wetsuit (OP)
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 981
Merit: 1026
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March 27, 2014, 09:10:00 AM |
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wetsuit, could you please implement a feature that would allow automatic sharing? Once I almost forgot to share the commissions. The time had run out but you hadn't yet sent the money, so I was just in time... Sure, i'll add that in the next update.
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Luror
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March 27, 2014, 01:27:54 PM |
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63% after 20,000rolls means the probability is greater than 1/20,000
I calculated "63% after 20,000 rolls" exactly from 1/20,000 probability It's how probabilities work: if probability of an event is 1/n, and you perform n trials (and n is a big number), usually you'll get ~ 63% probability of getting an event at least once, because 1 - 1/e ~ 0.63 (if you would do the math, it's easy to show this is the limit when n->infinity). ***People that have a lot of affiliates don't even get one of their affiliate to roll 10,000 : Amount won-number of affiliates 6-0.25252830 BTC 7748 7-0.20269780 BTC 1059 8-0.20220446 BTC 1182 9-0.19664634 BTC 575
The important number here is a total amount of rolls by all affiliates, if most of those 8000 affiliates done just a few rolls, this isn't so strange.
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BTC: 1DzAEtLoFxqmJoNH5ZYHyWxaSNYUGKf2S6
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boumalo
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 1904
Merit: 1018
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March 27, 2014, 03:34:44 PM |
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63% after 20,000rolls means the probability is greater than 1/20,000
I calculated "63% after 20,000 rolls" exactly from 1/20,000 probability It's how probabilities work: if probability of an event is 1/n, and you perform n trials (and n is a big number), usually you'll get ~ 63% probability of getting an event at least once, because 1 - 1/e ~ 0.63 (if you would do the math, it's easy to show this is the limit when n->infinity). ***People that have a lot of affiliates don't even get one of their affiliate to roll 10,000 : Amount won-number of affiliates 6-0.25252830 BTC 7748 7-0.20269780 BTC 1059 8-0.20220446 BTC 1182 9-0.19664634 BTC 575
The important number here is a total amount of rolls by all affiliates, if most of those 8000 affiliates done just a few rolls, this isn't so strange. It is possible that those affiliates only did a few rolls each but my affiliates still do more than 1roll/each/week after 2months so I presumed they got similar stats but all affiliates may not be created equal You are right for the 63% I remembered it being 53-58% but your math is correct here; 1/20,000 is pretty good, let's roll! Can you calculate how much he get from publicity per roll compared to how much he gives away?
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Luror
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March 31, 2014, 03:13:56 PM |
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Can you calculate how much he get from publicity per roll compared to how much he gives away?
Too many unknowns, do you want to start a similar faucet? I can tell you probabilities of payouts, and therefore average payout from one roll (without referrals): [0 - 9885]: ~ 1/20000 + 9885/10000 = 0.98855 [9886 - 9985] ~ (9985-9886+1)/10000 = 0.01 (~ once per 100 rolls) [9986 - 9993] ~ (9993-9986+1)/10000 = 0.0008 (~ once per 1250 rolls) [9994 - 9997] ~ (9997-9994+1)/10000 = 0.0004 (~ once per 2500 rolls) [9998 - 9999] ~ (9999-9998+1)/10000 = 0.0002 (~ once per 5000 rolls) [10000] ~ 1/20000 = 0.00005 (~ once per 20 000 rolls) sanity check: 0.98855+0.01+0.0008+0.0004+0.0002+0.00005 = 1 average payout (using values right now): (0.98855*0.00000438)+(0.01*0.00004376)+(0.0008*0.00043764)+(0.0004*0.00437637)+(0.0002*0.04376368)+(0.00005*0.43763676) = 0.00003750 BTC Whoa, that's much bigger than I thought, but math checks out, it seems.
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BTC: 1DzAEtLoFxqmJoNH5ZYHyWxaSNYUGKf2S6
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saif92
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March 31, 2014, 03:36:57 PM |
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This week I have pay on Sunday thanks for fourth payout
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boumalo
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 1904
Merit: 1018
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March 31, 2014, 05:55:56 PM |
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Can you calculate how much he get from publicity per roll compared to how much he gives away?
Too many unknowns, do you want to start a similar faucet? I can tell you probabilities of payouts, and therefore average payout from one roll (without referrals): [0 - 9885]: ~ 1/20000 + 9885/10000 = 0.98855 [9886 - 9985] ~ (9985-9886+1)/10000 = 0.01 (~ once per 100 rolls) [9986 - 9993] ~ (9993-9986+1)/10000 = 0.0008 (~ once per 1250 rolls) [9994 - 9997] ~ (9997-9994+1)/10000 = 0.0004 (~ once per 2500 rolls) [9998 - 9999] ~ (9999-9998+1)/10000 = 0.0002 (~ once per 5000 rolls) [10000] ~ 1/20000 = 0.00005 (~ once per 20 000 rolls) sanity check: 0.98855+0.01+0.0008+0.0004+0.0002+0.00005 = 1 average payout (using values right now): (0.98855*0.00000438)+(0.01*0.00004376)+(0.0008*0.00043764)+(0.0004*0.00437637)+(0.0002*0.04376368)+(0.00005*0.43763676) = 0.00003750 BTC Whoa, that's much bigger than I thought, but math checks out, it seems. Thanks for the calculation! Average return of 3750 per roll and people may do 10 banner impressions in average because of the multiply game and 1000impressions need to earn him 0.00375 not counting what he gets back with the multiply game, what he gives to refs and costs, that's a lot to get from 1000impressions 1.5millions impressions get them 5.5BTC on bitcointalk atm : https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=526958.0
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MoneyGod
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March 31, 2014, 08:56:06 PM |
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My luck turning in good for me today I have some good pay from this faucet thanks OP for this great opportunity in free for us
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wetsuit (OP)
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 981
Merit: 1026
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April 02, 2014, 07:01:34 AM |
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The website went down today for about 3.5 hours because a datacenter employee accidentally switched off the server while moving some other servers that I own. I wasn't online to fix this immediately and so the downtime was much longer than what it should have been. Please accept my apologies for the inconvenience. Everything should be back up and working fine now.
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TheMrMiku
Newbie
Offline
Activity: 1
Merit: 0
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April 02, 2014, 08:29:14 PM |
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1F6CHfvBv9D1jv2bRvQ7hbp3vD4xchZZTQ
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saif92
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April 03, 2014, 08:42:27 PM |
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1F6CHfvBv9D1jv2bRvQ7hbp3vD4xchZZTQ
this is not giveaway go to site and take your coins every hour its really one of best faucet freebitco.in
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rikkie
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April 05, 2014, 06:17:25 PM |
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Love this faucet as well. Uses this one very often.
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MoneyGod
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April 05, 2014, 06:35:01 PM |
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Love this faucet as well. Uses this one very often.
I am also in Love with this because last week have some little amount but this week its going very good for me
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rasungan
Newbie
Offline
Activity: 1
Merit: 0
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April 07, 2014, 05:37:12 AM |
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1EXHQ2FZ4PsDsafvmWHYktXhGF6zfXg6JF
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Holdaaja
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 1274
Merit: 1000
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April 07, 2014, 07:21:26 AM |
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1EXHQ2FZ4PsDsafvmWHYktXhGF6zfXg6JF
No giveaway at here. Go to freebitco.in.
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boumalo
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 1904
Merit: 1018
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April 07, 2014, 11:46:23 AM |
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Love this faucet as well. Uses this one very often.
I am also in Love with this because last week have some little amount but this week its going very good for me I bet you got lucky playing the multiply btc game
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phpTaskForce
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April 07, 2014, 05:33:19 PM |
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Love this faucet as well. Uses this one very often.
I am also in Love with this because last week have some little amount but this week its going very good for me I bet you got lucky playing the multiply btc game I guess he was using our popular betting script
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Holdaaja
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 1274
Merit: 1000
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April 07, 2014, 05:37:27 PM |
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Love this faucet as well. Uses this one very often.
I am also in Love with this because last week have some little amount but this week its going very good for me I bet you got lucky playing the multiply btc game I guess he was using our popular betting script So, is this script allowed now or not? Wetsuit pleas answer.
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wetsuit (OP)
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 981
Merit: 1026
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April 07, 2014, 05:47:05 PM |
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Love this faucet as well. Uses this one very often.
I am also in Love with this because last week have some little amount but this week its going very good for me I bet you got lucky playing the multiply btc game I guess he was using our popular betting script So, is this script allowed now or not? Wetsuit pleas answer. Well the first line in the TOS states that bots are not allowed but i do not mind them as long as they stay within certain limits and do not cause excessive database load. This is for bots being used in the Multiply BTC game. As for the Free Play game, if you are found using a bot, your account will be deleted.
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Holdaaja
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 1274
Merit: 1000
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April 07, 2014, 05:48:40 PM |
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Love this faucet as well. Uses this one very often.
I am also in Love with this because last week have some little amount but this week its going very good for me I bet you got lucky playing the multiply btc game I guess he was using our popular betting script So, is this script allowed now or not? Wetsuit pleas answer. Well the first line in the TOS states that bots are not allowed but i do not mind them as long as they stay within certain limits and do not cause excessive database load. This is for bots being used in the Multiply BTC game. As for the Free Play game, if you are found using a bot, your account will be deleted. Okay, thanks for fast answer
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bitwinwin
Newbie
Offline
Activity: 16
Merit: 0
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April 13, 2014, 02:23:58 AM |
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Can I have a bonus please... 1Hd1znzk5MkUkVuz38ZTBSWf5XrKK6jXP2 And by the way, I didn't receive my payout today.
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