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Question: What happens first:
New ATH - 43 (69.4%)
<$60,000 - 19 (30.6%)
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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 26368359 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (174 posts by 3 users with 9 merit deleted.)
ChartBuddy
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January 24, 2022, 03:01:32 AM


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JayJuanGee
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January 24, 2022, 03:41:18 AM

but at least the 200-week moving average is a wee bit closer than $10k-ish.... it's currently at: $19,200  

When I look at the heatmap, it looks to me like we have first to go below the 200-week moving average before we go back up sustainably.  Huh

I believe that Raja_MBZ was presuming something very similar back in May/June when he sold most (if not all) of his BTC at $55k.. but the 200-week average was lower than $14k at that time.  I am starting to think that Raja_MBZ was also not a very good example because I had stated that he got into BTC BIG around that same time, and the next thing you know he was saying that he sold everything.. so largely, he seems to be trying to find an entry point rather than having had gotten in below $10k (for example) and made a killing..

Anyhow, for sure we have had both downs and ups since May 2021, and we have not gotten very close to the 200-week moving average, since then either.. even though we did get close to the 100-week moving average a couple of times in the past 8 months (in about May/June/July.. and then just now in recent times, since the 100-week moving average is around $31k currently).

In other words, you should even see from that linked above information that the 200-week moving average does not get met by the spot price very frequently or very easily.. so your assertion that BTC has to go below the 200-week moving average before it can be capable of going up is almost the opposite of what happens, is likely to happen or needs to happen....    It's like you are presuming that we are in a bear market.. and sure maybe there is nothing wrong with that, even though it's a pretty BIG (and likely premature) presumption.

Sure the spot price could go below the 200-week moving average, but it seems quite a ways from anything as close as high in likelihood as you seem to be making it out to be.
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January 24, 2022, 03:45:54 AM

Top Scientists conspired to cover up lab leak investigation
Quote
Scientists believed Covid leaked from Wuhan lab - but feared debate could hurt ‘international harmony’

Emails to Dr Anthony Fauci show ‘likely’ explanation identified at start of coronavirus pandemic, but there were worries about saying so

Leading British and US scientists thought it was likely that Covid accidentally leaked from a laboratory but were concerned that further debate would harm science in China, emails show.

An email from Sir Jeremy Farrar, director of the Wellcome Trust, on February 2 2020 said that “a likely explanation” was that Covid had rapidly evolved from a Sars-like virus inside human tissue in a low-security lab.

The email, to Dr Anthony Fauci and Dr Francis Collins of the US National Institutes of Health, went on to say that such evolution may have “accidentally created a virus primed for rapid transmission between humans”.

But a leading scientist told Sir Jeremy that “further debate would do unnecessary harm to science in general and science in China in particular”. Dr Collins, the former director of the US National Institutes of Health, warned it could damage “international harmony”.


https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2022/01/11/scientists-believed-covid-leaked-wuhan-lab-feared-debate-could/

... same stand-up guys/"scientists"/ "virologists" pushing the death jabs into you idiots

more in depth

What an utter nonsense.  Roll Eyes Roll Eyes
Post your crap elsewhere, please.

No wonder BTC price crashes.

Hopefully BTC will go up again when your crap is deleted.

Saying it's nonsense doesn't make it so, disprove the claims or get the fuck out of our thread.
Some people already said it: YOU need to prove if it's true, if you want to be taken seriously. If you don't prove it, people will mock you.  Cheesy
Because you need to prove it!
It's called science! (but are you afraid of science?)

If you say: I need to prove your BS claim, everyone could make up some unproven BS claims and get away with it.




If bananaunana, whoever that little prick is, claims that it's nonsense he will have to prove that by, for example, find a source that debunks Marcuses sources.

You are a little prick.
I'm not a scientist and I don't need to prove any pseudo-science 'sources' especially your 'death jabs' accusation. If you have problems to do scientific research I'm very sorry for you. But here is a source.
If you say 'death jabs' you need to say 'mega death virus'

You can still buy a banana for 1 BTC each!

What the fuck are you talking about you little idiot prick.
I have never ever said "death jab" or anything remotely like that. In fact, if I wasn't already immune from having covid I would probably be vaccinated by now.
LMAO, it was a reference because you didn't question what you quoted.
Always question someone's quotes!


And no, he (Marcus) provided links to his sources, sources that can not immediately be discarded as crackpots.
If you claim that it's nonsense you will have to prove that by, for example, find a source that debunks Marcus's sources.
You seem to have problems knowing who you are debating with and what you are debating.
I don't have to disprove weak sources, people making claims have to prove it.
It was explained to you already.


I'm criticizing you for not refuting his (Marcus) claims, and just say "What an utter nonsense... Post your crap elsewhere, please.",
But it's true, one of his crap post is now vanished.


Having said that, the claim that the virus is man made/manipulated and comes from the Wuhan lab is not particularly far fetched and is being put forward as the most possible origin of the virus in many reputable news sources, something you would have known if you knew how to google or read a newspaper.
It's a very weak claim, you know, like WMD in iraq you know. If you make a claim, please prove it sufficient.
If you don't prove it, it's an accusation.


I'm guessing, based on how you "debate" that you are quite young and/or immature, I would therefore suggest that you leave this thread, grow older and hopefully wiser, and come back in say, ten tears from now, and apologize.
I'm just selling bananas for 1BTC each. It's in my signature. If you are interested, plz let me know.  Cheesy
And no, I won't apology for questioning weak claims.


Until then, fuck of.

Edited.
Lol, are you unfriendly!  Roll Eyes
ChartBuddy
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January 24, 2022, 04:01:24 AM


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January 24, 2022, 05:04:21 AM

[edited out]

 .imho the best scenario is a flat around 40-42K with oscillations of plus minus 10k above and below(ish).

Wow.. your best case scenario is pretty lame.  Ever wonder why you fail/refuse to adequately prepare for UP?  Part of the reason seems to be your lack of imagination regarding UPside scenarios... I suppose that you have been falling off your seat too.. for the whole time between about February and April that we went above $40k.. and then the second time around between about September and November was probably quite the shocker for you, too?  No?

I still think that this is not a description of the bull market continuation, but something new.

We will see.  We are still in the battle for the greatest wealth transfer in history, so don't get too lulled into some kind of a flat scenario.. which seems to be your tendency (except for times when you are willing to call the bottom.. remember when we were around $29k in July-ish and you called lower $20ks as if they were inevitable.. and also you stated that you would not be surprised to have a decent spike below that into the mid $10k-s.. something like $15.5k-ish, right?

Careful with trying to reinvent the wheel too much here with your seemingly out of touch theories and failing/refusing to account for 1) stock to flow, 2) four-year fractal (except you said that ended in April) and 3) exponential s-curve adoption based on network effects and Metcalfe principles.

In fact, IF 64k was actually the "real" peak (and it does look like it on various momentum charts that Ben Cowen likes to show, for example), then the proposal that the bearish period would last until April of 2022 makes sense. Regarding 10-15k not being statistically possible. I am not sure why, but I also agree that it is VERY unlikely based mostly on this cycle structure (so far).

Yeah.. that's not totally unreasonable if you at least have some guidance in connection to your reluctancies regarding ongoing BTC UPside scenarios... but seems to me that you have been in that mindset (and seemingly inadequate upside preparations) several times already.. where you had been fighting the upside scenarios, and they end up happening anyhow.. in spite of your ongoing reservations.   You frequently suggest that you have not been hurt financially by such, which seems quite implausible to me... for example, are you buying BTC now?  most likely not... most likely you are waiting.. and sure that is your choice.  Nobody is going to stop you from doing what you believe is best to protect you.. both financially and psychologically.

➥ And finally, if you want to try your hand at bitcointalk history, take the Quiz.

That was a nice little quiz.. .and I only got a bit over half of the answers correct, so the questions raised some subjects that I had not really thought about before going through the quiz. 
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January 24, 2022, 05:39:19 AM


Thanks. I better sell my 1 ETH then.

Sell ETH for METH.
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January 24, 2022, 05:54:23 AM

The FUD about Ukraine is misleading as well, NATO has already "invaded" Ukraine long ago

Source on this?

I'm following the developments quite closely, and know that NATO isn't touching Ukraine with a 10-ft pole over angering Russia.

The word I was looking for was 'infiltrated', hence the quote marks around "invaded". This started in 2013-2015, through NED (National Endowment for Democracy), a CIA front. Russia argues that it was NED grants for the Euromaidan mass protests that forced Ukrainian President Viktor Yanukovych from power in 2015.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/National_Endowment_for_Democracy#Reaction

You can find a lot of information about what's really going on here (mainstream media is mostly propaganda):
https://thegrayzone.com/category/ukraine/


The FUD about Ukraine is misleading as well, NATO has already "invaded" Ukraine long ago, the question is what Russia will do about it as NATO move closer to their borders and continues to provoke?


Well, you have made your position and allegiances clear.  I remember during the (second? I think?) gulf war.  I used to go to an auto shop run by Kurds.  Their position on the war and the US involvement in it was extremely unique amongst folks from the middle east.

Everyone has their allegiances.

This is not about my allegiances, just look at a map, think about recent history since the Soviet Union era, and try to imagine how NATO would react if the tables were turned, for example Russian nuclear missile silos in Canada.
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January 24, 2022, 05:59:13 AM

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January 24, 2022, 06:01:31 AM


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January 24, 2022, 06:13:30 AM
Merited by vapourminer (1), Hueristic (1)



100%? That's CONFIRMED!
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January 24, 2022, 06:16:27 AM
Merited by serveria.com (1)

Jesus ^^^ what a bunch of bears!


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January 24, 2022, 06:17:18 AM
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Yup just saw it's working but I'm ok with $125,000 Smiley

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January 24, 2022, 06:38:32 AM
Last edit: January 24, 2022, 07:33:05 AM by Hueristic
Merited by JayJuanGee (1)

Yup just saw it's working but I'm ok with $125,000 Smiley



Question was not what your ok with. Wink

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o8WtUn8BoLc&list=PLvrTbIjX1rbSMV4tK4-KbhCwb8inxOUlI
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January 24, 2022, 07:01:24 AM


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January 24, 2022, 07:50:44 AM

We have a champ!

https://twitter.com/Blockworks_/status/1485257761164349440?s=20
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January 24, 2022, 08:01:23 AM


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January 24, 2022, 08:21:44 AM


He got his coins 50% off the ATH. Good deal.
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January 24, 2022, 08:44:22 AM

A lil pump right into the $4xxxx area would be nice now...  Cool
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January 24, 2022, 08:59:34 AM

A lil pump right into the $4xxxx area would be nice now...  Cool

I don't think we're going to get much till Wednesday, and if the Fed has a dovish tone expect above 40k.
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