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Author Topic: NBA 2023-2024 betting  (Read 116444 times)
Fredomago
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May 10, 2024, 10:14:53 AM
 #15321

So we have two upcoming games, first one is game 1 and the 2nd is game 2 of the Nuggets vs Wolves.

I have the Pacers at +6.(win) I think the Knicks are to overrated because they beat the Sixers, but I think game one is going to be close and I would even bet on the moneyline for Pacers if I have a little extra.

2nd game I have the Nuggets -5.5.  - loss

They can't loss this game, so I expect them to start strong and beat the Wolves by double digits. It doesn't matter how they played in game 1, all they need is a good adjustment, win game 2 and take game 3.


\\  Updated record 12(W)-15(L)..... 44%

Moving on to the upcoming games...

Cleveland is not really a bad team but in the first game they loss via blowout. Now in game 2, I think they are ready to make the series interesting, so I expect the game to be a close one, and with that said, I'm taking the handicap +13.5.

2nd game, I have the Dallas Mavericks +5

Great catch OP congrats as both handicap manage to cover what more if you place a ML for both teams and parlay the bet, that's something huge for sure, but still a good win as both teams performsso well especially the Cavs who mostly not being anticipated that they'll be able to take a game from Boston and win it with a very decent edge.

While with Mavs, experienced played so well, as Luka take things on his shoulders even almost got that injury but managed to keep going and really help the team to win this one against the Thunder.

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May 10, 2024, 11:21:19 AM
 #15322

My pick = Pacers ML @2.55. - Loss! Crap! I have been on a losing streak for the past few days. I thought they could win it after making that 12-point lead but they cannot protect it and the Villanova Boys are just too energetic.
Haliburton tried and he is doing some volume shots now unlike in Game 1 where he only shoots 6 times in a game. Still, he badly needs some help on the offensive end. Their defense is great, especially TJ McConnell against Jalen Brunson. It got me curious why he was benched on crunch time.

Anyway, we have two games later. Here are my picks.

Boston Celtics - Cleveland Cavaliers - Cleveland Cavaliers (11.5) Adjustments will happen and I think Allen is ready to play again. We will see. It will be a great addition to their offense and defense underneath the rim.

Oklahoma City Thunder - Dallas Mavericks - Dallas Mavericks ML @2.65 - I will not give up on the thought that the Mavs will steal one game from OKC's home. Game 2, adjustments. I know Coach Kidd is good at reading the floor, he did it against the Clippers.
Looks like both your bets finally hit!
So congrats as the dogs were out last night dealing a massive blow to the egos of the hometown crowds in both matches.
Boston game was a complete joke. Believe it ended with them being outscored by nearly 20+ points once everything was said and done. So I didn't even bother watching the last game with the Thunder.
And glad I didn't because the Mavs handed their asses to them in that one, so I didn't miss any sleep on that one either.

Another win, home teams really are racking in the playoffs so it's hard to go against the trend. I thought the Pacers would beat the home team when Brunson went to the locker room after a possible injury, but man he's really tough, he came back and lead the team even losing OG in that game due to an injury (which will possibly made him unavailable in game 3).
Yeah, that game was a rollercoaster, I thought the Pacers would continue to pull away once the third quarter started, but Brunson and the Knicks quickly brought it back in the third quarter.


I'll keep rolling the same bets for the Celtics game and better go with the same strategy when it's working since the previous series. I can't find the first-half team total market, so the first-half handicap should be fine. I doubt any adjustment is enough for the Cavs to make this more competitive.



Edit: My bet lost as the Celtics finally got that off day while the Cavs popped off hitting at least half of their three-point shots.
Donovan Mitchell managed to get 29 pts and 5-7 3 pointers from what I recall.
I too had the Celtics on my betslip so literally tuned out once they were down by double digits early in the 4th quarter.
Now only have the Pacers and Timberwolves to look forward too for tonight before the weekend comes.

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May 10, 2024, 11:57:34 AM
 #15323


Donovan Mitchell managed to get 29 pts and 5-7 3 pointers from what I recall.
I too had the Celtics on my betslip so literally tuned out once they were down by double digits early in the 4th quarter.
Now only have the Pacers and Timberwolves to look forward too for tonight before the weekend comes.

I guess after game 1 most of us think that the Celtics will manage to beat the Cavaliers and probably sweep them, but it was a different story came in game 2 as the Cavaliers have dominated the home team. This isn't the same team they face in the first round where their main player was out, we are talking of the cavaliers with a complete line up.

Game 3 odds is quite interesting for the Cavaliers, they are given +7.5 at home after winning, damn, I think I like to take that without a doubt.

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May 10, 2024, 12:46:00 PM
 #15324

Game 3 odds is quite interesting for the Cavaliers, they are given +7.5 at home after winning, damn, I think I like to take that without a doubt.

Sure that's very attractive as they never loss at home yet in the playoffs. And there's a possibility that Allen will return in game 3, but it's not necessary as they beat the Celtics already without him. They played great defense and the teamwork was there.

Actually, aside from Cavaliers moneyline, or the handicap if you want a bit safer, I also like to bet on the Team total for the Cavaliers, it should be over now at over 102.5.

Anyway, before that, there are two upcoming games.

Knicks vs Pacers game 3 (no OG) and Minny vs Nuggets..

R


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May 10, 2024, 07:54:03 PM
 #15325

Looks like both your bets finally hit!
Yes Sir.
Boston Celtics - Cleveland Cavaliers - Cleveland Cavaliers (11.5) - Win!
Oklahoma City Thunder - Dallas Mavericks - Dallas Mavericks ML @2.65 - Win!

And this bonus.


But damn, I should've pulled more courage and took that x9.00 of the Cavaliers before the start of the game. It's calling me, like my instincts is trying to tell me to just put a bit of money on that odds and yet I didn't listen.

Crazy day. Both teams stole a homecourt advantage from their opponent on both series.
Donovan Mitchell was on fire for the Cavs.
PJ Washington for the Mavs.

Later 2 games. Here are my picks.
Indiana Pacers - New York Knicks - Indiana Pacers (-5.5) They need this confidence builder from their fans especially Haliburton. He seems to be not on his normal aggressive aura.
Minnesota Timberwolves - Denver Nuggets - Denver Nuggets ML @2.42 - They cannot go 3-0. They need to steal a win from the Wolves home.

Good luck everyone.


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May 10, 2024, 09:44:41 PM
 #15326

Took a hard hit with the Celtics, cavs surprised me last night.  Tonight I got 3 bets in so far.

Knicks +7.5.  I know they are hurting amd their bench is short but I think every one of these games will be close this series, that's a big spread.  Taking the fellas.

Added Brunson over 34.5 points.  There will be a lot of focus on him but with OG out there will be more shots to be had.  He shoukd get up around 30 shots tonight I like his chances of hitting 35+ points

Wolves -3.5 I'm not entirely sold but they looked unstoppable in Denver, can't be any worse at home right?  That's a tight spread.  Small bet on them because I'd like to see Denver win and extend this series.

Good luck and go knicks.

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May 11, 2024, 12:22:34 PM
 #15327

So we have two upcoming games, first one is game 1 and the 2nd is game 2 of the Nuggets vs Wolves.

I have the Pacers at +6.(win) I think the Knicks are to overrated because they beat the Sixers, but I think game one is going to be close and I would even bet on the moneyline for Pacers if I have a little extra.

2nd game I have the Nuggets -5.5.  - loss

They can't loss this game, so I expect them to start strong and beat the Wolves by double digits. It doesn't matter how they played in game 1, all they need is a good adjustment, win game 2 and take game 3.




Moving on to the upcoming games...

Cleveland is not really a bad team but in the first game they loss via blowout. Now in game 2, I think they are ready to make the series interesting, so I expect the game to be a close one, and with that said, I'm taking the handicap +13.5. win

2nd game, I have the Dallas Mavericks +5 win

\\  Updated record 14(W)-15(L)..... 48%

I'm choosing the same team for the upcoming games.

I have Dallas -2.5 ( although it does look like a trap). First home game, I feel that they'll win the game and maybe next game the OKC will even the series.  On the 2nd game, nothing will change, I'm still rooting for the cavaliers here, at home they should play better, so I'm taking that +8.

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May 11, 2024, 05:04:42 PM
 #15328

I'm not going to be able to watch the games today but I figured I'd bet with the hopes that there are some close ones today.  I honestly think today's games could go either way and am a bit surprised that Dallas is the favorite today.  Maybe I missed an injury or something?  A bit surprising to see the Cavs still such heavy underdogs after bringing it the last game.  Other than Minnesota vs Denver, I'm not too excited about this round of the playoffs.  I'm ready for the next one...

Dallas Mavericks - Oklahoma City Thunder
Handicap (Incl. Overtime)
Oklahoma City Thunder (5.5)

Cleveland Cavaliers - Boston Celtics
Handicap (Incl. Overtime)
Cleveland Cavaliers (9.5)

Odds
2.75

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May 11, 2024, 10:53:12 PM
 #15329

Went 1-2 last night need to pocket some money here.  Tonight I am taking three bets so far.

Celtics first quarter money line.  Think they come out hot from that whooping they took in game 2.

Celtics -7.5, I still think Celtics are just too good for the cavs

And taking the over at 210.5. Cabs aren't all that strong defensively and I think the Celtics come out shooting.  Gimme a 119-109 game here.

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May 12, 2024, 06:42:31 AM
 #15330

Went 1-2 last night need to pocket some money here.  Tonight I am taking three bets so far.

Celtics first quarter money line.  Think they come out hot from that whooping they took in game 2.

Celtics -7.5, I still think Celtics are just too good for the cavs

And taking the over at 210.5. Cabs aren't all that strong defensively and I think the Celtics come out shooting.  Gimme a 119-109 game here.

A really low scoring second half cost you the opportunity to go 2/2 and as you've said the Cavaliers just couldn't keep up with the Celtics, and they got blown away in the beginning of the 3rd quarter, while the Celtics kept counter punching every efforts being made by the Cavs to put together a run for themselves to get back into the game.

---------------

With Al-Horford as primary player in the No. 5 role, I expected Jason Tatum to do a lot of work with the boards, and took him on Over 9.5 Rebs @ 1.86, turned out a good decision for me.


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May 12, 2024, 07:18:06 AM
 #15331

Celtics -7.5, I still think Celtics are just too good for the cavs

And taking the over at 210.5. Cabs aren't all that strong defensively and I think the Celtics come out shooting.  Gimme a 119-109 game here.

Game went under but you got the Celtics spread right. If this was a close game, this could go over but the Celtics played great defense to dominate the Cavaliers. I'm afraid that we will see the same scenario with the Celtcs vs Heat, if they Celtics still take game 4, then that's it. Unlucky for me as I bet on the other side, I was too hype with the game 2 result, now I paid the price, LOL.

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May 12, 2024, 08:51:06 AM
 #15332


I'm choosing the same team for the upcoming games.

I have Dallas -2.5 ( although it does look like a trap). First home game, I feel that they'll win the game and maybe next game the OKC will even the series.  On the 2nd game, nothing will change, I'm still rooting for the cavaliers here, at home they should play better, so I'm taking that +8.

\\  Updated record 15(W)-16(L)..... 48%

I was disappointed with the Cavaliers, I thought they'll be better at home but they were dominated by the Celtics. Anyway, let's move on to the upcoming games and see if we can get all 2 games.

So we have an early game too. Pacers vs Knicks, the home team won last game but it was a close one, however, I think they are still gonna win and all I hope is that they'll cover the spread. If they can dominate the Knicks, they'll be able to carry that momentum when they travel to Knicks for game 5.

Pacers -5.5 is my pick.

2nd game, I'm looking forward for the Nuggets to even the series, so Nuggets +2.5.

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May 12, 2024, 02:11:40 PM
 #15333

The freaking Cleveland Cavaliers couldn’t even keep the game to within 10 points. I’m a little bit bummed about that but it’s ok. I’ll be glad when this round of the playoffs is over and we’re on to better matchups. I am excited about the Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves game later today but I’m not sure which way I’ll bet that one yet.

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May 12, 2024, 11:26:35 PM
 #15334

And the Indiana Pacers won again. Nice. Series tied at 2-2. Suddenly it became an entertaining playoff. No sweep will happen in the 2nd round.
Not a good day for the Villanova trio. Brunson only had 18 points. Josh Hart cannot find his rhythm too, and Donte DiVincenzo not as hot as he was in Game 3.

We have one more game later. Denver Nuggets versus Minnesota Timberwolves. Will the Nuggets also succeed in tying the series stealing another homecourt advantage for the Wolves or will it be 3-1 where there's little chance of recovery?
Here is my pick.
Minnesota Timberwolves - Denver Nuggets - Denver Nuggets ML @2.40

Good luck everyone.


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May 13, 2024, 12:07:51 AM
 #15335

I have to go with the Nuggets as well, I believe they can pull it off for the second time on the road and deny the Wolves from going up 3-1 before they go back to Denver.



Not a good day for the Villanova trio. Brunson only had 18 points. Josh Hart cannot find his rhythm too, and Donte DiVincenzo not as hot as he was in Game 3.
The fatigue is probably setting in for some of their starters since they're always playing 40+ minutes a game.

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stadus (OP)
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May 13, 2024, 03:17:24 AM
 #15336

I was disappointed with the Cavaliers, I thought they'll be better at home but they were dominated by the Celtics. Anyway, let's move on to the upcoming games and see if we can get all 2 games.

So we have an early game too. Pacers vs Knicks, the home team won last game but it was a close one, however, I think they are still gonna win and all I hope is that they'll cover the spread. If they can dominate the Knicks, they'll be able to carry that momentum when they travel to Knicks for game 5.

Pacers -5.5 is my pick.  (win)

2nd game, I'm looking forward for the Nuggets to even the series, so Nuggets +2.5. (win)

\\  Updated record 17(W)-16(L)..... 52%

it was a great morning when I wake up, a big win by the Pacers and the Nuggets have controlled the game. From down below 50%, now I'm up to 52%. Just a slow process and hopefully we will reach the 55% in no time.

So having another early picks, hopefully the streak will continue.

Cleveland +8.. Celtics may win but this time it will not be a blowout. I think the Cavaliers will play harder, will make good adjustment before leaving for the Celtics in game 5.

Dallas -1. I like them to take the 3-1 in the series. It's been 2 straight the Dallas had won and the OKC was not able to make the right adjustment. Irving hasn't played his best yet in the series, this game he might explode.

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May 13, 2024, 10:48:54 AM
 #15337

I have to go with the Nuggets as well, I believe they can pull it off for the second time on the road and deny the Wolves from going up 3-1 before they go back to Denver.



Not a good day for the Villanova trio. Brunson only had 18 points. Josh Hart cannot find his rhythm too, and Donte DiVincenzo not as hot as he was in Game 3.
The fatigue is probably setting in for some of their starters since they're always playing 40+ minutes a game.

Great catch with Nuggets, the defending champ tied the series and now gaining the momentum back, they manage to work together again and showcase their good chemistries, Jokic got that MVP stats once more though not only him but the very balance productions of their entire crews, they all work hard to win this game.

Unlike with the Wolves, ANT's did do everything but without the help it's not going to work they have to blend things up both in defense and offense they need to find ways.

Congrats to your win!

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May 13, 2024, 12:16:10 PM
 #15338

Unlike with the Wolves, ANT's did do everything but without the help it's not going to work they have to blend things up both in defense and offense they need to find ways.


It's probably the coaching problem this time. In the first two games when the Nuggets loss, Wolves were able to limit Jokic, but in game 3 and 4, Jokic played like a real MVP and even the defensive player of the year can't do anything to limit Jokic. Nuggets made the right adjustment, now they cannot double Jokic anymore as he can easily pass the ball to Gordon for an alley up dunk, and with single coverage on Jokic, he will be able to penetrate and score inside the paint.

I think the momentum now is on the Nuggets, and now that they'll come back home, it's already a winnable game for them, so I wouldn't be surprise if after game 5, they will already take the lead in the series.

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May 13, 2024, 04:00:24 PM
 #15339

We did it @ralle14, congratulations to us.
I trust the MVP, he will definitely bounce back and now he read the defense of the Timberwolves. It will be up to the Wolves again if they can adjust or tweak some of their plays because the old ones will not work against Jokic anymore. He is a master at reading the basketball map.

Two games later.
Game 4 - Cleveland Cavaliers - Boston Celtics - Cleveland Cavaliers (10.5) I will take that +10. I don't think they will give up that easily and will try to tie the series because if it goes 3-1 it will be a lot of trouble for them considering the Celtics have the home advantage in this series.

Game 4 - Dallas Mavericks - Oklahoma City Thunder - Dallas Mavericks (-1.5) OKC lacks outside defenders who can stop either Kyrie or Luka. Defense can win this game but Coach Kidd is so good at reading his opponent's plays. I am curious though at what adjustments the OKC will show tonight.

Good luck everyone.

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May 13, 2024, 04:30:58 PM
 #15340

Game 4 - Dallas Mavericks - Oklahoma City Thunder - Dallas Mavericks (-1.5) OKC lacks outside defenders who can stop either Kyrie or Luka. Defense can win this game but Coach Kidd is so good at reading his opponent's plays. I am curious though at what adjustments the OKC will show tonight.


Seems everyone is on the Dallas after they won game 3 but since I have them on the series already, I will skip betting on them tonight. Instead, I'll be betting on the OKC but not to win, it's on their total score this game, as for my sportsbook, they are over/under 107.5, I took the over as I think they'll shoot better this time around and they'll get more attempts compared to the last game. Anyway, good luck to us, I'm okay with Dallas winning of course, but I'm hoping it will be a high scoring game so my OKC bet would win.

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