Yeah,it wont be the same as the past halving and the price of bitcoin now rely on its users and companies that is willing to invest into the coin if there is not enough companies then we will still be at the same price level.

Well looking at the price it seems the coming halving won't be as same as the previous one. But we can't expect anything we have to wait until halving and I think can see good increase in the coming weeks.

There will be a good increase in the coming weeks or months as we are getting close to the halving and we just need to have faith in bitcoin.

[abercrombie]

Still have 13 weeks to go, plenty of time for positioning.

Lots of the "priced in" crowd are shorting and building the foundation for the huge short squeeze past $500.

[maudevang]

There are a lot of people that is indeed saying that the value will not even rise after the halving and that can be bad for the most people who already have Bitcoin, but we cant control it.
The bad thing of Bitcoin is that you never know what will happen with the Bitcoin, so we have to see.

[BitHodler]

Still have 13 weeks to go, plenty of time for positioning.

Lots of the "priced in" crowd are shorting and building the foundation for the huge short squeeze past $500.

You know what will be funny? That these "priced in" believers will sell far below $500 and buy back above $500 because it gives them a horrible feeling having sold that low and miss out on good profits.

[winspiral]

Still have 13 weeks to go, plenty of time for positioning.

Lots of the "priced in" crowd are shorting and building the foundation for the huge short squeeze past $500.

You know what will be funny? That these "priced in" believers will sell far below $500 and buy back above $500 because it gives them a horrible feeling having sold that low and miss out on good profits.

and if after halving all would go down suddenly under $300 or so...

i believe people hope too much...but we can see that we are before a big doubt to risk over $440...

[LoyceV]

Still have 13 weeks to go, plenty of time for positioning.

Lots of the "priced in" crowd are shorting and building the foundation for the huge short squeeze past $500.

For me it doesn't really matter, long term I assume bitcoin will go up, and short term I am not planning on buying/selling much. The only thing I would benefit from, is going up and down more, as it gives trading opportunities.

[maxj57634]

Still have 13 weeks to go, plenty of time for positioning.

Lots of the "priced in" crowd are shorting and building the foundation for the huge short squeeze past $500.

For me it doesn't really matter, long term I assume bitcoin will go up, and short term I am not planning on buying/selling much. The only thing I would benefit from, is going up and down more, as it gives trading opportunities.

Yeah trading opportunities would be great here when the halving comes and a lot or users will be dumping and pumping bitcoin just to get more profit from others.

[lenoli]

price increase will e after halving, not before halving, so be patient and just wait.

after halving, when it will be more difficult to mine coins, price will increase