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Author Topic: NBA 2023-2024 betting  (Read 117966 times)
Harkorede
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March 20, 2024, 10:47:14 PM
 #14981

8 games later. Nice. Here are my picks.
Cleveland Cavaliers - Miami Heat - Cleveland Cavaliers (-2.5) - So many injured players on both teams, I guess I'll just take the home team and trust LeVert and Garland to step up their game.
Detroit Pistons - Indiana Pacers - Indiana Pacers (-7.5) - This should be easy.
Toronto Raptors - Sacramento Kings - Sacramento Kings (-9.5) - The Kings need this win to stay in the 6th spot. Might as well blow them out to have a good rest because they will be playing back-to-back road games.
Boston Celtics - Milwaukee Bucks - Milwaukee Bucks (12.5) - Yeah, I'll take that. Giannis is questionable but this is still a decent team.
Portland Trail Blazers - Los Angeles Clippers - Los Angeles Clippers (-10.5)

It's hard to pick. The upper ranks are battling the underdogs. Most lines are -10 upward.
Anyway, good luck to everyone, I might just try during live games for the remaining ones.

I like a couple of these match ups, I'll be going with the total points spread instead of ML or Handicap

Miami Heat and Cavs being the match with lowest Over 206.5 line @ 1.87 is the most appealing to me, the Cavs are still without Donovan Mitchell but that's hasn't rendered a their offensive awful, so I'll expect them to give the Heat a run for their money, the Heat are without a couple their best defensive players in Bam Adebayo and Kevin Love, so I think the Cavs should have better scoring efficiency and the Heat forcing a keep up momentum.

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ralle14
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March 20, 2024, 10:49:15 PM
 #14982

The over ticket I had for the Magic game yesterday somehow landed as a winner with the total ending on exactly 204 points. I had low expectations after their slow first quarter until they decided to speed things up, dropping 50+ points in the next quarter.

I'm aiming for three in a row with this next bet (under 233.5) on the Kings vs. Raptors. I see the Raptors barely hitting a hundred on their recent losses and the Kings can always slow down if they can start to pull away in the first half.



It's hard to pick. The upper ranks are battling the underdogs. Most lines are -10 upward.
I agree, the only decent one is probably the Cavs match, but it's still risky when the Heat can capitalize on the injuries.

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Harkorede
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March 21, 2024, 02:05:37 AM
 #14983

The over ticket I had for the Magic game yesterday somehow landed as a winner with the total ending on exactly 204 points. I had low expectations after their slow first quarter until they decided to speed things up, dropping 50+ points in the next quarter.

I'm aiming for three in a row with this next bet (under 233.5) on the Kings vs. Raptors. I see the Raptors barely hitting a hundred on their recent losses and the Kings can always slow down if they can start to pull away in the first half.


The Heat vs Cavaliers was play and catch up game like I anticipated, I expected the Heat to be the team playing most of the catch up but it was the Cavaliers that did for most of the game, they left quite late into the 4th Quarter before making my bet a win but that was due to the Cavaliers taking the lead and the Heat had to figure something out, but thanks to an home coming hero in Terry Rozier great statement in the last one minute plus change.

Your Sacramento Kings - Raptors Under was also an easy win for you, the Raptor could hardly keep up the pace against the Kings.

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March 21, 2024, 07:12:52 AM
 #14984

The Heat vs Cavaliers was play and catch up game like I anticipated, I expected the Heat to be the team playing most of the catch up but it was the Cavaliers that did for most of the game, they left quite late into the 4th Quarter before making my bet a win but that was due to the Cavaliers taking the lead and the Heat had to figure something out, but thanks to an home coming hero in Terry Rozier great statement in the last one minute plus change.
I also caught the end of the Cavs match thinking they'd seal the deal in the final minute, but Rozier came in clutch in the last few possessions.

Your Sacramento Kings - Raptors Under was also an easy win for you, the Raptor could hardly keep up the pace against the Kings.
Thanks, I thought it'd get close when they started with a 59-point first quarter, and then the Raptors made my bet look better as they started to brick half of their shots in the next three quarters.

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March 21, 2024, 03:06:30 PM
 #14985

At this point, it's easier to just select a high spreads like -10 and up as most of the time they'll cover the spread. Typical bettors would probably choose the underdog with a high handicap without realizing that bookies cannot be outsmarted, they set this line like a trap, so either we ride with them or just follow the public perception. I'll choose the big favorites tomorrow with a high spread.

Pacers -9.5 -
Boston -10.5
Kings -11
OKC -15
Warriors -11
Clippers -12
Suns -9.

let's see how many will will win...

I thought I always had it perfect since these favorites really have a good start (except for the OKC), but ending with 5 out of 7 is not bad at all. As I mentioned yesterday, I'm more into favorites as the playoffs is approaching, so I'm still following my strategy with my current picks.

Kings -11
Bucks -10
Dallas -14
Denver -9.5
Suns -9.5

OgNasty
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March 21, 2024, 04:31:52 PM
 #14986

Fresh off yesterday's parlay win, here's another one that should hit unless something crazy happens.  Nothing too surprising here.  Maybe the Knicks might pose a threat but the rest should be easy wins.  I also placed another side bet parlay on the Kings and Suns to both win.  The odds aren't worth taking that bet, but I think it's as close to a sure thing as it gets (famous last words).

Washington Wizards - Sacramento Kings
Winner (Incl. Overtime)
Sacramento Kings

Milwaukee Bucks - Brooklyn Nets
Winner (Incl. Overtime)
Milwaukee Bucks

Dallas Mavericks - Utah Jazz
Winner (Incl. Overtime)
Dallas Mavericks

Denver Nuggets - New York Knicks
Winner (Incl. Overtime)
Denver Nuggets

Phoenix Suns - Atlanta Hawks
Winner (Incl. Overtime)
Phoenix Suns

Odds
2.35

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March 21, 2024, 04:53:46 PM
 #14987

Cleveland Cavaliers - Miami Heat - Cleveland Cavaliers (-2.5) Loss! Miami Heat fought strong, damn my instincts told me to bet for them but I went against it. Grin
Detroit Pistons - Indiana Pacers - Indiana Pacers (-7.5) Win!
Toronto Raptors - Sacramento Kings - Sacramento Kings (-9.5) Win!
Boston Celtics - Milwaukee Bucks - Milwaukee Bucks (12.5) Win! I thought so, the Bucks would somehow fight back and they did.
Portland Trail Blazers - Los Angeles Clippers - Los Angeles Clippers (-10.5) Win! Finally, the Clippers win.

7 games later. Here are my picks.

Washington Wizards - Sacramento Kings - Sacramento Kings (-10.5) - The Kings will try to put a gap with the triple tie. 6th, 7th, and 8th.
Orlando Magic - New Orleans Pelicans - Orlando Magic ML - This was a hard choice but the Magic had been playing great.
Milwaukee Bucks - Brooklyn Nets - Milwaukee Bucks (-10.5) - After that defeat, it's time to win again.
Dallas Mavericks - Utah Jazz - Dallas Mavericks (-12.5) - This is too much of a spread, I wish they could cover.
Denver Nuggets - New York Knicks - Denver Nuggets (-7.5) - Nah, I don't want to underestimate the Knicks that much, the Villanova boys had been playing great.

Good luck everyone, have a great day.

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March 21, 2024, 05:16:37 PM
 #14988

Another 2-1 for last night on the right side of the books last couple days.  Will try to keep it going here are my picks for tonight so far:

Knicks -6.5.  Might be a Homer bet but last 5 games keeping the opponent under 100 points, this one should be tight so long as everyone is full up playing.

Pacers -6.5. Cavs are down a couple of guys and I really thing the Pacers are gonna make a run at the 4/5 hole position here.  They are better than their record suggests.

And gimme the Celtics-15.5 here at home.  I know Detroit took them to OT this year but Celtics are steam rolling.  I expect a massive blowout.  130-107 type game.

Good luck everyone.

Another 2 and 1 night.  Knicks were dicey once OG was out but they have been playing great team ball lately.  Cavs game shocked me but hey anything can happen...and Boston they are just straight rolling through the season.  Going to be tough for anyone to beat them in a 7 game series.

Tonight I have just one pick and laying it all down on...

The Suns-9.  At home and with a relatively healthy squad I like their shot here at under double digits.



Nailed the only bet last night.  While most of my time will be neck deep in the ncaa tourny I laid in 3 bets for tonight.

Bucks -9.5 at home against the Nets.  Last night they played Boston hard without giannis.  Think they roll the Nets here in a 130-115 type of blowout.

Kings-11.5 at the Wizards.  Don't like long road games but the Wizards are awful.  Kings should roll

Jazz +14.5 vs Dallas.  I like Dallas to win here but expect the Jazz to put up a fight.  Big spread hoping for a backdoor cover from the Jazz.

Good luck and enjoy the games (especially the ncaa tourny)

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March 21, 2024, 07:11:14 PM
 #14989

Fresh off yesterday's parlay win, here's another one that should hit unless something crazy happens.  Nothing too surprising here.  Maybe the Knicks might pose a threat but the rest should be easy wins.  I also placed another side bet parlay on the Kings and Suns to both win.  The odds aren't worth taking that bet, but I think it's as close to a sure thing as it gets (famous last words).

Washington Wizards - Sacramento Kings
Winner (Incl. Overtime)
Sacramento Kings

Milwaukee Bucks - Brooklyn Nets
Winner (Incl. Overtime)
Milwaukee Bucks

Dallas Mavericks - Utah Jazz
Winner (Incl. Overtime)
Dallas Mavericks

Denver Nuggets - New York Knicks
Winner (Incl. Overtime)
Denver Nuggets

Phoenix Suns - Atlanta Hawks
Winner (Incl. Overtime)
Phoenix Suns

Odds
2.35

Now in this season I am betting regularly on the NBA games and also checking many things here on this thread as well which are giving good response today I am going to check this all with my bet even odds are not good but still this worth to give a try hopefully things will be good for me, and we will have profit from this as well.
Most of the time I have problem with the Atlanta Hawks because every time I bet on them response is never been ideal like few days back I lost my parlay as I was against them and Hawks win the game in extra time and same happen few time in past today hopefully they will be on my side.

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March 21, 2024, 08:11:12 PM
 #14990

I won't risk any amount on your 5 leg parlay picks @0gnasty. For sure there is one game that will ruin that 5 legged parlay. It might be the Knicks vs Nuggets because the Knicks really need to push their remaining game to avoid playing in Play-In Tournament and to secure their Playoffs spot. Instead of picking moneyline for Nuggets, I gonna go with points handicap for Knicks +11.5 with 1.62 odds.

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March 21, 2024, 08:31:19 PM
 #14991

Rockets vs Bulls is the game of the night for me because Rockets are still pushing for a play-offs spot and have a great winning streak but also Bulls who are looking to win tonight to keep that play-offs spot safe because anything can happen in this last games.

Suns - Atalanta should also be a great game if Atalanta decides to push for play-offs and if they will catch Suns on a bad night because otherwise , I can't see them winning.

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March 21, 2024, 10:23:11 PM
 #14992

Rockets vs Bulls is the game of the night for me because Rockets are still pushing for a play-offs spot and have a great winning streak but also Bulls who are looking to win tonight to keep that play-offs spot safe because anything can happen in this last games.
It's a more important game for the Rockets as they are now at the number 11 rank, they lose this, that will reduce their chance to be in the play-in. Good thing about the Rockets is they have the momentum, with 6 winning streak and a record of 23-11 at home, it's just not wise to bet against them.

Suns - Atalanta should also be a great game if Atalanta decides to push for play-offs and if they will catch Suns on a bad night because otherwise , I can't see them winning.
This will be the Suns.. I'm not seeing the current roster of the Hawks are gonna beat the Sunss at hom. Although they are playing back to back, I just felt that the undermanned Hawks could not pull at upset here, also, I'm seeing a revenge here as Hawks are 4-0 against the Suns in their last 4 meetings.

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March 22, 2024, 05:56:01 AM
 #14993

I won't risk any amount on your 5 leg parlay picks @0gnasty. For sure there is one game that will ruin that 5 legged parlay. It might be the Knicks vs Nuggets because the Knicks really need to push their remaining game to avoid playing in Play-In Tournament and to secure their Playoffs spot. Instead of picking moneyline for Nuggets, I gonna go with points handicap for Knicks +11.5 with 1.62 odds.

Looks like you were right. The Sacramento Kings had no business losing to the Washington Wizards though. With them being in a playoff race and nearing the end of the season there’s no excuse for them to drop one to the worst team in the league. They’re going to regret letting that one slip away at the end of the season.

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March 22, 2024, 07:19:39 AM
 #14994

I won't risk any amount on your 5 leg parlay picks @0gnasty. For sure there is one game that will ruin that 5 legged parlay. It might be the Knicks vs Nuggets because the Knicks really need to push their remaining game to avoid playing in Play-In Tournament and to secure their Playoffs spot. Instead of picking moneyline for Nuggets, I gonna go with points handicap for Knicks +11.5 with 1.62 odds.

Looks like you were right. The Sacramento Kings had no business losing to the Washington Wizards though. With them being in a playoff race and nearing the end of the season there’s no excuse for them to drop one to the worst team in the league. They’re going to regret letting that one slip away at the end of the season.

Unfortunately the Kings could not beat the home team, they fall to the Wizards in a single digit loss. Also the Knicks could not cover the spread despite getting a high handicap, +11.5 is not enough as Nuggets beat them by 13.

And with this results, Knicks drop to 5 while Kings drop to 8.. Kings will be in the play-in this will be fun because 4 great teams are gonna play (lakers, Warriors, and Suns)... I don't know what team will be eliminated but on the list, Kings are the least experience team.

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March 22, 2024, 01:26:15 PM
 #14995

Warriors -5...(LOSS) Knicks are good but Warriors are playing at home,. I can't bet against this team when they are at home since they needed every week. Still the Knicks are playing undermanned, so I don't trust them as they might not be consistent.

Lakers -8.5... (WIN)A needed win for the Lakers also, with 25-12 record at home and playing a team that will play back to back, I guess it's all Lakers here.

Indiana -7(LOSS)/ Without Mitchelle, I think Indiana would dominate the Cavaliers like they loss to the Rockets.

Updated record 39-43 48%)

I got some picks for the upcoming games but not so sure if my win rate will improve, but I'm still trying and at the same time trying to stay discipline.

Miami -3
Ingram is out and Miami needs a win. Miami has 2 straight losses at home, they need to prevent that streak and win this game.

Lakers -7.5
Play-in spot is very important, and Davis might return, so they should win this game, hopefully by double digit.

Warriors -5..
Same situation with the Lakers, a win here is necessary.

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March 22, 2024, 03:24:02 PM
 #14996

I got some picks for the upcoming games but not so sure if my win rate will improve, but I'm still trying and at the same time trying to stay discipline.

Miami -3
Ingram is out and Miami needs a win. Miami has 2 straight losses at home, they need to prevent that streak and win this game.

Lakers -7.5
Play-in spot is very important, and Davis might return, so they should win this game, hopefully by double digit.

Warriors -5..
Same situation with the Lakers, a win here is necessary.


I like the match ups you've listed above, especially Miami Heat vs Pelicans, I'd have love to just go money line on this one, but the line at -3 is low and very reasonable.


I'll taking the Over on total points too, it's currently at 209 for 1.80, combine with Over 206 points in Cavaliers vs Minnesota Timberwolves for 1.80, together for a double bet @ 3.24 Odds

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March 22, 2024, 04:49:55 PM
 #14997

Washington Wizards - Sacramento Kings - Sacramento Kings (-10.5) - Loss! I guess they are exhausted.
Orlando Magic - New Orleans Pelicans - Orlando Magic ML - Win! What happened to Brandon Ingram was sad but it's still a win for the Magic.
Milwaukee Bucks - Brooklyn Nets - Milwaukee Bucks (-10.5) - Loss! Did not cover.
Dallas Mavericks - Utah Jazz - Dallas Mavericks (-12.5) - Win! Covered. Whew, that was close.
Denver Nuggets - New York Knicks - Denver Nuggets (-7.5) - Win! Covered too. Nice. Michael Porter Jr. is something in his past 7 games. That's what the Nuggets needed. And Jokic another triple-double added to his list.

8 games later guys. Here are my picks.
Detroit Pistons - Boston Celtics - Boston Celtics (-11.5) - So many questionable players for the Boston Celtics, but this is a team that has strength in their bench too, so I will take that.
Toronto Raptors - Oklahoma City Thunder - Oklahoma City Thunder (-13.5)
Minnesota Timberwolves - Cleveland Cavaliers - Minnesota Timberwolves (-5.5) - Cleveland injuries. Mostly it will be LeVert, Allen, and Garland again. It won't be enough against the strong Timberwolves.
Miami Heat - New Orleans Pelicans - Miami Heat (-1.5) - BI out and they might be exhausted. I know they need every win they can get but so does Miami.
Golden State Warriors - Indiana Pacers - Golden State Warriors (-2.5) The Warriors had been playing like a great team again. They just need that energy from their bench and I bet they will win it again.

Good luck everyone.

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March 22, 2024, 08:03:48 PM
 #14998

After a heartbreaking loss yesterday with one leg of my parlay not hitting what should have been an easy win, I'm going a little more mellow today in hopes to reverse the losing streak before it starts.  If one of these teams lose then you know something has gone seriously wrong as all these games should be easy wins.  A 3 game parlay for 1.61 odds isn't a bet I'd recommend following though.

Detroit Pistons - Boston Celtics
Winner (Incl. Overtime)
Boston Celtics

Portland Trail Blazers - Los Angeles Clippers
Winner (Incl. Overtime)
Los Angeles Clippers

Los Angeles Lakers - Philadelphia 76ers
Winner (Incl. Overtime)
Los Angeles Lakers

Odds
1.61

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March 22, 2024, 09:31:50 PM
 #14999

Another 2-1 for last night on the right side of the books last couple days.  Will try to keep it going here are my picks for tonight so far:

Knicks -6.5.  Might be a Homer bet but last 5 games keeping the opponent under 100 points, this one should be tight so long as everyone is full up playing.

Pacers -6.5. Cavs are down a couple of guys and I really thing the Pacers are gonna make a run at the 4/5 hole position here.  They are better than their record suggests.

And gimme the Celtics-15.5 here at home.  I know Detroit took them to OT this year but Celtics are steam rolling.  I expect a massive blowout.  130-107 type game.

Good luck everyone.

Another 2 and 1 night.  Knicks were dicey once OG was out but they have been playing great team ball lately.  Cavs game shocked me but hey anything can happen...and Boston they are just straight rolling through the season.  Going to be tough for anyone to beat them in a 7 game series.

Tonight I have just one pick and laying it all down on...

The Suns-9.  At home and with a relatively healthy squad I like their shot here at under double digits.



Nailed the only bet last night.  While most of my time will be neck deep in the ncaa tourny I laid in 3 bets for tonight.

Bucks -9.5 at home against the Nets.  Last night they played Boston hard without giannis.  Think they roll the Nets here in a 130-115 type of blowout.

Kings-11.5 at the Wizards.  Don't like long road games but the Wizards are awful.  Kings should roll

Jazz +14.5 vs Dallas.  I like Dallas to win here but expect the Jazz to put up a fight.  Big spread hoping for a backdoor cover from the Jazz.

Good luck and enjoy the games (especially the ncaa tourny)

A brutal night last night to include my team the Knicks took an L.  Another day another night to win right lol. 

Boston -14.5 at the Pistons.  Same theory best team vs worst.  Can't see the Celtics lose and they should be able to press this spread.

Rapters +16.5 at home against okc.  Okc is good but rapts hopefully can get some home cooking and keep it under a 20 point loss here.

And last one Timberwolves-6.5 at home against the cavs.  Timberwolves should dominate the paint and win this one.  Expect a close game and Wolves pull away at the end. 

Good luck everyone.

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March 22, 2024, 09:59:24 PM
Last edit: March 23, 2024, 02:08:46 AM by morvillz7z
 #15000

CJ McCollum 15+ points / H. Jones 1+ stock / T. Rozier 20+ PRA @1.82  X

Heat allows the third-fewest points in the paint this season, with the fewest PIP /L3.  It will be a tough task for Zion or Valanciunas to score inside. That's why i am looking at Pels perimeter players, specifically CJ McCollum. He has scored 15+ points in 3/L5, but his shot attempts could increase due to Ingram's absence. His matchup is also favorable, as Rozier is not well-known for his defensive abilities.

Herbert Jones has 17 straight games with at least one steal/block...hopefully, his streak will not end today.

Roziers' PRA has been one of my favorite lines to bet on recently, especially when J. Butler was out for a few games. 20+ PRA in 10/L10, with an extra day of rest against a tired Pels defense, i'll take it.

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