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Author Topic: NBA 2023-2024 betting  (Read 116444 times)
stadus (OP)
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February 14, 2024, 02:52:28 PM
 #14761

Updated record 15-9 (63%) ---It's a profitable day, we are (2-1)


Let's continue.

Pick 1 : Magic +3.5 Loss
They won their last 2 games, the last game vs the Bulls went to OT but they still manage to win and cover. Later, they are hosting the OKC which beat them on their last meeting on the road, I think they are up for a revenge and will take the win. Magic remained to have a good home record with 17-7, I'm backing based on the stats.

Pick 2 : Suns -5 Push
Sacramento hasn't been good on the road, while the Suns came from a loss vs the hot Warriors, I feel they're gonna bounce back strong at home.

Pick 3 : Bucks -8 Loss
Although Bucks are on a back to back game after a blowout win vs Denver Nuggets. I feel their confidence now is back after beating the defending champion. Miami is still playing without Butler, I see another double digit win by the home team here.
Updated record 15-11 (58%) ---got 0-2 since the Suns pick ended as push. Big drop on the winning percentage as well, so let's bounce back.

Pick 1 Cavaliers -9.5
They loss to Sixers on their first game back at home, now it's time for them to start winning. The spread is high but they have been covering the high spread when they are winning.

Pick 2 Indiana -4
Loss to charlotte, I'm expecting them to beat the Raptors on the road.

Pick 3 Denver -5
Also coming from 2 losses on the road, one from the team that they'll be hosting the Sacramento Kings. Nuggets are fresh here while Kings are on a back to back game. Murray is listed as doubtful, I think if he will not play they'll be fine as there are lots that would step up on a must win game.

Pick 4 Warriors -3
Warriors has been hot and are on a winning streak. Clippers though needs to bounce back but since they are without Kawhi Leonard. I like to continue following the Warriors hoping their win streak will continue, they are on 5 win streak now.

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February 14, 2024, 05:08:18 PM
 #14762

1. Knicks +3: The status of DiVincenzo is unknown, but the Knicks continue to play without Randle. This is the ideal opportunity for them to get back into the winning segment. Magic stays as the team to beat with a 68% success rate in its home base. But Magic lost yesterday and will play again today while the Knicks squad is refreshed.

2. Heat +3.5: With a 123-97 end score, the Heat easily burned the Bucks in Milwaukee on Tuesday. Heat will do it again on the much lesser 76ers.

3. Indiana -4: The two teams lost their last matches. But the Raptors are not going anywhere this season. The Pacers lost to the Hornets however the squad will not allow another one from the bottom of the rating.

Ever since I was recording my bets, I am 1 and 2 but I am putting in more effort to win.

MEGA

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February 14, 2024, 06:13:28 PM
 #14763

I like the odds on a 4-game parlay today.

Bostons Celtics to beat the Brooklyn Nets
New Orleans Pelicans to beat the Washington Wizards
Dallas Mavericks to beat the San Antonio Spurs
Phoenix Suns to beat the Detroit Pistons

All of those games should be easy wins. It would take a pretty big upset to lose this parlay, but nothing is set in stone.

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February 15, 2024, 01:22:34 PM
 #14764

I like the odds on a 4-game parlay today.

Bostons Celtics to beat the Brooklyn Nets
New Orleans Pelicans to beat the Washington Wizards
Dallas Mavericks to beat the San Antonio Spurs
Phoenix Suns to beat the Detroit Pistons

All of those games should be easy wins. It would take a pretty big upset to lose this parlay, but nothing is set in stone.

You got a win on that parlay. What was the total odds of that 4 legged parlay if you don't mind me asking? Everything was easy except for the NO Pelicans bet since Wizards are staying in the game and the Pelicans could not dominate them as they only win by 7 points, didn't even cover the point spread.

I guess I would love to tail with your pick, do you have a new one for tomorrow?

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February 15, 2024, 02:46:32 PM
 #14765

Darn it! I put good money for the Warriors and they lost in the last quarter of the game. Grr.
Here are my results for the day.

Philadelphia 76ers - Miami Heat - Philadelphia 76ers (-3.5) - Loss! My mistake. Their bench is still energetic despite the back-to-back game.
Charlotte Hornets - Atlanta Hawks - Atlanta Hawks (-4.5) - Loss! The Hawks are just too inconsistent right now. Hornets on their 4th game winning streak.
Orlando Magic - New York Knicks - Orlando Magic (-1.5) - Win! Just as I thought, they cannot handle the healthy Magic.
Toronto Raptors - Indiana Pacers - Indiana Pacers (-1.5) - Win! 2-point game. Yey. Luckily I didn't go greedy.
Boston Celtics - Brooklyn Nets - Boston Celtics (-11.5) - Win! Oh yeah, this was pretty obvious.
Cleveland Cavaliers - Chicago Bulls - Cleveland Cavaliers (-10.5) - Loss! The Cavs still managed to win the game despite being behind the whole game. Did not cover the spreads though.
New Orleans Pelicans - Washington Wizards - New Orleans Pelicans (-10.5) - Loss! Did not cover either. Oh, and Zion played with a monster 36 points.
Memphis Grizzlies - Houston Rockets - Houston Rockets (-1.5) - Loss!

And more losses from the Nuggets and the Warriors. A very bad day for me. My parlays are also broken early by the Hawks. Damn!
It will be difficult to win it all back as the All-Star break is near unless I increase my bet amount in the last 3 games.

Later, 3 games only.
Here are my picks.

Utah Jazz - Golden State Warriors - Golden State Warriors (-1.5) They may be exhausted but their bench is a strong one. And they will have a long break so might as well win this before they go rest and enjoy the All-Star.
Memphis Grizzlies - Milwaukee Bucks - Milwaukee Bucks (-10.5) - The Grizzlies are exhausted, maybe it's time the Bucks win again. Being beaten by the Miami bench is frustrating, this will build their confidence up.
Portland Trail Blazers - Minnesota Timberwolves - Minnesota Timberwolves (-10.5) - The Wolves trying to preserve the top spot in the West. They will win this. With how much is the question?

Good luck everyone, have a nice day.

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February 15, 2024, 06:40:22 PM
 #14766

I like the odds on a 4-game parlay today.

Bostons Celtics to beat the Brooklyn Nets
New Orleans Pelicans to beat the Washington Wizards
Dallas Mavericks to beat the San Antonio Spurs
Phoenix Suns to beat the Detroit Pistons

All of those games should be easy wins. It would take a pretty big upset to lose this parlay, but nothing is set in stone.

You got a win on that parlay. What was the total odds of that 4 legged parlay if you don't mind me asking? Everything was easy except for the NO Pelicans bet since Wizards are staying in the game and the Pelicans could not dominate them as they only win by 7 points, didn't even cover the point spread.

I guess I would love to tail with your pick, do you have a new one for tomorrow?

The odds weren’t great but it was more than a double. I believe that makes 2 or 3 parlay wins in a row for me now. Arguably I just go for the mismatches because it’s fun to win. Tonight I’ll be going with the Bucks to beat the Grizzlies and the Timberwolves to beat the Trail Blazers. Odds on those games aren’t great either.

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February 15, 2024, 07:06:17 PM
 #14767

I like the odds on a 4-game parlay today.

Bostons Celtics to beat the Brooklyn Nets
New Orleans Pelicans to beat the Washington Wizards
Dallas Mavericks to beat the San Antonio Spurs
Phoenix Suns to beat the Detroit Pistons

All of those games should be easy wins. It would take a pretty big upset to lose this parlay, but nothing is set in stone.

You got a win on that parlay. What was the total odds of that 4 legged parlay if you don't mind me asking? Everything was easy except for the NO Pelicans bet since Wizards are staying in the game and the Pelicans could not dominate them as they only win by 7 points, didn't even cover the point spread.

I guess I would love to tail with your pick, do you have a new one for tomorrow?

The odds weren’t great but it was more than a double. I believe that makes 2 or 3 parlay wins in a row for me now. Arguably I just go for the mismatches because it’s fun to win. Tonight I’ll be going with the Bucks to beat the Grizzlies and the Timberwolves to beat the Trail Blazers. Odds on those games aren’t great either.

you will miss the chance. while you are already risking, you just have to give it all. hope for the best. i was about to try out 2 of your bets and then 2 more on football and 2 more on cricket games to parlay them all. just taking all that is suggested in the threads.  because 2 is just not very fun.



parlays are where you bet an amount you can afford to lose but are also worth 5x the when you hit.













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February 15, 2024, 07:14:19 PM
 #14768

Only one game with close odds and that is Utah Jazz vs Golden State Warriors. Both the teams playing back to back games and both teams lost their game. Warriors are slightly fav in this game with 1.8x odds but are the away team. Still 1.8x looks tempting enough to go for it. Just need Curry to show up at crucial moments and we are good.

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February 15, 2024, 07:29:02 PM
 #14769

^_^
I thought that the Warriors will make a big win against the Philadelphia 76ers after that 5 consecutive winning streaks it was halted by the 76ers, well I really thought that the Warriors will win Stephen Curry got 41 points and Brandin Podziemski got 25 points for this game while Jonathan Kuminga and Andrew Wiggins had a hard time although they also performed that well it was not enough for the Warriors to make it big this time it was like Stephen Curry is the one that is carrying the Warriors in his back, but it is still a close which the 76ers have 5 points lead against the Warriors.



Now this is my 1st time making my pick, and I was amazed with the winning for your picks and bets for today's game we got 3 games

Memphis Grizzlies VS Milwaukee Bucks

Milwaukee Bucks (1.15) - for sure the Milwaukee Bucks are getting on with their great game and Giannis Antetokounmpo will get another win but right now Giannis Antetokounmpo and Damian Lillard are both questionable at the moment but because Ja Morant is out and there are a lot of players in the Memphis right now that can not play for this game and so my pick is the Milwaukee Bucks winning this game.

Utah Jazz VS Golden State Warriors

Golden State Warriors (1.79) - The new and improved Warriors are making their way again, and after their loss to the 76ers I think that they will make another comeback right now The Utah Jazz is at their 100% going into this game while the Warriors got Chris Paul had a hand injury and can not play for the Warriors I guess the Warriors really needed the point GOD, but because the Warriors won their recent game against the Utah Jazz this could also become a win for the Warriors, so my pick is the Golden State Warriors.

Portland Trail Blazers VS Minnesota Timberwolves

Minnesota Timberwolves (1.22) - The Trail Blazers right now have a lot of problems with their injuries Malcolm Brogdon, and Shaedon Sharpe are a few of the many injuries that the Trail Blazers have, while Jaylen Clark is the only players that can not play for the Timberwolves, right now the Minnesota Timberwolves is making their more while the Trail Blazers ere not looking good at all.
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February 15, 2024, 07:48:20 PM
 #14770

Only one game with close odds and that is Utah Jazz vs Golden State Warriors. Both the teams playing back to back games and both teams lost their game. Warriors are slightly fav in this game with 1.8x odds but are the away team. Still 1.8x looks tempting enough to go for it. Just need Curry to show up at crucial moments and we are good.
I gonna choose Warriors in this match even it is away game for Warriors. I know Warriors lose in their previous games against Los Angeles Clippers just because Warriors didn't played well in forth quarter. Really thought that Warriors gonna win that match because Warriors managed to lead 15+.atfer 3rd quarter. And I remember in 4th quarter Clippers manage to 15-3 run.

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February 15, 2024, 09:28:24 PM
 #14771

Only one game with close odds and that is Utah Jazz vs Golden State Warriors. Both the teams playing back to back games and both teams lost their game. Warriors are slightly fav in this game with 1.8x odds but are the away team. Still 1.8x looks tempting enough to go for it. Just need Curry to show up at crucial moments and we are good.

Yes, ML will be enough for this game, I will also go with this one (I'm back betting on the NBA again).

I'm looking at the Bucks vs Memphis game, initial handicap is -9.5 for the Bucks, maybe this is a trap, so I'm taking Memphis +11.5 @1.91, seems appealing to me.

Wolves vs Portland, Minnessota beat them the last time and cover the spread, but it was close game till the 4th quarter when Timberwolves pour everything and win by a huge margin, -7.5 @1.68.

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February 15, 2024, 10:00:48 PM
 #14772

I don't like any of these 3 games that are on tonight.  Clippers hooked it up for me in the 4th quarter last night.  Dubs are definitely going in the wrong direction at this point.  I know he wants to be a warrior for life but steph might want to think about moving on to end his career their future doesn't look any brighter anytime soon.

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February 15, 2024, 10:45:24 PM
Last edit: February 16, 2024, 04:04:14 AM by morvillz7z
 #14773

V. Williams Jr. 5+ assists / M. Beasley 2+ 3pts @1.83  won

Vince Williams Jr. is SG/SF who's been getting a lot of minutes playing the point for the Grizzlies. I hope Bucks won't be too arsed to play defense tonight just days before the All-Star Weekend. Regardless if it's a blowout or not kid is locked to get 35+ minutes of action. He's covered 5+ assists in 5/L5 (averaging 7.4 in that period).

Beasley has covered 2+ 3pts in 4/L5, he and Lillard will compete in the three-point contest, so perhaps a shootout between the two? This game gonna make a great practice since the Grizz defense is non-existent, they give a shit ton of open looks from three.

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February 16, 2024, 01:23:31 AM
 #14774

Only one game with close odds and that is Utah Jazz vs Golden State Warriors. Both the teams playing back to back games and both teams lost their game. Warriors are slightly fav in this game with 1.8x odds but are the away team. Still 1.8x looks tempting enough to go for it. Just need Curry to show up at crucial moments and we are good.

And 40 minutes before the game, the odds lowered to 1.74. I should have bet early when it was still 1.8x.

But in any case, still attractive though, so I did put a bet on them. It's not about the Warriors, its that their opponent, the Jazz has been struggling on their last couple of games and then don't known how to take advantage of Lauri Markkanen in the paint.

Only few games that Curry didn't show up, it's more on Klay Thompson to bring back his game here.

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February 16, 2024, 03:39:22 AM
 #14775

Only one game with close odds and that is Utah Jazz vs Golden State Warriors. Both the teams playing back to back games and both teams lost their game. Warriors are slightly fav in this game with 1.8x odds but are the away team. Still 1.8x looks tempting enough to go for it. Just need Curry to show up at crucial moments and we are good.

And 40 minutes before the game, the odds lowered to 1.74. I should have bet early when it was still 1.8x.

But in any case, still attractive though, so I did put a bet on them. It's not about the Warriors, its that their opponent, the Jazz has been struggling on their last couple of games and then don't known how to take advantage of Lauri Markkanen in the paint.

Only few games that Curry didn't show up, it's more on Klay Thompson to bring back his game here.

Curry was probably tired but good thing Thompson played with great percentage of shooting. I think it will be the same output on their last meeting, Warriors won't allow to loss here after a disappointing loss against the Clippers. They have a very comfortable lead now, if they'll melt again and allow the Jazz for a comeback win, another criticism will be incoming.

On the other game, Timberwolves vs Portland, end of 1st quarter and Timberwolves are already up by 30 points.

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February 16, 2024, 05:26:52 AM
 #14776

V. Williams Jr. 5+ assists / M. Beasley 2+ 3pts @1.83  won

Vince Williams Jr. is SG/SF who's been getting a lot of minutes playing the point for the Grizzlies. I hope Bucks won't be too arsed to play defense tonight just days before the All-Star Weekend. Regardless if it's a blowout or not kid is locked to get 35+ minutes of action. He's covered 5+ assists in 5/L5 (averaging 7.4 in that period).

Beasley has covered 2+ 3pts in 4/L5, he and Lillard will compete in the three-point contest, so perhaps a shootout between the two? This game gonna make a great practice since the Grizz defense is non-existent, they give a shit ton of open looks from three.

Congratulations on that one mate, Memphis Grizzlies team really stepped so that Malik Beasley 2+ 3pts was really a close one, wasn't it ? dude shot 1/7 all night long from the 3pt range, he made his 2nd 3pt shot with just 46 seconds left on the clock, and he got one more immediately on the Bucks next possession with just 15 seconds interval, If it were to me I probably would have called it a night, because I was expecting Damian Lillard to be the one take those 2 3pts to close the margin of game.

Grats one more!

-----------------------------

What are your thoughts on NBA All Star Night ? Who you for the 3 point contest and the Slam dunk as well, could KAT pull this off again like he did a few years, I remember vividly how we had that conversation right on this thread.

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February 16, 2024, 07:22:31 AM
 #14777


What are your thoughts on NBA All Star Night ? Who you for the 3 point contest and the Slam dunk as well, could KAT pull this off again like he did a few years, I remember vividly how we had that conversation right on this thread.

Based on my obseravation in the past, the heavy favorites doesn't win most of the time (not sure with the stats here).

I'm not interested betting on the slam dunk but I'll be watching it. However, with 3 point contest, I'm sure I'll land my bet on the player that I find has a good stroke with attractive odds.

here's the odds for the contest.

Quote
The NBA 3-Point Contest at Lucas Oil Stadium is the second event of All-Star Saturday, with the overall festivities set to begin at 8 p.m. ET. Lillard is the betting favorite at +475, with Haliburton listed at +550 in the latest 2024 3-Point Contest odds. Trae Young, Malik Beasley, Jalen Brunson, and Karl-Anthony Towns are listed at +600, with Lauri Markkanen at +650 and Donovan Mitchell at +700. Before making any 2024 3-Point Contest picks, be sure to check out the 2024 NBA All-Star Weekend predictions and betting advice from SportsLine expert Matt Severance.
https://www.cbssports.com/nba/news/2024-3-point-contest-predictions-odds-start-time-nba-all-star-weekend-picks-best-bets-from-proven-expert/

I think I'll take Trae Young with +600.

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jakelyson
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February 16, 2024, 09:36:03 AM
 #14778

Curry was probably tired but good thing Thompson played with great percentage of shooting. I think it will be the same output on their last meeting, Warriors won't allow to loss here after a disappointing loss against the Clippers. They have a very comfortable lead now, if they'll melt again and allow the Jazz for a comeback win, another criticism will be incoming.

On the other game, Timberwolves vs Portland, end of 1st quarter and Timberwolves are already up by 30 points.

Both Klay Thompson and Draymond Green save the Warrior's Asses, and the truth is those three are still the main line-up when the going gets tough for the Warriors but a sure thing about the Warrior's line-up if the main player Stephen Curry can not carry the whole team there are players that still can make it right, and against the Utah Jazz that consists of new players as well Jordan Clarkson didn't show his potential towards the game While Keyonte George right now is getting his career high in this game and just like the Warriors the new players is showing good potentials.

And right now it is another long break for the NBA because they are readying it for the NBA All-Star event,


Congratulations on that one mate, Memphis Grizzlies team really stepped so that Malik Beasley 2+ 3pts was really a close one, wasn't it ? dude shot 1/7 all night long from the 3pt range, he made his 2nd 3pt shot with just 46 seconds left on the clock, and he got one more immediately on the Bucks next possession with just 15 seconds interval, If it were to me I probably would have called it a night, because I was expecting Damian Lillard to be the one take those 2 3pts to close the margin of game.

Grats one more!

-----------------------------

What are your thoughts on NBA All Star Night ? Who you for the 3 point contest and the Slam dunk as well, could KAT pull this off again like he did a few years, I remember vividly how we had that conversation right on this thread.

It was really unexpected because the Memphis Grizzlies is not a team that would likely make an upset game and against the Milwaukee Bucks of all the teams for them to take that upset game and because of this I think I am glad that I haven't made a bet for this game as I would surely take the side of the Milwaukee Bucks over the Memphis Grizzlies that doesn't have Ja Morant, Desmond Bane, Marcus Smart, Derrick Rose, for sure most players of the Memphis Grizzlies can not play so for sure this is really unusual.

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February 16, 2024, 10:13:37 AM
 #14779

Only one game with close odds and that is Utah Jazz vs Golden State Warriors. Both the teams playing back to back games and both teams lost their game. Warriors are slightly fav in this game with 1.8x odds but are the away team. Still 1.8x looks tempting enough to go for it. Just need Curry to show up at crucial moments and we are good.

Yes, ML will be enough for this game, I will also go with this one (I'm back betting on the NBA again).

I'm looking at the Bucks vs Memphis game, initial handicap is -9.5 for the Bucks, maybe this is a trap, so I'm taking Memphis +11.5 @1.91, seems appealing to me.

Wolves vs Portland, Minnessota beat them the last time and cover the spread, but it was close game till the 4th quarter when Timberwolves pour everything and win by a huge margin, -7.5 @1.68.

Great bet on this one mate, 3/3 perfect.

The big upset here is the Bucks, they try to make a comeback and avoid this upset. But they fell short.

In the Warriors game, I thought that they are going to choke, they allow the Jazz to make a comeback and they almost force a OT in this game. The Jazz has a lot of chance to tie the score but they can't make that important 3 point shot.

R


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Viscore
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February 16, 2024, 10:50:43 AM
 #14780

Only one game with close odds and that is Utah Jazz vs Golden State Warriors. Both the teams playing back to back games and both teams lost their game. Warriors are slightly fav in this game with 1.8x odds but are the away team. Still 1.8x looks tempting enough to go for it. Just need Curry to show up at crucial moments and we are good.

Yes, ML will be enough for this game, I will also go with this one (I'm back betting on the NBA again).

I'm looking at the Bucks vs Memphis game, initial handicap is -9.5 for the Bucks, maybe this is a trap, so I'm taking Memphis +11.5 @1.91, seems appealing to me.

Wolves vs Portland, Minnessota beat them the last time and cover the spread, but it was close game till the 4th quarter when Timberwolves pour everything and win by a huge margin, -7.5 @1.68.

Great bet on this one mate, 3/3 perfect.

The big upset here is the Bucks, they try to make a comeback and avoid this upset. But they fell short.
They don't have the momentum and they are quite inconsistent recently, so it wasn't surprising at all. The last shot attempt could have force the game into overtime but there was a miscommunication on the screen and Lillard loss the ball and just throw the last shot without a clean look. That's a lesson to learn for them, if they can't beat an undermanned team, how much more the stronger teams.

In the Warriors game, I thought that they are going to choke, they allow the Jazz to make a comeback and they almost force a OT in this game. The Jazz has a lot of chance to tie the score but they can't make that important 3 point shot.
Jazz had a great 4th quarter run but the last sequence when they got the offensive rebound, Collins probably panic and threw the ball out. If they were able to get that ball, there's a decent chance a game will went to overtime. I thought it's a de javu on their last game.

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