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zzaza
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 926
Merit: 1000
Zoltan - PD Moderator
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November 06, 2014, 08:38:06 PM |
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Nicer one hui, im gonna advertise it in the chat when im online, hopefully more and more will learn the rainbot "rules"
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Monopoly
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November 06, 2014, 09:27:46 PM |
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i mean ive not seen anything like this in a while. how about anyone else? i apologise, as i did not ask for artik's permission to post the picture, but it was so weird i felt i had to Did you photoshop that? Or create it by editing HTML? The odds of losing 9 98% bets in a row are 1953 trillion to 1 against. ie. it didn't happen. How you calculate ? How many is The odds of losing 5 98% ?
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Thirdspace
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November 06, 2014, 09:34:19 PM |
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still need help to open primedice site... tried combination with http, https, www and without www my chrome keeps giving me error "ERR_SSL_VERSION_OR_CIPHER_MISMATCH" please can someone tell me what to do to fix this error
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Josepht
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November 06, 2014, 09:59:56 PM |
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i mean ive not seen anything like this in a while. how about anyone else? i apologise, as i did not ask for artik's permission to post the picture, but it was so weird i felt i had to Did you photoshop that? Or create it by editing HTML? The odds of losing 9 98% bets in a row are 1953 trillion to 1 against. ie. it didn't happen. How you calculate ? How many is The odds of losing 5 98% ? Chance of losing one bet is 0.02 Chance of losing 5 bets in a row is 0.02^5=3.2*10^-9 It happens once every 1/(3.2*10^-9)=312.5 million times
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Monopoly
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November 07, 2014, 12:08:32 AM |
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i mean ive not seen anything like this in a while. how about anyone else? i apologise, as i did not ask for artik's permission to post the picture, but it was so weird i felt i had to Did you photoshop that? Or create it by editing HTML? The odds of losing 9 98% bets in a row are 1953 trillion to 1 against. ie. it didn't happen. How you calculate ? How many is The odds of losing 5 98% ? Chance of losing one bet is 0.02 Chance of losing 5 bets in a row is 0.02^5=3.2*10^-9 It happens once every 1/(3.2*10^-9)=312.5 million times It's wrong . You always have 2% chance of losing in every bet and it's independent be in a row or not . If you loss on your first bet , your second bet has got exactly same chance of losing .
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dooglus
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 2940
Merit: 1333
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November 07, 2014, 12:15:40 AM |
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Chance of losing one bet is 0.02 Chance of losing 5 bets in a row is 0.02^5=3.2*10^-9 It happens once every 1/(3.2*10^-9)=312.5 million times
It's wrong . You always have 2% chance of losing in every bet and it's independent be in a row or not . If you loss on your first bet , your second bet has got exactly same chance of losing . No, he's right. The chance of N independent events all happening is equal to the product of their individual probabilities. It's precisely *because* the rolls are independent that he can raise 0.02 to the 5th power to get the probability of 5 98% rolls all losing.
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Just-Dice | ██ ██████████ ██████████████████ ██████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████ ██████████████ ██████ | Play or Invest | ██ ██████████ ██████████████████ ██████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████ ██████████████ ██████ | 1% House Edge |
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kleineaap
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November 07, 2014, 12:22:45 AM |
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Chance of losing one bet is 0.02 Chance of losing 5 bets in a row is 0.02^5=3.2*10^-9 It happens once every 1/(3.2*10^-9)=312.5 million times
It's wrong . You always have 2% chance of losing in every bet and it's independent be in a row or not . If you loss on your first bet , your second bet has got exactly same chance of losing . No, he's right. The chance of N independent events all happening is equal to the product of their individual probabilities. It's precisely *because* the rolls are independent that he can raise 0.02 to the 5th power to get the probability of 5 98% rolls all losing. Dooglus is correct. Math. Not even once.
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eden1
Member
Offline
Activity: 78
Merit: 10
★Bitin.io★ - Instant Exchange
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November 07, 2014, 12:40:18 AM |
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how long till ref show up on dashboard?
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Monopoly
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November 07, 2014, 01:11:05 AM |
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Chance of losing one bet is 0.02 Chance of losing 5 bets in a row is 0.02^5=3.2*10^-9 It happens once every 1/(3.2*10^-9)=312.5 million times
It's wrong . You always have 2% chance of losing in every bet and it's independent be in a row or not . If you loss on your first bet , your second bet has got exactly same chance of losing . No, he's right. The chance of N independent events all happening is equal to the product of their individual probabilities. It's precisely *because* the rolls are independent that he can raise 0.02 to the 5th power to get the probability of 5 98% rolls all losing. I mean you could start betting and it happens after ninth bet & even happens after Ninety-eighth bet again . It could happen 100 times in two thousand of bets continuously and low possibility doesn't guarantee it couldn't ( or didn't ) happens . Did you photoshop that? Or create it by editing HTML?
The odds of losing 9 98% bets in a row are 1953 trillion to 1 against. ie. it didn't happen.
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dooglus
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 2940
Merit: 1333
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November 07, 2014, 06:30:19 AM |
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Did you photoshop that? Or create it by editing HTML?
The odds of losing 9 98% bets in a row are 1953 trillion to 1 against. ie. it didn't happen.
I mean you could start betting and it happens after ninth bet & even happens after Ninety-eighth bet again . It could happen 100 times in two thousand of bets continuously and low possibility doesn't guarantee it couldn't ( or didn't ) happens . Yes, each bet is random. We're talking about the odds of such a streak happening. There's a very very small chance that the sequence in the fake screenshot actually happened, but it is so slight that I'm certain it didn't happen. 2000 trillion is such a big number. It's more than a million times the number of bets that have ever happened on PrimeDice. In other words if PrimeDice ran for a million years at its current level of activity, you would still probably not see such a streak. Given the ease with which screenshots can be faked, and the near impossibility of such a streak really happening, I'm prepared to say it didn't happen.
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Just-Dice | ██ ██████████ ██████████████████ ██████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████ ██████████████ ██████ | Play or Invest | ██ ██████████ ██████████████████ ██████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████ ██████████████ ██████ | 1% House Edge |
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yenzae0215
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November 07, 2014, 06:48:25 AM |
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how long till ref show up on dashboard?
it is instant
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Banned**
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yenzae0215
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November 07, 2014, 07:15:53 AM |
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how long till ref show up on dashboard?
it is instant Some of mine are missing, yet I still get ref commission Few little bugs there, eddy said he'll fix those soon maybe some not listed are those who didnt set their passwords?
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Banned**
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MICRO
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 2464
Merit: 1037
CEO @ Stake.com and Primedice.com
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November 07, 2014, 07:52:17 AM |
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Did you photoshop that? Or create it by editing HTML?
The odds of losing 9 98% bets in a row are 1953 trillion to 1 against. ie. it didn't happen.
I mean you could start betting and it happens after ninth bet & even happens after Ninety-eighth bet again . It could happen 100 times in two thousand of bets continuously and low possibility doesn't guarantee it couldn't ( or didn't ) happens . Yes, each bet is random. We're talking about the odds of such a streak happening. There's a very very small chance that the sequence in the fake screenshot actually happened, but it is so slight that I'm certain it didn't happen. 2000 trillion is such a big number. It's more than a million times the number of bets that have ever happened on PrimeDice. In other words if PrimeDice ran for a million years at its current level of activity, you would still probably not see such a streak. Given the ease with which screenshots can be faked, and the near impossibility of such a streak really happening, I'm prepared to say it didn't happen. Math can give u some estimate but it doesn't mean much in real life. As proven by Hufflepuff . He wagered 60k btc and is in profit of 2000 when he should be in about -600 . For that stuff i don't rely on math to much.
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LiQuidx
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November 07, 2014, 07:58:46 AM |
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Did you photoshop that? Or create it by editing HTML?
The odds of losing 9 98% bets in a row are 1953 trillion to 1 against. ie. it didn't happen.
I mean you could start betting and it happens after ninth bet & even happens after Ninety-eighth bet again . It could happen 100 times in two thousand of bets continuously and low possibility doesn't guarantee it couldn't ( or didn't ) happens . Yes, each bet is random. We're talking about the odds of such a streak happening. There's a very very small chance that the sequence in the fake screenshot actually happened, but it is so slight that I'm certain it didn't happen. 2000 trillion is such a big number. It's more than a million times the number of bets that have ever happened on PrimeDice. In other words if PrimeDice ran for a million years at its current level of activity, you would still probably not see such a streak. Given the ease with which screenshots can be faked, and the near impossibility of such a streak really happening, I'm prepared to say it didn't happen. Math can give u some estimate but it doesn't mean much in real life. As proven by Hufflepuff . He wagered 60k btc and is in profit of 2000 when he should be in about -600 . For that stuff i don't rely on math to much. Exactly.. These are probabilities and that's where luck comes into play... On the long run you always tend to hit the probabilities though.
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ltcnim
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 914
Merit: 1001
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November 07, 2014, 08:27:25 AM |
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deposits not working? three confirmations and nothing shows up...
edit: credited..
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DarKSpectrE
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November 07, 2014, 08:35:36 AM |
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Wtf. Primedice doesn't let me withdraw my winnings for some reasons EDIT: "Withdrawals are currently unavailable due to maintenence or technical reasons." - Really? EDIT_2: Got it.
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ltcnim
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 914
Merit: 1001
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November 07, 2014, 08:41:48 AM |
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Wtf. Primedice doesn't let me withdraw my winnings for some reasons EDIT: "Withdrawals are currently unavailable due to maintenence or technical reasons." - Really? yepp, just also tried to withdraw, same message. but it just arrived at my wallet and it's subtracted from my balance!
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Stunna (OP)
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 3192
Merit: 1279
Primedice.com, Stake.com
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November 07, 2014, 09:18:55 AM Last edit: November 07, 2014, 09:59:33 AM by Stunna |
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Did you photoshop that? Or create it by editing HTML?
The odds of losing 9 98% bets in a row are 1953 trillion to 1 against. ie. it didn't happen.
I mean you could start betting and it happens after ninth bet & even happens after Ninety-eighth bet again . It could happen 100 times in two thousand of bets continuously and low possibility doesn't guarantee it couldn't ( or didn't ) happens . Yes, each bet is random. We're talking about the odds of such a streak happening. There's a very very small chance that the sequence in the fake screenshot actually happened, but it is so slight that I'm certain it didn't happen. 2000 trillion is such a big number. It's more than a million times the number of bets that have ever happened on PrimeDice. In other words if PrimeDice ran for a million years at its current level of activity, you would still probably not see such a streak. Given the ease with which screenshots can be faked, and the near impossibility of such a streak really happening, I'm prepared to say it didn't happen. It didn't happen from what I can see, notice the bet ID's are hidden and when we checked our DB we didn't find any streaks like that. edit: confirmed fake from creator http://www.reddit.com/r/Primedice/comments/2lgzlc/thanks_stunna_and_edward/Also occasional deposits are being a bit slow as of right now, they seem to be coming through within 1 confirmation in most cases, 2-3 in others. Also a reminder: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=832301.03 days left to submit a video for the 4BTC competition On a final note we fixed the intermittent lag issues, turns out an affiliate query was the culprit.
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ltcnim
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 914
Merit: 1001
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November 07, 2014, 11:23:57 AM Last edit: November 07, 2014, 11:48:54 AM by ltcnim |
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@Stunna: It looks like you limited the amount of bets per account. would it be possible to delay the request, instead of sending a 0 size reply (429)? this would benefit your backend also...
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