🥊 The UFC Info and Prediction Thread

[TopTort777]

Conor McGregor x1.85 Vs Michael Chandler x1.96

Finally numerous Chandler kids are going to eat, get new iPhone and PlayStation 5 Wife, dress up kids, no more Costco, Aldi or Foo4less, we are going to Erewhon How long has he been unemployed? 2 years already? But enough jokes, as we have a problem here. Why Chandler odds are so low? Because after 2 losses, injury and a beating from Jake Gyllenhaal he has rose from the ashes like a phoenix, and now ready to jump into lightweight top?

[1714576131]

1714576131

[pawel7777]

This is an interesting one and their fight is really long-awaited fight, of course Makhachev and Strickland are each favorites in their fight.
(...)

I don't expect any surprise in Makhachev Vs Poirier (although who knows, Dustin is not going to go easy), but I wouldn't bet on Strickland.
I hope Sean wins but odds of x1.41 are just too low to bother. I expect it to be a close fight with Strickland winning by decission.

For McGregor himself, I hesitate to make him the favorite even though he is favored by the house but that doesn't mean he can win easily.
What more, he hasn't fought in the octagon for quite long time, making him find it more difficult to win.
It just that this remains great fight where McGregor, who was once one of the UFC best fighters, is back.

Yeah, I don't think I've seen a single mma commentator/analyst favouring McGregor. Not only has he had a long break, he has lost 3 out of his last 4 mma fights, winning only with post-prime Cerrone.
Chandler looked good even in his lost fights and have been training despite not having scheduled fights, while Conor was recovering from the injury, struggling to get in shape and was occupied with other activities like acting etc.

[TopTort777]

UFC on ESPN: Nicolau vs. Perez



Date: April 28, 2024
Preliminary Card : SAT, APR 27 / 11:00 PM GMT+3
Main Card: SUN, APR 28 / 2:00 AM GMT+3

Venue: UFC Apex

Main card (ESPN)
Flyweight: Matheus Nicolau vs. Alex Perez            
Light Heavyweight:Ryan Spann vs. Bogdan Guskov            
Women's Flyweight: Ariane Lipski vs. Karine Silva            
Heavyweight: Austen Lane vs. Jhonata Diniz            
Welterweight: Tim Means vs. Uroš Medić   

Preliminary card (ESPN)
Bantamweight: Rani Yahya vs. Victor Henry            
Lightweight: Austin Hubbard vs. Michal Figlak            
Heavyweight: Don'Tale Mayes vs. Caio Machado            
Women's Strawweight: Marnic Mann vs.Ketlen Souza            
Lightweight: Gabriel Green vs. James Llontop            
Women's Flyweight: Ivana Petrović vs. Liang Na            
Lightweight: Gabriel Benítez vs. Hayisaer Maheshate      

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/UFC_on_ESPN:_Nicolau_vs._Perez

[tokeweed]

^  For the most part yeah...  Match ups I like are Tim Means vs Uros Medic, Lipski vs Karine Silva could be the best match up for the event.  Lol.  So good for you WMMA lovers.  I tend to avoid it from a betting perspective.  And Ryan Spann vs Bogdan Guskov will def be good.  I like Guskov as the underdog here.

That's about it.  :/

...  And the next PPV event isn't really that good either.  I think the UFC is pushing Steve Erceg a tad early to fight Pantoja.  But then again dunno...

[TopTort777]

Have you seen UFC 301 card ? Just saw banner this morning and had to rub my eyes. That little Brazilian old guy that fights in co-main event I remember him being retired. I remember him getting into UFC hall of fame and crying on the ceremony. I think he has tried himself in boxing after UFC. But now he is fighting again in two weeks. Wtf is that ? Are things in UFC goes so bad, that they need to get old school out of the pocket ?


*cheering for McGregor vs Aldo 2"

[tokeweed]

^  In the main event I think it's a tad early for Erceg to get a title shot.  But they have nobody else for Pantoja for the Brazil card.  And yeah...  Was surprised to see Aldo in there at the co main event.  Not sure why Aldo came back, he's prolly itching for a fight.  And it's in Brazil, so why not.  It will make the fans over there happy.  It will also be hilarious of he get KO'd or something.  

As for things going bad for the UFC, maybe...  They now have serious competition after the PFL and Bellator merged.  Maybe we'll see Dana White out of the job soon.  

[TopTort777]

^  In the main event I think it's a tad early for Erceg to get a title shot.  But they have nobody else for Pantoja for the Brazil card.  And yeah...  Was surprised to see Aldo in there at the co main event.  Not sure why Aldo came back, he's prolly itching for a fight.  And it's in Brazil, so why not.  It will make the fans over there happy.  It will also be hilarious of he get KO'd or something.  

As for things going bad for the UFC, maybe...  They now have serious competition after the PFL and Bellator merged.  Maybe we'll see Dana White out of the job soon.  

It will be more hilarious if he starts knocking people out, enter top and title race I think we see him only because there are no more big Brazilian names left and ready, that havent fought recently. Wont be smart to add a lot of non-Brazilian fighters for an event that is held in Brazil. Get Spider Silva and Bigfoot Silva back Add one Nogueira brother, Texeira, Dos Santos, Machida, Rua, Wanderlei and beat UFC 300 PPV sales

[TopTort777]

Can someone please explain what happened in bantamweight division that after UFC 300 everyone got +1 position in rating? Someone moved out from it? I cant spot who has left. Only Garbrandt and Figueiredo fought last week, but everyone moved up for 1 position.

Also I dont understand the following. Makhachev and Poirier are fighting on UFC 302, but it is said that the winner of that fight will fight Tsarukyan. Shouldnt it be different? From the side it looks like Tsarukyan is in profitable position here, while champ must be the one who is waiting for new opponent.

[tokeweed]

^  Not sure but I think it was due to Sterling getting removed from the rankings at 135 as he's a 145'er now.

As for Poirier, the UFC is giving him his last shot to get the belt.  And imho, he deserves it after fighting a tough match up vs Benoit St Denis.  Everybody counted Poirier out in that one but he proved to be still in the running for a title shot.  He'll prolly retire after the match.

^  In the main event I think it's a tad early for Erceg to get a title shot.  But they have nobody else for Pantoja for the Brazil card.  And yeah...  Was surprised to see Aldo in there at the co main event.  Not sure why Aldo came back, he's prolly itching for a fight.  And it's in Brazil, so why not.  It will make the fans over there happy.  It will also be hilarious of he get KO'd or something.  

As for things going bad for the UFC, maybe...  They now have serious competition after the PFL and Bellator merged.  Maybe we'll see Dana White out of the job soon.  

It will be more hilarious if he starts knocking people out, enter top and title race I think we see him only because there are no more big Brazilian names left and ready, that havent fought recently. Wont be smart to add a lot of non-Brazilian fighters for an event that is held in Brazil. Get Spider Silva and Bigfoot Silva back Add one Nogueira brother, Texeira, Dos Santos, Machida, Rua, Wanderlei and beat UFC 300 PPV sales

You know I wouldn't say Aldo doesn't have a chance to KO Jonathan Martinez.  The guys seems chinny but dunno...  Can't help thinking he is after he got KO'd by Davey Grant.

[TopTort777]

You know I wouldn't say Aldo doesn't have a chance to KO Jonathan Martinez.  The guys seems chinny but dunno...

Aldo knock people with knees and low kicks

https://www.youtube.com/shorts/HqtXGVhWEkQ - huh ? Damn this guy is hilarious. Now he is everywhere in my recommendations on YouTube

[cabron]

^  Not sure but I think it was due to Sterling getting removed from the rankings at 135 as he's a 145'er now.

As for Poirier, the UFC is giving him his last shot to get the belt.  And imho, he deserves it after fighting a tough match up vs Benoit St Denis.  Everybody counted Poirier out in that one but he proved to be still in the running for a title shot.  He'll prolly retire after the match.

^  In the main event I think it's a tad early for Erceg to get a title shot.  But they have nobody else for Pantoja for the Brazil card.  And yeah...  Was surprised to see Aldo in there at the co main event.  Not sure why Aldo came back, he's prolly itching for a fight.  And it's in Brazil, so why not.  It will make the fans over there happy.  It will also be hilarious of he get KO'd or something.  

As for things going bad for the UFC, maybe...  They now have serious competition after the PFL and Bellator merged.  Maybe we'll see Dana White out of the job soon.  

It will be more hilarious if he starts knocking people out, enter top and title race I think we see him only because there are no more big Brazilian names left and ready, that havent fought recently. Wont be smart to add a lot of non-Brazilian fighters for an event that is held in Brazil. Get Spider Silva and Bigfoot Silva back Add one Nogueira brother, Texeira, Dos Santos, Machida, Rua, Wanderlei and beat UFC 300 PPV sales

You know I wouldn't say Aldo doesn't have a chance to KO Jonathan Martinez.  The guys seems chinny but dunno...  Can't help thinking he is after he got KO'd by Davey Grant.

Pereira asked Dana in the interview if he could fight in 301 in Brazil emphasizing Hill didn't scratch him a bit, it would have been great if they had given him a spot. Maybe Amanda Nunes also, it all just needs a big offer they can't refuse. Aldo must have taken the offer. Aldo is still big in Brazil so UFC is still providing for the Brazilian demand to watch.

Not every event will be full of an action pack like the 300 I guess. But they should just labelled this as a FN.

[pawel7777]

^  Not sure but I think it was due to Sterling getting removed from the rankings at 135 as he's a 145'er now.

Yup, they moved him permanently so the 2nd place contender was void.

Pereira asked Dana in the interview if he could fight in 301 in Brazil emphasizing Hill didn't scratch him a bit, it would have been great if they had given him a spot. Maybe Amanda Nunes also, it all just needs a big offer they can't refuse. Aldo must have taken the offer. Aldo is still big in Brazil so UFC is still providing for the Brazilian demand to watch.

Agree that UFC 301 is missing something currently.
That was a bold request by Alex, but there's no way the UFC would go for that. He's got too big and too profitable to be casually thrown in into 2nd class event on such short notice.
Maybe if the sales were much lower than expected and they could find him some "safe" opponent, but very unlikely to happen.

There are talks about him moving to heavyweight to face Aspinall and frankly, I kind of like the idea. There aren't many good options right now for either Pereira or Aspinal within their weight classes. And Alex doesn't have much to lose, other than health from being brutally KOed by Tom, which is what would happen.

[jakelyson]

Finally numerous Chandler kids are going to eat, get new iPhone and PlayStation 5 Wife, dress up kids, no more Costco, Aldi or Foo4less, we are going to Erewhon How long has he been unemployed? 2 years already? But enough jokes, as we have a problem here. Why Chandler odds are so low? Because after 2 losses, injury and a beating from Jake Gyllenhaal he has rose from the ashes like a phoenix, and now ready to jump into lightweight top?

For sure both fighters will cash out enormous pay from their upcoming fight and for sure Michael Chandler can now provide something for his family I still think that he doesn't really need Conor McGregor for a fight but the addition of Connor McGregor to his publicity can surely make a big difference and impact it was like Conor McGregor is the real cash cow in this fight but as I have said Michael Chandler can still get his fight but not as successful as McGregor, and this new Weigh class is something new for both fighters.

UFC on ESPN: Nicolau vs. Perez

I miss all of UFC 300 and just rewatching most fight replays yeah this is surely 1 boring event but anyway, it is still a good shot for us to see and discover new upcoming fighters, and because I was really busy during the UFC 300 I was out of town with my family so I have no choice but to miss the big anniversary event for the UFC, but still, I surely want to still watch the action the replay action for the UFC 300 and the bits of what happened in that event.


It seems that On the UFC 300 Alex Pereira was kicked in the groan by Jamahal Sweet Dreams Hill but because he is ok with it and Herb Dean will likely stop the fight he stopped Ref Dean and said that he was OK and was eye-focused on the target and that was the History of Jamahal Hill as it was an awesome focus for Alex Pereira to knockout Jamahal Hill as many have said that the referee should stop the fight I really think Herb Dean done the right thing by not giving Jamahal Hill a chance to get back as Alex Pereira was the real deal focus on the fight it was really amazing.

[tokeweed]

^  Not sure but I think it was due to Sterling getting removed from the rankings at 135 as he's a 145'er now.

Yup, they moved him permanently so the 2nd place contender was void.

Pereira asked Dana in the interview if he could fight in 301 in Brazil emphasizing Hill didn't scratch him a bit, it would have been great if they had given him a spot. Maybe Amanda Nunes also, it all just needs a big offer they can't refuse. Aldo must have taken the offer. Aldo is still big in Brazil so UFC is still providing for the Brazilian demand to watch.

Agree that UFC 301 is missing something currently.
That was a bold request by Alex, but there's no way the UFC would go for that. He's got too big and too profitable to be casually thrown in into 2nd class event on such short notice.
Maybe if the sales were much lower than expected and they could find him some "safe" opponent, but very unlikely to happen.

There are talks about him moving to heavyweight to face Aspinall and frankly, I kind of like the idea. There aren't many good options right now for either Pereira or Aspinal within their weight classes. And Alex doesn't have much to lose, other than health from being brutally KOed by Tom, which is what would happen.

301 is an event in Brazil.  They're like gods over there so it's totally expected for these guys to express they're desire to fight in their home turf and in front of their supporters.  Bit even if the UFC would want to put him in there, who would be the opponent?  It's already hard to find one that would pique the fans' interest...

Anyway, here are some free fights to watch in case you guys want.  No UFC this weekend.  :/

Pantoja vs Moreno
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lWvGEqxPiCc

^ Solid fight.

Erceg vs Schnell
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q_1nQmgXLdE

Aldo vs Mendez
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H7O2v70gb_o

Martinez vs Yanez
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qgsrLEhgrKA

Enjoy.

[cabron]

^  Not sure but I think it was due to Sterling getting removed from the rankings at 135 as he's a 145'er now.

Yup, they moved him permanently so the 2nd place contender was void.

Pereira asked Dana in the interview if he could fight in 301 in Brazil emphasizing Hill didn't scratch him a bit, it would have been great if they had given him a spot. Maybe Amanda Nunes also, it all just needs a big offer they can't refuse. Aldo must have taken the offer. Aldo is still big in Brazil so UFC is still providing for the Brazilian demand to watch.

Agree that UFC 301 is missing something currently.
That was a bold request by Alex, but there's no way the UFC would go for that. He's got too big and too profitable to be casually thrown in into 2nd class event on such short notice.
Maybe if the sales were much lower than expected and they could find him some "safe" opponent, but very unlikely to happen.

There are talks about him moving to heavyweight to face Aspinall and frankly, I kind of like the idea. There aren't many good options right now for either Pereira or Aspinal within their weight classes. And Alex doesn't have much to lose, other than health from being brutally KOed by Tom, which is what would happen.

301 is an event in Brazil.  They're like gods over there so it's totally expected for these guys to express they're desire to fight in their home turf and in front of their supporters.  Bit even if the UFC would want to put him in there, who would be the opponent?  It's already hard to find one that would pique the fans' interest...

They are the ones who would just want to put a show on their home turf win or lose. But finding someone to fight against Alex is also another issue and it's also too much to lose on his part. But moneywise, Alex is too popular already, he is meant for the main event and the big paying audience. Aspinal vs Alex is most probably the next big hype.

But there are so many fighters in Brazil to fight on 301, UFC just didn't give them a spot for their supporters. Johnny Walker probably would want to fight if Dana would just give him.

[pawel7777]

(...)
But there are so many fighters in Brazil to fight on 301, UFC just didn't give them a spot for their supporters. Johnny Walker probably would want to fight if Dana would just give him.

Johnny can be entertaining and fun to watch, but I wouldn't be surprised if he wasn't valued highly among the Brazilian fans. I think they have a lot love for current, former or prospective champions and Johnny is neither of them. He has some successes but is not, and will never be, on the level of the top guys. So maybe the perception of him is a bit different than it is in "the West".

There's another light heavyweight bout at UFC 301 with Brazilian Vitor Petrino (currently ranked 15) will be facing Anthony Smith (ranked 10th). Petrino has a flawless record of 11-0 and will be a favourite with odds of x1.24. I don't know much about the guy but looks like the UFC is trying to prop him up by giving him Smith, who hasn't been performing that great lately. Could be an interesting fight to watch, and I think Light Heavyweight could use some new blood.

[jakelyson]

301 is an event in Brazil.  They're like gods over there so it's totally expected for these guys to express they're desire to fight in their home turf and in front of their supporters.  Bit even if the UFC would want to put him in there, who would be the opponent?  It's already hard to find one that would pique the fans' interest...

Anyway, here are some free fights to watch in case you guys want.  No UFC this weekend.  :/

Pantoja vs Moreno
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lWvGEqxPiCc

^ Solid fight.

Erceg vs Schnell
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q_1nQmgXLdE

Aldo vs Mendez
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H7O2v70gb_o

Martinez vs Yanez
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qgsrLEhgrKA

Enjoy.

Jeunesse Arena is a great arena too so for most fighters who are Brazilian that will fight in that event it is a privilege to fight on their home turf for sure and Alexandre Pantoja will surely do his all to win in this event because of the venue well we don't have an event this week but the next main event will be a great one and the legendary Jose Aldo will be in the fight card Jonathan Martinez which I think will be crazy, but I don't know if Jose Aldo can still make a win, Paul Craig VS Caio Borralho, Anthony Smith VS Vitor Petrino and Michel Pereira VS Ihor Potieria will be a great fight to watch.

They are the ones who would just want to put a show on their home turf win or lose. But finding someone to fight against Alex is also another issue and it's also too much to lose on his part. But moneywise, Alex is too popular already, he is meant for the main event and the big paying audience. Aspinal vs Alex is most probably the next big hype.

But there are so many fighters in Brazil to fight on 301, UFC just didn't give them a spot for their supporters. Johnny Walker probably would want to fight if Dana would just give him.

Aspinal VS Alex? Is Alex Pereira increasing his division again? if that happens I really think Pereira will have a hard time with Tom Aspinall's speed and his wrestling is at a level that even Jon Jones would not likely want to challenge well, my opinion is I know that there are a lot of Jon Jones fans out there, but I really think that Alex Pereira will have a lot of problem with Tom Aspinall for sure, in increasing his weight class again, but there is a possibility.

[TopTort777]

I also think that Pereira would have lots of troubles against Aspinall. The level of wrestling and bjj or Pereira is not so high to stop Aspinall. Even knowing that Pereira cut some weight to fit in light heavy (omg how did he fit in middleweight then?), he wont have enough weight on the ground to counter power of Tom. This might be a big mistake if Pereira would still rely on a power of his left hook or overhand. Heavyweight guys can survive some of his punches and get him to ground, where it will be difficult for him to get away.

Just my two cents, Pereira should know where to stop. Jumping from division to division to get more belts is a good wish, respectful. But among heavyweight there way to big and experienced guy. It is light heavyweight division that looks strange. Where there are no obvious dominant fighter. Among heavyweight guys, there is nothing for him to catch.

[tokeweed]

^  Not sure but I think it was due to Sterling getting removed from the rankings at 135 as he's a 145'er now.

Yup, they moved him permanently so the 2nd place contender was void.

Pereira asked Dana in the interview if he could fight in 301 in Brazil emphasizing Hill didn't scratch him a bit, it would have been great if they had given him a spot. Maybe Amanda Nunes also, it all just needs a big offer they can't refuse. Aldo must have taken the offer. Aldo is still big in Brazil so UFC is still providing for the Brazilian demand to watch.

Agree that UFC 301 is missing something currently.
That was a bold request by Alex, but there's no way the UFC would go for that. He's got too big and too profitable to be casually thrown in into 2nd class event on such short notice.
Maybe if the sales were much lower than expected and they could find him some "safe" opponent, but very unlikely to happen.

There are talks about him moving to heavyweight to face Aspinall and frankly, I kind of like the idea. There aren't many good options right now for either Pereira or Aspinal within their weight classes. And Alex doesn't have much to lose, other than health from being brutally KOed by Tom, which is what would happen.

301 is an event in Brazil.  They're like gods over there so it's totally expected for these guys to express they're desire to fight in their home turf and in front of their supporters.  Bit even if the UFC would want to put him in there, who would be the opponent?  It's already hard to find one that would pique the fans' interest...

They are the ones who would just want to put a show on their home turf win or lose. But finding someone to fight against Alex is also another issue and it's also too much to lose on his part. But moneywise, Alex is too popular already, he is meant for the main event and the big paying audience. Aspinal vs Alex is most probably the next big hype.

But there are so many fighters in Brazil to fight on 301, UFC just didn't give them a spot for their supporters. Johnny Walker probably would want to fight if Dana would just give him.

Nah...  Not for Aspinall.  Apinall has a bigger prize to get in Jon Jones.  Winning vs him would def put him in the no. 1 pound for pound in the UFC.  And if Jones wins then he'll prolly retire.  It's just the problem is what do they do with Miocic.  I think the UFC should pay him double for to stop begging for a fight.  

Somebody said Ankalaev itt.  I think that should be Pereira's next opponent.

[pawel7777]

Nah...  Not for Aspinall.  Apinall has a bigger prize to get in Jon Jones. (...)

I think Tom has made it clear that he doesn't want to be sitting idle and waiting for Jones and the UFC still wants Jones to fight Stipe.
I don't think there's even any date set for Jon Vs Stipe and who knows if Jones will even accept to fight Tom and if so, how soon after the Miocic fight.

Money wise, Pereira Vs Aspinal would be the best option for both and Alex wouldn't even have anything on the line (other than health). But yeah, that would be unfair to Ankalaev, who definitely deserves the shot. But the option could be be for Alex to temporarily vacate his belt and let Ankalaev fight for it with Prochazka.

I also wouldn't mind seeing Prochazka or Hill Vs Jan Blachowicz, and if Jan performed badly, it would be a good time for him to retire. But apparently Jan just had another shoulder surgery, so will be out for some time.

What do you guys think about Prochazka Vs Hill? Would it make sense, and who would you put your money on?