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Question: When will BTC get back above $70K:
7/14 - 0 (0%)
7/21 - 1 (1%)
7/28 - 11 (10.7%)
8/4 - 16 (15.5%)
8/11 - 7 (6.8%)
8/18 - 5 (4.9%)
8/25 - 7 (6.8%)
After August - 56 (54.4%)
Total Voters: 103

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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 26460603 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (174 posts by 3 users with 9 merit deleted.)
fillippone
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Activity: 2296
Merit: 16409


Fully fledged Merit Cycler - Golden Feather 22-23


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August 02, 2019, 12:12:29 PM
Last edit: September 07, 2019, 03:55:13 PM by fillippone
Merited by Dabs (3), LFC_Bitcoin (2), Torque (1), mindrust (1), El duderino_ (1)

It's time (again) for a Wall Observer Meta Post!
I am going to switch to monthly schedule soon!

Merit analysis based on LoyceV merit file: http://loyce.club/Merit/merit.all.txt

Merit updated to Friday,26, Jul, 2019 02:51:39 UTC


Total merits sent on WO:     27402
Weekly Merits sent on WO: 224 (-57)
Merited Users: 581 (+3)

TOP 100 MERIT RECEIVERS:
Code:

1.micgoossens             1714
2.Last of the V8s         1569
3.HairyMaclairy           1159
4.xhomerx10               1125
5.Toxic2040                910
6.BobLawblaw               909
7.jojo69                   784
8.infofront                711
9.JayJuanGee               672
10.LFC_Bitcoin             610
11.d_eddie                 508
12.Torque                  490
13.bitserve                473
14.VB1001                  419
15.gentlemand              381
16.Paashaas                363
17.Elwar                   343
18.kenzawak                342
19.Globb0                  313
20.mindrust                301
21.cAPSLOCK                287
22.mfort312                282
23.JimboToronto            276
24.Raja_MBZ                248
25.goldkingcoiner          247
26.BTCMILLIONAIRE          247
27.Rosewater Foundation    244
28.jbreher                 230
29.kurious                 228
30.ivomm                   226
31.Biodom                  224
32.Lambie Slayer           220
33.fillippone              200
34.realr0ach               194
35.Phil_S                  194
36.TERA2                   194
37.bones261                183
38.Ibian                   180
39.kingcolex               171
40.Kylapoiss               169
41.600watt                 165
42.vroom                   162
43.nutildah                160
44.Icygreen                159
45.JSRAW                   158
46.marcus_of_augustus      156
47.yefi                    153
48.Hueristic               141
49.Wekkel                  137
50.Arriemoller             134
51.StartupAnalyst          130
52.toknormal               129
53.Pamoldar                124
54.Anon136                 121
55.Spaceman_Spiff_Original 119
56.Cryptotourist           110
57.kirreev070              107
58.vapourminer             106
59.Dabs                    106
60.BinaryReign             105
61.bitcoinPsycho           105
62.explorer                 97
63.Bitcoinaire              95
64.lightfoot                87
65.AlcoHoDL                 86
66.Searing                  83
67.serveria.com             82
68.Cryptoqueeen             81
69.sirazimuth               72
70.STT                      72
71.BlindMayorBitcorn        72
72.HI-TEC99                 71
73.Gyrsur                   69
74.cryptjh                  68
75.somac.                   67
76.pacman7331               66
77.Totscha                  65
78.cannycassiopeia          64
79.conspirosphere.tk        63
80.bitebits                 63
81.Majormax                 62
82.DeathAngel               62
83.crypmike                 58
84.nanobtc                  57
85.suchmoon                 56
86.Karartma1                56
87.strawbs                  54
88.Samarkand                54
89.theymos                  53
90.FractalUniverse          53
91.rolling                  51
92.RoomBot                  51
93.BitcoinNewsMagazine      51
94.RayX12                   50
95.fluidjax                 50
96.encycrypto               48
97.Speculatoross            47
98.Ludwig Von               47
99.ErisDiscordia            47
100.PoolMinor               46




TOP 100 MERIT SENDERS:
Code:
1.JayJuanGee              2286
2.BobLawblaw              1927
3.micgoossens             1278
4.LFC_Bitcoin             1059
5.bones261                1033
6.infofront                973
7.Last of the V8s          786
8.Globb0                   718
9.jbreher                  690
10.xhomerx10               682
11.vapourminer             607
12.mindrust                582
13.HairyMaclairy           577
14.cAPSLOCK                547
15.600watt                 504
16.marcus_of_augustus      502
17.Toxic2040               411
18.jojo69                  381
19.Torque                  339
20.Paashaas                318
21.QuestionAuthority       311
22.Hueristic               271
23.d_eddie                 268
24.yefi                    256
25.bitserve                245
26.kurious                 224
27.Dabs                    224
28.BlindMayorBitcorn       209
29.VB1001                  207
30.gentlemand              207
31.Wekkel                  205
32.Ibian                   205
33.ErisDiscordia           200
34.kenzawak                191
35.bitebits                187
36.suchmoon                186
37.RoomBot                 180
38.Karartma1               179
39.explorer                155
40.JimboToronto            150
41.Raja_MBZ                147
42.Gyrsur                  144
43.Dunkelheit667           143
44.mfort312                142
45.nutildah                128
46.BTCMILLIONAIRE          118
47.Pamoldar                118
48.Rosewater Foundation    116
49.edgar                   115
50.kingcolex               115
51.Searing                 112
52.goldkingcoiner          110
53.ivomm                   108
54.Lambie Slayer           107
55.Arriemoller             105
56.ssmc2                   105
57.Majormax                105
58.fillippone              104
59.PoolMinor               101
60.xyzzy099                 99
61.Biodom                   93
62.P_Shep                   91
63.lightfoot                89
64.tonyq                    87
65.julian071                86
66.conspirosphere.tk        82
67.Kylapoiss                81
68.sirazimuth               80
69.Phil_S                   79
70.Icygreen                 79
71.RayX12                   73
72.JSRAW                    72
73.criptix                  72
74.Elwar                    72
75.vroom                    71
76.DeathAngel               67
77.StartupAnalyst           60
78.Cryptotourist            58
79.Anon136                  56
80.bitcoinPsycho            56
81.empowering               55
82.rolling                  52
83.sammy007                 50
84.Jayjay04                 50
85.soullyG                  49
86.FractalUniverse          48
87.STT                      47
88.mymenace                 46
89.MrFreeRoMan              45
90.Bitcoinaire              44
91.AlexGR                   43
92.Totscha                  42
93.AlcoHoDL                 42
94.serveria.com             40
95.afbitcoins               40
96.nanobtc                  38
97.fabiorem                 37
98.flynn                    37
99.MirkoIta                 36
100.crypmike                36


                        
                            
TOP 100 WEEKLY RECEIVERS:

Code:
        
1.fillippone                24
2.LFC_Bitcoin               17
3.VB1001                    13
4.JayJuanGee                11
5.HairyMaclairy             10
6.JSRAW                     10
7.nikauforest               10
8.Phil_S                     9
9.kingcolex                  9
10.nutildah                  9
11.micgoossens               7
12.Globb0                    7
13.mindrust                  6
14.Biodom                    6
15.JimboToronto              5
16.Ludwig Von                5
17.BobLawblaw                4
18.infofront                 4
19.bitebits                  4
20.bkbirge                   4
21.Pamoldar                  3
22.RoomBot                   3
23.xhomerx10                 2
24.d_eddie                   2
25.jbreher                   2
26.kurious                   2
27.Lambie Slayer             2
28.realr0ach                 2
29.Arriemoller               2
30.vapourminer               2
31.lightfoot                 2
32.serveria.com              2
33.gappie                    2
34.dyask                     2
35.MERlT                     2
36.TheNewAnon135246          2
37.arewethereyet?            2
38.jojo69                    1
39.bitserve                  1
40.gentlemand                1
41.Raja_MBZ                  1
42.vroom                     1
43.Icygreen                  1
44.Hueristic                 1
45.Cryptotourist             1
46.P_Shep                    1
47.makrospex                 1
48.bakasabo                  1
49.Patel                     1
50.gallianooo                1
51.Amateur_                  1

                      

TOP 100 WEEKLY SENDERS    
Code:
                                  
1.micgoossens               58
2.JayJuanGee                24
3.LFC_Bitcoin               18
4.HairyMaclairy             15
5.VB1001                    10
6.nutildah                  10
7.vapourminer                9
8.BobLawblaw                 6
9.Globb0                     6
10.fillippone                6
11.jbreher                   5
12.Phil_S                    5
13.JSRAW                     5
14.mindrust                  4
15.suchmoon                  4
16.infofront                 3
17.Hueristic                 3
18.bkbirge                   3
19.Danslip                   3
20.600watt                   2
21.jojo69                    2
22.gentlemand                2
23.AlcoHoDL                  2
24.o_e_l_e_o                 2
25.cAPSLOCK                  1
26.d_eddie                   1
27.kurious                   1
28.bitebits                  1
29.mfort312                  1
30.Pamoldar                  1
31.kingcolex                 1
32.ivomm                     1
33.Lambie Slayer             1
34.Biodom                    1
35.sirazimuth                1
36.DeathAngel                1
37.Cryptotourist             1
38.wwzsocki                  1
39.shasan                    1
40.Traxo                     1
41.makrospex                 1

           
  
WEEKLY sMERITS BALANCE

Code:
SMerits Balance=Received Merits/2-Sent Merits

Positive Balance means an user has been increasing sMerits on the WO thread, while negative numbers means the users has sent more merits on WO than received.
Negative numbers are possible or because he has been generous this week because he has been greedy past weeks (so only temporary imbalance), or because he has hoarded smerits on other threads spending them on WO thread, or because he's a merit source.

TOP 10 WEEKLY RECEIVERS
Code:
1.fillippone                 6
2.nikauforest                5
3.kingcolex                3.5
4.JimboToronto             2.5
5.Ludwig Von               2.5
6.Biodom                     2
7.RoomBot                  1.5
8.xhomerx10                  1
9.realr0ach                  1
10.Arriemoller               1




TOP 10 WEEKLY SENDERS
Code:
1.micgoossens            -54.5
2.JayJuanGee             -18.5
3.HairyMaclairy            -10
4.LFC_Bitcoin             -9.5
5.vapourminer               -8
6.nutildah                -5.5
7.BobLawblaw                -4
8.jbreher                   -4
9.suchmoon                  -4
10.VB1001                 -3.5
                 
Merit circulation decreased again this week. Crickets and tumbleweeds everywhere and holiday didn't help merit circulation.

Still fixing glitches here and there, I am using this to getting better at data management.
This data are to LAST Friday, I will update another time next weekend, then I will make this post monthly, updated after the first merit release of the month.



LFC_Bitcoin
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August 02, 2019, 12:14:14 PM
Merited by JayJuanGee (1), mindrust (1)

Last time we went from roughly $1K to $20k.
I would say that $50K is a minimal expectation IF the cycles continue the up down pattern, which is always an unknown.
I would not be surprised by $200K, but would not plan for it as far as seriously laying out what to do if and when.
That was not a halving boost, that was a year of market movement, if the 10k-19k happened during anytime close to a halving id give it to you, but it didn't.

It takes 6-12 months for the full effects of the halving to be realised by the market. Miners sell bitcoin to cover costs, all of a sudden they’re getting half the amount of coins as a block solving reward therefore they have half the amount to dump on exchanges. I think it takes a while for that to be reflected in the price.

We will see one more absolutely parabolic bitcoin bull run before it begins to stabilise as an asset imo.
I think Biodom is right, 200,000 USD per bitcoin is possible, maybe in mid to late 2021 if not early 2022.

I’m the most excited I’ve ever been about bitcoin, life changing money is coming to us all.
lightfoot
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August 02, 2019, 12:25:30 PM



Oberserving $10530...

20 years later I will be at my 50's though. Having a few billions will surely help but I don't know. I'd rather want them in my 30's which means now or at least in the next 10 years.
That chart is like a hundred years later. And yeah you want to enjoy the good things while you're young, not when you are a washed up hulk at 50. :-)
Bossian
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August 02, 2019, 12:31:07 PM

About next halving, that's what a (very basic) graph says:


https://i.postimg.cc/pPYCCB2R/download.png





Not sure. Looks too good to be true, but what do I know.
LFC_Bitcoin
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August 02, 2019, 12:36:31 PM

About next halving, that's what a (very basic) graph says:


https://i.postimg.cc/pPYCCB2R/download.png





Not sure. Looks too good to be true, but what do I know.

The top of the cycle could be right but $3,000 per BTC in October 2019?

$4,000 ish at the halving?

Overly bearish & very unlikely.

Phil_S
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August 02, 2019, 12:42:00 PM

I'm tired of seeing this old (07.07.2018) stupid graph.

Hopefully by Oct 2019 people will stop reposting it.
Bossian
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August 02, 2019, 12:56:49 PM

About next halving, that's what a (very basic) graph says:


https://i.postimg.cc/pPYCCB2R/download.png





Not sure. Looks too good to be true, but what do I know.

The top of the cycle could be right but $3,000 per BTC in October 2019?

$4,000 ish at the halving?

Overly bearish & very unlikely.



Yes indeed, 2019 looks nothing like on the graph.

I'm tired of seeing this old (07.07.2018) stupid graph.

Hopefully by Oct 2019 people will stop reposting it.

Fair enough, dawg.
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Up to 300% + 200 FS deposit bonuses


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August 02, 2019, 01:01:07 PM
Last edit: August 02, 2019, 01:43:27 PM by JSRAW
Merited by HI-TEC99 (1)

Just gonna leave this here




UnDerDoG81
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August 02, 2019, 01:14:14 PM

About next halving, that's what a (very basic) graph says:


https://i.postimg.cc/pPYCCB2R/download.png





Not sure. Looks too good to be true, but what do I know.

2023? I aint got time for this shit. 50k next year and I am out with 75%. I am 38 and should start to enjoy life  Cool
fillippone
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August 02, 2019, 01:19:06 PM
Last edit: May 16, 2023, 07:24:54 AM by fillippone

Bitcoin, halvening and Plan B appear on the Sun!

https://www.thesun.co.uk/tech/9634852/bitcoin-price-rise-85-all-coins-mined/

Funny picture caption thou:



They put hard disk mining bitcoin? Really?

WO CONTEST: Best dialogue between the two blokes in front of the "hard disk" wall wins 2 merits!



Ok I start the contest.

"What the hell, we have thousand of Hard disk and still didn't find a single Bitcoin"
"Told you not to trust those chinese stuff".

Not very funny, I bet you can do better!

(funny HaiKu dialogue gests 4 merits)


LFC_Bitcoin
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August 02, 2019, 01:20:22 PM

2023? I aint got time for this shit. 50k next year and I am out with 75%. I am 38 and should start to enjoy life  Cool

Haha!

If you can wait until 2021 I think we’ll see $100,000 per coin. Glad to see you’d always keep some in reserve, good choice. You just know there’s going to be some HODLERS who sell everything at the next ATH & watch in horror when we hit six figures.
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August 02, 2019, 01:29:18 PM

2023? I aint got time for this shit. 50k next year and I am out with 75%. I am 38 and should start to enjoy life  Cool

Haha!

If you can wait until 2021 I think we’ll see $100,000 per coin. Glad to see you’d always keep some in reserve, good choice. You just know there’s going to be some HODLERS who sell everything at the next ATH & watch in horror when we hit six figures.
Bro you are so optimistic. 2020 is almost there. 100k per coin in 2021? Would love it, but based on what?
Globb0
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August 02, 2019, 01:36:18 PM
Merited by fillippone (2)

Bitcoin, halvening and Plan B appear on the Sun!

https://www.thesun.co.uk/tech/9634852/bitcoin-price-rise-85-all-coins-mined/

Funny picture caption thou:



They put hard disk mining bitcoin? Really?

WO CONTEST: Best dialogue between the two blokes in front of the "hard disk" wall wins 2 merits!


There you go your 1024 hard drive ready for your new miner.

Oh Dave you fucked up again!
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August 02, 2019, 01:38:13 PM

Bro you are so optimistic. 2020 is almost there. 100k per coin in 2021? Would love it, but based on what?

Assuming we’re at approx $10,000 - $15,000 at the time of the halving it’s around 10 x price increase.

At the halving in July 2016 we were at around $600. From there to the peak of our last cycle that’s over 30 x increase.

I think $100,000 per bitcoin at the end of 2021 is definitely possible. Speak to HairyMaclairy for detailed price predictions based on TA & charts. I’m just going off what I’ve observed before. I think HM is suggesting a fair bit more than 100k per coin at the top of this bull cycle.
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August 02, 2019, 01:44:36 PM

Bitcoin, halvening and Plan B appear on the Sun!

https://www.thesun.co.uk/tech/9634852/bitcoin-price-rise-85-all-coins-mined/

Funny picture caption thou:



They put hard disk mining bitcoin? Really?

WO CONTEST: Best dialogue between the two blokes in front of the "hard disk" wall wins 2 merits!



Ok I start the contest.

"What the hell, we have thousand of Hard disk and still didn't find a single Bitcoin"
"Told you not to trust those chinese stuff".

Not very funny, I bet you can do better!

(funny HaiKu dialogue gests 4 merits)

Bitcoin's hard money
an SSD won't cut it
real hard disk needed

#haiku
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August 02, 2019, 01:45:43 PM
Last edit: August 02, 2019, 01:56:53 PM by JimboToronto

Good morning Bitcoinland.

Up half a grand in the last day... currently $10537USD/$13959CAD (Bitcoinaverage).

Nice to see 5 digits. How long will it last?




WO CONTEST: Best dialogue between the two blokes in front of the "hard disk" wall wins 2 merits!


"If we switch from HDDs to SSDs we can get a massive boost in hash rate."

______  

Edit:

Didn't see the haiku part:

Hard drives hash too slow.
Satoshj would be appalled.
Solid state drives rule.
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August 02, 2019, 01:51:49 PM

Bro you are so optimistic. 2020 is almost there. 100k per coin in 2021? Would love it, but based on what?

Assuming we’re at approx $10,000 - $15,000 at the time of the halving it’s around 10 x price increase.

At the halving in July 2016 we were at around $600. From there to the peak of our last cycle that’s over 30 x increase.

I think $100,000 per bitcoin at the end of 2021 is definitely possible. Speak to HairyMaclairy for detailed price predictions based on TA & charts. I’m just going off what I’ve observed before. I think HM is suggesting a fair bit more than 100k per coin at the top of this bull cycle.
maybe you know more than me but CryptoCurrency Market Cap:  $285 103 377 392 with BTC dominance 66 %
BTC Market Cap $188 205 070 973 *10 it's $1 882 050 709 730   which is way higher than CryptoCurrency Market Cap all-time high and in dec 2017 there was a lot of hype about bitcoin and crypto and I don't think that hype will be back
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August 02, 2019, 01:56:24 PM

Bro you are so optimistic. 2020 is almost there. 100k per coin in 2021? Would love it, but based on what?

Assuming we’re at approx $10,000 - $15,000 at the time of the halving it’s around 10 x price increase.

At the halving in July 2016 we were at around $600. From there to the peak of our last cycle that’s over 30 x increase.

I think $100,000 per bitcoin at the end of 2021 is definitely possible. Speak to HairyMaclairy for detailed price predictions based on TA & charts. I’m just going off what I’ve observed before. I think HM is suggesting a fair bit more than 100k per coin at the top of this bull cycle.
100k is possible but it's impossible to predict exact top of the cycle. Major bull run usually ends with parabolic rally which means huge gains every day. So it really depends how long the upward momentum can hold until it pops. Just a week more can mean +50%. So there is very little difference between, say 80k and 120k.
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August 02, 2019, 02:07:10 PM

Bitcoin, halvening and Plan B appear on the Sun!

https://www.thesun.co.uk/tech/9634852/bitcoin-price-rise-85-all-coins-mined/

Funny picture caption thou:



They put hard disk mining bitcoin? Really?

WO CONTEST: Best dialogue between the two blokes in front of the "hard disk" wall wins 2 merits!


This weekend you will not return home, there is a virus, you must clean and reinstall the operating system on all hard drives make all updates and backups one by one.
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August 02, 2019, 02:23:40 PM

100k is possible but it's impossible to predict exact top of the cycle. Major bull run usually ends with parabolic rally which means huge gains every day. So it really depends how long the upward momentum can hold until it pops. Just a week more can mean +50%. So there is very little difference between, say 80k and 120k.

Whatever peak there will be will be fleeting and will ream many a posterior in the aftermath as ever. If people want to offload they should be doing their homework and sums now and getting rid at whatever price level they set without second guessing themselves regardless of that moment's overall landscape.

If they do flinch then the sums weren't good enough. One day oscillations will be mild enough to not have to think that way but we're still a way from it yet. The glum/bored/violent cycle is starting to grate on me somewhat so I'll be vacating enough to not have to care about it all that much going forward.
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