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Author Topic: NBA 2023-2024 betting  (Read 115417 times)
Harkorede
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April 23, 2024, 02:45:22 AM
 #15201

Looks a great bet decision to me, all the playoffs matches so far have been a massive Under on the total spread, and you can't easily expect yet another low scoring game from Magic and Cavs teams that usually go extremely cold for 2 or more quarters in every game, the 3rd and 4th Quarters are usually where they have their scoring inefficiency.
You are on point with that low-scoring second half when their pace got faster in the second quarter, the live totals shot back up from 196.5 to 203.5. I thought they'd start to put in more points after that change of pace, but things slowed down as they only scored 30-40 points in the last two quarters.

Good luck with your Jokic props he got 12 last meeting, so there's a good chance he'll get more than that.

Congratulations mate, that was pretty much the anticipation from the beginning of the game, very similar game to the game 1, this could be a sweep of a 4-1 for the Cavaliers imo.

--------------

My bet on Jokic should be an easy hit, Jokic with a double-double already and it's still just the first quarter of the game, 3 rebounds more with 36 minutes left to play for should definitely be an easy reach for Jokic here  Smiley

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April 23, 2024, 02:17:16 PM
 #15202

My bet on Jokic should be an easy hit, Jokic with a double-double already and it's still just the first quarter of the game, 3 rebounds more with 36 minutes left to play for should definitely be an easy reach for Jokic here  Smiley

Seems Jokic is giving us easy win because he is unstoppable, the only way the Lakers could win if they have a good shooting which they showed in game 2 but just fall short in the end. Jokic ended with triple double record, (27, 20, 10), insane numbers, it should be a another history for him I guess. Anyway congratulations mate.

All the games last night had the hometeams won their respective games, so it's 2-0 for all of them.

Now, we will have 3 games

Suns vs Wolves -3
Pacers vs Bucks -1
Dallas vs Clippers +2.5

I think betting on the road team is interesting, what are your thoughts here?

R


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April 23, 2024, 02:25:41 PM
 #15203

Cleveland Cavaliers - Orlando Magic - Orlando Magic (6.5) - Loss!
New York Knicks - Philadelphia 76ers - New York Knicks (-3.5) - Loss! I need one more point.
Denver Nuggets - Los Angeles Lakers - Denver Nuggets (-5.5) - Loss! The Nuggets won by a buzzer-beater. Jamal Murray.

0/3. Dang it! Post-season is difficult to predict.

Anyway, 3 games later again. Here are my picks. Fingers crossed that I can make a perfect bet today to reclaim my losses.
Minnesota Timberwolves - Phoenix Suns - Minnesota Timberwolves (-1.5) Kyle Anderson is questionable to play. Grayson Allen is questionable for the Suns. That's big.
Milwaukee Bucks - Indiana Pacers - Indiana Pacers ML @1.98 - Still no Giannis? Doubtful status.
Los Angeles Clippers - Dallas Mavericks - Dallas Mavericks (-2.5) Kawhi questionable.

Good luck to everyone! Have a great day!

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April 23, 2024, 03:58:29 PM
 #15204

That 6ers is crazy in the last seconds of the game. The Knicks just got a steal and threw another 3 points while 76ers had the advantage almost the entire match, at the end of the game its the Knicks who won with just that last mistake. If the last free throw goes in, I think 76ers would have won the game.

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April 23, 2024, 05:09:37 PM
 #15205

My bet on Jokic should be an easy hit, Jokic with a double-double already and it's still just the first quarter of the game, 3 rebounds more with 36 minutes left to play for should definitely be an easy reach for Jokic here  Smiley

Seems Jokic is giving us easy win because he is unstoppable, the only way the Lakers could win if they have a good shooting which they showed in game 2 but just fall short in the end. Jokic ended with triple double record, (27, 20, 10), insane numbers, it should be a another history for him I guess. Anyway congratulations mate.

All the games last night had the hometeams won their respective games, so it's 2-0 for all of them.

Now, we will have 3 games

Suns vs Wolves -3
Pacers vs Bucks -1
Dallas vs Clippers +2.5

I think betting on the road team is interesting, what are your thoughts here?

I think the road teams could be worth a shot today but the odds just aren't enticing enough so it's better to ride with home teams ML here than the road teams with a too low handicap line if you ask me, Dallas Mavericks are the only road team that could be worth backing ML, but they too have a couple of inexperienced players that's factoring into their entire result, but Kyrie and Doncic seem rather enough to carry this team, especially if Kawhi Leonard remains out for Clippers.

Indiana Pacers are way too playoffs game inexperienced for their own, and they look really out of sync or form in game, even without Giannis they'll need to correct a whole lot of things to be able force a long and interesting series for the Bucks, and the first things will be taking care of the ball and knocking down shots when they have the opportunities.

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April 23, 2024, 09:56:28 PM
 #15206

J. Hart 1+ 3pts / M. Robinson 1+ blocks @1.80  X

Game 1 of PHI/NY is arguably one of the swingiest quarter-to-quarter games i've seen in a while (1Q PHI+9, 2Q NY+21, 3Q PHI+15, 4Q NY+10).

A couple of things that stood out to me, which i want to include in my bet today. The Sixers are playing Brunson and DiVincenzo tight and giving J. Hart wide-open looks from deep, daring him to shoot like he is Ben Simmons. Lol  I mean, it's not the worst strategy, Hart is only shooting 31% from three this season, you'd rather leave him open than someone else, right?

M. Robinson played 30 minutes, his most since returning from injury. Even if he continues to come off the bench, his minutes are safe, he matches up better with Embiid than Hartenstein. He had four blocks in Game 1, but it felt like it was twice as many, he was that dominant defensively.

Knicks can here and my heart stopped plenty of times last night.  Nurse has a great gameplan against the Knicks in guarding brunson tight.  Hart has been great to date but we need the bench to keep stepping up.  Mcbride with a huge first game and bogdanovich with 2 monster 3s to start the 4th quarter last night.  With that being said they didn't cover, lost money and was amped beyond belief.  Your team winning > winning money

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April 23, 2024, 11:19:04 PM
 #15207

^^
Did you watch the replay of Nurse wanting a timeout after the first basket went in, the ref was looking right at him but didn't give it to him. Then after the divincenzo three that made him really mad to the point he was willing to run on the court just to stop the play. Crazy last 30 seconds of the game but now Knicks are up 2-0 against the 76ers for the playoffs.

--------------
My bet on Jokic should be an easy hit, Jokic with a double-double already and it's still just the first quarter of the game, 3 rebounds more with 36 minutes left to play for should definitely be an easy reach for Jokic here  Smiley
Had Jokic for only 11.5 rebounds on my props bet and that hit nearly entirely in the 1st quarter.
Had several other props but was short by 3 pointers from Reeves by 1 and Murray didn't hit one.
All other props for Jokic and Lebron hit easily.

Not sure what game to put alongside with another playoff game will need to review my choices in another hour when my reloads come in so to place a bet for tonight.

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April 23, 2024, 11:34:44 PM
 #15208

--------------
My bet on Jokic should be an easy hit, Jokic with a double-double already and it's still just the first quarter of the game, 3 rebounds more with 36 minutes left to play for should definitely be an easy reach for Jokic here  Smiley

Not sure what game to put alongside with another playoff game will need to review my choices in another hour when my reloads come in so to place a bet for tonight.

Have you considered Tyrese Haliburton on total number of assists ? He was offered at 10.5 assists @ ~1.85+ in game 1, of course he fell 3 assist short in that game 1.

He's currently still offered over 10.5 assists @ 2.00 Odds, I like this and I believe it should be a hit, he should have easily hit the number in game 1 too, but the Pacers were extremely awful in finding the bucket in that game, while their transition offense still look pretty well like something that should give the Bucks a real run for their money in as much as they finish around the rim and convert their open look shots this time around, Hali should have no problem getting a double digit assists.

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April 24, 2024, 12:08:02 AM
 #15209

The Bucks had a clean win in their first game, and i'll take advantage of the close odds for the second game because they still have a decent advantage with Lillard taking the lead. Even if the Pacers could improve their shooting percentage today, I still feel they'll come up short if it becomes a close game.



Congratulations mate
Thanks and congrats on your Jokic bet, he popped off with 20 rebounds.

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April 24, 2024, 11:17:22 AM
 #15210

--------------
My bet on Jokic should be an easy hit, Jokic with a double-double already and it's still just the first quarter of the game, 3 rebounds more with 36 minutes left to play for should definitely be an easy reach for Jokic here  Smiley

Not sure what game to put alongside with another playoff game will need to review my choices in another hour when my reloads come in so to place a bet for tonight.

Have you considered Tyrese Haliburton on total number of assists ? He was offered at 10.5 assists @ ~1.85+ in game 1, of course he fell 3 assist short in that game 1.

He's currently still offered over 10.5 assists @ 2.00 Odds, I like this and I believe it should be a hit, he should have easily hit the number in game 1 too, but the Pacers were extremely awful in finding the bucket in that game, while their transition offense still look pretty well like something that should give the Bucks a real run for their money in as much as they finish around the rim and convert their open look shots this time around, Hali should have no problem getting a double digit assists.
Tried to put a props bet together but it didn't work out so took the ML instead and was surprised when I checked the score late in the 4th quarter. The Pacers were ahead by 16+ points and the Bucks already had their bench on the floor while Pacers still had their starters which was strange to see.
Got them at 1.98x which was better than the over 10.5 assists for Tyrese.
There were shooting the lights out with all the three's during the game.
@ralle14 yeah without Giannis in the game Lillard had to step up and he did. Every shot was essentially going in for him while I was watching the first half.

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April 24, 2024, 11:35:40 AM
 #15211

My bet on Jokic should be an easy hit, Jokic with a double-double already and it's still just the first quarter of the game, 3 rebounds more with 36 minutes left to play for should definitely be an easy reach for Jokic here  Smiley

Seems Jokic is giving us easy win because he is unstoppable, the only way the Lakers could win if they have a good shooting which they showed in game 2 but just fall short in the end. Jokic ended with triple double record, (27, 20, 10), insane numbers, it should be a another history for him I guess. Anyway congratulations mate.

All the games last night had the hometeams won their respective games, so it's 2-0 for all of them.

Now, we will have 3 games

Suns vs Wolves -3
Pacers vs Bucks -1
Dallas vs Clippers +2.5

I think betting on the road team is interesting, what are your thoughts here?

I think the road teams could be worth a shot today but the odds just aren't enticing enough so it's better to ride with home teams ML here than the road teams with a too low handicap line if you ask me, Dallas Mavericks are the only road team that could be worth backing ML, but they too have a couple of inexperienced players that's factoring into their entire result, but Kyrie and Doncic seem rather enough to carry this team, especially if Kawhi Leonard remains out for Clippers.

Indiana Pacers are way too playoffs game inexperienced for their own, and they look really out of sync or form in game, even without Giannis they'll need to correct a whole lot of things to be able force a long and interesting series for the Bucks, and the first things will be taking care of the ball and knocking down shots when they have the opportunities.

Same with your thoughts, i wasn't able to update here but I bet on the road teams last night. I won on the Pacers and the Mavericks but loss to the Suns big time, not sure if this team could come back in this series, you know, 2-0 deficit is kinda hard but let's see. Of the games that I won, the Pacers was the easiest but I have fun watching how the Dallas won, I just like Kyrie, he is in beast mode and so unstoppable.

So tomorrow we have 2 games, I'll skip the Miami Heat vs Celtics, but I like the Pelicans to upset the OKC Thunder.

R


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April 24, 2024, 12:56:44 PM
 #15212

I think the road teams could be worth a shot today but the odds just aren't enticing enough so it's better to ride with home teams ML here than the road teams with a too low handicap line if you ask me, Dallas Mavericks are the only road team that could be worth backing ML, but they too have a couple of inexperienced players that's factoring into their entire result, but Kyrie and Doncic seem rather enough to carry this team, especially if Kawhi Leonard remains out for Clippers.

Indiana Pacers are way too playoffs game inexperienced for their own, and they look really out of sync or form in game, even without Giannis they'll need to correct a whole lot of things to be able force a long and interesting series for the Bucks, and the first things will be taking care of the ball and knocking down shots when they have the opportunities.

Same with your thoughts, i wasn't able to update here but I bet on the road teams last night. I won on the Pacers and the Mavericks but loss to the Suns big time, not sure if this team could come back in this series, you know, 2-0 deficit is kinda hard but let's see. Of the games that I won, the Pacers was the easiest but I have fun watching how the Dallas won, I just like Kyrie, he is in beast mode and so unstoppable.

So tomorrow we have 2 games, I'll skip the Miami Heat vs Celtics, but I like the Pelicans to upset the OKC Thunder.

Just like a placard with a sarcastic writing that I saw from a Minnesota Timberwolves' fan in the game last night which states "The Sun always set", I guess that meant the Phoenix Suns are no longer effective if I'm not mistaken ?

Frank Vogel really need to look for new answers from his role players, their big three alone just isn't going to cut it, they'll need help deep into their roster, they don't complement each other enough, maybe one of them would even be better of starting from the bench, and the lack of a natural point guard is quite evident in their team, Bookers performance have dropped significantly, maybe if they had kept Jordan Goodwin he'd have coming in handy right now.

That being said, the series is just 2-0 and it'll be utterly naive to consider it a done deal just yet, I think Phoenix could even the series on home court, but I'll go with Minnesota to win the series in 6.

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April 24, 2024, 01:15:08 PM
 #15213

I think the road teams could be worth a shot today but the odds just aren't enticing enough so it's better to ride with home teams ML here than the road teams with a too low handicap line if you ask me, Dallas Mavericks are the only road team that could be worth backing ML, but they too have a couple of inexperienced players that's factoring into their entire result, but Kyrie and Doncic seem rather enough to carry this team, especially if Kawhi Leonard remains out for Clippers.

Indiana Pacers are way too playoffs game inexperienced for their own, and they look really out of sync or form in game, even without Giannis they'll need to correct a whole lot of things to be able force a long and interesting series for the Bucks, and the first things will be taking care of the ball and knocking down shots when they have the opportunities.

Same with your thoughts, i wasn't able to update here but I bet on the road teams last night. I won on the Pacers and the Mavericks but loss to the Suns big time, not sure if this team could come back in this series, you know, 2-0 deficit is kinda hard but let's see. Of the games that I won, the Pacers was the easiest but I have fun watching how the Dallas won, I just like Kyrie, he is in beast mode and so unstoppable.

So tomorrow we have 2 games, I'll skip the Miami Heat vs Celtics, but I like the Pelicans to upset the OKC Thunder.

Just like a placard with a sarcastic writing that I saw from a Minnesota Timberwolves' fan in the game last night which states "The Sun always set", I guess that meant the Phoenix Suns are no longer effective if I'm not mistaken ?

Frank Vogel really need to look for new answers from his role players, their big three alone just isn't going to cut it, they'll need help deep into their roster, they don't complement each other enough, maybe one of them would even be better of starting from the bench, and the lack of a natural point guard is quite evident in their team, Bookers performance have dropped significantly, maybe if they had kept Jordan Goodwin he'd have coming in handy right now.

That being said, the series is just 2-0 and it'll be utterly naive to consider it a done deal just yet, I think Phoenix could even the series on home court, but I'll go with Minnesota to win the series in 6.

And this is huge for them.

Suns' Grayson Allen aggravates ankle injury in Game 2 loss
he is a good 3 point shooter and probably a good defender as well, his loss in game 2 is a huge blow for the Suns. However, no excuses here, they need to come up with a solution in game 3, otherwise they'll be in the brink of elimination.

Spread for the Suns at game 3 has shifted, they are now the favorited by -4.5.

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April 24, 2024, 01:30:36 PM
Last edit: April 24, 2024, 01:48:46 PM by Wapfika
 #15214

And this is huge for them.

Suns' Grayson Allen aggravates ankle injury in Game 2 loss
he is a good 3 point shooter and probably a good defender as well, his loss in game 2 is a huge blow for the Suns. However, no excuses here, they need to come up with a solution in game 3, otherwise they'll be in the brink of elimination.

Spread for the Suns at game 3 has shifted, they are now the favorited by -4.5.

Timberwolves is too strong for them even with Allen or not. Suns line-is focus only on offense since most of them is offensive player while Timberwolves has a solid offense and defense with KAT and Gobert on this roster while the rest of the team has an easy life to score.

I think even Nuggets will have a hard time dealing with the wolves unless KAT will be injured again. But statistically wise, I think Wolves will dominate the western conference this year. They have a very solid lineup and balanced which is almost the same with last year Nuggets roster.

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April 24, 2024, 01:44:27 PM
 #15215


And this is huge for them.

Suns' Grayson Allen aggravates ankle injury in Game 2 loss
he is a good 3 point shooter and probably a good defender as well, his loss in game 2 is a huge blow for the Suns. However, no excuses here, they need to come up with a solution in game 3, otherwise they'll be in the brink of elimination.

Spread for the Suns at game 3 has shifted, they are now the favorited by -4.5.

They need to adjust and take all the challenges that they are facing right now, Allen is a good two-way player indeed but they can't  use that as excuse while competiting in this playoff, they need to find ways to counter whatever the Wolves are doing great, I guess they need to answer that aggressiveness of the each players both offensively and defensively, by looking at that two previous games they've been dominated and they can't find anything to answer back.

Wolves keeps doing good adjustments whenever Suns is trying to rally, they've got answered not just offensively but also defensively they are not ducking anyone they are competing and keep doing their best.

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danherbias07
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April 24, 2024, 04:37:58 PM
 #15216


Minnesota Timberwolves - Phoenix Suns - Minnesota Timberwolves (-1.5) Won!
Milwaukee Bucks - Indiana Pacers - Indiana Pacers ML @1.98 Won!
Los Angeles Clippers - Dallas Mavericks - Dallas Mavericks (-2.5) Won!

I was not wrong and my fingers crossed was successful. Grin
Perfect!

Was the Luka Doncic technical foul the first one in the 2024 playoffs? I was looking for a fight that would happen because the game was so tight at every matchup but I think this is the first one that someone got a tech. I've seen Lebron upset about no calls and then him blaming the replay center but none was called against him.

Anyway, we have 2 games later.
Boston Celtics - Miami Heat - Miami Heat (12.5) - Underrated. No Butler, No Rozier, but like I said before I have seen this team step up their game especially the bench players who don't want their team undermanned.
Oklahoma City Thunder - New Orleans Pelicans - Oklahoma City Thunder (-5.5) Last time was a close game. Let's see if the Thunder could somehow play a dominating game.

Good luck everyone!

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April 24, 2024, 09:12:44 PM
 #15217

Ate it on the other other night with an 0-3.  I have my picks in for the 2 on tonight.

Going with the Pelicans +7.5.  Was a tight game last time and with a young okc team I think it will be the same. 

Also going with the road heat team.  They payed terribly last game and don't expect them to win but I think they backdoor cover the +14.5

Hopefully the games are good, enjoy and good luck!

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April 25, 2024, 12:56:27 AM
 #15218

I'm sticking to the players props as usual, for tonight I've got two players in mind I saw Tyler Herro Over 4.5 assists @ 1.64, and I hop on that quickly, Herro didn't get that many assist in game 1, but things are meant to different for the Heat tonight and I was expecting Erik Spoelstra to make some adjustment that would have Herro on the ball a whole lot more.



Alternatively; I've also got Shai Gilgeous-Alexander total points Over 28.5 @ 1.83, SGA was a point in game 1, but that could be attributed to him starting a bit slow, I guess he should be firing on all cylinders today, if he can get going early.


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April 25, 2024, 01:11:21 AM
 #15219

I lost yesterday's bet, but i'm glad that Stake had one of those unusual promos where they'll overturn your losing bet if your team hits two threes.

I'm switching it up with the under again, as I still think the total they've set for this game is a bit high after their first game ended up with 186 points. Also, i've avoided the spread because I can't get a read on who'll cover for today.




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April 25, 2024, 01:38:08 AM
 #15220

Checked the match awhile ago, and saw the Celtics and Heat match. Just did a little research why the odds is x9 and just find out that Butler is not playing and it's Boston's homecourt but I've saw the defense and 3's of the Heat and thought they can win without Jimmy and turns out I was right. That was some good bet but I haven't staked too much, but still it's still x9. Congrats to me!  Grin



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