Just-Dice.com : now with added CLAMs : Play or Invest

[dooglus]

I just woke up and see the site's server isn't responding.

I'm looking into it now and will report back.

See http://just-dice.blogspot.ca/2014/01/j-d-down.html for more details.

The site is back up and running now.

Sorry for the downtime.

[aksplace]

Mathematicians odds please 

[organofcorti]

Mathematicians odds please 
<img snip >

The listed bets wont be all the bets the player made. Do you have a copy of the actual series of bets?

[Mivexil]

Mathematicians odds please 

http://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=probability+of+at+most+3+successes+in+12+tries+with+p%3D0.739

0.05%. Somebody was crap out of luck that day, but it happens.

[aksplace]

Mathematicians odds please  

http://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=probability+of+at+most+3+successes+in+12+tries+with+p%3D0.739

0.05%. Somebody was crap out of luck that day, but it happens.

Thanks for that link, we need to get something like that. According to that page shouldn't the possibility of occurrence at most be .0005%? So the "law of probability"
 of this martingale in this run at most 3 successes in 11 tries with p=0.85 would be Probability of occurrence: 0.0000275524%

[FUR11]

Mathematicians odds please  

Let's see here...on any given bet, the player has a 26.1193% chance of losing and a 73.8807% chance of winning.

Over a sample of 12 rolls:

2.64% of the time the player will win all 12.
11.2% of the time the player will go 11-1
21.81% of the time the player will go 10-2
25.71% of the time the player will go 9-3
20.45% of the time the player will go 8-4
11.57% of the time the player will go 7-5
4.77% of the time the player will go 6-6
1.45% of the time the player will go 5-7
.32% of the time the player will go 4-8
.0502% of the time the player will go 3-9
.0053232% of the time the player will go 2-10
.0003422% of the time the player will go 1-11
.0000101% of the time the player will go 0-12

So if your question is "what are the odds that over 12 rolls you'd win 3 or fewer times", the answer would be .0558755% of the time.  Or once every 1790 sets of 12 rolls (on average).

[aksplace]

Mathematicians odds please  

Let's see here...on any given bet, the player has a 26.1193% chance of losing and a 73.8807% chance of winning.

Over a sample of 12 rolls:

2.64% of the time the player will win all 12.
11.2% of the time the player will go 11-1
21.81% of the time the player will go 10-2
25.71% of the time the player will go 9-3
20.45% of the time the player will go 8-4
11.57% of the time the player will go 7-5
4.77% of the time the player will go 6-6
1.45% of the time the player will go 5-7
.32% of the time the player will go 4-8
.0502% of the time the player will go 3-9
.0053232% of the time the player will go 2-10
.0003422% of the time the player will go 1-11
.0000101% of the time the player will go 0-12

So if your question is "what are the odds that over 12 rolls you'd win 3 or fewer times", the answer would be .0558755% of the time.  Or once every 1790 sets of 12 rolls (on average).

Thanks, probability of at most 1 successes in 5 tries with p=0.9591 Probability of occurrence: 0.0000135337..

Again thanks, was wondering

[FUR11]

Mathematicians odds please  

Let's see here...on any given bet, the player has a 26.1193% chance of losing and a 73.8807% chance of winning.

Over a sample of 12 rolls:

2.64% of the time the player will win all 12.
11.2% of the time the player will go 11-1
21.81% of the time the player will go 10-2
25.71% of the time the player will go 9-3
20.45% of the time the player will go 8-4
11.57% of the time the player will go 7-5
4.77% of the time the player will go 6-6
1.45% of the time the player will go 5-7
.32% of the time the player will go 4-8
.0502% of the time the player will go 3-9
.0053232% of the time the player will go 2-10
.0003422% of the time the player will go 1-11
.0000101% of the time the player will go 0-12

So if your question is "what are the odds that over 12 rolls you'd win 3 or fewer times", the answer would be .0558755% of the time.  Or once every 1790 sets of 12 rolls (on average).

Thanks, probability of at most 1 successes in 5 tries with p=0.9591 Probability of occurrence: 0.0000135337..

Again thanks, was wondering

No prob.  Any excuse for me to manually do a bunch of math I'll take.  Because I'm very cool.

[aksplace]

Mathematicians odds please  

Let's see here...on any given bet, the player has a 26.1193% chance of losing and a 73.8807% chance of winning.

Over a sample of 12 rolls:

2.64% of the time the player will win all 12.
11.2% of the time the player will go 11-1
21.81% of the time the player will go 10-2
25.71% of the time the player will go 9-3
20.45% of the time the player will go 8-4
11.57% of the time the player will go 7-5
4.77% of the time the player will go 6-6
1.45% of the time the player will go 5-7
.32% of the time the player will go 4-8
.0502% of the time the player will go 3-9
.0053232% of the time the player will go 2-10
.0003422% of the time the player will go 1-11
.0000101% of the time the player will go 0-12

So if your question is "what are the odds that over 12 rolls you'd win 3 or fewer times", the answer would be .0558755% of the time.  Or once every 1790 sets of 12 rolls (on average).

Thanks, probability of at most 1 successes in 5 tries with p=0.9591 Probability of occurrence: 0.0000135337..

Again thanks, was wondering

No prob.  Any excuse for me to manually do a bunch of math I'll take.  Because I'm very cool.

Would you continue to martingale from this position?

[FUR11]

Would you continue to martingale from this position?

Me personally, when I'm playing gambling games with a house edge > 0, I'm playing to gamble.  So yeah I'd martingale until I bust haha.  But, you know, mathematics wise...you're going to lose in the long run.  If you start with a very very small amount and have a very very large bankroll with a very very high max bet, it'll take (probably) a very long time for that long run to be reached...but every bet IS a losing bet.

[aksplace]

Would you continue to martingale from this position?

Me personally, when I'm playing gambling games with a house edge > 0, I'm playing to gamble.  So yeah I'd martingale until I bust haha.  But, you know, mathematics wise...you're going to lose in the long run.  If you start with a very very small amount and have a very very large bankroll with a very very high max bet, it'll take (probably) a very long time for that long run to be reached...but every bet IS a losing bet.

assuming just-dice still keeps the same seed right?

[FUR11]

Would you continue to martingale from this position?

Me personally, when I'm playing gambling games with a house edge > 0, I'm playing to gamble.  So yeah I'd martingale until I bust haha.  But, you know, mathematics wise...you're going to lose in the long run.  If you start with a very very small amount and have a very very large bankroll with a very very high max bet, it'll take (probably) a very long time for that long run to be reached...but every bet IS a losing bet.

assuming just-dice still keeps the same seed right?

I'll admit I know next to nothing about the seed stuff.  I would assume that the odds are the same no matter what the seed is, but again I really don't understand that side of btc.

[imdabest239]

https://sites.google.com/site/likalost2200btc/ This is why i don't gamble dice.

[waqas]

https://sites.google.com/site/likalost2200btc/ This is why i don't gamble dice.

its a big win for dice but my investment is still in big -negative I am very upset about this

[superresistant]

https://sites.google.com/site/likalost2200btc/ This is why i don't gamble dice.

Fuck. This is a lot of money.

[Kyraishi]

https://sites.google.com/site/likalost2200btc/ This is why i don't gamble dice.

its a big win for dice but my investment is still in big -negative I am very upset about this

how are you in red after jd's profit bumping from 11500btc to 13113btc?

[djarot]

https://sites.google.com/site/likalost2200btc/ This is why i don't gamble dice.

Holyyy 

[MoneyGod]

https://sites.google.com/site/likalost2200btc/ This is why i don't gamble dice.

Holyyy 

some one try all life but have nothing like this and this person lost all in just a hour I am still in shocked for him

[RGBKey]

I really wonder what his background was. Early adopter? Invested a lot early? We probably will never know.

[waqas]

https://sites.google.com/site/likalost2200btc/ This is why i don't gamble dice.

its a big win for dice but my investment is still in big -negative I am very upset about this

how are you in red after jd's profit bumping from 11500btc to 13113btc?

I never understand this because after investing I never been in green