Just-Dice.com : now with added CLAMs : Play or Invest

[infested999]

Honorable People: dooglus | iAndroid | usagi | MattFoster42 | zeroday | MysteryMiner | pirateat40 | Vladimir

I just noticed your signature.  While I enjoy being listed a "honorable", I'm not sure being in the same list as pirateat40 is good for anyone.  Is your list meant ironically?

I meant the pirateat40 that was in the Just-Dice chat. Remember?

That's gonna cause a problem for people who were here a year ago.

Does pirate from the JD chat go by any other name?

[1715382241]

1715382241

[1715382241]

1715382241

[1715382241]

1715382241

[Otoh]

Just use his user JD account # instead maybe, though looks like he left after losses before I arrived & hasn't been back.

[BRules]

Download/Link:
http://pastebin.com/3KThxY4S
...
Download/Link:
http://pastebin.com/qZ9KTynd

Why not post these scripts in http://userscripts.org/ ?

[dooglus]

Does pirate from the JD chat go by any other name?

I don't know, but he's not made himself known in the JD chat for several weeks now.  The pirateat40 whose name he copied is the only one anyone will think of when you mention the name.

[mechs]

Does pirate from the JD chat go by any other name?

I don't know, but he's not made himself known in the JD chat for several weeks now.  The pirateat40 whose name he copied is the only one anyone will think of when you mention the name.

Basically it is like saying Dooglus is as trustyworthy as Bernie Madoff. 

[petrescuerz]

40 Million Bets Bonus!

Investors are scrambling to put their bitcents together to offer a prize for the 40 millionth bet.

16:39:38 (1) <dooglus>  http://blockchain.info/address/15eUfpGRrwURexYfaLgyBhUuvAdzcKNeiE?filter=2#<-- collecting for 40m bet bonus - betid closest to 40m of 0.0001 or more gets the pot


Get your cents in now and make it a prize worth having!!

0.3 btc so far! Let's make this pot grow!!!

Deb

Oh, and thanks to Dopefish for getting this going!

[dooglus]

40 Million Bets Bonus!

Investors are scrambling to put their bitcents together to offer a prize for the 40 millionth bet.

16:39:38 (1) <dooglus>  http://blockchain.info/address/15eUfpGRrwURexYfaLgyBhUuvAdzcKNeiE?filter=2#<-- collecting for 40m bet bonus - betid closest to 40m of 0.0001 or more gets the pot


Get your cents in now and make it a prize worth having!!

0.3 btc so far! Let's make this pot grow!!!

Deb

Oh, and thanks to Dopefish for getting this going!

17:02:52 (9) <Dopefish> I got 40000001
17:02:58 (57018) <SoggyLettuce> 39999999

Congrats to Dopefish (who somewhat suspiciously suggested the promo ) and SoggyLettuce who split the prize.

[Mooshire]

Whoa, this site is still pretty intense lol

[BripleRipple]

Not sure this is bad but just an observation...

I have done tons of bets the last week all at 2X.  The number of bets done I don't think are relevant.  What is fascinating is I have documented at least 12 streaks of 15 greens and 0 streaks of 15 red thus allowing me longer play.  The highest streaks of red I have experienced is 11.  At some point those 12 streaks of  "15 greens" need to be paid for by matching those 12 times with the equivalent 15 reds.


Perhaps other folks are not as lucky and getting my 15 red streaks?



   

[str4wm4n]

desperation pays off
the 2nd roll was an accident...

[Mooshire]

desperation pays off
the 2nd roll was an accident...

Lol, I wish I had enough money to make HALF of that bet. I lost the last coins I had to TF on ca3.cc

[dooglus]

Not sure this is bad but just an observation...

I have done tons of bets the last week all at 2X.  The number of bets done I don't think are relevant.  What is fascinating is I have documented at least 12 streaks of 15 greens and 0 streaks of 15 red thus allowing me longer play.  The highest streaks of red I have experienced is 11.  At some point those 12 streaks of  "15 greens" need to be paid for by matching those 12 times with the equivalent 15 reds.

Perhaps other folks are not as lucky and getting my 15 red streaks?

There are plenty of streaks of red out there too.  One day you'll hit a bad one.  When it happens please try not to scream "this site is rigged!"

If you want to tell me your userid I can take a look and tell you exactly how many streaks of each length you've had.  Are you mixing up 'hi' and 'lo', or always playing the same?  If you mix it up then you can be even more sure the streaks are entirely down to luck, since your moment to moment decisions about how to roll are entirely responsible for them (except when you roll between 49.5 and 50.5 - there's nothing you can do about those ones).

[Dabs]

If you don't have the time, or patience, or fortitude, or perseverance, or stubbornness to do that, you can send your coins to me and I'll double it for you in about 2 weeks. (This is the DIGS or Dabs Investment Gambling Security.) The advantage I hold, aside from the magic seeds, are that my initial bets no longer get any delays for being above the dust levels.

You should be careful saying things like "I will double it for you" when it's quite possible that what you will really do is lose it all.  I just saw you bet and lose over 10 BTC in a single bet.  I don't know how big your 'DIGS' fund is, but I suspect that loss may have killed it.  It certainly wiped out any gains you made over your previous 1.4 million dust bets.

Beware of offering fixed returns, especially when those returns are made by gambling.  Gambling tends to be a gamble...

Ooops!

All "investors" get detailed reports on the actual returns or profits, and updated about every other day. It isn't exactly double, but we've achieved about 161% so far, up to the point of the loss. And all are aware this is a gamble to begin with (and that we can lose it all.) The 10 BTC bet that lost is a set back, but its not yet over. (All "investors" I sent you guys a PM.) I have about 12 of them, including myself, so, while at this point we lost 10 BTC collectively, individually everyone lost a bitcoin give or take a few thousand satoshis.

Of course, I have about 2 of my own coins invested in this thing, so at this point, I'm "hurting" a little bit more than everyone else in DIGS.

Also, I didn't ask for them (oh, yah I did at the start, after that previous 7th bet, but then I stopped), but then one day (after a week), someone sent me a PM ... and it started. All involved are voluntary. And through the 6 updates I've sent to all of them, the top and bottom of the message was always the warning that we can lose everything at any point along the way.

Anyone can join in, and also almost any time, anyone can opt out and withdraw, I send you back your coins and whatever share you earned up to that point.

But yes, we've been crippled severely, for now.

Still, we're very small compared to the whales and dolphins.

[DopeFish]

17:02:52 (9) <Dopefish> I got 40000001
17:02:58 (57018) <SoggyLettuce> 39999999

Congrats to Dopefish (who somewhat suspiciously suggested the promo ) and SoggyLettuce who split the prize.

The evil genius strikes again

[Hfleer]

40 Million Bets Bonus!

Investors are scrambling to put their bitcents together to offer a prize for the 40 millionth bet.

16:39:38 (1) <dooglus>  http://blockchain.info/address/15eUfpGRrwURexYfaLgyBhUuvAdzcKNeiE?filter=2#<-- collecting for 40m bet bonus - betid closest to 40m of 0.0001 or more gets the pot


Get your cents in now and make it a prize worth having!!

0.3 btc so far! Let's make this pot grow!!!

Deb

Oh, and thanks to Dopefish for getting this going!

17:02:52 (9) <Dopefish> I got 40000001
17:02:58 (57018) <SoggyLettuce> 39999999



Congrats to Dopefish (who somewhat suspiciously suggested the promo ) and SoggyLettuce who split the prize.

Nice going guys.  Was the prize 0.3 BTC or did it get higher by then?

[organofcorti]

If I have bankroll of 0.512 btc and I martingale with min bet 0.001 with the only purpose of doubling that 0.512:

Chance to double: 45.315736365781955072%
Chance to lose all: 54.684263634218044928%

Correct?

Let's say you lose it all if you ever get 9 losses in a row (1,2,4,8,16,32,64,128,256).  This isn't quite true, because even if your first 9 bets are all losses you still have 0.001 left, and if you've won some sequences before your 9 losses you'll have even more left.

And you double if you have 512 successful sequences before you hit 9 losses in a row.

I assume you're playing the 49.5% 2x game, and so your probability of hitting 9 losses in a row is 0.505**9
So your probability of any single sequence being successful is (1 - 0.505**9).
And your probability of having 512 successful sequences in a row is (1 - 0.505**9) ** 512

That's 0.3345881014449683, or about 1 in 3.

I wonder why we differ so much.

I got the same as you, dooglus - except that you've included all 512 rolls, when it's only on the 9th that the first time 9 losses in a row can occur - so you can only include rolls 9 to 512. That changes the result slightly: (1 - 0.505**9) ** 504 = 0.3403612.

A couple of extras: Since this is a series of trials with the probability of 9 losses in a row occurring being 0.505**9, the number of rolls until 9 in a row occurs is a geometrically distributed variable for  X = 1, 2, 3... - which makes expected values and confidence intervals easy to calculate.

Expected number of rolls until 9 losses in a row = 1/ 0.505**9 = 468.142

95% confidence interval for number of rolls until 9 losses in a row = 12 to 1726 rolls.

If the attempt is made multiple times, 50% of the time 9 losses in a row will occur before 325 rolls.

I wouldn't use this as an investment vehicle

[zebedee]

I just saw you bet and lose over 10 BTC in a single bet.  I don't know how big your 'DIGS' fund is, but I suspect that loss may have killed it.  It certainly wiped out any gains you made over your previous 1.4 million dust bets.

Lol

[infested999]

New possible site design offered by TempleRunAI

[nimda]

New possible site design offered by TempleRunAI

https://i.imgur.com/BrfTdIi.png

I'd prefer one that's responsive, because the site is a real pain to use on mobile (even high-end models).

[infested999]

New possible site design offered by TempleRunAI

https://i.imgur.com/BrfTdIi.png

I'd prefer one that's responsive, because the site is a real pain to use on mobile (even high-end models).

That new design is just as responsive as the current site, it's just a different color scheme.

However a lot of people seem to be using this site on mobile. Doog should just buy up ggdice.com for the mobile design.