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Question: What happens first:
New ATH - 43 (69.4%)
<$60,000 - 19 (30.6%)
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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 26368076 times)
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cAPSLOCK
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June 15, 2021, 03:59:37 AM



That foundation is human nature. Until we have better humans, "Vires in Numeris".

I do actually have a concern and suspicion that at some point, us ordinary mortals will be banned from transacting directly in Bitcoin much as ownership of gold (in useful quantities) has been outlawed before. Of course, being Bitcoin, they can't stop us transacting in it but if everyone else is in custodial accounts and they're not allowed to transact with you, where does that leave you?



Total agreement.  And the scenario you mention is a real threat, I agree.  But i do not think we get the via the slippery slope.

The government does not have much time to try that though, because at a certain point it will foment revolution.  maybe not yet...
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ChartBuddy
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June 15, 2021, 04:01:26 AM


Explanation
cAPSLOCK
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June 15, 2021, 04:08:25 AM

And


Quote
a full deck of cards provides 225.58 bits of entropy −52! combinations =log2(52!) bits of entropy.

https://crypto.stackexchange.com/questions/41886/entropy-measurement-from-shuffled-cards

So I'm just wondering where you found 232 bits of entropy?

Either way its damn tough to crack so should be a good way to transfer a key as long as no one knows and your going to move the funds as soon as you get where your going. Interesting thought. You could increase with the jokers and rules card as well.Smiley

Maybe I put too many cards in?? I was using the Ian Coleman BIP39 tool.

But to the point of jokers and rules.. you can also just add 6 more cards to get to 256bit, I think.  So you could add  six cards for a second deck.

I think another way to increase entropy is to shuffle between draws.  So you can have repeating cards. (Creates a poisson distribution like POW is)  And if you had enough decks of cards you could also build this "custom deck' just don't try to deal a hand of poker with it. Wink
Hueristic
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June 15, 2021, 04:19:19 AM

Interesting Idea as long as security didn't make a change if they decided to inspect. Lol

Old trick from the punch-card days: Put the cards in the order you want then draw a diagonal line on the side of the deck. Then you can shuffle the cards (in fact, it's preferable to disguise the line) and can put them back into order later.



I've seen hollerith code stacks that had lines on them like that and never knew why!

Thanks for the info man, sometimes simple solutions are best.

Although you couldn't really use that deck of cards without getting bagged for a marked deck Lol
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June 15, 2021, 04:36:01 AM
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lol Jamie.

https://www.marketwatch.com/story/dimon-jpmorgan-is-sitting-on-about-500-million-in-cash-waiting-to-invest-in-higher-rates-11623700397


 


 
bitebits
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June 15, 2021, 04:36:24 AM
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https://twitter.com/777Irvine/status/1404593401710841857

https://www.microstrategy.com/en/investor-relations/financial-documents/microstrategy-launches-at-the-market-securities-offering-for-flexibility-to-sell-up-to-1b-of-its-class-a-common-stock-over-time_06-14-2021
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June 15, 2021, 04:43:29 AM
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its actually a half trillion...there was a typo in the early print

Quote
“If you look at our balance sheet, we have $500 billion in cash, we’ve actually been effectively stockpiling more and more cash waiting for opportunities to invest at higher rates,” Dimon said. “I do expect to see higher rates and more inflation, and we’re prepared for that.”

https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/14/jamie-dimon-jpmorgan-is-hoarding-cash-because-very-good-chance-inflation-here-to-stay.html
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June 15, 2021, 04:50:00 AM
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Got to run to work, don't have the time for proper quoting, apologies... Very quickly commenting on some posts, not disregarding any other replies:

@JJG:

I was ready to reply "see what I mean?" until I checked the price and saw it was still above $40k. That's good. It sure is temporary though, as we will exceed it soon. proudhon's "right" predictions are temporary too, more often than not.

@Dabs:

I side with Jay on the afterlife part. I would even say that the odds of it existing are far fewer than 1%. Perhaps 0+% (the + is for being scientific). As for your bet on it existing or not and where it will land you after you die, it's an interesting argument that many people use (i.e., winning this life vs. an eternal afterlife), but, according to almost all religious texts, this mindset will not land you in a nice place after you die, so you'd better pray there's no afterlife...

@Richy_T:

cAPSLOCK gave his reply to your bank comments, I agree with him. I'm not saying I like banks, but I see them as necessary for the majority of people. I think El Salvador will be a good test case for this.
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June 15, 2021, 04:50:31 AM


its actually a half trillion...there was a typo in the early print

Quote
“If you look at our balance sheet, we have $500 billion in cash, we’ve actually been effectively stockpiling more and more cash waiting for opportunities to invest at higher rates,” Dimon said. “I do expect to see higher rates and more inflation, and we’re prepared for that.”

https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/14/jamie-dimon-jpmorgan-is-hoarding-cash-because-very-good-chance-inflation-here-to-stay.html

 Wow!  That is some serious inflation!
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June 15, 2021, 04:56:12 AM

I think another way to increase entropy is to shuffle between draws. 

That PDF I linked says each reshuffle adds 46 IIRC, Its a interesting read but beyond me.
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June 15, 2021, 05:00:37 AM



 Wow!  That is some serious inflation!


Richy_T
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June 15, 2021, 05:00:51 AM

I've seen hollerith code stacks that had lines on them like that and never knew why!

Truth is, I've never seen a deck and I think I've only ever seen one punch-card in the wild that wasn't behind glass in a museum. Just some random info I picked up along the way. I got in in the 8-bit days so maybe I'd put my key on one of these:



I've got an idea about making something out of glass sometime. It wouldn't be as hard-wearing as stainless steel but would have some advantages. 256 bits is only 16x16
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June 15, 2021, 05:01:25 AM


Explanation
ivomm
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All good things to those who wait


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June 15, 2021, 05:13:37 AM


In other words, MS is the first institution which is officially ALL IN  Grin Hopefully, there will be more preachers like Saylor. He paved the way for many institutions in the last year. And he is not the only one. There are many hidden hodlers like him. I've read an article for an address different from the exchanges addresses and holding 100K+ coins which is regularly buying. And one of the days in the last week, when the prices were at 31K it added 3K+ coins. So, everyone apart from some 100x leverage manipulators are in a beast accumulation mode. Now, let's see what this day will bring. Probably MS starts buying and the prices will soar moar?
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June 15, 2021, 05:16:44 AM

late night charts

gird thy loins gentlemen...the next 48 hours are critical

#dyor

1h



4h

#stronghands
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June 15, 2021, 05:27:49 AM
Merited by marcus_of_augustus (3), vapourminer (1), JayJuanGee (1)

Tanzania is the next Domino in the game.


https://www.coindesk.com/tanzanias-president-urges-central-bank-to-prepare-for-crypto
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June 15, 2021, 06:01:34 AM


Explanation
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June 15, 2021, 06:09:36 AM


its actually a half trillion...there was a typo in the early print

Quote
“If you look at our balance sheet, we have $500 billion in cash, we’ve actually been effectively stockpiling more and more cash waiting for opportunities to invest at higher rates,” Dimon said. “I do expect to see higher rates and more inflation, and we’re prepared for that.”

https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/14/jamie-dimon-jpmorgan-is-hoarding-cash-because-very-good-chance-inflation-here-to-stay.html

I hardly even understand the rationale of holding $500 billion in cash and waiting for higher rates.. while expecting inflation.. hardly makes any sense.

It's like you are saying.  "We have $500 billion in cash and we expect this cash to be only worth $400 billion in a year, but we would like to sit on such cash and wait for this stack of cash to lose value because we think that there might well be an opportunity out there at some point.. we do not know what that opportunity is, but we think that maybe interest rates might get raised [as if that's going to help shit?]"... It's like having on blinders, unless he is just trolling us.  In other words, is he really that damned dumb?

@JJG:

I was ready to reply "see what I mean?" until I checked the price and saw it was still above $40k. That's good. It sure is temporary though, as we will exceed it soon. proudhon's "right" predictions are temporary too, more often than not.

Surely we already know proudhon's seemingly broken record game... He usually ends up being quite wrong, but surely sometimes he is right, and calling for down in the past few weeks has been working out pretty well, and sure it works out pretty well, until it doesn't - and surely seems to have lower odds of working out well in a bull market - which seems to be where we continue to be, even though there have been some pretty strong doubts in the past few weeks.

Funny how peeps can so quickly presume that we have gone from a bull market to a bear market on the kind of data presented, so far... but whatever, I suppose that several of us longer HODLers are ready, willing and able to go through a premature bear market if we have to, even if it is NOT our preference(s).

I am also NOT going to presume that the $30,066 bottom is "in".. too early for that kind of partying.. so there could be some challenging areas on the way of returning to UPpity - presuming that we have decent chances of returning to UPpity.  

Surely, beartards and bitcoin naysayers do need to attempt to take advantage of these kind of DOWNity corrections as much as they can - if they still have any coins to dump, financial instruments to deploy, FUD to spread or other ways to attempt to either push the BTC price down (which would be their preferred scenario) or to keep it from going UP, which could also be acceptable if it does not cost them too much money...

Personally, I would very much appreciate to see the low BTC price betters (close of some of the futures at the end of the month and sure it is the end of the 2nd quarter, too), get fucked up the ass with their bets and their hopes that bitcoin would be below a certain price points by the end of the month/quarter.. I would personally love them to get ripped to shreds, but that might be too sweet... and more of a fantasy than a reality.. It does not really matter to bitcoin either way, if the shorters get fucked by the end of the month/quarter or they end up being correct and we end up getting some more local bottom testing (at $30k or whatever)..

Whatever happens, happens, the price is going to do what it is going to do based on a variety of factors.. and looks like Saylor is not only buying another $500million but today he announced another $1billion... Probably going to be somewhat difficult to outdo him (holy sheeeeiiiiit), even though some of the BIGGER investment funds already have that kind of money that they could throw into bitcoin and it would ONLY be 1-5% of the holdings of their fund.   In any event, it is always good to be prepared for either price direction, even if a large number of us have preferences for UPpity and continue to see a lot of seemingly strong-ass UPpity signs...Institutions likely want to get in, but they are slow to act, but Saylor et al is not very slow to act, relatively speaking. hahahahaha
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June 15, 2021, 06:11:45 AM

The solution is simple: Get your head frozen and have this tattoed on your forehead:

In this brain is the seed code for 10btc. Restore me to life and it is yours.

Then when bitcoin will buy entire planets whole civilizations will devote their best scientists to reviving your sorry ass. And when you are revived you give them the 10btc wallet code...

Then walk out with your 100btc wallet code still in your head. And into a bright new future.

It's pretty much foolproof: If bitcoin craters then who wants to be alive for that. And if the world is a crapsack world you just kill yourself again.

Hal Finney got frozen.

https://www.alcor.org/2020/09/member-patient-profile-hal-finney/
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June 15, 2021, 06:49:36 AM


... good find. The nation state adoption/interest in bitcoin is following textbook "disruptive innovation" adoption characteristics

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Disruptive_innovation

Quote
"New market disruption" occurs when a product fits a new or emerging market segment that is not being served by existing incumbents in the industry. Some scholars note that the creation of a new market is a defining feature of disruptive innovation, particularly in the way it tend to improve products or services differently in comparison to normal market drivers.[25] It initially caters to a niche market and proceeds on defining the industry over time once it is able to penetrate the market or induce consumers to defect from the existing market into the new market it created.[25]


... bitcoin, filling in the monetary niches since 2011.

"Give me your tired, your poor, Your huddled masses yearning to breathe free, The wretched refuse of your teeming shore. Send these, the homeless, tempest-tost to me, I lift my lamp beside the golden door!"
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