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Question: How far will this leg take us?
$110K - 9 (8.3%)
$120K - 19 (17.6%)
$130K - 17 (15.7%)
$140K - 9 (8.3%)
$150K - 19 (17.6%)
$160K - 2 (1.9%)
$170K+ - 33 (30.6%)
Total Voters: 108

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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 26817544 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (174 posts by 1 users with 9 merit deleted.)
GameStarter
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March 31, 2014, 02:15:31 PM

We are so close to Pump it
boumalo
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March 31, 2014, 02:19:24 PM

Also 50000 CNY is almost 6 grand in € which is not much to some of us western middle class spoiled people but it is a lot to small Chinese worker class that is desperate for investing into stores of value that are not debased/stolen by their own government.

You are right there are A LOT of rich chinese people, there is more people in China living with the average european salary than in Europe but I think the chinese middle class is also buying btc, there are saving like they will not earn anything for the rest of their life : way more than 50% of their salary and some like btc
China is a nation that produces a lot and saves a lot, that makes me think of the usa before they became communist
It's not the Chinese working class who are buying BItcoin. Its the Chinese rich (maybe with questionable sources) who have much more money than the European middle class. Hence why the biggest property owners in cities like London are.... Chinese private investors. You're living in the dark ages. Chinese people have money and they want to burn it. Many have a LOT of money to burn.

See all the visa schemes aimed at Chinese, where they can buy a passport for places like Australia or Canada if they can spare maybe a few hundred thousand dollars? Yeh, they're over-run and Canada had to decline everyone because so many Chinese have that much cash sitting around. It's totally absurd to even mention the Chinese workers.
Also 50000 CNY is almost 6 grand in € which is not much to some of us western middle class spoiled people but it is a lot to small Chinese worker class that is desperate for investing into stores of value that are not debased/stolen by their own government.

It's not the Chinese working class who are buying BItcoin. Its the Chinese rich (maybe with questionable sources) who have much more money than the European middle class. Hence why the biggest property owners in cities like London are.... Chinese private investors. You're living in the dark ages. Chinese people have money and they want to burn it. Many have a LOT of money to burn.

See all the visa schemes aimed at Chinese, where they can buy a passport for places like Australia or Canada if they can spare maybe a few hundred thousand dollars? Yeh, they're over-run and Canada had to decline everyone because so many Chinese have that much cash sitting around. It's totally absurd to even mention the Chinese workers.
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March 31, 2014, 02:20:03 PM

Bitcoin dumps make me feel this way:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oavMtUWDBTM

 Grin Grin
Walsoraj
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March 31, 2014, 02:33:16 PM

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2014-03-31/market-rigged-michael-lewis-explains-how-hfts-screw-investors-every-day

Might be of interest to those of you monitoring activity on chinese exchanges.
dreamspark
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March 31, 2014, 02:37:28 PM

Total bidsum just nudged 12 milion for the first time in weeks...
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March 31, 2014, 02:45:31 PM

guys, remember that vircurex do not have fiat witdrawals and deposits for months, (aurumexchange went down along with LR) and people/bots still trade the pairs...   Wink
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March 31, 2014, 02:51:12 PM

I hope the Bitcoin bullet train doesn't leave without me. I can't buy until tomorrow! Fingers crossed four a low price Cheesy

By the way, todays the anniversary of me finding out about and subsequently using Bitcoin Smiley
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March 31, 2014, 02:55:22 PM

Bit overexcited with hope, aren't we?



Just sayin'.
(and hodling)
JorgeStolfi
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March 31, 2014, 03:02:42 PM

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2014-03-31/market-rigged-michael-lewis-explains-how-hfts-screw-investors-every-day
Might be of interest to those of you monitoring activity on chinese exchanges.
Thanks! Yeah, that is what "trading" means today, it seems...

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March 31, 2014, 03:25:34 PM

We are getting to the point where I can't even feel bad for anyone greedy enough to wait for lower prices. I'm about 85% in, just about ready to go all in. We have seen mid 400s a few times now so anyone who doesn't capitalize deserves to be punished for opening boxes 3,4,5 rather than taking the beautiful prize that was presented to them.
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March 31, 2014, 03:25:58 PM

CHOO CHOO

ShroomsKit_Disgrace
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Yeah! I hate ShroomsKit!


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March 31, 2014, 03:26:49 PM

Chine loves Bitcoin one more time!  Cheesy THOSE buys!
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Self-Custody is a right. Say no to "non-custodial"


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March 31, 2014, 03:27:38 PM

 If NOT $1500 by July, maybe $1500-ish at some point before the end of the calendar year?
I remember people "calling it" last November:

Anyone got any speculation for where we are headed in the short term?

Seem's like everyone's just so surprised we broke $1000 nobody planned any speculation for afterwards, and I need speculation.

Surprised ? Who ?

When it was crashing from 900 and we reached 550 USD I said : It will fall below 500 but 400 will hold. If 400 holds then we will hit 1000 USD within the next 10 days. And here we are 7 days later... All correct.

Expect more of the same, going up strong with some corrections/ crashes on the way. For exemple we maybe hit 1600 before crashing back to 1200, then resume rise.

I believe it can again double by the end of the year to 2000 USD. A more conservative estimation is 1500 USD by the end of the year.
In 2014 I believe we'll witness the bull through the 4 digits with the 5 digits in sight. When we reach 5 digits is anyone's guess but I personally see it happen within 12 months.

So ... people felt 2k to be a reasonable figure by the end of 2013.
Personally, I wonder IF we'll see $700-800/BTC this year. There are plenty of lines drawn on charts; $1500 by the end of July, Risto thought of $1M/coin and so on.
De facto: IF all Chinese investors cash out their coins at a loss right about now, we'll see a stable $150 for quite some time.

Not to mention the bankruptcy of some major Chinese exchanges; negative news coverage all over the world, the "Ponzi" word pulled way more than it should and so on.



Surely the scenarios that I projected could happen within the time-frames that i specified, and the scenarios that you described could happen, as well.  People invest based on a lot of this and take chances and none of it is guaranteed.  There are odds, and we project based on our information and intuition and logic and speculation regarding which outcome we expect or hope for.  In this regard, some outcomes are more likely than other to take place, and sometimes we may invest incorrectly or predict wrong b/c there are a variety of factors, as you mentioned.


Investors ? people with USD on the exchanges ?! Where ? I cannot see them anywhere.

Some of the infrastructure building and investment is occurring and projected.  It may take place and it may NOT. It may take place within the next year and it may be delayed or diverted or abandoned, and all of these factors affect future value and the time frame.  If we wait for all of this to be accomplished, then the price would have already adjusted for the occurrence.  That is why some early adopters of BTC realized price returns of more than 100 times their original investment.  There is NO guarantee any positive returns will continue or that all of the factors will align in order to allow for positive returns.

You can bet for BTC prices to go up, you can bet against it or you can stay out, and surely there are variations of such in terms of hedging bets, diversifying going all in balls to the wall or staying out completely or investing in some related industries based on whatever speculation you have.







adsdas
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March 31, 2014, 03:34:29 PM

go huobi!!
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March 31, 2014, 03:36:16 PM

huobi is only 454

what are u talking about??
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March 31, 2014, 03:36:23 PM

Also 50000 CNY is almost 6 grand in € which is not much to some of us western middle class spoiled people but it is a lot to small Chinese worker class that is desperate for investing into stores of value that are not debased/stolen by their own government.

It's not the Chinese working class who are buying BItcoin. Its the Chinese rich (maybe with questionable sources) who have much more money than the European middle class. Hence why the biggest property owners in cities like London are.... Chinese private investors. You're living in the dark ages. Chinese people have money and they want to burn it. Many have a LOT of money to burn.

See all the visa schemes aimed at Chinese, where they can buy a passport for places like Australia or Canada if they can spare maybe a few hundred thousand dollars? Yeh, they're over-run and Canada had to decline everyone because so many Chinese have that much cash sitting around. It's totally absurd to even mention the Chinese workers.
I always thought it was the Russian mob that owned most of the expensive properties in London, not Chinese investors.

And Canada has now suspended the visa fast track program for rich investors. Thank god, maybe I'll actually be able to buy a place in Vancouver  soon. Most of the high end real estate here is owned by rich Chinese and HK investors that have bought them and keep holding.
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March 31, 2014, 03:39:18 PM


Who knows how it will unfold? At least I don't know!

However, these are my best guesses for the nearby future:
a) we are going to da moon -> it's lilkely we will see ~600$ in the next days
b) we are going to hang around at a certain price level (like in midsummer 2013) -> it's lilkely we will see this happen @ around ~600$ in the next days
c) we are going further down -> it's lilkely we will see ~600$ in the next days before we do so.


Yes, I asked you and you made your projection for the next few days... maybe you are correct, and maybe NOT. 

I do believe what you are saying to be fairly likely... and I am NOT sure I could put a percentage of probabilities on it except maybe to predict that in my thinking it seems to be more likely than NOT, at least by the end of the week... but also I do NOT know the future... ...and my life savings is NOT bet on that occurring.. and I would NOT lock myself into such a bet.  If $600-ish does NOT occur this week, then I am o.k. with that, and if $500 does NOT occur this week, I am o.k. with that, and if $100 occurs this week, I am o.k. with that too, but I would be disappointed with $100, if it were to occur.  Nonetheless, I have quite a bit of fiat into BTC, and I am likely NOT going to be selling any based on current news.. and likely NOT trading until we start to reach in the $700 plus territory (unless maybe just very small amounts here and there or larger amounts if the projected outcome seems to have a very high likelihood of taking place). 
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March 31, 2014, 03:40:21 PM

lower lows and lower highs...

and people are rushing to buy? what is the rush to speculate on a falling virtual commodity? Has patience been totally tossed out of the window due to people using this forum or ones like it every 15 minutes?
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March 31, 2014, 03:47:41 PM

Total bidsum just nudged 12 milion for the first time in weeks...

Yeah, I put my buy order in. I will buy 5Mio. btc at 0.001$. Thanks that at least one person appreciate this!
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March 31, 2014, 03:48:16 PM

The gov didnt issue an official obligatory opinion, but even if it did it wouldnt write letters about it to all concerned so the statement from btcc is lame.
Something is going down, notice the changes some of the exchanges are introducing concerning cny.


Those kind of reactions from various exchanges to introduce CNY features may ALSO be based completely on the rumors and uncertainties rather than being based on any real insider knowledge.
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