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Author Topic: Buy the DIP, and HODL!  (Read 77089 times)
Wind_FURY (OP)
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April 02, 2022, 11:05:18 AM
 #1381

About "HODLing", a friend told me that it might be better that you should never tell ANYONE, including you very close/trusted friends and family, how much you have invested in Bitcoin, or how much you are passively making. Sometimes you might feel jealousy if Bitcoin is surging, and during other times, you might feel that they are happy if it's crashing.

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Bitcoin mining is now a specialized and very risky industry, just like gold mining. Amateur miners are unlikely to make much money, and may even lose money. Bitcoin is much more than just mining, though!
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April 02, 2022, 02:56:50 PM
 #1382

About "HODLing", a friend told me that it might be better that you should never tell ANYONE, including you very close/trusted friends and family, how much you have invested in Bitcoin, or how much you are passively making. Sometimes you might feel jealousy if Bitcoin is surging, and during other times, you might feel that they are happy if it's crashing.

+1
It's usually a lot of money and you don't want to attract attention.
MO coinz MO problemz....

Bitcoin is like a box of chocolates. You never know what you're gonna get !!
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April 04, 2022, 09:17:26 AM
 #1383

About "HODLing", a friend told me that it might be better that you should never tell ANYONE, including you very close/trusted friends and family, how much you have invested in Bitcoin, or how much you are passively making. Sometimes you might feel jealousy if Bitcoin is surging, and during other times, you might feel that they are happy if it's crashing.

+1
It's usually a lot of money and you don't want to attract attention.
MO coinz MO problemz....


It's really very laughable because my friend was one of the people who was telling them, almost begging, and definitely being very annoying, to buy Bitcoin during the bear market. It would have been a golden opportunity for them. But what did they do? Because maybe some plebs are smarter than other plebs.

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April 04, 2022, 09:42:21 AM
Merited by JayJuanGee (2)
 #1384

About "HODLing", a friend told me that it might be better that you should never tell ANYONE, including you very close/trusted friends and family, how much you have invested in Bitcoin, or how much you are passively making. Sometimes you might feel jealousy if Bitcoin is surging, and during other times, you might feel that they are happy if it's crashing.

+1
It's usually a lot of money and you don't want to attract attention.
MO coinz MO problemz....


It's really very laughable because my friend was one of the people who was telling them, almost begging, and definitely being very annoying, to buy Bitcoin during the bear market. It would have been a golden opportunity for them. But what did they do? Because maybe some plebs are smarter than other plebs.

Hindsight is 20/20 so I don't find it that laughable but it is a missed opportunity.

I mined my first coin when it was 'expensive' at approx. $60 a coin.
Felt crazy later on, for buying at $300 an $600
Left and right hacks/bans/uncertanty... not ideal investing

I've now learned to do the opposite of the market. Buy when shit hits the fan and HODL through the storms....

If I would have known the current price I would have bought way more and be living on a bigass yacht in the Maledives or Sechelles .....
but no I was too much of a little bitch to invest big money. So now I still have enough but need to wait a bit longer....


What I noticed with many people is the following flawed mindset
 - I'm gonna buy when the price drops
 - The price is dropping too fast I'm not going to invest in something that just dropped 40% in a week
.... they missed the train again on 40-60% rise ....
 

Bitcoin is like a box of chocolates. You never know what you're gonna get !!
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April 04, 2022, 04:55:20 PM
 #1385

About "HODLing", a friend told me that it might be better that you should never tell ANYONE, including you very close/trusted friends and family, how much you have invested in Bitcoin, or how much you are passively making. Sometimes you might feel jealousy if Bitcoin is surging, and during other times, you might feel that they are happy if it's crashing.

+1
It's usually a lot of money and you don't want to attract attention.
MO coinz MO problemz....


It's really very laughable because my friend was one of the people who was telling them, almost begging, and definitely being very annoying, to buy Bitcoin during the bear market. It would have been a golden opportunity for them. But what did they do? Because maybe some plebs are smarter than other plebs.

Even those of us who have been following bitcoin for years have troubles identifying bear markets with very strong levels of confidence, and also part of the reasons that traders (who are supposedly experts in price/market watching) have high levels of failures in regards to not being able to figure out with any kind of high level of confidence whether we are in a bear or bull market.

So if neither the experts nor the peeps watching bitcoin for years can get it right, then it surely is not fair to expect newbies to bitcoin to get it right or to create systems in which they are even attempting to get it right... which brings us back to DCA, as amongst the most basic of systems to at least to have some level of adequate/sufficient preparation for UP when/if such UP happens.

Lots of peeps try to write off or denigrate DCA as being brainless and failing/refusing to maximize the buying of dips; however, one of the problems with that kind of an assessment of DCA is that it can still take a whole hell of a lot of time to really attempt to be precise (or even to maximize) your DCA strategy in terms of figuring out your own budget... and not to overdo it, too.  So many people (both young and old - even though the old do tend to learn some of these matters through some of the pains of experience) have difficulties establishing various kinds of emergency funds in order that they can have some kind of a floating balance of funds that are available in the short term and they have created optionality regarding from which funds they are going to draw upon in the event of tight cashflows (unexpected expenses or lessening of income).

Even having a lot of experiences with managing your own finances can still put a lot of normies (and I am not completely exempted from this either) from wrongly calculating some of the management of short to medium term cashflows which causes some needs to draw from areas/funds that were not meant to be touched (especially something like bitcoin should be part of the NOT touched funds that are ONLY drawn upon completely based on 100% choice rather than being forced into NOT having enough liquid reserves in various funds to cover expenses). 

Let's say that someone is just coming to bitcoin and they have a lot of fucked up circumstances in their own prior financial management including a lot of debt (something like $10k) that needs to be paid off and not very reliable levels of cashflow - including failures/refusals to invest or to create reserve cash balances (such as an emergency fund).  So, in some sense they do not have much if any investments, and they might have a bunch of consumer items that they own that have depreciated in value and might even be pretty costly to maintain (a car can be one of them), so if after calculating all of their cashflow and expenses, they have determined that they have about $100 per week extra that they could start to put towards attempting to resolve their various cashflow/savings/investment issues.. so maybe the next 2-4 years, they need to spend time getting their shit in order. and instead of investing $100 per week into bitcoin, they make some choices to invest $10-$25 per week into bitcoin and use the  other $75-$90 per week to make progress towards paying down debt and building a cash reserves.  Yes, it could take time to make progress, but sometimes there are needs to look out past the short term and to figure out how to make progress towards fulfilling goals to be able to have made more options for oneself by getting their finances in better order.. while at the same time, bitcoin should likely be part of the package - even if the amount that can be dedicated towards investing in BTC cannot be as large because from my perspective it is way more important to get your financial matters in order so that your BTC investment and other aspects of your life are less reliant upon gambling rather that creating purposeful systems that build an investment portfolio which will also creates more options with the passage of time.

About "HODLing", a friend told me that it might be better that you should never tell ANYONE, including you very close/trusted friends and family, how much you have invested in Bitcoin, or how much you are passively making. Sometimes you might feel jealousy if Bitcoin is surging, and during other times, you might feel that they are happy if it's crashing.

+1
It's usually a lot of money and you don't want to attract attention.
MO coinz MO problemz....


It's really very laughable because my friend was one of the people who was telling them, almost begging, and definitely being very annoying, to buy Bitcoin during the bear market. It would have been a golden opportunity for them. But what did they do? Because maybe some plebs are smarter than other plebs.

Hindsight is 20/20 so I don't find it that laughable but it is a missed opportunity.

I mined my first coin when it was 'expensive' at approx. $60 a coin.
Felt crazy later on, for buying at $300 an $600
Left and right hacks/bans/uncertanty... not ideal investing

I've now learned to do the opposite of the market. Buy when shit hits the fan and HODL through the storms....

If I would have known the current price I would have bought way more and be living on a bigass yacht in the Maledives or Sechelles .....
but no I was too much of a little bitch to invest big money. So now I still have enough but need to wait a bit longer....


What I noticed with many people is the following flawed mindset
 - I'm gonna buy when the price drops
 - The price is dropping too fast I'm not going to invest in something that just dropped 40% in a week
.... they missed the train again on 40-60% rise ....

I don't have a problem with anything that you said Wilhelm - even though so many of us can look back and hypothesize that we "could have been more aggressive with our BTC investment."....

Another sense of the whole situation is that we ONLY know what we know, and every moment we are making tradeoffs regarding how well we should live now versus how much payoff (delayed gratification) we might get by attempting to have a somewhat aggressive BTC investment strategy.  It's never going to be certain regarding whether some levels of self-sacrifice in the present might pay off greater in the future, versus some of the value that comes from buying goods and services (and experiences) in the present.

We can look at our current situation, and try to assess whether we are currently being sufficiently aggressive, and at the same time, we also have to be careful about being overly aggressive.  I understand that you likely look back at the past 8-9 years, and you can recognize some of the dumb ways in which you spent your money, so in that regard, as you already seemed to have mentioned, you are judging your prior behaviors in light of what you have later found out - which is that bitcoin has been way more bullish than expected.. and the downsides did not play out in bitcoin as much as they were feared.... so yeah, we are never really removed from those kinds of calculations in the present - and surely those of us who have already established a decent BTC stash (likely including both you and me - even though maybe to differing levels) are way better off because of the passage of time and that we had chosen to continue to HODL some proportions of our BTC stash - rather than cashing out too much too soon.  So, we can see that some of our peers had chosen to cash out too much too soon.. or even to fail/refuse to continue to invest into bitcoin because they had bought at $60, $600, $6k and even $30k.. so they start to feel uncomfortable buying at higher price be bitcoin has likely already become disproportionate proportions of their overall investment portfolio allocation.. so at some point, it does not seem to make as much sense to continue to buy bitcoin when bitcoin represents the overwhelming majority of your wealth.

1) Self-Custody is a right.  There is no such thing as "non-custodial" or "un-hosted."  2) ESG, KYC & AML are attack-vectors on Bitcoin to be avoided or minimized.  3) How much alt (shit)coin diversification is necessary? if you are into Bitcoin, then 0%......if you cannot control your gambling, then perhaps limit your alt(shit)coin exposure to less than 10% of your bitcoin size...Put BTC here: bc1q49wt0ddnj07wzzp6z7affw9ven7fztyhevqu9k
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April 04, 2022, 10:19:04 PM
 #1386

@JJG +1

We all wished we would have been more aggressive but with what we knew at the time we were risking it all for magic internet moneyz that many deemed a tulip crisis Smiley

Bitcoin is like a box of chocolates. You never know what you're gonna get !!
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April 05, 2022, 12:06:27 AM
 #1387

@JJG +1

We all wished we would have been more aggressive but with what we knew at the time we were risking it all for magic internet moneyz that many deemed a tulip crisis Smiley

It's a bit difficult to speculate various situations of people, because sometimes young people are in real early stages of just figuring out how to manage whatever income they have, and if they go to college, they have the challenges of figuring out how much money they might have in those circumstances, when maybe they are also trying to get good grades to get placed in a decently paying job....

I sometimes feel as if I sometimes presume the situations of others because one of my advantages in coming to bitcoin was that I had already established a decent investment portfolio, so it was just a matter of reallocating for me, so between about 2014 and 2020, I had always suggested that people should consider a 1% to 10% allocation of their investment portfolio to bitcoin, so with that framework, anything between 5% and 10% would have been reasonably aggressive, and anything above 10% would potentially be overly aggressive.. .but at least the person getting into bitcoin under those circumstances should NOT be going in blindly or at a kind of beginner level.,. but with some study of the subject.

In about the past 6 months, I have adjusted my beginner investment into bitcoin framework up to 1% to 25%, so there are surely new ways to consider what is aggressive within that framework (still above 5% into bitcoin might be considered sufficiently aggressive).  

Another thing is that if you got into bitcoin in the past 6-9 years, you may well could have gotten away with just regular aggressiveness on the lower end of the scale and still reached some kind of wealth appreciation that put you into a very solid place.  Yet, the way to hang onto such value.. let's say a modest investment that might have gotten 20 to 50 BTC, that might have ONLY had taken $5k to $25k of capital to acquire that quantity of BTC (which is suggesting some luck in having had been able to acquire BTC between about $250 and $500 per BTC), but then the question thereafter would have been being able to hang onto such BTC for several years and through the price run up of 2017 and the so far price run up of early 2021... so if the investment into BTC had been more aggressive, such as doubling the investment amount to $10k to $50k, then the BTC stash could have been double to 40 to 100 BTC, and therefore could have allowed for more wiggle room to HOLD onto a certain core level of those BTC.. so in that regard, there can be some longer term pay-off in having had "overinvested" into BTC, but at the same time, the that overinvestment into BTC still would not be enough if the person did not have the foresight and ability to hang onto a core amount of the BTC.. so for example, investing to buy 40 to 100 BTC, but not letting the core level go below 20 to 50 BTC.. something like that.

1) Self-Custody is a right.  There is no such thing as "non-custodial" or "un-hosted."  2) ESG, KYC & AML are attack-vectors on Bitcoin to be avoided or minimized.  3) How much alt (shit)coin diversification is necessary? if you are into Bitcoin, then 0%......if you cannot control your gambling, then perhaps limit your alt(shit)coin exposure to less than 10% of your bitcoin size...Put BTC here: bc1q49wt0ddnj07wzzp6z7affw9ven7fztyhevqu9k
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April 08, 2022, 01:32:09 AM
 #1388

About "HODLing", a friend told me that it might be better that you should never tell ANYONE, including you very close/trusted friends and family, how much you have invested in Bitcoin, or how much you are passively making. Sometimes you might feel jealousy if Bitcoin is surging, and during other times, you might feel that they are happy if it's crashing.

+1
It's usually a lot of money and you don't want to attract attention.
MO coinz MO problemz....


It's really very laughable because my friend was one of the people who was telling them, almost begging, and definitely being very annoying, to buy Bitcoin during the bear market. It would have been a golden opportunity for them. But what did they do? Because maybe some plebs are smarter than other plebs.
people always advice other to buy bitcoin during bear time, i want to ask if bear market don't have volume where by you can buy during the bear time when the bitcoin is in stage of 20k and after some time the market kept going down to 13k till one year decrement, so what is going to be the benefit of buying during the continuous falling time of bitcoin and bitcoin refused to rise

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April 09, 2022, 08:05:30 AM
 #1389

@JJG +1

We all wished we would have been more aggressive but with what we knew at the time we were risking it all for magic internet moneyz that many deemed a tulip crisis Smiley


I would want to be more someone like you, than someone like sgbett or proudhon, who I believe were the aggressive buyers of Bitcoin but might have sold them for a mere 10x of their original investment. Currently, they want Bitcoin's surge to happen to BCash SV.

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April 11, 2022, 04:42:22 AM
Merited by Wind_FURY (1)
 #1390

About "HODLing", a friend told me that it might be better that you should never tell ANYONE, including you very close/trusted friends and family, how much you have invested in Bitcoin, or how much you are passively making. Sometimes you might feel jealousy if Bitcoin is surging, and during other times, you might feel that they are happy if it's crashing.

+1
It's usually a lot of money and you don't want to attract attention.
MO coinz MO problemz....


It's really very laughable because my friend was one of the people who was telling them, almost begging, and definitely being very annoying, to buy Bitcoin during the bear market. It would have been a golden opportunity for them. But what did they do? Because maybe some plebs are smarter than other plebs.
people always advice other to buy bitcoin during bear time, i want to ask if bear market don't have volume where by you can buy during the bear time when the bitcoin is in stage of 20k and after some time the market kept going down to 13k till one year decrement, so what is going to be the benefit of buying during the continuous falling time of bitcoin and bitcoin refused to rise

Of course, one of the presumptions that any of us make with either buying BTC on dips, or buying BTC on a regular basis no matter the cost (that is DCA) or even HODL strategies is that there is a bit of a presumption that in the long term, such as 4-10 years bitcoin prices are going to be higher than they are today or at least if you were to keep buying on a regular basis that the price of bitcoin is going to end up being higher than your costs.

There are no guarantees that the BTC price is going to go up in the long term, so in some sense if you are investing into BTC for the long term such as 4-10 years or longer, you should have some level of conviction or confidence in bitcoin as an asset.. and of course, no investments are guaranteed. 

If you do not have any kind of long term conviction about Bitcoin having decent chances of going up in price in the long term, then probably you should not be investing into bTC and perhaps you should find a better investment (or at least one that you are more comfortable and confident).


1) Self-Custody is a right.  There is no such thing as "non-custodial" or "un-hosted."  2) ESG, KYC & AML are attack-vectors on Bitcoin to be avoided or minimized.  3) How much alt (shit)coin diversification is necessary? if you are into Bitcoin, then 0%......if you cannot control your gambling, then perhaps limit your alt(shit)coin exposure to less than 10% of your bitcoin size...Put BTC here: bc1q49wt0ddnj07wzzp6z7affw9ven7fztyhevqu9k
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April 13, 2022, 06:38:20 AM
Merited by JayJuanGee (1)
 #1391

About "HODLing", a friend told me that it might be better that you should never tell ANYONE, including you very close/trusted friends and family, how much you have invested in Bitcoin, or how much you are passively making. Sometimes you might feel jealousy if Bitcoin is surging, and during other times, you might feel that they are happy if it's crashing.

+1
It's usually a lot of money and you don't want to attract attention.
MO coinz MO problemz....


It's really very laughable because my friend was one of the people who was telling them, almost begging, and definitely being very annoying, to buy Bitcoin during the bear market. It would have been a golden opportunity for them. But what did they do? Because maybe some plebs are smarter than other plebs.
people always advice other to buy bitcoin during bear time, i want to ask if bear market don't have volume where by you can buy during the bear time when the bitcoin is in stage of 20k and after some time the market kept going down to 13k till one year decrement, so what is going to be the benefit of buying during the continuous falling time of bitcoin and bitcoin refused to rise

Of course, one of the presumptions that any of us make with either buying BTC on dips, or buying BTC on a regular basis no matter the cost (that is DCA) or even HODL strategies is that there is a bit of a presumption that in the long term, such as 4-10 years bitcoin prices are going to be higher than they are today or at least if you were to keep buying on a regular basis that the price of bitcoin is going to end up being higher than your costs.

There are no guarantees that the BTC price is going to go up in the long term, so in some sense if you are investing into BTC for the long term such as 4-10 years or longer, you should have some level of conviction or confidence in bitcoin as an asset.. and of course, no investments are guaranteed.  

If you do not have any kind of long term conviction about Bitcoin having decent chances of going up in price in the long term, then probably you should not be investing into bTC and perhaps you should find a better investment (or at least one that you are more comfortable and confident).


Although deep inside of me doesn't believe, or doesn't want me to believe, that there are no guarantees, I believe saying that there actually are NO guarantees is the right thing to do. Especially the newbies. 2019 was a very different experience, I was very enthusiastic in telling everyone "BUY NOW", but I had much to learn, and still have much to learn.

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April 14, 2022, 05:01:14 AM
Merited by Wind_FURY (1)
 #1392

About "HODLing", a friend told me that it might be better that you should never tell ANYONE, including you very close/trusted friends and family, how much you have invested in Bitcoin, or how much you are passively making. Sometimes you might feel jealousy if Bitcoin is surging, and during other times, you might feel that they are happy if it's crashing.

+1
It's usually a lot of money and you don't want to attract attention.
MO coinz MO problemz....


It's really very laughable because my friend was one of the people who was telling them, almost begging, and definitely being very annoying, to buy Bitcoin during the bear market. It would have been a golden opportunity for them. But what did they do? Because maybe some plebs are smarter than other plebs.
people always advice other to buy bitcoin during bear time, i want to ask if bear market don't have volume where by you can buy during the bear time when the bitcoin is in stage of 20k and after some time the market kept going down to 13k till one year decrement, so what is going to be the benefit of buying during the continuous falling time of bitcoin and bitcoin refused to rise

Of course, one of the presumptions that any of us make with either buying BTC on dips, or buying BTC on a regular basis no matter the cost (that is DCA) or even HODL strategies is that there is a bit of a presumption that in the long term, such as 4-10 years bitcoin prices are going to be higher than they are today or at least if you were to keep buying on a regular basis that the price of bitcoin is going to end up being higher than your costs.

There are no guarantees that the BTC price is going to go up in the long term, so in some sense if you are investing into BTC for the long term such as 4-10 years or longer, you should have some level of conviction or confidence in bitcoin as an asset.. and of course, no investments are guaranteed.  

If you do not have any kind of long term conviction about Bitcoin having decent chances of going up in price in the long term, then probably you should not be investing into bTC and perhaps you should find a better investment (or at least one that you are more comfortable and confident).

Although deep inside of me doesn't believe, or doesn't want me to believe, that there are no guarantees, I believe saying that there actually are NO guarantees is the right thing to do. Especially the newbies. 2019 was a very different experience, I was very enthusiastic in telling everyone "BUY NOW", but I had much to learn, and still have much to learn.

I will agree with you about the part that it is really NOT easy to attempt to show someone that bitcoin is likely one of the most asymmetrical bet to the UPside that anyone can make while at the same time asserting that the person (audience) has to take complete responsibility for their own investment decisions. 

Sometimes, I am not sure if I am the one who has been dissuading my acquaintances in real life to invest in bitcoin because so few actually choose to either invest into bitcoin or even to investigate afterwards.  Actually when years go by, I can tell that my message had sunk in because frequently I am credited with "I should have listened to you, and invested into bitcoin when you told me x years earlier." 

So, then the assumption in the then current conversation becomes that bitcoin has already pumped up so much that it no longer makes sense to invest into bitcoin, and almost always, I say get started right away.. don't delay.. if you do not have any bitcoin, then figure out your finances and start buying BTC regularly.. even if it is ONLY a small amount, and do not get distracted with shitcoins.  Almost no one listens.  And, what can I do?  in some sense the audience (no coiner) needs to be ready, and I am not going to pressure the audience or attempt to twist their arm.

1) Self-Custody is a right.  There is no such thing as "non-custodial" or "un-hosted."  2) ESG, KYC & AML are attack-vectors on Bitcoin to be avoided or minimized.  3) How much alt (shit)coin diversification is necessary? if you are into Bitcoin, then 0%......if you cannot control your gambling, then perhaps limit your alt(shit)coin exposure to less than 10% of your bitcoin size...Put BTC here: bc1q49wt0ddnj07wzzp6z7affw9ven7fztyhevqu9k
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April 14, 2022, 11:38:57 AM
 #1393

About "HODLing", a friend told me that it might be better that you should never tell ANYONE, including you very close/trusted friends and family, how much you have invested in Bitcoin, or how much you are passively making. Sometimes you might feel jealousy if Bitcoin is surging, and during other times, you might feel that they are happy if it's crashing.

+1
It's usually a lot of money and you don't want to attract attention.
MO coinz MO problemz....


It's really very laughable because my friend was one of the people who was telling them, almost begging, and definitely being very annoying, to buy Bitcoin during the bear market. It would have been a golden opportunity for them. But what did they do? Because maybe some plebs are smarter than other plebs.
people always advice other to buy bitcoin during bear time, i want to ask if bear market don't have volume where by you can buy during the bear time when the bitcoin is in stage of 20k and after some time the market kept going down to 13k till one year decrement, so what is going to be the benefit of buying during the continuous falling time of bitcoin and bitcoin refused to rise

Of course, one of the presumptions that any of us make with either buying BTC on dips, or buying BTC on a regular basis no matter the cost (that is DCA) or even HODL strategies is that there is a bit of a presumption that in the long term, such as 4-10 years bitcoin prices are going to be higher than they are today or at least if you were to keep buying on a regular basis that the price of bitcoin is going to end up being higher than your costs.

There are no guarantees that the BTC price is going to go up in the long term, so in some sense if you are investing into BTC for the long term such as 4-10 years or longer, you should have some level of conviction or confidence in bitcoin as an asset.. and of course, no investments are guaranteed.  

If you do not have any kind of long term conviction about Bitcoin having decent chances of going up in price in the long term, then probably you should not be investing into bTC and perhaps you should find a better investment (or at least one that you are more comfortable and confident).

Although deep inside of me doesn't believe, or doesn't want me to believe, that there are no guarantees, I believe saying that there actually are NO guarantees is the right thing to do. Especially the newbies. 2019 was a very different experience, I was very enthusiastic in telling everyone "BUY NOW", but I had much to learn, and still have much to learn.

I will agree with you about the part that it is really NOT easy to attempt to show someone that bitcoin is likely one of the most asymmetrical bet to the UPside that anyone can make while at the same time asserting that the person (audience) has to take complete responsibility for their own investment decisions.  

Sometimes, I am not sure if I am the one who has been dissuading my acquaintances in real life to invest in bitcoin because so few actually choose to either invest into bitcoin or even to investigate afterwards.  Actually when years go by, I can tell that my message had sunk in because frequently I am credited with "I should have listened to you, and invested into bitcoin when you told me x years earlier."  

So, then the assumption in the then current conversation becomes that bitcoin has already pumped up so much that it no longer makes sense to invest into bitcoin, and almost always, I say get started right away.. don't delay.. if you do not have any bitcoin, then figure out your finances and start buying BTC regularly.. even if it is ONLY a small amount, and do not get distracted with shitcoins.  Almost no one listens.  And, what can I do?  in some sense the audience (no coiner) needs to be ready, and I am not going to pressure the audience or attempt to twist their arm.


As a financial hedge, I still believe it's better to wait for the DIP, but as a hedge against a non-elected cabal who might/are making mistakes concerning the monetary system, I agree, don't delay and HODL some now.

I'm currently taking a free course on basic options trading, and while researching about options exchanges, I discovered a decentralized options exchange built on Ethereum. I'm starting to believe that some altcoins might not be actual "shitcoins", and they might actually be useful specifically for wealth-building.

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...Next Generation Crypto Casino...
JayJuanGee
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April 14, 2022, 04:22:48 PM
 #1394

[edited out]

As a financial hedge, I still believe it's better to wait for the DIP, but as a hedge against a non-elected cabal who might/are making mistakes concerning the monetary system, I agree, don't delay and HODL some now.

I think that part of my ongoing point has been to attempt to talk about ways that normal people can get involved in bitcoin in ways that are tailored to their own personal situations, and one of the obstacles remains that a vast majority of folks fail/refuse to get involved in any kind of investment beyond investing in either some kind of personal residential property and/or a 401k - if they have that kind of an option through their work - and even many jobs do not even have such options - because getting into a stable job is also not really something that can be expected.

So in order to attempt to appeal to the "everyman,"  I am very much into figuring out ways that people can just get off of zero in terms of the amounts that they have invested into bitcoin, and surely just getting off of zero is a good start,, and thereafter to get some kind of an approach to bitcoin that allows them to get something like 1% to 25% of their investment portfolio into bitcoin.

Now, once they establish their bitcoin base, then they can maybe get more fancy... but I still think that getting their shit together with the base remains the first step.. and then can figure out some of the details of how they might want to be more fancy, later.  

The base case is dollar cost averaging (buying on dips is acceptable for sure), but in my thinking buying on dips goes beyond the base case and is more sophisticated and complicated.  Yeah, sure some people are ready, willing and able to employ a more sophisticated strategy, but I still think that it is way better to appeal to the base case and to make sure that people have their basics in a good place before expecting them to do something more complicated and requiring more study into the matter (ie having to attempt to figure out whether we are in a dip or not.. nearly impossible to do for any newbie, and not even easy for many of us who have been in the space for a long time).


I'm currently taking a free course on basic options trading, and while researching about options exchanges, I discovered a decentralized options exchange built on Ethereum. I'm starting to believe that some altcoins might not be actual "shitcoins", and they might actually be useful specifically for wealth-building.

Nothing wrong with getting even more sophisticated in your approach or even adding trading and various financial instruments - whether they involve shitcoins or not.  I have never taken the position that you cannot make money on shitcoins or getting involved in various shitcoin systems, but in my thinking you still need to make sure that you are not getting too distracted with how you spend your time and your money.... the younger you are or maybe the more that you are interested in dabbling into various kinds of smoke and mirror topics, the more that you might be able to risk some of your bitcoin investment into various shitcoin projects - but I would also be careful of trying to consider them as anything even close to bitcoin - even if there might be a variety of ways to potentially increase your value by gambling and putting money into those various products. Seems to also go beyond the topic of this thread, for sure.

1) Self-Custody is a right.  There is no such thing as "non-custodial" or "un-hosted."  2) ESG, KYC & AML are attack-vectors on Bitcoin to be avoided or minimized.  3) How much alt (shit)coin diversification is necessary? if you are into Bitcoin, then 0%......if you cannot control your gambling, then perhaps limit your alt(shit)coin exposure to less than 10% of your bitcoin size...Put BTC here: bc1q49wt0ddnj07wzzp6z7affw9ven7fztyhevqu9k
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April 15, 2022, 10:24:32 AM
 #1395


I'm currently taking a free course on basic options trading, and while researching about options exchanges, I discovered a decentralized options exchange built on Ethereum. I'm starting to believe that some altcoins might not be actual "shitcoins", and they might actually be useful specifically for wealth-building.

Nothing wrong with getting even more sophisticated in your approach or even adding trading and various financial instruments - whether they involve shitcoins or not.  I have never taken the position that you cannot make money on shitcoins or getting involved in various shitcoin systems, but in my thinking you still need to make sure that you are not getting too distracted with how you spend your time and your money.... the younger you are or maybe the more that you are interested in dabbling into various kinds of smoke and mirror topics, the more that you might be able to risk some of your bitcoin investment into various shitcoin projects - but I would also be careful of trying to consider them as anything even close to bitcoin - even if there might be a variety of ways to potentially increase your value by gambling and putting money into those various products. Seems to also go beyond the topic of this thread, for sure.


I'm starting to find it necessary for what I need, but I can always use Deribit although I don't find long term call options that expire for more than one year in their exchange. I'm merely trying to be ready for a March 2020-like crash situation. I believe if there was a long term call option available during that particular crash, with a strike price of $50,000, that would have been a very profitable "gamble".

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April 15, 2022, 05:05:27 PM
 #1396


I'm currently taking a free course on basic options trading, and while researching about options exchanges, I discovered a decentralized options exchange built on Ethereum. I'm starting to believe that some altcoins might not be actual "shitcoins", and they might actually be useful specifically for wealth-building.

Nothing wrong with getting even more sophisticated in your approach or even adding trading and various financial instruments - whether they involve shitcoins or not.  I have never taken the position that you cannot make money on shitcoins or getting involved in various shitcoin systems, but in my thinking you still need to make sure that you are not getting too distracted with how you spend your time and your money.... the younger you are or maybe the more that you are interested in dabbling into various kinds of smoke and mirror topics, the more that you might be able to risk some of your bitcoin investment into various shitcoin projects - but I would also be careful of trying to consider them as anything even close to bitcoin - even if there might be a variety of ways to potentially increase your value by gambling and putting money into those various products. Seems to also go beyond the topic of this thread, for sure.

I'm starting to find it necessary for what I need, but I can always use Deribit although I don't find long term call options that expire for more than one year in their exchange. I'm merely trying to be ready for a March 2020-like crash situation. I believe if there was a long term call option available during that particular crash, with a strike price of $50,000, that would have been a very profitable "gamble".

Even though it may seem that I had been trying to beat you up about including more sophisticated and more complicated theories - including financial instruments, I have no objection towards the employment of those kinds of financial instruments and even more complicated strategies - especially once a person has established their base holdings...

Don't get me wrong also, I hardly give too many shits about whether newbie normies get into bitcoin or not, at least not on a marketing level, because newbie normies have to figure out some of these matters themselves; however, my posts and my commentaries are frequently directed towards providing information that attempts to help newbie normies to both get off of zero and to attempt to get to an accumulation place in bitcoin that is comfortable, which could take many years - likely 4-10 years just to establish base holdings, especially if they are starting from zero or close to zero...   

Of course, more well to do persons who have already established some kind of an investment portfolio can move more quickly at least in terms of already having some amount of value that they can reallocate into bitcoin, which these days I tend to recommend reallocations of 1% to 25% into bitcoin, and for sure there is some responsibility on the individual to figure out where they might feel comfortable in terms of their target reallocation, but even with reallocating, it could take 3-12 months to carry out the reallocating process (to get off of zero) which might employ a combination of DCA, lump sum investing and buying on dips... to get to a comfortable target level of BTC allocation.

By the way, I had heard some discussion on a podcast that asserted that anyone with an investment portfolio of $100k or more is kind of elite in the world in terms of being in the top 10% of the richest of the world, so for sure, I understand that sometimes we do need to be receptive to discussions for folks who might be coming to bitcoin with total investment portfolios that are quite a bit less than $100k, and if they can get above $100k they are already feeling quite elite. 

Since March 2020 and all of the money printing shenanigans around the world, I had also updated my consideration of default entry-level fuck you status up to $2 million dollars - though it is probably still quite doable that there are a lot of folks who would consider that they do not need to get anywhere near to $2 million in total value of their investment(s) in order to feel that they have reached entry-level fuck you status.. and maybe even some folks might feel that they are sufficiently there at $100k in portfolio value... so I am not necessarily going to want to disway anyone from coming to their own conclusion regarding what level of wealth accumulation constitutes reaching entry-level fuck you status for themselves.

Even though you, Wind_FURY, have been in bitcoin several years less than me, you are surely involved in bitcoin for long enough that you have been able to bat around a variety of more sophisticated approaches regarding how to plan your BTC accumulation and maybe even how to manage your BTC holdings as compared with the normie newbies to attempt to protect yourself, especially providing insurance for downside BTC price moves.. so surely I cannot disagree with figuring out how to use call options to your advantage - which again, seems to go way beyond the more basic principles of this thread and even my arguments that DCA is more basic than buying on dips and then you are wanting to go even more advanced in your own personal approach, which does seem to almost call for another thread, depending on how you might choose to frame the topic to get people interested in how you are advancing in terms of becoming more sophisticated in your ways of attempting to manage the downside risks of what BTC holdings you have already accumulated.

1) Self-Custody is a right.  There is no such thing as "non-custodial" or "un-hosted."  2) ESG, KYC & AML are attack-vectors on Bitcoin to be avoided or minimized.  3) How much alt (shit)coin diversification is necessary? if you are into Bitcoin, then 0%......if you cannot control your gambling, then perhaps limit your alt(shit)coin exposure to less than 10% of your bitcoin size...Put BTC here: bc1q49wt0ddnj07wzzp6z7affw9ven7fztyhevqu9k
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April 15, 2022, 09:27:49 PM
 #1397

Cz of binance said that if you cannot hold you cant earn big in crypto. I agree on his statement because i saw Bitcoin price rise drastically from the past untill present.buy the dip and hold is a very simple yet profitable strategy but still people is struggling in terms of holding only few persons has a strong hands to hold that is why only few earn.


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April 17, 2022, 04:57:02 PM
 #1398

Indeed, for people who are optimistic about bitcoin, choosing a buy the dip and HOLD strategy is a good strategy to add to their portfolio. However, as an investment strategy, of course, buying the dip must be accompanied by controlling risk. One of them is by determining the target selling price when we buy when the price drops.

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April 17, 2022, 05:29:48 PM
Merited by El duderino_ (5)
 #1399

Indeed, for people who are optimistic about bitcoin, choosing a buy the dip and HOLD strategy is a good strategy to add to their portfolio. However, as an investment strategy, of course, buying the dip must be accompanied by controlling risk. One of them is by determining the target selling price when we buy when the price drops.

What do you mean, Epaper?   If there is a longer investment timeline instead of considering selling in the short term, then is it going to matter very much if BTC today might be purchased at $40k, $30k or $50k?  Sure, buying at lower prices gives more options, yet is there any kind of way to really know which way the BTC price might be going in the short-term? 

Maybe part of your concern about selling target is that you consider the premise of this thread to be incomplete since this thread is largely presuming longer term investing such as 4-10 years or longer, so is not really contemplating shorter term selling price targets - which you seem to be presuming is lacking in the way of considering investing into BTC.

So if we already are considering the longer term, how are we going to know which way the BTC price might be moving, except by looking after the fact?   And if we are considering our selling time frame to be 4-10 years or longer, we might just presume that the BTC price has good chances of being higher 4-10years or more from now as compared to its price today... of course, no guarantees, but something that many longer term investors will consider will be to consider possible selling parameters when approaching those dates further down the line and quite a few things (including BTC price) cannot clearly be framed at this time and may also be not very relevant at this time, except for a kind of presumption that BTC prices will be going up relatively speaking an in real terms rather than mere nominal terms.

We are not really going to be able to know with any level of confidence if the BTC might be going up or down inm the short term, will we?

And, do you believe that it makes a difference how we might think about the matter of accumulating BTC in the event that we have zero BTC currently versus if we were to have already bought some BTC earlier?  So the amount of BTC that we have accumulated could be a factor too, especially if considering what we might be doing in the short-term in order to consider accumulating BTC for the longer term, no?

1) Self-Custody is a right.  There is no such thing as "non-custodial" or "un-hosted."  2) ESG, KYC & AML are attack-vectors on Bitcoin to be avoided or minimized.  3) How much alt (shit)coin diversification is necessary? if you are into Bitcoin, then 0%......if you cannot control your gambling, then perhaps limit your alt(shit)coin exposure to less than 10% of your bitcoin size...Put BTC here: bc1q49wt0ddnj07wzzp6z7affw9ven7fztyhevqu9k
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April 23, 2022, 12:28:13 PM
Merited by El duderino_ (5), JayJuanGee (1)
 #1400

Indeed, for people who are optimistic about bitcoin, choosing a buy the dip and HOLD strategy is a good strategy to add to their portfolio. However, as an investment strategy, of course, buying the dip must be accompanied by controlling risk. One of them is by determining the target selling price when we buy when the price drops.


That's a sound strategy if you're an investor who's managing a very large portfolio. For plebs like us, and especially if you want a hedge against a non-elected cabal in control of monetary systems, the HODL is the best path in my opinion.

Bitcoin is slowly pricing in new information everytime/everywhere when it survives market crashes, and chugs along after other problems political, legal, or technical. BUT the true underlying nature of Bitcoin has not been priced in yet. Zoom out, and always HODL ser. Don't make it easy for the billionaires to take your Bitcoin away from you.




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