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Author Topic: NBA 2023-2024 betting  (Read 115720 times)
Harkorede
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April 25, 2024, 01:47:16 AM
Last edit: April 25, 2024, 02:24:29 AM by Harkorede
 #15221

Checked the match awhile ago, and saw the Celtics and Heat match. Just did a little research why the odds is x9 and just find out that Butler is not playing and it's Boston's homecourt but I've saw the defense and 3's of the Heat and thought they can win without Jimmy and turns out I was right. That was some good bet but I haven't staked too much, but still it's still x9. Congrats to me!  Grin

That's some nice nice one! Congrats!

Miami have gotten to even the series as it heads back to Miami, I hope they're not looking to cause another major upset here like they did with the Bucks a year while playing as the 8th seed as well.

Checked the match awhile ago, and saw the Celtics and Heat match. Just did a little research why the odds is x9 and just find out that Butler is not playing and it's Boston's homecourt but I've saw the defense and 3's of the Heat and thought they can win without Jimmy and turns out I was right. That was some good bet but I haven't staked too much, but still it's still x9. Congrats to me!  Grin


I'm getting a high scoring vibe from this game, I don't know why. It's very tough indeed to know which team would cover the spread in these matches tbh, good luck with your bet mate Wink

2nd Quarter Edit: Unrelated but is anyone catching the game ? Some OKC fan named "Eli" just hit a mid court short for a whooping $20,000 from Midfirst  Shocked Shocked

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April 25, 2024, 03:27:18 AM
 #15222

I'm sticking to the players props as usual, for tonight I've got two players in mind I saw Tyler Herro Over 4.5 assists @ 1.64, and I hop on that quickly, Herro didn't get that many assist in game 1, but things are meant to different for the Heat tonight and I was expecting Erik Spoelstra to make some adjustment that would have Herro on the ball a whole lot more.



Good pick as you predicted it right, without Butler Herro find ways to bring his teammate to his battle, providing 14successful assists and really played well to snatch this game 2 against the home team, not just a deadly shooter but also he showed that he got that skills finding his open teammates.

Quote

Alternatively; I've also got Shai Gilgeous-Alexander total points Over 28.5 @ 1.83, SGA was a point in game 1, but that could be attributed to him starting a bit slow, I guess he should be firing on all cylinders today, if he can get going early.



checking the current stats, SGA already got 24points and still have a whole 4th quarter to play, good luck !

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Harkorede
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April 25, 2024, 04:12:45 AM
 #15223

Good pick as you predicted it right, without Butler Herro find ways to bring his teammate to his battle, providing 14successful assists and really played well to snatch this game 2 against the home team, not just a deadly shooter but also he showed that he got that skills finding his open teammates.
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checking the current stats, SGA already got 24points and still have a whole 4th quarter to play, good luck !

Thank you!

SGA ended the game with 33 points, maybe I'll start consider some 5-10+ fold ACCA for the player props as I look to be hitting them with some good success rate, I'm currently around well above 90%+ from my single props since the playoffs started, I think I have only lost just once. Hopefully, I can keep the streak and momentum for a long time.  Smiley

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April 25, 2024, 11:11:38 AM
 #15224

I'm sticking to the players props as usual, for tonight I've got two players in mind I saw Tyler Herro Over 4.5 assists @ 1.64, and I hop on that quickly, Herro didn't get that many assist in game 1, but things are meant to different for the Heat tonight and I was expecting Erik Spoelstra to make some adjustment that would have Herro on the ball a whole lot more.



Alternatively; I've also got Shai Gilgeous-Alexander total points Over 28.5 @ 1.83, SGA was a point in game 1, but that could be attributed to him starting a bit slow, I guess he should be firing on all cylinders today, if he can get going early.


The Boston game was surreal to watch with the fans in disbelief. Everyone didn't think Miami could do anything against the Celtics at The Garden especially without Jimmy Butler. There was a post by him after the game with his face superimposed on a poster of a Celtics player saying "Just one game!",

As for the other match Shai got 33 points and all I needed was 26.5 to cover my prop bet. So it is no wonder he could win the MVP award with outstanding performances as he did in last nights game.
Also to mention Chet Holmgren scoring 26 points still in his rookie year is something to note too.

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April 25, 2024, 01:29:53 PM
 #15225

As for the other match Shai got 33 points and all I needed was 26.5 to cover my prop bet. So it is no wonder he could win the MVP award with outstanding performances as he did in last nights game.
Also to mention Chet Holmgren scoring 26 points still in his rookie year is something to note too.

That's the adjustment they made in game 2 because the Pelicans almost snatch a win, but in game 2, OKC did the right thing and have dominated the Peliicans. I like the production of Chet Holmgren, it has gave him that confidence to score 26 points int he playoffs and his 3 point shooting as well is consistent with 50% on that game. 59% for OKC total FG%, thats too high and it seems like the Pelicans forgot how to defend as they allowed the OKC to score 124 points which they are only limited to 92, the same score in game 1, but the difference was the defense.

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April 25, 2024, 03:11:20 PM
 #15226

I lost yesterday's bet, but i'm glad that Stake had one of those unusual promos where they'll overturn your losing bet if your team hits two threes.
Nice!

Boston Celtics - Miami Heat - Miami Heat (12.5) Won! I was right, they are too underrated just like last year, their bench is not to mess with. Miami Heat is a strong team with a deep bench.
Oklahoma City Thunder - New Orleans Pelicans - Oklahoma City Thunder (-5.5) Won! Just what I expected, they learned from Game 1 and now dominated the game.

Later, 3 games.
Here are my picks.
Orlando Magic - Cleveland Cavaliers - Orlando Magic (-1.5)
Philadelphia 76ers - New York Knicks - New York Knicks ML @2.75 - Knicks are playing like a crazy game and I believe they can end this quick while Embiid is hurting.
Los Angeles Lakers - Denver Nuggets - Denver Nuggets ML @1.96 - Yes, 3-0 it is.

Good luck everyone! Have a great day.

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April 25, 2024, 07:55:56 PM
 #15227



I almost won this combo. If only the New Orleans Pelicans had won, I would have won this combo too. I thought the Pelicans would win that match because Game 1 was a close match and they almost won Game 1, especially if CJ McCollum had made that last shot. I also managed to predict 1st half/full time for Celtics vs Heat but another leg ruin it. Of course its Pelicans again. 😤

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April 26, 2024, 12:32:24 AM
 #15228



I almost won this combo. If only the New Orleans Pelicans had won, I would have won this combo too. I thought the Pelicans would win that match because Game 1 was a close match and they almost won Game 1, especially if CJ McCollum had made that last shot. I also managed to predict 1st half/full time for Celtics vs Heat but another leg ruin it. Of course its Pelicans again. 😤

Damn mate, that was some tough pill to swallow especially when the Heat with the most odds had won and cover the Over, almost 3x the odds of that of the Pelicans.. Better luck next time.



I'm still very undecided about any bets for today, I like the Denver vs Lakers match up but I think there will be some tweaks to the roster, I don't know exactly what to expect but if there are not much changes, I likely would go towards Jamal Murray assists or PRA over, the current line for Jokic and Anthony Davis which have been my go to pick in the first 2 games is now ridiculously high from my perspective, Both of them are @ 13.5 Rebs each @ less than 2 Odds, so I'm going to pretty much pass on that one. Perhaps, I could take a risk with a role player, Reggie Jackson, Reaves, Gabe and Dinwindie are those I have in mind, I'll make a decision very close to the tip off.

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April 26, 2024, 05:07:56 PM
 #15229

Orlando Magic - Cleveland Cavaliers - Orlando Magic (-1.5) Win!
Philadelphia 76ers - New York Knicks - New York Knicks ML Loss!
Los Angeles Lakers - Denver Nuggets - Denver Nuggets ML Win!

2/3 no problem.

One game will start early today. 5:30 AM in my timeline. GMT +8.
3 games total. Here are my picks.
Indiana Pacers - Milwaukee Bucks - Indiana Pacers (-4.5) The Pacers stole one game on Bucks home, I think they will do better in their own home.
Dallas Mavericks - Los Angeles Clippers - Dallas Mavericks (-2.5) I don't want to put too much spread. The Clippers can sometimes come back even on a huge deficit.
Phoenix Suns - Minnesota Timberwolves - Phoenix Suns (-3.5) This time I am against a 3-0. I think KD will unleash the beast mode to avoid that no-recovery series. He won't like to be in that position and he will probably do everything here.

Good luck everyone! Have a nice day.

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April 27, 2024, 05:36:25 AM
 #15230

I lost my parlay because of the Suns, had won the Bucks +6 but the Suns choose to go Lakers mode, and they even look worse than the Lakers as they looked like a mismatch team to the Wolves. Suns does not have a bench production, I hate to say it but that's the reality.

I was thinking they'll bounce back and have the first win at home but now they are 0-3, and with that, I think I don't have any confidence on this team so I'm not gonna be betting on them in game 4.

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April 27, 2024, 05:15:32 PM
 #15231

Indiana Pacers - Milwaukee Bucks - Indiana Pacers (-4.5) Loss! 3-point win for the Pacers so the spread was not covered. Ouch!
Dallas Mavericks - Los Angeles Clippers - Dallas Mavericks (-2.5) Win!
Phoenix Suns - Minnesota Timberwolves - Phoenix Suns (-3.5) Loss! Prediction went wrong. The Suns are having a hard time with their offense. It cannot be Durant as always, it will be too predictable.

We have 4 games. 1 of them is already starting.
Here are my picks. (Made the 1st  pick before the game started.)
Orlando Magic - Cleveland Cavaliers - Orlando Magic (-1.5)
New Orleans Pelicans - Oklahoma City Thunder - Oklahoma City Thunder (-4.5) Yeah, it could go 3-0 just like other series. Without Zion is a big problem for the Pelicans.
Miami Heat - Boston Celtics - Miami Heat (10.5) I am going to take that + again. The Heat is not something to be underestimated.
Los Angeles Lakers - Denver Nuggets - Los Angeles Lakers ML @2.39 Risky, but it can be profitable. I can see the Lakers will try to avoid a sweep.

Good luck everyone.

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April 27, 2024, 05:24:53 PM
 #15232

I lost my parlay because of the Suns, had won the Bucks +6 but the Suns choose to go Lakers mode, and they even look worse than the Lakers as they looked like a mismatch team to the Wolves. Suns does not have a bench production, I hate to say it but that's the reality.

I was thinking they'll bounce back and have the first win at home but now they are 0-3, and with that, I think I don't have any confidence on this team so I'm not gonna be betting on them in game 4.

There's nothing that they can do against the big man of Wolves, they are really having a hard time and with how ANT is playing that kid is really especial, after Butler I guess ANT is something similar to DWade, he got that big nerve which is not afraid attacking and taking shots, I guess he should continue doing that same stuff with the teo-towers who are also playing at their best.

Suns might suffer the same fate like Lakers, there's no answer against how the opponents are dominating them, tough series but maybe they might win at home, still possible I guess.

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April 27, 2024, 07:35:07 PM
 #15233

Haven't had that good a run so far so looking for a breakout day here.  Bet all 3 remaining games I didn't touch that cavs game.  Can't figure them out.

Pelicans +1.5, shoukd be a close game tie goes to the home team.  Okc is young amd this might be a tough one

Heat +10.5, they showed last game they are here to play.  Being underdogs by double digits as the home team doesn't sit well with me.  Gimme the heat.

Heat/Celtics over 204.5. I know the unders have hit hard but I think the Celtics score enough to push the heat to push the pace.

Good luck and enjoy the games!

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April 27, 2024, 07:37:20 PM
 #15234

I lost my parlay because of the Suns, had won the Bucks +6 but the Suns choose to go Lakers mode, and they even look worse than the Lakers as they looked like a mismatch team to the Wolves. Suns does not have a bench production, I hate to say it but that's the reality.

I was thinking they'll bounce back and have the first win at home but now they are 0-3, and with that, I think I don't have any confidence on this team so I'm not gonna be betting on them in game 4.

There's nothing that they can do against the big man of Wolves, they are really having a hard time and with how ANT is playing that kid is really especial, after Butler I guess ANT is something similar to DWade, he got that big nerve which is not afraid attacking and taking shots, I guess he should continue doing that same stuff with the teo-towers who are also playing at their best.

Suns might suffer the same fate like Lakers, there's no answer against how the opponents are dominating them, tough series but maybe they might win at home, still possible I guess.
The Suns doesn't have a legit point guard, so that alone is already a huge problem. Acquiring Bradley Beal seemed to be  bad idea as he was inconsistent in the regular season and in the playoffs is impact is not the same anymore when he was still with the Wizards. things are really tough for them now mentally, as Durant is known to be a very dominant player, have won multiple champs but was only bullied by the Timberwolves this playoffs.

I think it's time for Curry and Durant to reunite, and make the Warriors a great team again.

R


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April 27, 2024, 08:08:51 PM
 #15235


1-Magic +5.5 Loss
Last time they loss by blowout, they should make the right adjustment in game 2. better ball movement to find an open man so they can improve their FG percentage.

2- Lakers +7 win
They almost made it in game 1 but collapse in the 2nd half, that cannot happen again. If they lose, at least a chance to cover is high.

3-Sixers +6 win
I believe they are the better team, Embiid has to play like an MVP, dominate the paint like he usually does.

Updated record 7(W)-6(L)..... 54%

Lakers +4
For the last time, I'm betting on the Lakers to at least cover the handicap in game 4. Adding a small bet for them to win the game, people are talking that the Lakers will be blown out, but for me this is the last chance to bet on them as the Lakers might have a major adjustments on their roster next season.

Miami +10.5
Bookies still have their trust on the Celtics but I think the Miami Heat will play better at home. Doing the same with the Lakers, adding a small bet for them to win.

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April 28, 2024, 01:09:23 PM
 #15236

Lakers +4  - win
For the last time, I'm betting on the Lakers to at least cover the handicap in game 4. Adding a small bet for them to win the game, people are talking that the Lakers will be blown out, but for me this is the last chance to bet on them as the Lakers might have a major adjustments on their roster next season.

Miami +10.5 - loss
Bookies still have their trust on the Celtics but I think the Miami Heat will play better at home. Doing the same with the Lakers, adding a small bet for them to win.


Updated record 8(W)-7(L)..... 53%

1-1 on the 2 picks I shared. let's proceed with the upcoming games.

Sixers -5.
Embiid's performance is game 3 was legit. I don't think he'll slow down in game 4, so I'm expecting them to cover the spread and tie the series. I'm thinking of a possible double digit win by the Sixers, this should not be hard to cap. I'm seeing the same scenario on the Cavs vs Magic series.

Suns +1.5
Just like the Lakers, maybe they'll win one game before getting eliminated. I know they have struggled a lot in the past 3 games but this is the only chance for them not to get swept, so I'm betting on them.

Dallas -6
I'm hoping Dallas will stay consistent with what they are doing, have already won 2 straight and it seems like Leonard is not gonna play as he is currently listed as doubtful, they should be able to handle the Clippers especially that their interior offense is already working.

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April 28, 2024, 04:33:13 PM
Last edit: April 28, 2024, 08:00:38 PM by morvillz7z
 #15237

T. Maxey 25+ points / J. Brunson 25+ points @2.00  X

I had the exact same bet for Game 3, rolling with it again i guess.

Maxey is 3/3 on the series, both FG and 3PT% look solid, usage rate is high, and i don't see anyone on the Knicks roster who can keep up with him, he's such a blur.

Brunson struggled with his shooting in Games 1 and 2, but played much better in Game 3, dropping 39 points. He has nearly twice as many shot attempts as the next guy on the team (27FGA), which alone should be enough for at least 25.

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April 28, 2024, 04:47:34 PM
 #15238


Orlando Magic - Cleveland Cavaliers - Orlando Magic (-1.5) Won!
New Orleans Pelicans - Oklahoma City Thunder - Oklahoma City Thunder (-4.5) Won!
Miami Heat - Boston Celtics - Miami Heat (10.5) Loss!
Los Angeles Lakers - Denver Nuggets - Los Angeles Lakers ML Won!

3/4. Good.
I was right in trusting the Lakers although I am a big fan of the Nikola Jokic. Well, gambling first before him. Money first. Cheesy
But, if we watched the game thoroughly, it seems like Jokic is not in the mood to attack. Not the same way he played in Game 3 where he is obviously trying to win. Perhaps, in his mind, he wants to end it in their home.

Later, we have 4 game and one of them is starting in 15 minutes as of the time of writing.
Philadelphia 76ers - New York Knicks - Philadelphia 76ers (-3.5)
Dallas Mavericks - Los Angeles Clippers - Dallas Mavericks (-3.5)
Indiana Pacers - Milwaukee Bucks - Indiana Pacers (-10.5) I don't like the -10 but I will give it a try. I trust the Pacers could somehow cover it.
Phoenix Suns - Minnesota Timberwolves - Phoenix Suns (-1.5) Risky. But I believe in adjustments.

Good luck!

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April 28, 2024, 05:03:28 PM
 #15239


I think the LA Clippers will bounce back for tonight's game. If they lose tonight for sure they will not make the Western Conference semifinals. If it's 3-1, it will be very hard for the LA Clippers to come back.

For me, I think the New York Knicks are going to make it 3-1 and end the series in Game 5 on their home court.

Under 54.5 for Pacers vs Bucks because Dame and Giannis is out for game 4. So I think it gonna be low scoring 2nd quarter.

Wolves might gonna end this series tonight and I think gonna be good scoring for the 1st quarter thats why I go over 53.5 for 1st quarter.

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April 28, 2024, 05:55:18 PM
 #15240

I lost my parlay because of the Suns, had won the Bucks +6 but the Suns choose to go Lakers mode, and they even look worse than the Lakers as they looked like a mismatch team to the Wolves. Suns does not have a bench production, I hate to say it but that's the reality.

I was thinking they'll bounce back and have the first win at home but now they are 0-3, and with that, I think I don't have any confidence on this team so I'm not gonna be betting on them in game 4.

There's nothing that they can do against the big man of Wolves, they are really having a hard time and with how ANT is playing that kid is really especial, after Butler I guess ANT is something similar to DWade, he got that big nerve which is not afraid attacking and taking shots, I guess he should continue doing that same stuff with the teo-towers who are also playing at their best.

Suns might suffer the same fate like Lakers, there's no answer against how the opponents are dominating them, tough series but maybe they might win at home, still possible I guess.
The Suns doesn't have a legit point guard, so that alone is already a huge problem. Acquiring Bradley Beal seemed to be  bad idea as he was inconsistent in the regular season and in the playoffs is impact is not the same anymore when he was still with the Wizards. things are really tough for them now mentally, as Durant is known to be a very dominant player, have won multiple champs but was only bullied by the Timberwolves this playoffs.

I think it's time for Curry and Durant to reunite, and make the Warriors a great team again.

If possible that they reunite if Warriors managements are willing to put that huge amount to offer KD the max maybe they can bring back their old glory, though Warriors managements still have that issue with Klays extensions, not sure if they will acquire him back and give him what he deserves being one of the core of this team and manage to help in bringing those titles.

Moving back to their winning chance on this upcoming game, by pride I think KD and Booker will try everything to win a game against the Wolves.

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