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Author Topic: NBA 2023-2024 betting  (Read 117907 times)
Russlenat
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June 07, 2024, 02:30:24 PM
 #15521

Kyrie Irving not contributing what is expected to him is one of the main factor why game 1 is one-side all throughout the game.

We can't deny that judging by his statistics in the game.

His overall FG % is only (   6-19) 32%, with 12 points and 3 turnovers. If we look at the +/- , he is -19, the worst performer in the team.
Irving needs to come back in game 2 with a strong game, a 30+ points would be a big help for the team as Luka is expected to easily score 30+ too.

There are some games in the previous rounds where Irving wasn't scoring well, but the role players are ready to step up to fill the game.

The role players here aren't so effective like Hardaway who are scoreless and Jones with 5 points only.

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June 07, 2024, 02:34:02 PM
 #15522

Well that Dallas bet and over didn't fare that well game 1 lol.  Every game is a new one but I'm not sure Dallas has the tools to guard Porzingas.  It's just not a good matchup.  Gonna stick with my gut though and expect Dallas to come put a little better in the first quarter of game 2.  I don't know if I can deal with Boston fans if the Celtics win this lol.

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June 07, 2024, 07:16:32 PM
 #15523


It's now needed for Kyrie and Luka to bring that spark if they failed to deliver then this first game will be for the home team.
This is not alarming yet as we've seen a lot of games in the playoff where one team loss by a huge margin but the next game they come back with a big win. Even if the outcome is not good for Dallas, it's still scored as 1-0 in the series, and it's a must win for the Boston since they need to protect their home court.

There's still game 2, and now that the hype has shifted to the Celtics, I think it's about time to take Dallas to win in game 2, yeah, I'm talking about the money odds which is bigger since they now opened at +7.5.. Also, you guys might want to check the series odds, Dallas had a very enticing one.
I think that's quite possible and wouldn't really be that kind of shocking for anyone neither, we are saying something that would be normal in any other sport. This finals have 7 games, it is not like UCL where you play only one game, we are talking about seven game series (at most) and I think losing just one game doesn't mean anything. I did not expected Dallas to sweep anyway, so this is normal, I do not expect Boston to sweep neither, it was quite normal.

I think we are going to see a lot of back and forth between two teams and should be something that will take a while. I believe that we are going to see much better results, and closer games as well, which will be quite fun for everyone if given enough time.

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June 07, 2024, 07:57:47 PM
 #15524

Game 1 came down to 3 pt shooting. Dallas was 7-27 and Boston was 16-42. Boston hit 9 more 3 pointers.

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June 07, 2024, 09:07:37 PM
 #15525

Same here, with a small amount, it doesn't matter if I lose but I will not go against my instinct this time, not in the NBA finals.

I bet on Dallas as mentioned in my previous post, hoping the game would be fun. However, the game didn't provide much fun as, from the get-go, it was the Celtics who dominated the Dallas Mavericks. I couldn't see the effectiveness of their big men,
We're together on this brother, we're the ones that drew the firstblood for the losers.  Tongue
It's not a big amount but I felt that pain of losing not for my money but for them. And that is because the game 1 seems to be didn't breathe for their end and that's the reason why I felt bad for both sides.
We are gonna get this right in game 2, no more handicap, let's get the Dallas to even the series.
Game 1 was just one game, and this is a long series so it would be stupid for Jason Kidd not to make adjustment when their strategy is proven not working. It's time for the Dallas to surprise the home team in game 2, I don't need a blowout team, I just want to see Dallas winning even in a close game.
Yup, that's it. We just want to see them win regardless of the situation, honestly, I thought that they will be able to reach the lead on third quarter but no. That's fine, moving on to the next game.

Gafford and Lively, who were very limited in this game.
I was waiting for them honestly and thought that Coach Jason Kidd will give them more playing time because of how they did well against the Timberwolves. But because Maxi Kleber is there, he's given more time but I like more the tandem of the two when they are together. I know that Kleber is Kidd's choice but he should have given more playing time to the two when they've got the chemistry already. Anyway, the game 1's done and we have to look forward for the game 2, I don't know if I'll still bet for it but I might change my mind as I want to see Luka lift that trophy. And I didn't know that Luka is already engaged to his fiance'.

Come on man, there's no fun in watching the game without a bet, just put a little if you are not so sure with Dallas. As for me, I trust them to deliver a victory as they don't want to go down 0-2.  On the previous rounds, I think Dallas got at least 1 win on the road.
Haha, you are pushing me brother. Yeah, I might just place just to get that support to Dallas. I even bet when the odds are that much for them and that's why I am going to do that as well whatever the odds maybe this time. But props to the Celtics, they're really a strong team and that's the reason why they're always in the playoffs and even in the finals. The number of appearances that they have I think is the most and as well as the title's that they have in the history. I'm not sure but I think that's what they have in their stat appearances in playoffs and finals.

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June 08, 2024, 08:52:28 AM
Merited by Maslate (1)
 #15526

Game 1 came down to 3 pt shooting. Dallas was 7-27 and Boston was 16-42. Boston hit 9 more 3 pointers.

That's because Dallas was leaving the corner and just letting the Celtics shoot the ball. They didn't think the Celtics were the same as the Timberwolves, who are bad shooters in the corner, so Dallas clogged the inside every time a Celtics player attacked and paid the price for leaving the shooter in the corner.

The ball movement of the Celtics was also very precise, but what's big is KP starting strong, putting Dallas in a tough situation when they were down 19 points after the first quarter. But here we go to the 2nd game. Don't expect that to happen again. Dallas should do a better job, especially limiting KP.



https://www.espn.ph/nba/game/_/gameId/401656359/mavericks-celtics

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June 08, 2024, 11:04:40 AM
 #15527

Thanks for the shot chart. Now it's easy to see where the shots are coming from. So, the key for Dallas to win is to limit the 3-point shooting of the Celtics. I think they have played against a good 3-point shooting team, which is the OKC, and they beat them, so I have no doubt they'll find a solution on how to win in game 2. Fans surely got bored in game 1, particularly the Dallas fans. Smiley

In my sportsbook, Dallas is 1.96 at +6.5, and the total is 214.5, pretty much the same as in game 1. If the Celtics continue to shoot at a high percentage and Dallas finds a way to score as well, then the play here is over 214.5.

R


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June 08, 2024, 09:02:13 PM
 #15528

Thanks for the shot chart. Now it's easy to see where the shots are coming from. So, the key for Dallas to win is to limit the 3-point shooting of the Celtics. I think they have played against a good 3-point shooting team, which is the OKC, and they beat them, so I have no doubt they'll find a solution on how to win in game 2. Fans surely got bored in game 1, particularly the Dallas fans. Smiley

In my sportsbook, Dallas is 1.96 at +6.5, and the total is 214.5, pretty much the same as in game 1. If the Celtics continue to shoot at a high percentage and Dallas finds a way to score as well, then the play here is over 214.5.

I'm trying to figure out the over under.  Think Dallas makes the necessary defensive adjustments so I think I'm going to go with the under again.  In terms of spread it's up to 7.5.  Think I have to go with my gut and take Dallas here.  Again I think they make the adjustments and won't get blown out again.  They might not win but I expect a tighter game.

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June 09, 2024, 10:22:08 AM
 #15529



I am ready for the Game 2 of Boston versus Dallas.

I am still betting for the Boston Celtics for a game 2 winner as for their momentum and home-court advantage.

I did also side-bet on player props for Jaylen Brown and Porzingis.
Jaylen Brown - we have seen how Jaylen steals in the last few games and I believe he can steal with great defense and speed.
Porzingis - Last game 1, Porzingis did an amazing surprise showdown, Dallas didn't expect that, so for sure they know now what to do with Porzingis, now I am betting the show he did last game will not happen again this time.

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June 09, 2024, 11:34:45 AM
 #15530

Game 4 for Boston vs Pacers.

The last 3 games it's all over, and Celtics had only covered 1 game on the last 3 games they won. So I would go against the trend here especially the total as I'm thinking maybe this do or die game for the Pacers, they'll play better defense, but the celitcs are eager to fnish the series, so I'm expecting a blowout win by the Celtics.

My pick

Celtics -7.5 _ loss
under 225.5 win


Updated record 22(W)-24(L)..... 48%

Game 2 now in the NBA finals.

I've seen how good the Celtics in game 1, and judging on it, this looks like another blowout win by the home team. However, I think Dallas will not allow that as they haven't loss 2 straight in the playoffs AFAIR. Now, I'm gonna be taking the Dallas handicap and a little bet on the moneyline.

Dallas +6.5  and (ML)
Over 214.5

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June 09, 2024, 03:39:43 PM
 #15531

I wasn't really sure what to bet today.  I think the Celtics will win but the odds don't justify betting on it, even with giving them a wide spread.  I am hoping they at least have a close game, so I'm betting what I want to see happen.  18 to 1 odds that they make overtime sounds good to me.  The only bet that really caught my attention.  I doubt they'll go to overtime, but I figure at least the bet will have high enough odds to make it interesting if it's close.

Boston Celtics - Dallas Mavericks
Will There be Overtime
Yes

Odds
18.00

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June 09, 2024, 04:07:09 PM
 #15532

Dallas should do a better job, especially limiting KP.

A lot of analysis was based of on the success rate of the Celtics 3pt shooting in game 1, my question is how do you limit KP who is as deadly in the paint and around the rim as he is from behind the arc and mid range and not also not give up open 3s points in the process and also not forget that the Celtics also have guys that can create runs and drive to the basket in Jaylen Brown and Jason Tatum, to limit KP you’ll need at least one big on him physically with some close by to also help, but that way you leave players like Tatum, White and Brown to one v one defense where a simple attempt to drive to basket could collapse the defense and/or even still open a corner 3 like it did in the 3 Quarter of game 1. while I’m expecting a different ball game today, I don’t think Dallas have figured shit out just yet.

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June 09, 2024, 04:34:18 PM
 #15533

Dallas should do a better job, especially limiting KP.

A lot of analysis was based of on the success rate of the Celtics 3pt shooting in game 1, my question is how do you limit KP who is as deadly in the paint and around the rim as he is from behind the arc and mid range and not also not give up open 3s points in the process and also not forget that the Celtics also have guys that can create runs and drive to the basket in Jaylen Brown and Jason Tatum, to limit KP you’ll need at least one big on him physically with some close by to also help, but that way you leave players like Tatum, White and Brown to one v one defense where a simple attempt to drive to basket could collapse the defense and/or even still open a corner 3 like it did in the 3 Quarter of game 1. while I’m expecting a different ball game today, I don’t think Dallas have figured shit out just yet.
In short, it's going to be a hard task for the Mavs on how they can communicate with each other to provide switches defending every players on the floor.
I trust that Jason Kidd has a plan for that and I know that he watched the Game 1 over and over just so he could provide a good plan in Game 2. He did it twice on their two series coming back from a Game 1 loss.

Here is my pick. I ain't going to be analytic anymore when it comes to the Finals, it's more of a fanbase emotional pick.  Cheesy So, it's not recommended.
Boston Celtics - Dallas Mavericks - Dallas Mavericks ML @3.05
Over 213.5 @1.79

I trust the Mavs will have an answer after that bad loss.
Good luck everyone and let's enjoy the game later.

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June 09, 2024, 06:42:03 PM
 #15534

I don't know if the Celtics to cover their spread remains the unpopular opinion here, but that's what I'm riding with but with a "Likkle caution", I'm going Boston Celtics -4.5 @ 1.62 Odds.

GL guys!


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June 09, 2024, 07:49:37 PM
 #15535

3.05 for Dallas on stake.com if they win for game 2. Not that much difference compared to the game 1 but still, I'd take the risk and will bet on them. So, good luck to all of us that have their own respective bets, win or lose, we're all friends and will definitely going to watch some good basketball later on.



Here is my pick. I ain't going to be analytic anymore when it comes to the Finals, it's more of a fanbase emotional pick.  Cheesy So, it's not recommended.
Boston Celtics - Dallas Mavericks - Dallas Mavericks ML @3.05
Over 213.5 @1.79

I trust the Mavs will have an answer after that bad loss.
Good luck everyone and let's enjoy the game later.
We're the same here bro and I hope to see a win for the Dallas Mavericks this time. But again, this is just all for fun and happiness that we're doing, no matter what happens, happens.  Cheesy
Enjoy your bet too bro.

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June 09, 2024, 09:58:23 PM
 #15536

3.05 for Dallas on stake.com if they win for game 2. Not that much difference compared to the game 1 but still, I'd take the risk and will bet on them. So, good luck to all of us that have their own respective bets, win or lose, we're all friends and will definitely going to watch some good basketball later on.



Here is my pick. I ain't going to be analytic anymore when it comes to the Finals, it's more of a fanbase emotional pick.  Cheesy So, it's not recommended.
Boston Celtics - Dallas Mavericks - Dallas Mavericks ML @3.05
Over 213.5 @1.79

I trust the Mavs will have an answer after that bad loss.
Good luck everyone and let's enjoy the game later.
We're the same here bro and I hope to see a win for the Dallas Mavericks this time. But again, this is just all for fun and happiness that we're doing, no matter what happens, happens.  Cheesy
Enjoy your bet too bro.
I'm glad to see a lot of backers for Dallas here, which makes me more confident in my bet. I'm also on the same side with the over, as I think Dallas was shut down in game 1 but will find a way to show their true offense. When they played in the WCF, it was an offense vs defense team, so I think in the NBA Finals, it's offense vs offense since Boston has everyone on the floor who knows how to shoot the ball, even from the outside.

My prediction is that it could go way over the total according to our sportsbook. I wouldn't be surprised if it goes over 240, so let's hit this one on the road.

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June 09, 2024, 10:38:12 PM
Last edit: June 10, 2024, 01:35:16 AM by morvillz7z
 #15537

J. Holiday 1+ 3pts / A. Horford 1+ 3pts / D. White 2+ 3pts @1.70  won

The Celtics got so many good looks in Game 1 by simply making Luka play defense. Picking on him on the PnR and getting a switch was money all game long. I don't think the Celtics will adjust their game plan much, they don't have to. The Mavs have to figure out how to hide Luka on defense but also account for Porzingis and the mismatches he creates. If they opt to double-team KP, it will only result in more wide-open 3-point shots. The Celtics had seven players make two or more three-pointers in Game 1, which unironically is NBA Finals record.

All three players that i got tonight have 80% or higher hit-rate during the playoffs:

D. White 2+ 3pts 13/15
A. Horford 1+ 3pts 12/15
J. Holiday 14/15

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June 09, 2024, 11:05:25 PM
 #15538

I got Dallas at +7.5 yesterday book is down to 6.5 so money must be coming in.  Also got the under at 214
5 and that line went up to 215.5.  Seems like a lot of people are putting in on the over.  I still think Dallas turns up the defense and keeps this game close to 100 each.  Something like a 105-102 type game.  Whoever gets hot at the end wins it.  Enjoy the game everyone should be a good one.

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June 10, 2024, 12:04:08 AM
 #15539

I don't know if the Celtics to cover their spread remains the unpopular opinion here, but that's what I'm riding with but with a "Likkle caution", I'm going Boston Celtics -4.5 @ 1.62 Odds.
I also got the Celtics spread, even though this game points to the Mavs likely covering, I believe the Celtics can finally break the trend this time.

I've also heard the injury news about Doncic, but I doubt that'll be an advantage for the Celtics when he's always up for the task, and continuously puts up big performances.


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June 10, 2024, 12:56:13 AM
 #15540

I don't know if the Celtics to cover their spread remains the unpopular opinion here, but that's what I'm riding with but with a "Likkle caution", I'm going Boston Celtics -4.5 @ 1.62 Odds.
I also got the Celtics spread, even though this game points to the Mavs likely covering, I believe the Celtics can finally break the trend this time.

I've also heard the injury news about Doncic, but I doubt that'll be an advantage for the Celtics when he's always up for the task, and continuously puts up big performances.


Celtics have just taken their first lead of the game, 36-35 in the 2nd Quarter, and I must say it's been all down to Luka Doncic he's score about 20 of the Dallas Mavericks 35 points so far.

It's been a more balanced game this time around, but the Celtics have been somewhat awful from 3 points attempt so far here.

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