vapourminer
Legendary
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Activity: 4452
Merit: 3947
what is this "brake pedal" you speak of?
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January 05, 2020, 01:34:44 PM Last edit: January 05, 2020, 01:46:20 PM by vapourminer |
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Damn 4 players that won before all gone with lower-ish prices... where are all the other previous winners ??
How quickly 6K's becomes seen as a low price ![Wink](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/wink.gif) Not too fast, not too soon. You know, 7K IS the moon had we never been in the 20K bubble. It was only a few years ago that we were buying full coins for 1K and less, in a few more years it will be the same. EDIT: this post not directed at anyone in particular, it just reminded me of the following. mic, if its off topic, shoot me a pm or whatnot and ill delete it.
a few years ago (well more like 5ish) i mined coins for ~$2 USD. and it didnt take long for its value to shoot up once it started its roll. just need good seat belts for the ride, unless holding on with finger and toenails is your thing. TL;DR honey badger does whatever it wants, in whatever timeframe it wants, for no particular reason other than.... its what honey badgers do. you know, cuz its fun for them. so, pick a number, any number. maybe the honey badger will smile on you.
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7jaka7
Sr. Member
![*](https://bitcointalk.org/Themes/custom1/images/star.gif) ![*](https://bitcointalk.org/Themes/custom1/images/star.gif) ![*](https://bitcointalk.org/Themes/custom1/images/star.gif)
Offline
Activity: 628
Merit: 276
BTC, ETH, XMR, LTC
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January 05, 2020, 02:01:37 PM |
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Sorry, I don't have time for TA (and it wouldn't help me with my price prediction anyway). I spent enough time to find free "box". So I choose 7651- 7700. Thank you, Mic for the game. I wish everyone happy and successful new year. ![Smiley](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/smiley.gif)
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El duderino_ (OP)
Legendary
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Activity: 2632
Merit: 12792
BTC + Crossfit, living life.
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January 05, 2020, 02:41:41 PM Last edit: January 05, 2020, 04:02:10 PM by micgoossens |
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Participants list GL
3151-3200 KTChampions * 5051-5100 fabiorem 5151-5200 sgbett * 5451-5500 cabalism13 5801-5850 makrospex 5901-5950 Mbitr 6001-6050 tyKiwanuka * 6051-6100 tweetious 6251-6300 Heisenberg_Hunter * 6301-6350 Spray. * -A previous winner- 6451-6500 Icygreen * 6501-6550 haloxon 6651-6700 Corrosive 6701-6750 Polar91 6751-6800 theymos * 6801-6850 bbc.reporter * 6851-6900 ChuckBuck 6901-6950 Biodom 6951-7000 Last of the V8s 7001-7050 tvplus006 7051-7100 sirazimuth -A previous winner- 7101-7150 GazetaBitcoin 7151-7200 unsoindovo 7201-7250 hosseinimr93 * 7251-7300 wheelz1200 7301-7350 dragonvslinux * 7351-7400 Cryptotourist 7401-7450 android17 7451-7500 bct_ail 7501-7550 iasenko 7551-7600 xyz 7601-7650 sheenshane 7651-7700 7jaka7 7701-7750 Lauda 7751-7800 ezeminer * 7801-7850 Globb0 * -A previous winner- 7851-7900 teeGUMES 7901-7950 tg88 7951-8000 leea-1334 * 8001-8050 HairyMaclairy * 8051-8100 wachtwoord 8101-8150 brobbel 8151-8200 gentlemand -A previous winner- 8201-8250 Ryker1 8251-8300 JSRAW 8301-8350 marlboroza 8351-8400 efialtis 8401-8450 TopTort777 8551-8600 kurious * 8601-8650 oscar2000 * 8651-8700 mindrust 8701-8750 Phil_S * 8751-8800 abel1337 8801-8850 malevolent * 8851-8900 mu_enrico 8901-8950 stompix 8951-9000 Mitchell 9001-9050 Dunkelheit667 * 9051-9100 actmyname 9151-9200 somac. 9201-9250 psycodad 9251-9300 Tytanowy Janusz 9301-9350 hatshepsut93 * 9351-9400 BobLawblaw 9401-9450 Febo 9451-9500 buwaytress * 9501-9550 FutureBitcoin 9551-9600 Vispilio 9601-9650 1miau 9651-9700 DragonDance 9701-9750 JimboToronto * 9751-9800 AlcoHoDL 9801-9850 wwzsocki 9851-9900 thisisntbic 9901-9950 DeathAngel 9951-10000 GrosWesh 10001-10050 jojo69 10051-10100 Pamoldar 10101-10150 Lanatsa 10151-10200 krogothmanhattan 10201-10250 vapourminer 10251-10300 JanEmil 10301-10350 BitcoinPenny 10351-10400 cryptobaboon 10401-10450 RapTarX 10451-10500 ivomm * 10501-10550 DireWolfM14 10551-10600 F2b 10601-10650 hacker1001101001 10651-10700 LoyceV * 10701-10750 xLays 10751-10800 d_eddie 10801-10850 SPQRCoin 10851-10900 akhjob 10901-10950 Dabs 10951-11000 wh1rlw1nd * 11001-11050 RaspoBTC 11101-11150 slaman29 * 11151-11200 Searing 11201-11250 FontSeli 11251-11300 LFC_Bitcoin 11301-11350 Real-Duke 11351-11400 geophphreigh 11401-11450 Sat0shisGhost 11451-11500 bitmover 11501-11550 LUCKMCFLY * 11601-11650 STT * 11651-11700 bitserve 11701-11750 johhnyUA * 11751-11800 xenon131 11901-11950 P_Shep 11951-12000 WhiteManWhite 12001-12050 Stedsm 12051-12100 Soonandwaite 12101-12150 naska21 12201-12250 Lesbian Cow 12251-12300 Darker45 * 12301-12350 o_e_l_e_o 12351-12400 Lakai01 12401-12450 NeuroticFish 13001-13050 Hhampuz 13051-13100 jokers10 13101-13150 hanspeter77 13301-13350 JollyGood 13451-13500 Buchi-88 13501-13550 epis11 13951-14000 igor72 14001-14050 klaaas 14201-14250 Hueristic 14401-14450 mole0815 14451-14500 Koal-84 14501-14550 qwk 14901-14950 Steamtyme 15001-15050 tranthidung 15151-15200 zasad@ 16351-16400 xhomerx10 17451-17500 friends1980 17501-17550 minerjones 18801-18850 Wind_FURY 20001-20050 ChefImGartenPavillion 21951-22000 bitcoinPsycho * 24501-24550 VB1001
Updated
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XhomerX10 designed my nice avatar HATs!!!!! Thanks Bro
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brobbel
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![](https://bitcointalk.org/Themes/custom1/images/post/xx.gif) |
January 05, 2020, 03:39:38 PM |
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... 8101-8050 brobbel ...
I guess you mean 8101-8150 ![Wink](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/wink.gif)
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hosseinimr93
Legendary
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Activity: 2520
Merit: 5581
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![](https://bitcointalk.org/Themes/custom1/images/post/xx.gif) |
January 05, 2020, 03:39:43 PM |
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micgoossens, you should replace following participants with each other. 21951-22000 bitcoinPsycho * 20001-20050 ChefImGartenPavillion
bitcoinPsycho has predicted bigger price, so should be placed under ChefImGartenPavillion.
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Majormax
Legendary
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Activity: 2534
Merit: 1129
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Some have said that this halving won't have as much effect as the last two, but it's still a reduction in monetary inflation from 3.7%/yr to 1.8%/yr, which is far from nothing, and in fact I see it as permanently bringing BTC out of the inflationary era and into the deflationary era. I'm not sure that we'll see 20k again in 2020 (though it could happen), but I think that 10k+ is quite likely several months after the halving. Historically, the post-halving runup has happened some time after the halving, presumably after people started to really feel the reduced supply.
For now though I don't see enough enthusiasm or other upward pressure. To the institutional investors who most push the market, BTC is largely seen as "leveraged gold", but the US/worldwide economy looks fine for now on its surface, fiat inflation isn't a widespread concern, etc. (BTC also has fundamental value beyond its value as "gold" -- a hedge against inflation and fiat collapse --, but this is a large component of the price currently.) So absent any major news, I think that the trendline is slightly downward for now. ("Major news" would be mostly regulatory-related, such as an approved BTC ETF or increased regulatory pressure. Probably the downside risk is higher than the upside risk here.)
One point of upward pressure is that there may have been some tax-loss-harvesting sales in Q4, which would now disappear. Not sure how big of an effect this was. And you might justify early-year volatility as people locking in gains ASAP in tax year 2020.
I predict that we'll sit in the 6k-7k range for some time between now and the halving, and although I wouldn't be too surprised to see prices in the lower half of that range, I'll guess near the high end, leading to my prediction of 6751-6800 on April 1. On the other hand, I predict that the supply reduction as well as mounting worldwide economic shakiness will cause a large runup (at least above 10k) in the second half of 2020. In the unlikely event that I win, please donate the BTC to a BTC-accepting charity of your choice (eg. intelligence.org or fee.org).
Agree almost entirely. This year is most likely to see a low volatility market, with long held support at ~6400. Resistance is at 7600, so that range could see a lot of trading time. Any significant runup in the last half of the year. Any new ATH will likely have to wait until 2021-2022. Usual caveats/other risks still apply. The price chart cycles are getting longer, and that is only to be expected , as the heavier market cap acts as a damper to volatility.
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El duderino_ (OP)
Legendary
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Activity: 2632
Merit: 12792
BTC + Crossfit, living life.
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![](https://bitcointalk.org/Themes/custom1/images/post/xx.gif) |
January 05, 2020, 04:21:12 PM |
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Let me guess 11751-11800 ![Wink](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/wink.gif) The HAT xhomerx10 made?? Or a sidechain ?? ![Kiss](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/kiss.gif)
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XhomerX10 designed my nice avatar HATs!!!!! Thanks Bro
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rdluffy
Legendary
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Activity: 2352
Merit: 1396
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![](https://bitcointalk.org/Themes/custom1/images/post/xx.gif) |
January 05, 2020, 04:27:27 PM |
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| | . .Duelbits│SPORTS. | | | ▄▄▄███████▄▄▄ ▄▄█████████████████▄▄ ▄███████████████████████▄ ███████████████████████████ █████████████████████████████ ███████████████████████████████ ███████████████████████████████ ███████████████████████████████ █████████████████████████████ ███████████████████████████ ▀████████████████████████ ▀▀███████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ | | | | ██ ██ ██ ██
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██ ██ ██ ██
██ ██ ██ | | | | 10% CASHBACK 100% MULTICHARGER | │ | | │ |
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bitserve
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 1834
Merit: 1477
Self made HODLER ✓
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![](https://bitcointalk.org/Themes/custom1/images/post/xx.gif) |
January 05, 2020, 04:37:10 PM |
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Let me guess 11751-11800 ![Wink](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/wink.gif) The HAT xhomerx10 made?? Or a sidechain ?? ![Kiss](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/kiss.gif) Look at the missing shades... it's a forked hat.
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19VBmRQVqrtNTGiwngZutwREagcKxJgVZM
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dothebeats
Legendary
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Activity: 3752
Merit: 1354
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From what I gathered from the last 2 events of bitcoin halving, there hasn't been that much of a price difference a month or two before the actual events started. Many will say that the dynamics and the economy have changed massively since 2012 and 2016, still I believe that some traders are still using the graphs of the previous halving religiously to position themselves accordingly for the event. I'm banking heavily on the psychological aspect of the 2 previous halving events and not necessarily on graphs and TA because that's what I understand best--and I'd like to dig a different hole than what others have already made within this thread, so there's that.
While general market sentiment over a particular trading scenario is unwise to use/rely for market positions, we already saw that it has made a pattern, and Man has been known to follow naturally-occurring pattern since ancient times, so I'd like to dwell on that urge of Man to follow what exactly has been drawn on the graph.
$6201-$6250 would be my take, 16.6% lower than the current trading price of bitcoin. I would love to go lower but my target of 5801-5850 has been taken already.
Good luck to everyone who participated!
EDIT: Few words
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Majormax
Legendary
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Activity: 2534
Merit: 1129
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![](https://bitcointalk.org/Themes/custom1/images/post/xx.gif) |
January 05, 2020, 05:02:13 PM |
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6551-6600
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xhomerx10
Legendary
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Activity: 3962
Merit: 8576
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![](https://bitcointalk.org/Themes/custom1/images/post/xx.gif) |
January 05, 2020, 05:05:17 PM |
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Let me guess 11751-11800 ![Wink](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/wink.gif) The HAT xhomerx10 made?? Or a sidechain ?? ![Kiss](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/kiss.gif) Definitely a sidechain.
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cygan
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 3276
Merit: 8553
icarus-cards.eu
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![](https://bitcointalk.org/Themes/custom1/images/post/xx.gif) |
January 05, 2020, 05:24:28 PM |
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12451-12500
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El duderino_ (OP)
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 2632
Merit: 12792
BTC + Crossfit, living life.
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![](https://bitcointalk.org/Themes/custom1/images/post/xx.gif) |
January 05, 2020, 05:44:37 PM |
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I have to admit there are much more "*" in the bearish predictions as in the bullish ones
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XhomerX10 designed my nice avatar HATs!!!!! Thanks Bro
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Majormax
Legendary
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Activity: 2534
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January 05, 2020, 06:00:43 PM |
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I have to admit there are much more "*" in the bearish predictions as in the bullish ones
How do you calculate that ? I see much more bullish in the * members. Current price ~7500. I observe 21 * predictions above 7500, only 12 * predictions below 7500.
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El duderino_ (OP)
Legendary
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Activity: 2632
Merit: 12792
BTC + Crossfit, living life.
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![](https://bitcointalk.org/Themes/custom1/images/post/xx.gif) |
January 05, 2020, 06:17:33 PM |
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I have to admit there are much more "*" in the bearish predictions as in the bullish ones
How do you calculate that ? I see much more bullish in the * members. Current price ~7500. I observe 21 * predictions above 7500, only 12 * predictions below 7500. Yeah in your way that true.... but you know me, I do understand many opinions etc But for me personal as an to BULLish person then I just talk BULLish as in higher prices Even 7.5 is relatively high and surely if we see the start of 2019 ..... but still BULL prices I sometimes confuse the for MOON prices probably But I think you know what I mean’t
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XhomerX10 designed my nice avatar HATs!!!!! Thanks Bro
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bitebits
Legendary
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Activity: 2239
Merit: 3500
Flippin' burgers since 1163.
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January 05, 2020, 07:03:28 PM |
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Nice game Mic, liking the new format ![Smiley](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/smiley.gif) 6601-6650 Why? Since I am always too bullish short term, and too bearish long term.
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- You can figure out what will happen, not when /Warren Buffett - Pay any Bitcoin address privately with a little help of Monero.
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fronti
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January 05, 2020, 07:39:45 PM |
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my tip is 14701-14750 why, because qwk is 200 below...
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If you like to give me a tip: bc1q8ht32j5hj42us5qfptvu08ug9zeqgvxuhwznzk
"Bankraub ist eine Unternehmung von Dilettanten. Wahre Profis gründen eine Bank." Bertolt Brecht
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El duderino_ (OP)
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 2632
Merit: 12792
BTC + Crossfit, living life.
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![](https://bitcointalk.org/Themes/custom1/images/post/xx.gif) |
January 05, 2020, 11:51:41 PM |
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Participants list GL
3151-3200 KTChampions * 5051-5100 fabiorem 5151-5200 sgbett * 5451-5500 cabalism13 5801-5850 makrospex 5901-5950 Mbitr 6001-6050 tyKiwanuka * 6051-6100 tweetious 6201-6250 dothebeats * 6251-6300 Heisenberg_Hunter * 6301-6350 Spray. * -A previous winner- 6451-6500 Icygreen * 6501-6550 haloxon 6551-6600 Majormax * 6601-6650 bitebits 6651-6700 Corrosive 6701-6750 Polar91 6751-6800 theymos * 6801-6850 bbc.reporter * 6851-6900 ChuckBuck 6901-6950 Biodom 6951-7000 Last of the V8s 7001-7050 tvplus006 7051-7100 sirazimuth -A previous winner- 7101-7150 GazetaBitcoin 7151-7200 unsoindovo 7201-7250 hosseinimr93 * 7251-7300 wheelz1200 7301-7350 dragonvslinux * 7351-7400 Cryptotourist 7401-7450 android17 7451-7500 bct_ail 7501-7550 iasenko 7551-7600 xyz 7601-7650 sheenshane 7651-7700 7jaka7 7701-7750 Lauda 7751-7800 ezeminer * 7801-7850 Globb0 * -A previous winner- 7851-7900 teeGUMES 7901-7950 tg88 7951-8000 leea-1334 * 8001-8050 HairyMaclairy * 8051-8100 wachtwoord 8101-8150 brobbel 8151-8200 gentlemand -A previous winner- 8201-8250 Ryker1 8251-8300 JSRAW 8301-8350 marlboroza 8351-8400 efialtis 8401-8450 TopTort777 8551-8600 kurious * 8601-8650 oscar2000 * 8651-8700 mindrust 8701-8750 Phil_S * 8751-8800 abel1337 8801-8850 malevolent * 8851-8900 mu_enrico 8901-8950 stompix 8951-9000 Mitchell 9001-9050 Dunkelheit667 * 9051-9100 actmyname 9151-9200 somac. 9201-9250 psycodad 9251-9300 Tytanowy Janusz 9301-9350 hatshepsut93 * 9351-9400 BobLawblaw 9401-9450 Febo 9451-9500 buwaytress * 9501-9550 FutureBitcoin 9551-9600 Vispilio 9601-9650 1miau 9651-9700 DragonDance 9701-9750 JimboToronto * 9751-9800 AlcoHoDL 9801-9850 wwzsocki 9851-9900 thisisntbic 9901-9950 DeathAngel 9951-10000 GrosWesh 10001-10050 jojo69 10051-10100 Pamoldar 10101-10150 Lanatsa 10151-10200 krogothmanhattan 10201-10250 vapourminer 10251-10300 JanEmil 10301-10350 BitcoinPenny 10351-10400 cryptobaboon 10401-10450 RapTarX 10451-10500 ivomm * 10501-10550 DireWolfM14 10551-10600 F2b 10601-10650 hacker1001101001 10651-10700 LoyceV * 10701-10750 xLays 10751-10800 d_eddie 10801-10850 SPQRCoin 10851-10900 akhjob 10901-10950 Dabs 10951-11000 wh1rlw1nd * 11001-11050 RaspoBTC 11101-11150 slaman29 * 11151-11200 Searing 11201-11250 FontSeli 11251-11300 LFC_Bitcoin 11301-11350 Real-Duke 11351-11400 geophphreigh 11401-11450 Sat0shisGhost 11451-11500 bitmover 11501-11550 LUCKMCFLY * 11601-11650 STT * 11651-11700 bitserve 11701-11750 johhnyUA * 11751-11800 xenon131 11901-11950 P_Shep 11951-12000 WhiteManWhite 12001-12050 Stedsm 12051-12100 Soonandwaite 12101-12150 naska21 12201-12250 Lesbian Cow 12251-12300 Darker45 * 12301-12350 o_e_l_e_o 12351-12400 Lakai01 12401-12450 NeuroticFish 12451-12500 cygan 13001-13050 Hhampuz 13051-13100 jokers10 13101-13150 hanspeter77 13151-13200 Captain-Cryptory 13301-13350 JollyGood 13451-13500 Buchi-88 13501-13550 epis11 13951-14000 igor72 14001-14050 klaaas 14201-14250 Hueristic 14401-14450 mole0815 14451-14500 Koal-84 14501-14550 qwk 14701-14750 fronti 14901-14950 Steamtyme 15001-15050 tranthidung 15151-15200 zasad@ 16351-16400 xhomerx10 17451-17500 friends1980 17501-17550 minerjones 18801-18850 Wind_FURY 18851-18900 rdluffy 20001-20050 ChefImGartenPavillion 21951-22000 bitcoinPsycho * 24501-24550 VB1001
Updated
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XhomerX10 designed my nice avatar HATs!!!!! Thanks Bro
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