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Author Topic: ASICMINER Speculation Thread  (Read 808650 times)
hdbuck
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October 07, 2014, 09:31:26 AM
 #5061

wellllll
if btc price continues to fall and reaches a sane valuation, but AM preforms well despite this...we may see 2+ btc per share (which would be good for me, btc-wise)   Roll Eyes

How did you calculate the 2+ BTC per share?

Speculation/speculators dont bother calculations ^^
szmarco
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October 07, 2014, 09:52:08 AM
 #5062

wellllll
if btc price continues to fall and reaches a sane valuation, but AM preforms well despite this...we may see 2+ btc per share (which would be good for me, btc-wise)   Roll Eyes
No. I don't think so.
TSMC only accept fiat currency. Company Operation cost, HR salary and other costs all spend out by fiat mode. If the coin price continues to fall. FC have to take larger percentage of btc income to cover company's cost and we all shareholders get less. It's a very clear situation.
shawshankinmate37927
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October 07, 2014, 02:03:31 PM
 #5063

wellllll
if btc price continues to fall and reaches a sane valuation, but AM preforms well despite this...we may see 2+ btc per share (which would be good for me, btc-wise)   Roll Eyes
No. I don't think so.
TSMC only accept fiat currency. Company Operation cost, HR salary and other costs all spend out by fiat mode. If the coin price continues to fall. FC have to take larger percentage of btc income to cover company's cost and we all shareholders get less. It's a very clear situation.

Hopefully a lot of the unprofitable miners will be shutting down their equipment and it will be easier for AM to get a bigger portion of the remaining hash rate.

"It is well enough that people of the nation do not understand our banking and monetary system, for if they did, I believe there would be a revolution before tomorrow morning."   - Henry Ford
hdbuck
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October 07, 2014, 02:47:04 PM
 #5064

And i would add that the only thing reassuring my confidence in AM and regarding btc price is that they did not rush into top tier expensive technology nodes, which may be foolish, if not doomish for the competitors.


(auto-)connecting the dots...

Based on the information provided the gen4 is coming along according to schedule. There will be some time span in which it will be evaluated. However, to put things in perspective any new chips will not move the profit margins too much. Profit margins are mainly a function of BTC price, network power and average upkeep costs. The tech has moved quickly in the last 2 years and is hitting Moore's barrier pretty hard. Main profits will likely come from innovative ways to reduce capex and opex, which not necessarily requires the latest chips.

squeezing each drop of those valuable words while waiting.
lophie
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October 07, 2014, 05:25:36 PM
 #5065

guys, am I imagining or is ASICMINER is selling at IPO?HuhHuh??

Will take me a while to climb up again, But where is a will, there is a way...
jimmothy
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October 07, 2014, 05:29:15 PM
Last edit: October 11, 2014, 04:32:21 PM by jimmothy
 #5066

guys, am I imagining or is ASICMINER is selling at IPO?HuhHuh??

I'm thinking an IPO shareholder wants out. Seems like almost all of the dumping is from individual people.
explorer
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October 07, 2014, 08:41:34 PM
 #5067


HL shows insufficient data.  I see we touched .10 once again. Did it go lower?
FUR11
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October 08, 2014, 02:52:17 PM
 #5068


HL shows insufficient data.  I see we touched .10 once again. Did it go lower?

No, low seems to have been at 0.10000001, see that 29/100 shares bid, that got nibbled. So almost almost almost touching IPO prices, but not breaking through.

SaintFlow
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October 08, 2014, 02:56:30 PM
 #5069

Correct me if i am wrong:

IPO was .1 if you bought from friedcat.
the part that was traded on glbse started with .11

don't let me make you question your assumptions
explorer
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October 08, 2014, 07:43:45 PM
 #5070


HL shows insufficient data.  I see we touched .10 once again. Did it go lower?

No, low seems to have been at 0.10000001, see that 29/100 shares bid, that got nibbled. So almost almost almost touching IPO prices, but not breaking through.
The last 500 dump also hit the wall @ 0.10000001, then rebounded.  Nothing to see here  Wink
lophie
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October 09, 2014, 10:24:43 AM
 #5071

Correct me if i am wrong:

IPO was .1 if you bought from friedcat.
the part that was traded on glbse started with .11

I believe it was 0.1, The IPO was extended on GLBSE and still never fully completed.

descaimer: I was there!

Will take me a while to climb up again, But where is a will, there is a way...
lophie
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October 09, 2014, 10:25:27 AM
Last edit: October 10, 2014, 03:20:06 PM by lophie
 #5072

Correct me if i am wrong:

IPO was .1 if you bought from friedcat.
the part that was traded on glbse started with .11

I believe it was 0.1, The IPO was extended on GLBSE and still never fully completed.

descaimer: I was there!

Also to my surprise no one considered the fact that the IPO in Dollar terms was waaaaaaaaaay lower than 0.1BTC!

Will take me a while to climb up again, But where is a will, there is a way...
stompysteve
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October 10, 2014, 04:36:21 AM
 #5073

from what ill call AM main address where it looks like they are lumping everything
https://blockchain.info/address/3MkwFfGNQDve7vz1z6gUDVxkuQpcSV3Mz8

Found tx's for franchisee miners, if you look thru the address above there are alot of tx made that have more then one address all are from mining
https://blockchain.info/tx/aee8d5d8d04dbb580be85c641a660101c56d87c186d22d76d0bc4c2d06d5033c

https://blockchain.info/tx/13f34419d79504fe0c6a3d5b46b180171a3034ca08704b23db86095e562aa05c
mrlupin
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October 10, 2014, 05:49:27 AM
 #5074

Thanks man!
dhenson
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October 10, 2014, 06:08:17 AM
 #5075

from what ill call AM main address where it looks like they are lumping everything
https://blockchain.info/address/3MkwFfGNQDve7vz1z6gUDVxkuQpcSV3Mz8

Found tx's for franchisee miners, if you look thru the address above there are alot of tx made that have more then one address all are from mining
https://blockchain.info/tx/aee8d5d8d04dbb580be85c641a660101c56d87c186d22d76d0bc4c2d06d5033c

https://blockchain.info/tx/13f34419d79504fe0c6a3d5b46b180171a3034ca08704b23db86095e562aa05c

I like your enthusiasm, but there is no way that is actually an AM account.  There are entirely too many transactions 24/7... This is most likely an exchange wallet.  The transactions that are coming from AM sales addresses are simply AM exchanging btc for fiat.
jjdub7
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October 10, 2014, 06:45:57 AM
 #5076

from what ill call AM main address where it looks like they are lumping everything
https://blockchain.info/address/3MkwFfGNQDve7vz1z6gUDVxkuQpcSV3Mz8

Found tx's for franchisee miners, if you look thru the address above there are alot of tx made that have more then one address all are from mining
https://blockchain.info/tx/aee8d5d8d04dbb580be85c641a660101c56d87c186d22d76d0bc4c2d06d5033c

https://blockchain.info/tx/13f34419d79504fe0c6a3d5b46b180171a3034ca08704b23db86095e562aa05c

I like your enthusiasm, but there is no way that is actually an AM account.  There are entirely too many transactions 24/7... This is most likely an exchange wallet.  The transactions that are coming from AM sales addresses are simply AM exchanging btc for fiat.

Could be the case.


"..."

Conversion: We have OTC conversion channels to trade USD for Bitcoins in Hong Kong.
stompysteve
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October 10, 2014, 09:55:28 AM
 #5077

from what ill call AM main address where it looks like they are lumping everything
https://blockchain.info/address/3MkwFfGNQDve7vz1z6gUDVxkuQpcSV3Mz8

Found tx's for franchisee miners, if you look thru the address above there are alot of tx made that have more then one address all are from mining
https://blockchain.info/tx/aee8d5d8d04dbb580be85c641a660101c56d87c186d22d76d0bc4c2d06d5033c

https://blockchain.info/tx/13f34419d79504fe0c6a3d5b46b180171a3034ca08704b23db86095e562aa05c

I like your enthusiasm, but there is no way that is actually an AM account.  There are entirely too many transactions 24/7... This is most likely an exchange wallet.  The transactions that are coming from AM sales addresses are simply AM exchanging btc for fiat.
I'm pretty confident it is, look at the dates the tx start look at the amounts around those dates, if it was an exchange it would b e flooded with waaaay more transactions some days there was even any movement of btc

At the beginning there was only big sums then kinda dies for a little (chip sales)it picks back up when tubes come out kinda dies again, then most recently when the prisma came out that's when it became really active, check out chart below

https://blockchain.info/charts/n-transactions?address=3MkwFfGNQDve7vz1z6gUDVxkuQpcSV3Mz8 plus its missing all thesmaller amounts

Ill go back and make a post that's put together better so it doesn't look like I'm grasping as straws
funkymunky
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October 10, 2014, 10:35:21 AM
 #5078

from what ill call AM main address where it looks like they are lumping everything
https://blockchain.info/address/3MkwFfGNQDve7vz1z6gUDVxkuQpcSV3Mz8

Found tx's for franchisee miners, if you look thru the address above there are alot of tx made that have more then one address all are from mining
https://blockchain.info/tx/aee8d5d8d04dbb580be85c641a660101c56d87c186d22d76d0bc4c2d06d5033c

https://blockchain.info/tx/13f34419d79504fe0c6a3d5b46b180171a3034ca08704b23db86095e562aa05c

I like your enthusiasm, but there is no way that is actually an AM account.  There are entirely too many transactions 24/7... This is most likely an exchange wallet.  The transactions that are coming from AM sales addresses are simply AM exchanging btc for fiat.
I'm pretty confident it is, look at the dates the tx start look at the amounts around those dates, if it was an exchange it would b e flooded with waaaay more transactions some days there was even any movement of btc

At the beginning there was only big sums then kinda dies for a little (chip sales)it picks back up when tubes come out kinda dies again, then most recently when the prisma came out that's when it became really active, check out chart below

https://blockchain.info/charts/n-transactions?address=3MkwFfGNQDve7vz1z6gUDVxkuQpcSV3Mz8 plus its missing all thesmaller amounts

Ill go back and make a post that's put together better so it doesn't look like I'm grasping as straws

Thank you
KarmaShark
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October 13, 2014, 05:39:54 PM
 #5079

Under IPO we go @ 0.09BTC/share. Will we see 0.01BTC/share before the turn around? Long, cold winter for AM part deux.
ensurance982
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October 13, 2014, 05:42:56 PM
 #5080

Under IPO we go @ 0.09BTC/share. Will we see 0.01BTC/share before the turn around? Long, cold winter for AM part deux.

Well, I don't think we'll see 0.01 BTC... That's just too low!

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