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Author Topic: NBA 2023-2024 betting  (Read 118014 times)
Harkorede
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May 29, 2024, 01:52:37 AM
 #15481

I'm rooting for this series to be extended too, to be very honest... And because the Timberwolves have been a terrible team in the 2nd half of this series, I'm picking them to win the 1st Half @ 2.00 Odds
I'm also on the Timberwolves first half, but this time it's only for the team totals (over 51.5 for 1.8 odds), they've gone 3/3 with the over first-half points, and I highly doubt the Timberwolves would go slow in this elimination game.

As much as i'd want the series to last longer, I still need the Mavs to close it out today since I have them winning by less than 6 points in the prediction league. Then again, Scott Foster is officiating this game, so my prediction will probably get spoiled, and a game five could be on the horizon.  Wink

Smh!

Minnesota Timberwolves are the ones defeating themselves, they came out a very positive energy, but awful decision making down the 2nd Quarter got the Dallas Mavericks back on level terms, Karl Anthony Towns picking up highly stupid fouls, and that exposed their other players to picking up fouls too, Towns, Gobert and Anthony Edwards all have 3 fouls each, I'm struggling to understand how that is going to be sustainable for them in the second half, as you can expect both Luka Doncic and Irving to keep targeting them aggressively.

It's all tied at halftime, but the Wolves have a whole lot of work to do if they're are to avoid a defeat here.

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May 29, 2024, 02:01:27 AM
 #15482

Minnesota Timberwolves are the ones defeating themselves, they came out a very positive energy, but awful decision making down the 2nd Quarter got the Dallas Mavericks back on level terms, Karl Anthony Towns picking up highly stupid fouls, and that exposed their other players to picking up fouls too, Towns, Gobert and Anthony Edwards all have 3 fouls each, I'm struggling to understand how that is going to be sustainable for them in the second half, as you can expect both Luka Doncic and Irving to keep targeting them aggressively.
Our bets were looking so good heading into the second quarter, and then the Timberwolves suddenly shot themselves in the foot with those unnecessary fouls and turnovers. 🤦‍♂️

Who is already watching the Game 4 of Timberwolves vs Mavericks?
I'm currently tuned in, the Mavs are missing way too much, but it only took one good run in the second quarter to close the gap.

While the Timberwolves are shooting the ball well, the Mavs are punishing them for each miss and turnover.


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May 29, 2024, 02:25:18 PM
 #15483

I have been betting on the Mavs all of these other games, but I think this game I'm going to actually take the TWolves just because I feel like they are going to have to win at least one game.  I do wish the spread was a bit higher, so I'll probably just take the Twolves money line. 
Possible.

There's a possiibility that the Wolves will get this 4th and then the next game, they'd lose it.
If you have put your money on Timberwolves and it is -4.5 for the Mavs then congratulations to you.

The next game is interesting, this is likely where the Mavs will be able to end the series. But then, who knows what might come and the Wolves are still alive and breathing.

But then, it's hard for any team to have that come back coming from a 3-0 or 3-1.

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May 29, 2024, 10:40:54 PM
 #15484

I seem to be getting them all wrong this series but that won't stop me from making predictions.  The Mavericks might have a tough night for them tomorrow in Minnesota, but I think they'll be able to keep it close at the very least.  Getting 7+ points on the spread when you're up 3-1 seems downright disrespectful from a betting standpoint, so I'm giving them the benefit of the doubt and taking Dallas with the spread here.  I wouldn't mind seeing it go another game though.

Minnesota Timberwolves - Dallas Mavericks
Handicap (Incl. Overtime)
Dallas Mavericks (7.5)

Odds
1.66

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May 30, 2024, 11:55:54 AM
 #15485

Dallas Mavericks (7.5)

Odds
1.66


With this kind of odds, I think it's already a steal as they came from a loss and will likely adjust to beat the Wolves in game 5. But if they fail again, 7 points is too many to cover for the Wolves. Additionally, a news update came out that Lively is now upgraded to "questionable." That's a positive update considering he was reportedly out before this new information.

Furthermore, I think the under looks very appealing here. Since every game is a do-or-die game for the Wolves, the defense will be intense, just like what we witnessed in game 4 where they were in foul trouble. So, I believe the play here is under 210.

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May 30, 2024, 05:04:02 PM
 #15486

Dallas Mavericks - Minnesota Timberwolves - Dallas Mavericks (-1.5) @1.92 Loss!
Over 209.5 @1.79 Loss!

Both ended as a loss. I sure expected the Over will at least hit but when Doncic missed that freethrow for the four point play, I gave it up. It could've been a freethrow fest if only he made that shot.

We have Game 5 later. And again, the Mavs are back to being underdogs.

Minnesota Timberwolves - Dallas Mavericks - Dallas Mavericks ML @2.60 - Yeah, I believe in the two best closers in the league. They had a rough night in Game 4. Kyrie was not shooting great and so do Doncic. But later Lively might be back so they will have another option which is to lob the ball to him. He is still in questionable status but I bet he is itching to play with his teammates.

Over 208.5

Good luck everyone. Have a great day.

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May 30, 2024, 07:12:12 PM
 #15487

As much as I want to see the extension of this series and Timberwolves win. I want to see the finals as soon as possible and the odds are better with the Dallas than of them.



But later Lively might be back so they will have another option which is to lob the ball to him. He is still in questionable status but I bet he is itching to play with his teammates.
I hope that he plays, they need him to be honest and he contributes very well for every ball possession that the Timberwolves has got as he's a great defense guy.

Good luck everyone. Have a great day.
Good luck to everyone. I know that this might be tough for the Timberwolves with their standing and they'd be playing on their homecourt. Mavs did beat them there twice.

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May 30, 2024, 09:56:39 PM
 #15488

Tough bet tonight but I took the timberwolves.  They are favored by 4.5 points and think they extend this to 6 games.  They have home court and maybe a little momentum with the win in game 4.

I'm also taking the over 207.5.  I think this will be a game that falls in the 220s.  Just hoping for a good game honestly.

Good luck and enjoy the game!

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May 30, 2024, 11:44:10 PM
Last edit: May 31, 2024, 02:54:39 AM by morvillz7z
 #15489

A. Edwards 6+ assists / A. Edwards 6+ rebounds @1.92   won

Ant has been more aggressive the last two games looking for his shot early, roughly 8 more field goal attempts than the first two. I'm passing on the points and focusing on his assists and rebounds. Ant is flirting with a triple-double 26/9/9 and 29/10/9 in Games 3 and 4, his usage rate is elite, 37%.  He leads his team in rebounds (second in reb chances only to Gobert) and assists (8.3 on 13.3 potential assists). I might sprinkle something on him getting his first career playoff triple-double, he is due.


N. Reid 1+ 3pts / J. McDaniels 1+ 3pts / PJ Washington 1+ 3pts / D. Jones Jr. 1+ 3pts @2.50   X

This bet is inspired by all the open looks some of these role players get. J. McDaniels is shooting 55% from deep this series, N. Reid 52%, and D. Jones Jr. 46%. The only one struggling with 3pt% is PJ Washington, however he is second in 3PA only to Doncic and has hit two or more 3s in 9/L10 playoff games.

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May 30, 2024, 11:52:52 PM
 #15490

My bet today is literally illogical from my personal perspective, and it's just borne out of a personal interest for a game 6, I hope the Minnesota Timberwolves can get the win tonight, at least more because they are back on home court and extended the series just further. That being said, I've got the Timberwolves win and cover a -4.5 handicapped for a 1.91 Odds.



Good luck to everyone!

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May 31, 2024, 12:00:55 AM
 #15491

As much as I want to see the extension of this series and Timberwolves win. I want to see the finals as soon as possible and the odds are better with the Dallas than of them.
I also placed my bet on the Mavs, and I assume Lively is going to play in this game now that he's not listed as out or questionable in the updated starting lineups.

There's no Scott Foster to help out the Timberwolves and with most of their games going down the wire, give me the team with the better odds.

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May 31, 2024, 01:21:45 AM
 #15492



I managed to bet on Dallas Mavericks +5.5 yesterday, I will just share it with you lads now.

Dallas Mavericks already secured two road wins in this series, their lost recently is just pure luck.
This game should be tight, so I'm backing the Dallas Mavericks with the points in this matchup.

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May 31, 2024, 11:59:54 AM
 #15493

This game should be tight, so I'm backing the Dallas Mavericks with the points in this matchup.

You were wrong with this, but you won your bet. In fact, the + points weren't necessary as Dallas dominated the home team and never gave them a chance to come back after the first quarter. There was too much Luka and Irving in this game, and I'm happy for Luka as he didn't get the regular MVP award but got the MVP in the WCF. He'll probably get the Finals MVP too if Dallas beats the Celtics.

I checked the odds for the MVP race in the Finals and saw that Irving to win had x23. What do you think about this?

In my opinion, this is really attractive as Irving took it personally, and the same with the Boston fans against him. If Dallas wins, he'll probably be the one to take over as Luka just allows what Irving is doing. (that's the other side of my prediction, but it's still Dallas.)

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May 31, 2024, 12:21:06 PM
 #15494

This game should be tight, so I'm backing the Dallas Mavericks with the points in this matchup.

You were wrong with this, but you won your bet. In fact, the + points weren't necessary as Dallas dominated the home team and never gave them a chance to come back after the first quarter. There was too much Luka and Irving in this game, and I'm happy for Luka as he didn't get the regular MVP award but got the MVP in the WCF. He'll probably get the Finals MVP too if Dallas beats the Celtics.
That was an easy win by @GreatArkansas .. but he coud just go for the bigger odds, the moneyline. Smiley
Luka winning MVP still has some decent odds in it. Most likely Luka will win the MVP if Dallas will win because he contributes in every end, he is a triple double guy, so he might be limited with points but he'll have more assists and grab some rebound as well.


I checked the odds for the MVP race in the Finals and saw that Irving to win had x23. What do you think about this?

In my opinion, this is really attractive as Irving took it personally, and the same with the Boston fans against him. If Dallas wins, he'll probably be the one to take over as Luka just allows what Irving is doing. (that's the other side of my prediction, but it's still Dallas.)
You never know, but odds that high is set that way for a reason, it will not likely hit but I remember before an odds higher than that winning the Finals MVP. if you still remember Andre Iguodala won the Finals MVP for the Warriors for doing a great job on Lebron, IIRC, the odds was like x100 that time.

actually more than that according to Andre Iguodala was 125-1 to win NBA Finals MVP and now is the favorite

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May 31, 2024, 12:52:00 PM
 #15495

Who is already watching the Game 4 of Timberwolves vs Mavericks?
Good start from Timberwolves but I took it as advantage to get goods odds and I am betting on Mavericks for +4.5
I just bet even the Timberwolves are already +10 from the Dallas mavericks. Goodluck





Had the +4.5 handicap on my betbuilder because didn't believe the Mavs would of been so dominant this match.
And you see those 20 points in the first quarter on your screenshot? Those were Doncic's as he outscored the entire Timberwolves starters.

source: https://www.star-telegram.com/sports/article288900192.html

Luka was also awarded with the MVP of the West conference Finals:
https://www.cbssports.com/nba/news/luka-doncic-wins-magic-johnson-western-conference-finals-mvp-award-as-mavericks-reach-nba-finals/

From the 1 out of 7 bets I had lost the majority of them during these NBA play-offs.
Just last nights game took me into profit by giving me 4x the amount that I had wagered throughout the entire tournament.
So made up for it with a master-class performance by Luka, Kyrie and the Mavericks.
Former NBA champions from 2011 are going to face off Boston in a weeks time on June 6th.

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May 31, 2024, 05:35:50 PM
 #15496

Minnesota Timberwolves - Dallas Mavericks - Dallas Mavericks ML @2.60 Win!
Over 208.5 Win!

Win both. I already posted my results on the other thread so I think I am not going to post it here. But Stake.com has different odds with .02 difference. So, congratulations to the ones who used that sports bookie for their bets.

We have the Finals now.
Dallas Mavericks versus the Boston Celtics.
Which team do you think will get the first punch? I don't think homecourt advantage will matter in this series anymore. We have seen the Celtics win in Pacers' home. We have seen the Mavs win in Wolves home too. There's no telling who could win this game so it can become a matter of fanbase betting. Emotional betting.
I bet the Mavs will still be underdogs so I might keep on betting for them in the 2 games at their home. We will see.

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May 31, 2024, 07:40:38 PM
Merited by danherbias07 (1)
 #15497

As much as I want to see the extension of this series and Timberwolves win. I want to see the finals as soon as possible and the odds are better with the Dallas than of them.
I also placed my bet on the Mavs, and I assume Lively is going to play in this game now that he's not listed as out or questionable in the updated starting lineups.

There's no Scott Foster to help out the Timberwolves and with most of their games going down the wire, give me the team with the better odds.
Congratulations to us, those that have bet for the Mavs to win against the Timberwolves.

This bet of mine was a win.  Smiley

Minnesota Timberwolves - Dallas Mavericks - Dallas Mavericks ML @2.60 Win!
Over 208.5 Win!

Win both. I already posted my results on the other thread so I think I am not going to post it here. But Stake.com has different odds with .02 difference. So, congratulations to the ones who used that sports bookie for their bets.
Yeah, what's important is that most of us that have bet in here have won.

We have the Finals now.
Dallas Mavericks versus the Boston Celtics.
Which team do you think will get the first punch? I don't think homecourt advantage will matter in this series anymore. We have seen the Celtics win in Pacers' home. We have seen the Mavs win in Wolves home too. There's no telling who could win this game so it can become a matter of fanbase betting. Emotional betting.
I bet the Mavs will still be underdogs so I might keep on betting for them in the 2 games at their home. We will see.
That's right, the homecourt advantage might still affect but it's the least to be thought of. When teams are on the finals, they can't easily be affected by the crowd. They can't be intimidated with any cheering and that's whichever's homecourt is in there, there's no way to stop both of them. But this is the finals, there will only one winner.

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May 31, 2024, 08:33:02 PM
 #15498

Tough bet tonight but I took the timberwolves.  They are favored by 4.5 points and think they extend this to 6 games.  They have home court and maybe a little momentum with the win in game 4.

I'm also taking the over 207.5.  I think this will be a game that falls in the 220s.  Just hoping for a good game honestly.

Good luck and enjoy the game!

Lost the Wolves thing fairly easily but saved myself with the over.  Luka couldn't miss from anywhere last night.  I'm taking Dallas to win the series just because I don't think they can stop Luka for a 7 game series.  Dude is unstoppable.  First game laying on Dallas moneyline a dn the over.  Taking the over every game no matter the line.  Should be a scoring frenzy in the finals

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June 01, 2024, 01:09:15 PM
 #15499

Tough bet tonight but I took the timberwolves.  They are favored by 4.5 points and think they extend this to 6 games.  They have home court and maybe a little momentum with the win in game 4.

I'm also taking the over 207.5.  I think this will be a game that falls in the 220s.  Just hoping for a good game honestly.

Good luck and enjoy the game!

Lost the Wolves thing fairly easily but saved myself with the over.  Luka couldn't miss from anywhere last night.  I'm taking Dallas to win the series just because I don't think they can stop Luka for a 7 game series.  Dude is unstoppable.  First game laying on Dallas moneyline a dn the over.  Taking the over every game no matter the line.  Should be a scoring frenzy in the finals

Both Dallas and Wolves are a good team defensively but most of their games went over, so I like your strategy on betting on the over as either team could score a lot of points especially if their 3 point shooting will fall. Luka just could not be stop, because if the Celtics will put their best defender on him, he can easily put him into foul trouble as this guy is just too good in fishing foul.

I guess we are all with Dallas here, the game 1 handicap was very tempting, but honestly, I'm not so comfortable with it as I find it a trap. I guess I'll follow the over but not gonna bet on Dallas, just in game 1.

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June 02, 2024, 10:03:53 PM
 #15500

Just a little survey here:

Dallas finished by beating tough teams, like healthy teams, except for the Clippers, who didn't have a healthy Leonard. Now, they are in the NBA Finals trying to win a championship against a team that is also hungry to win. I would like to ask about the game 1 odds here. Are you tempted to bet on the Dallas handicap or the moneyline?

I read on other forums that some have been saying the game 1 handicap for Dallas, which is +6.5, might be a trap, and this could be another easy win for the home team to cover the spread. So now, what do you think about that? Will you change your mind, or will you follow your heart and take Dallas?

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