🕹️ Esports 🎮 Prediction & Discussion Thread

[morvillz7z]

@morvillz7z  stay away from BIG, they're a coin flip, today they lose against a tier 4 team, tomorrow they could beat Vitality 32-0, too unpredictable

Yeah, pretty much...

I was excited to check out some of the matches today but only ended up watching the opening map (Overpass) on BIG vs Sprout match, big were a BIG no-show in this one, only tabseN with a few nice plays 1v2 and 1v3.  Kinda lost interest after that, my second parlay lost too, Fnatic couldn't stop the new Astralis roster, had the lead on train in OT, which is a map they usually play very well on, but lost.

BIG (favored by the bookies) - lost
NiP (also favored) - lost
Fnatic (slight advantage odds wise) - lost
Furia - having a hard time, lost the opening map and playing catch up as we speak

A day full of surprises, Vitality being the only team getting the job done.

[ralle14]

Fnatic (slight advantage odds wise) - lost
Furia - having a hard time, lost the opening map and playing catch up as we speak

I had bets on these two, both had a good chance to take their map pick but couldn't close it in round 30 then it went to overtime and everything is just going the way of the other team.

Maybe it's just underdogs stepping up as there's more circuit points on the line. This reminds me of that previous tournament when mousesports still had a good form then suddenly lost way too much against weaker teams.

Hopefully tomorrow we get to see at least two favorites win.  

[Globb0]

I have scaled it back today, lots of smaller ones back to winning please.





Oh yeah who said my parlays are hard to follow if they won or not?  Ill have a think about a better way to show it or a summary view or something.

[tomahawk9]

did anyone watch Astralis yesterday? they crushed Fnatic  Bubzkji was outstanding and es3tag with some great plays too, Astralis looking pretty good!

couple of tickets today: Complexity -1.5 at 1.78 odds (mad lions without Bubzkji are looking pretty bad atm, seems like they need more time for everyone to be in the wavelenght). FaZe - Heroic O2.5 maps at 1.95

Furia - having a hard time, lost the opening map and playing catch up as we speak

coulda been a 2/2 wins for me yesterday but i underestimated Chaos...not a great start for Furia 

[Globb0]

I backed Nordavind against Avez.

Watching that now pretty smug cos Avez lost me last few times. But its 1 all now since Nordavind just couldn't close it out at 2:0.

2 overtimes in a row so far.

Im still not really feeling Avez, Im betting against them until I see better.

[morvillz7z]

Complexity -1.5 at 1.78 odds

Are those buff.bet odds? pretty low, most other bookies have it at 1.90 (my bet)
Complexity disappointed against Heroic in the DreamHack semis, but MAD losing to Nexus just last week is somewhat outrageous no matter the roster changes that they are dealing with right now.

Hopefully tomorrow we get to see at least two favorites win. 

Complexity and G2 should win, can't say the same for NaVi, to me they are one of the most unpredictable teams out there.
FaZe vs. Heroic this game could go either way, no clear cut favorite here.

I had an early bet on Nine to Five 3, Copenhagen Flames O2.5 + ForZe -1.5

complexity please don't fuck this up, will ya? i need that 2/2

[Trofo]

Im still not really feeling Avez, Im betting against them until I see better.

I just watched that match against Nordavind and I feel Avez is taking 3rd map easy. Too bad I can't bet on that on Stake or Sportsbet. I would go with high stake. I gad over 2.5 on that match so enough for me.
It seems like I will finally cash out on some esports but still waiting for K23 to take a map from forZe. They are 12-6 up so hopefully this post will not jinx it. Of course cash out is not available. Would have taken it just now.

[tomahawk9]

s0mple's team just lost map 1 to mousebots, wow  🤔

Complexity -1.5 at 1.78 odds

Are those buff.bet odds? pretty low, most other bookies have it at 1.90 (my bet)
<...>

That's sportsbet, right? without price boost? good odds
Unfortunately, i've decided to skip SB for esports bets a long time ago cuz of their high margins on esports when compared to esports bookies. For instance, on buffbet, map handicap margins for the upcoming 4 ESL One matches today are 5%, while on sportsbet.io they're 8%, too big a difference (as always), IMO

I just watched that match against Nordavind and I feel Avez is taking 3rd map easy. Too bad I can't bet on that on Stake or Sportsbet. I would go with high stake. I gad over 2.5 on that match so enough for me.

man, Nordavind looked so good in the offseason, now they're total crap, wtf?? banned from my future bet slips until they get their shit together lol  

[Trofo]

That's sportsbet, right? without price boost? good odds
Unfortunately, i've decided to skip SB for esports bets a long time ago cuz of their high margins on esports when compared to esports bookies. For instance, on buffbet, map handicap margins for the upcoming 4 ESL One matches today are 5%, while on sportsbet.io they're 8%, too big a difference (as always), IMO

But that price boost is a thing of beauty. I have just took NaVi to win after loosing first map @2,91. Best regular odds I could find were 2.74. I make sure to use a boost for each sport every day. They really give you an edge. If only you could use a boost once every day instead once every 24h. For instance I used my football boost half an hour before yesterday CL match and now I have to wait until 20 minutes before today's match so I can use it again instead of placing the bet now.

[ralle14]

But that price boost is a thing of beauty. I have just took NaVi to win after loosing first map @2,91. Best regular odds I could find were 2.74. I make sure to use a boost for each sport every day. They really give you an edge. If only you could use a boost once every day instead once every 24h. For instance I used my football boost half an hour before yesterday CL match and now I have to wait until 20 minutes before today's match so I can use it again instead of placing the bet now.

I agree the price boost is really great when you're making a bet with odds that are above 2.00 and the best part is you can use it on live odds as well.

complexity please don't fuck this up, will ya? i need that 2/2

I got complexity too it's looking really close in the second map currently 13-12 with complexity losing the previous round.

On the mousesports series it might go to a third as Navi pulls ahead in the second half 10-7 atm. I got Navi to win and parlayed it on Complexity.

[Globb0]

Lots of groan for you there guys.


I was thinking about the form thing. When we are watching these games then report back here. Maybe we can collect some info like "didn't turn up" "unreliable" "frequent overtime"

Ill give it a little think, I may collect in some ideas and publish it in 1.


Here is my picks for today.

[Avirunes]

did anyone watch Astralis yesterday? they crushed Fnatic  Bubzkji was outstanding and es3tag with some great plays too, Astralis looking pretty good!

Yeah I saw that one. I like the changes in the team. Bubzkji and es3tag platted really well. Hope they can lift up the performance again. I loved the play Astralia displayed in Nuke. There was a round when these two players-Bubzkji and es3tag took won the round against 4 alone.

They have next match against Vitality . Zywoo vs device ,- that would be fun 

[tomahawk9]

But that price boost is a thing of beauty.

indeed!

They have next match against Vitality . Zywoo vs device ,- that would be fun  

oof! dev1ce vs ZywOo, comeback of the best awper in the world vs Zywho?? Vitality will be a good benchmark for Astralis to test their abilities, the game vs Fnatic doesn't count, it was child's play 🤣

anyhow, i need a change of pace so i'm gonna skip the csgo matches and focus on Dota. FlyToMoon ML https://i.ibb.co/r3BWpqC/gogo.png  odds dropped dramatically overnight, currently at 1.66. next edit* huh, for some odd reason, FTM decided to drop game 3 to play Fall Guys 🤔

Also, reminder: LCS playoffs are coming back today with Cloud9 - FlyQuest, anyone expecting a stop from C9 or a close match?

[Trofo]

anyhow, i need a change of pace so i'm gonna skip the csgo matches and focus on Dota. FlyToMoon ML https://i.ibb.co/r3BWpqC/gogo.png  odds dropped dramatically overnight, currently at 1.66. next

Now you made me play another ticket. I already have a nice multi which includes Nigma later today but I didn't have to courage to take FTM even though I thought them a good bet. After you wrote this I played another simple double FTM to win @ 1.64 and BIG to win 2:0 @2.6

Also waiting for Izako Boars to take one map but it is not gonna happen so my early CS ticket goes bye, bye.

[Avirunes]

oof! dev1ce vs ZywOo, comeback of the best awper in the world vs Zywho?? Vitality will be a good benchmark for Astralis to test their abilities, the game vs Fnatic doesn't count, it was child's play 🤣

Yeah Fnatic haven't been in their best form lately. But still given the previous performances and the changes they have went through i favoured Fnatic over Astralia but they did very well. Vitality on the other hand are a very good team and are currently performing good as well so yeah it will be definitely a good test for them

[morvillz7z]

NiP did it 3v5 in the 54th round (4th OT) this is probably my sweetest win ever as i had it O2.5

I originally posted (and then deleted) when the game was in second OT and NiP had a map point but failed to convert. Never post before it's all done. 

What an absolute thriller that was pheww..., anyway i just wanted to say/brag that i'm 2/2 on the day, had another win on those 3 o'clock Nine to Five 3 matches, backed both underdogs to win a map, and both FATE and KOVA won their map picks.

[tomahawk9]

After you wrote this I played another simple double FTM to win @ 1.64 and BIG to win 2:0 @2.6

FTM trolling in map 3 and BUG getting KO'd from ESL One...*sigh* not a good day, eh?   

NiP did it 3v5 in the 54th round (4th OT) this is probably my sweetest win ever as i had it O2.5

nice! those OTs were so stressful to watch tho, and i didn't have this match on my tickets! can't imagine how the high rollers were feeling while watching that game   NiP looked really today, i think they can make it to the playoffs

[Avirunes]

NiP did it 3v5 in the 54th round (4th OT) this is probably my sweetest win ever as i had it O2.5

I originally posted (and then deleted) when the game was in second OT and NiP had a map point but failed to convert. Never post before it's all done. 

NIP did a great job making comeback in BIG's map pick and Mirage. I thought it was BIG game in the beginning with BIG starting with 11 rounds straight wins against NIP's map pick - Vertigo and NIP. NIP have good coordination amongst themselves which is why I love supporting them. Also with that win BIG is eliminated from ESL One Cologne.

[Globb0]

I called some games right against the favourite yesterday but  they got taken out by other losses.


Here is what I have got for today. Bit of Dota and a bit of SCGO

Good luck guys

[morvillz7z]

mousesports out of ESL One Cologne after losing 0-2 to MAD Lions. Did anyone watch the game, what happened? 9 total rounds for mous, this must have been a complete beat down. I was thinking about MAD 1.5 but with all the roster changes they have i had to skip it, 0-2 was probably valued at 5/6.00 hmm

I had some luck with my 3 o'clock matches, HAVU 1.5 + FATE/Galaxy Racer O2.5

Two more games from ESL One later today, so i'm thinking FaZe -1.5 and Evil Geniuses ML
mibr with only 6 rounds vs G2 and Evil Geniuses are on an 8 game (17 map) win streak.  

edit; faze wyd?
EG with 19 consecutive maps now; woot