NBA 2023-2024 betting

[stadus]

it was a great morning when I wake up, a big win by the Pacers and the Nuggets have controlled the game. From down below 50%, now I'm up to 52%. Just a slow process and hopefully we will reach the 55% in no time.

So having another early picks, hopefully the streak will continue.

Cleveland +8.. Celtics may win but this time it will not be a blowout. I think the Cavaliers will play harder, will make good adjustment before leaving for the Celtics in game 5.  (win)

Dallas -1. I like them to take the 3-1 in the series. It's been 2 straight the Dallas had won and the OKC was not able to make the right adjustment. Irving hasn't played his best yet in the series, this game he might explode. (loss)

\\  Updated record 18(W)-17(L)..... 52%

It's a do or die game for the OKC tomorrow, while the Dallas would want to win the series at home. On the last 5 games, Dallas has more impressive win so I don't see the OKC coming back and force a game 7 on their home court. It might be a public bet but I believe based on the trend on the series, the home team could easily dominate, therefore my pick is ...

DALLAS -3.5

[Japinat]

Who is betting live? It's a close game at Indianapolis so far. I don't usually do well on handicap betting but I'm still taking Pacers (-4.5) @1.8. Brunson shooting poorly in the first quarter which could be good for the Pacers and my bet but Siakam's two early fouls could pose trouble late in the game.

Aaron Nesmith have done an impressive job on keeping Brunson at bay for most of the entire first half in which Brunson scored only just 5 points, but it has been different story in 3rd quarter as Brunson put up 14 points. Heading into 4th quarter now with 13 points advantage to the Pacers. I think it's safe to already say the series is going all the way and we'll have a game 7! Of course except the Knicks are able to pull off something magical in 4th quarter.

Brunson shoots bad on the last 2 games on the road, but the Knicks have to play more defense on him as he is unstoppable at home. As predicted, the series reach a game 7 which is going to be fun and I don't see another blowout win from the home here. The spread itself would show that it's going to be a close one, I'll monitor the injury status of the Knicks roster,  if Hart will play, probably my play would be the Knicks.

[Harkorede]

Who is betting live? It's a close game at Indianapolis so far. I don't usually do well on handicap betting but I'm still taking Pacers (-4.5) @1.8. Brunson shooting poorly in the first quarter which could be good for the Pacers and my bet but Siakam's two early fouls could pose trouble late in the game.

Aaron Nesmith have done an impressive job on keeping Brunson at bay for most of the entire first half in which Brunson scored only just 5 points, but it has been different story in 3rd quarter as Brunson put up 14 points. Heading into 4th quarter now with 13 points advantage to the Pacers. I think it's safe to already say the series is going all the way and we'll have a game 7! Of course except the Knicks are able to pull off something magical in 4th quarter.

Brunson shoots bad on the last 2 games on the road, but the Knicks have to play more defense on him as he is unstoppable at home. As predicted, the series reach a game 7 which is going to be fun and I don't see another blowout win from the home here. The spread itself would show that it's going to be a close one, I'll monitor the injury status of the Knicks roster,  if Hart will play, probably my play would be the Knicks.

Losing Josh Hart to injury will be a very huge problem for the Knicks, I strongly doubt that the Knicks can afford to lose another player, they are barely getting by with OG Anunoby absence, and Hart is the second heart of the Knicks defence and without him with OG also still sideline, they don't stand a chance to beat the Pacer even if the decider is being played at MSG wouldn't matter.

[Maslate]

Who is betting live? It's a close game at Indianapolis so far. I don't usually do well on handicap betting but I'm still taking Pacers (-4.5) @1.8. Brunson shooting poorly in the first quarter which could be good for the Pacers and my bet but Siakam's two early fouls could pose trouble late in the game.

Aaron Nesmith have done an impressive job on keeping Brunson at bay for most of the entire first half in which Brunson scored only just 5 points, but it has been different story in 3rd quarter as Brunson put up 14 points. Heading into 4th quarter now with 13 points advantage to the Pacers. I think it's safe to already say the series is going all the way and we'll have a game 7! Of course except the Knicks are able to pull off something magical in 4th quarter.

Brunson shoots bad on the last 2 games on the road, but the Knicks have to play more defense on him as he is unstoppable at home. As predicted, the series reach a game 7 which is going to be fun and I don't see another blowout win from the home here. The spread itself would show that it's going to be a close one, I'll monitor the injury status of the Knicks roster,  if Hart will play, probably my play would be the Knicks.

Losing Josh Hart to injury will be a very huge problem for the Knicks, I strongly doubt that the Knicks can afford to lose another player, they are barely getting by with OG Anunoby absence, and Hart is the second heart of the Knicks defence and without him with OG also still sideline, they don't stand a chance to beat the Pacer even if the decider is being played at MSG wouldn't matter.

I guess game 7 would have a different outcome, so betting this early might be a good thing to do as when Hart and OG will be announced as out, that time will probably shift. Pacers haven't won a game in MSG yet, game 7 might be the first time in the series. Spread now -2.5 for the Knicks, and the total is 209, this should easily go over IMO, or maybe betting on the Pacers TT over, that might be attractive as well.

[OgNasty]

I feel like the Knicks are going to try and end things here so I feel pretty good about their odds to win +7.5.  After the Denver/Minnesota game I am a little worried the NBA wants to see a game 7, so I'm betting the maximum spread.  I don't want to push conspiracy theories or anything, but it sure seems like the NBA has a way of having things work out just how they want (So I bet against it.  I'm smart. lol)...

Indiana Pacers - New York Knicks
Handicap (Incl. Overtime)
New York Knicks (7.5)

Odds
1.68

I took an L on that one. I thought the Knicks would keep it closer. Looks like we’re set for a couple of game 7s coming up. The Knicks better step it up if they want to win. It’s not a good look to shoot such a lower fg% than your opponent while getting outrebounded by such a large amount. Suspect that both NY and Denver got blown out to force game 7s.

[danherbias07]

Indiana Pacers - New York Knicks - Indiana Pacers (-3.5) - Won! No problem for the Pacers. They drowned the Knicks with their high level of defense and the offense mostly came from everyone. Haliburton, Siakam, McConnell, and even Toppin have their moments too. I cannot even count how many dunks he made.
Truly, that was a master performance from the Pacers.

Later, Game 6. Will this series also have a Game 7? Hmmm. It kind of makes me think it will because of the recent games which ended in Game 7.
But, I am a Luka Doncic fan. Here is my bet.
Dallas Mavericks - Oklahoma City Thunder - Dallas Mavericks (-3.5)
Also taking this bet. Over 207.5 @1.82

But I believe you are correct in assuming the NBA wants more money so the likelihood of a game 7 is quite high.
So going with the Pacers ML.

Congratulations.

Good luck everyone and enjoy the game.

[OgNasty]

I'm with the popular opinion on this one.  I think OKC was overmatched from the beginning in this series and I'm surprised they did as well as they did considering...  However, I think Luka and Kyrie want to get this one over with tonight and won't be playing any games to get it done.  This is when that killer instinct needs to show that makes them superstars.  I can't say I'll be watching because these teams are honestly pretty boring to watch, but I'll check out the highlights when I get a chance later tonight and to see if I won my bet.

Dallas Mavericks - Oklahoma City Thunder
Winner (Incl. Overtime)
Dallas Mavericks

Odds
1.57

[wheelz1200]

I'm probably going to be going against the grain with this pick but I'm taking okc +4.5.  They might not win but I think sga keeps this close.  With his ability to get to the line so easily I think he drives a ton this game.  Also with the pressure turned up I'm going to take the over 208.5. I think one or 2 of the quarters we will see a flurry of points scored.

Good luck and enjoy the game!

[freedomgo]

I'm probably going to be going against the grain with this pick but I'm taking okc +4.5.  They might not win but I think sga keeps this close.  With his ability to get to the line so easily I think he drives a ton this game.  Also with the pressure turned up I'm going to take the over 208.5. I think one or 2 of the quarters we will see a flurry of points scored.

Good luck and enjoy the game!

Going against the majority, that's a nice strategy. Well, honestly I am also not so comfortable betting on the Mavs spread in this game especially since Mavs came from a big win. I just feel that teams losing their previous game has a high chance of hitting that ATS. However, since it's the Mavs homecourt and the chance for them to close the series, that makes is very dangerous.

The last 3 games was under 206, so this line that is presented now is attracting the under bettors, with that, I think I would tail your over as most likely we are going to see a great shooting for both teams, especially the OKC who had been struggling with their outside shooting in the past few games.

[morvillz7z]

∆ L. Doncic 1+ stocks / Jalen Williams 1+ stocks / L. Dort 1+ 3pts @1.51 ∆  won

Yo, we need OKC to get their shit together and force a Game 7, wouldn't it be great to have three Game 7s in a row?

I'm rather having a rough NBA Playoffs, my player props are not hitting at the usual rate, nowhere near that sweet 65-70 win percentage.

Anyway, this play has a 100% hit ratio in the playoffs. Doncic has 1+ stocks in 11/L11, Jalen Williams 1+ stocks 9/L9, and Dort is averaging 2+ 3pts during the playoffs while also leading his team in 3PT attempts and makes.

[ralle14]

Yesterday, the Pacers and Knicks missed countless shots in the first three to four minutes of each quarter, I thought it would go under but eventually, they picked up the pace and started landing their shots within 10-15 seconds of each possession to cash my over 215 bet.  

On to the next match, i'll be on the Mavs spread (-3.5) since they have the advantage to end the series today, and the winning team usually wins by four or more points.


Edit: The Mavs failed to cover the spread, but what an intense finish.

[Harkorede]

Yesterday, the Pacers and Knicks missed countless shots in the first three to four minutes of each quarter, I thought it would go under but eventually, they picked up the pace and started landing their shots within 10-15 seconds of each possession to cash my over 215 bet.  

On to the next match, i'll be on the Mavs spread (-3.5) since they have the advantage to end the series today, and the winning team usually wins by four or more points.


Edit: The Mavs failed to cover the spread, but what an intense finish.

That really was a close game to say the least, OKC had the game within their reach and was theirs to lose down the stretch in the 3rd and over midway into the 4th Quarter, but they paid the heavy price of double teaming Luka Doncic while every other Dallas Mavericks players were able to make much needed baskets and not so contested 3 and mid range shots. The better team went through imo.

[stadus]

It's a do or die game for the OKC tomorrow, while the Dallas would want to win the series at home. On the last 5 games, Dallas has more impressive win so I don't see the OKC coming back and force a game 7 on their home court. It might be a public bet but I believe based on the trend on the series, the home team could easily dominate, therefore my pick is ...

DALLAS -3.5 (loss)

\\  Updated record 18(W)-18(L)..... 50%

At least Dallas were able to come back and win, I thought there will be a game 7 as OKC have dictated the game early. they just could not stop SGA, good thing Dallas have their own run as well and Luka shooting well despite having many turnovers.

I guess we gonna move to the 2 upcoming games.

First game, Knicks vs Pacers.

I have Pacers +3.5 and under 207.5

2nd game Wolves vs Nuggets

I have Nuggets -5 and under 196.5

[wheelz1200]

I'm probably going to be going against the grain with this pick but I'm taking okc +4.5.  They might not win but I think sga keeps this close.  With his ability to get to the line so easily I think he drives a ton this game.  Also with the pressure turned up I'm going to take the over 208.5. I think one or 2 of the quarters we will see a flurry of points scored.

Good luck and enjoy the game!

Dallas made this bet closer than it needed to be okc had that win and it slipped out for theor hands.  Still covered and hit the over by a lot.  Today I see the same thing

Knicks -4.5 and hitting that over 208.5. Pacers defense stinks and game 7 people are gonna push this shoukd easily hit.

Gimme wolves +4.5 on the road and over 198.5. Again see this like last night's game wolves might not win but it shoudl be close.  And the over should bang here.  People will push the pace.

[morvillz7z]

∆ J. Brunson 5+ assists / A. Nembhard 3+ assists / A. Nesmith 5+ points @1.72 ∆  won

This is another play with a perfect 100% hit ratio in the playoffs.

Both OG and Hart are expected to play for the Knicks, which is great news for Brunson since he won't have to force things on offense and try to do it alone. 5+ assists in 12/L12 for him.

Nembhard has 3+ assists in all 12 playoff games, averaging close to 5 assists in this series against the Knicks, ranking second in potential assists only to Haliburton. If he misses his first shot or two, he's looking to assist rest of the game.

Nesmith is perhaps the most risky of the three. He is Brunson's primary defender, and we've seen some extremely soft calls in favor of the Knicks, particularly in the first two home games, early foul trouble could be a problem. The Pacers don't run plays for him, but he often finds himself unmarked behind the three-point line. 5 points isn't much, he's gone over that number in every playoff game thus far.

[danherbias07]

Dallas Mavericks - Oklahoma City Thunder - Dallas Mavericks (-3.5) Loss! Ah crap. A very close game but it was damn entertaining.
Also taking this bet. Over 207.5 @1.82 - Thankfully I won this one.

Game 7 in one hour and a half of the New York Knicks versus the Indiana Pacers.

The Pacers have the disadvantage because of the Knicks homecourt but this will prove how strong they are mentally if they can win this game.
And the series wins are decided with the homecourt advantage so it will be tough for the Pacers.
Still, I am rooting for them.
New York Knicks - Indiana Pacers - Indiana Pacers ML @2.26. If Josh Hart is still hurting, it will be a big problem for the Knicks. According to reports, he will play but we don't know if the abdominal ache is still there.
Over 206 - @1.78

[ralle14]

I'll be on the Nuggets' side for this game seven, last game they shot like 30% and I don't think it'll happen twice in a row. Don't get me wrong the Timberwolves are still a solid team, they're probably the value play here but I can't bring myself to fade the Nuggets at this point of the series.



Also congrats to you guys who took the Pacers, the Knicks had signs of life in the third quarter, but it was only a matter of time until the Pacers stabilized their lead.

Edit: I almost thought the Nuggets had that after going up by double digits in the first half, but their lead didn't last that long as the Timberwolves offense came online in the second half. 

[stadus]

At least Dallas were able to come back and win, I thought there will be a game 7 as OKC have dictated the game early. they just could not stop SGA, good thing Dallas have their own run as well and Luka shooting well despite having many turnovers.

I guess we gonna move to the 2 upcoming games.

First game, Knicks vs Pacers.

I have Pacers +3.5 and under 207.5

2nd game Wolves vs Nuggets

I have Nuggets -5 and under 196.5

\\  Updated record 20(W)-20(L)..... 50%

I thought I would be 3-1, I can't believe the Nuggets played like that, they are the defending champion and they aren't playing like they are suppose to in the 2nd half. I'm fine with the Wolves coming back in the 3rd quarter as it's expected, but in the 4th quarter, Nuggets didn't make the right adjustment and once again, they can't match the suffocating defense of the Wolves.

Anyway, I guess one day rest is needed, we will be back with the game 1 of the ECF.

Congratulatins to the Wolves bettors by the way.

[OgNasty]

I don't know how game 1 is going to go, but I expect the Pacers to come out giving it everything they have considering they're the underdog.  For that reason I'm taking them with the +12.5.  I think unless they throw in the towel after falling down by a lot, they should be able to at least keep it that close.  Boston likely wins this series though.  They have way more experience and if KP can get/stay healthy I think the Celtics are a major problem.

Boston Celtics - Indiana Pacers
Handicap (Incl. Overtime)
Indiana Pacers (12.5)

Odds
1.65

[ralle14]

I also don't have a good read on this game so i'll go back to the first-half strategy that worked in the previous series since the Celtics are always solid at scoring tons of points in the first half.

Combine that with the Pacers' offense that likes to up the tempo, they should hit at least 114 points, and looking at their h2h i'm liking our chances even more (in the three regular games they played two went over 120+).