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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 26390074 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (174 posts by 3 users with 9 merit deleted.)
ChartBuddy
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May 10, 2024, 10:01:14 PM


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May 10, 2024, 10:12:38 PM
Last edit: May 10, 2024, 10:23:37 PM by JayJuanGee
Merited by LFC_Bitcoin (3)

In a technical point of view this is still a bear market.

Even the halving could not turn the market bullish.

I'm not even bullish right now perhaps around autumn.

3 years bear 1 year bullish.

Oh gawd....  Roll Eyes Roll Eyes Roll Eyes Roll Eyes

The punchline is that bitcoin no does not work like dat.

So it seems that you might be spouting out such nonsense on purpose just to troll us?

You could not really believe what you are saying.  Or could you?

That would be retarded.  No?

Let me try to 'splain to you some of dee basics in regards to how bitcoin works.

You see..  bitcoin has been in a bull market since about November 2022 and yeah, we might not have had realized that we were in a bull market until either mid-2023 or perhaps late 2023, so if you actually zoom out ur lil selfie a wee bit MOAR better, you will see that the BTC price has largely gone up from about $15,479 in November 2022 to  $73,794 on March 13, 2024, and yeah , so the bitcoin price has largely been correcting since March 13, 2024, and so far, the correction has gotten down to as low as $56,500, which is about a 23.5% correction, so far.  

Sure, the correction could go lower, but it might not. We don't really know, and the mere fact that we are correcting and even potentially getting to pretty high levels of corrections, that does not convert our current bull market into a bear market, even though there are quite a few folks currently with a decent amount of bearish sentiments, and surely sentiments do not convert a bull market into a bear market either, even though there may well be a lot of wishful thinkers praying for lower prices that may or may not end up happening.

By the way, fuck off with your proclamation that the mere fact that a correction might last until the autumn, as you anticipate, causes this current bull market to convert into a bear market (or supposedly already has converted into a bear market as you are proclaiming).

If the BTC price starts to get close to within 20% of the 200-WMA - which is currently at $34,371, I might be willing to concede that we are no longer in a bull market or at least that there is some kind of BTC price action that is putting our current bull market into question.

Another thing is that we have not even gotten out of no man's land, yet which is right around $55k, and even getting out of no man's land is not going to cause our current bull market to be transformed into a bear market just because some folks are continuing to wish for lower prices that are probably not as likely to come as you are seeming to make them out to be.

In a technical point of view this is still a bear market.

Even the halving could not turn the market bullish.

I'm not even bullish right now perhaps around autumn.

3 years bear 1 year bullish.
But but 1 month ago or little more you where Uber bullish….

Paashaas seems to be a flip flopper, and mostly a flopper rather than a flipper.   Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy

In a technical point of view this is still a bear market.

Even the halving could not turn the market bullish.

I'm not even bullish right now perhaps around autumn.

3 years bear 1 year bullish.
I'm bullish as fuck
Me too brother
Bullish since block 305416

Wow!!!!!!!  That is some real esoteric "insider" speak.

In a technical point of view this is still a bear market.

Even the halving could not turn the market bullish.

I'm not even bullish right now perhaps around autumn.

3 years bear 1 year bullish.
historically halving events have never turned the market bullish in a day. that's not how it works.
it usually takes a few months to see its effects.
anyway, right now, market depends mostly on one thing, the etfs. as long as grayscale is selling, we're fucked and they still have a little less than 300k btc to sell so... nothing else to do but wait.

Welcome to the forum.

I am not very crazy about your wanting to provide single explanations for BTC price dynamics, and even your focus on the ETFs for our current BTC price moves comes off as a bit weak.

There is nothing really bearish about current ETF flows, even though sure they could turn bearish.

There surely have been a lot of seeming attacks on bitcoin, self custody and even other hostile regulatory discussions that also seem to be playing into negative sentiments, which likely could contribute to some weaker hands to give up some (or all) of their BTC.

Sure, I sometimes might point out some of the things that I currently consider to be going on in the bitcoin space to contribute to BTC price dynamics, yet I hardly ever get very excited in terms of presuming that I have much more than 50/50 levels of confidence in regards to BTC's short term price direction, even though surely currently I still consider the odds for UP are slightly greater than the odds for down, in the ballpark of 55/45, since we still seem to be both in a bull market and in no man's land - both of which I mentioned in my above response to Paashaas.

@BitcoinMagazine
BREAKING: 🇺🇸 America's largest bank JPMorgan Chase discloses spot #Bitcoin  ETF holdings in new SEC filing.




https://x.com/bitcoinmagazine/status/1789020004131737624
Probably nothing, anon.

Just ignore it and continue selling cheap to institutions. It seems like such a great idea to sell right now.

Jamie Dimon, LOLLLLL.
Watch what they do, not what they say.

Truthfully speaking, I need that gobble-dee-gook translated into something that I might be able to understand.  Perhaps a performative dance might work?

Probably nothing, anon.

Just ignore it and continue selling cheap to institutions. It seems like such a great idea to sell right now.

Jamie Dimon, LOLLLLL.

Watch what they do, not what they say.
They are market makers for many ETF issuers, so it is expected for them having some share inventories.
Those numbers are actually quite small, so weird.

Yeah, but still what are the numbers?  Can you translate it for some of us who are less capable of reading gobble-dee-gook?

In a technical point of view this is still a bear market.

Even the halving could not turn the market bullish.

I'm not even bullish right now perhaps around autumn.

3 years bear 1 year bullish.
It can be considered bear until October 2023.... the game changed when we broke the 32k resistance....
Many people are not in bull market base on the time and period they started their investment. If they invest at the time of $65k $68k and was planning to sell it when bitcoin hit $78k or $80k and when bitcoin climbed to $73k they didn't sell because that is not their target price to sell and now that the price is coming down again they are on the bear market so they have to wait again. And that is the long term investment we are talking about.

That description is even more retarded.

You are describing a trader mindset that has almost nothing to do with actual long term investment, and you really believe that mindset causes a market to be a bull market or a bear market?

Some people (including uie-poo-ie, Agbe) don't seem to recognize the difference between being in a bull or bear market and experiencing BTC price movements within whatever kind of a market we might be in...

In other words, even if there is a bull market, the BTC price does not just go up the whole time, and just there is a bear market the BTC price does not go down the whole time...

You may well need to zoom your self out a wee bit MOAR better to be able to recognize and appreciate what is happening around the BTC price movements that you are perceiving to be playing out.
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May 10, 2024, 11:01:13 PM


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May 10, 2024, 11:05:05 PM

A strange cycle  Cool
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May 10, 2024, 11:10:32 PM
Merited by vapourminer (1), Hueristic (1)

A strange cycle  Cool

This time is different.
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May 10, 2024, 11:50:36 PM

This guy!  Surfing the sky and giving a tour of the universe with his telescope while the aurora goes on behind him.  In Britain no less!  Next level.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rTxvAQYKGPI
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May 11, 2024, 12:01:15 AM


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Fly free sweet Mango.


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May 11, 2024, 12:25:46 AM

ChartBuddy's Daily Wall Observation recap
..
All Credit to ChartBuddy
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May 11, 2024, 01:01:14 AM


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May 11, 2024, 01:16:58 AM
Last edit: May 11, 2024, 01:32:41 AM by Felicity_Tide

This guy!  Surfing the sky and giving a tour of the universe with his telescope while the aurora goes on behind him.  In Britain no less!  Next level.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rTxvAQYKGPI


It's so unfortunate that I couldn't join the show live, but watching a bit of the recap was worth it. Aurora emits its light in such a beautiful pattern. Although I haven't seen it live, I first saw it in the "Rise of the Guardians" cartoon when Bunny visited the North Pole  Grin. I also confirmed via the YouTube link you dropped (comment section) that there will be more tomorrow night  Shocked

My apologies for the newbie restrictions preventing me from sharing an image of the cartoon scene.
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May 11, 2024, 01:47:55 AM
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They kicked it up a notch.  Things are getting interesting.


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May 11, 2024, 02:01:13 AM


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May 11, 2024, 03:08:30 AM

In a technical point of view this is still a bear market.

Even the halving could not turn the market bullish.

I don't recognize you, man. What happened? Did you sell your account, or have you started a side gig as a llama farmer?
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May 11, 2024, 03:22:28 AM

Man.  I can't even pretend I've seen the auroras yet tonight and it's after 11pm.  Now the clouds have rolled in Sad
Ah well.  It's getting dark in North Dakota now:

 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DzwQdysugIQ

 Looks very promising as you can already see multicoloured spires of light.
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May 11, 2024, 04:01:18 AM


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May 11, 2024, 04:26:51 AM
Merited by El duderino_ (10), vapourminer (1), xhomerx10 (1), JayJuanGee (1), d_eddie (1)

Thanks to Homer for posting a wonderful image from Switzerland, that looks amazing and I would have loved to see it for myself.
I actually planned to stick around for most of the night to see some of this matter raining on earth.

But the missus issued a NOTH (Notice to Husband) yesterday that the hedges needed trimming and that the weather is only ideal now. So I trimmed the hedges (possibly one too many retrospectively..), got wrecked and decided I'd have to let that aurora stuff be aurora stuff for tonite and go to the bed early.

Imagine my surprise when I found out that a mole cricket had built it's 'loudspeaker-tunnel' roughly 2m from my bed in the garden and was trying to find a mating buddy until about 3:00 in the morning..
If you never heard a mole cricket, make no mistake it's not at all like that peaceful and calming chirping of regular crickets, it is more like an utterly annoying alarm clock and thanks to the amplifying structures they build into the ground it's not like an alarm clock on your bedside table but like one right in your head.

I am now into my 4th5th cup of coffee and still trying to decide between flooding the tunnels of the little mofo with water or just help him installing tinder for crickets to get things done for good. In any case this aggression will not stand for another night mancricket!
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May 11, 2024, 05:01:15 AM


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May 11, 2024, 06:28:23 AM

Apparently so. Or some other shoe is going to drop any minute now.

"Rosebud"
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