Premier League Prediction Thread 2023/2024

[Hirose UK]

~snip~

it's true that many liverpool players are injured including core players who always fill liverpool's starting eleven. in the attacking section Moh Salah, Daren Nunez and Diego Jota are still injured. in defense there is the trend of Alexander Arnold, Joe Martip and liverpool's main goalkeeper Alisson. in midfield there are Dominik Szoboszlai, Thiago and Curtiz Jones.
Obviously this will be very difficult for Liverpool because it will reduce the ability of Liverpool with so many injured players.
So it's not easy for Liverpool to win the Premier League this season.

Indeed, this condition really makes Liverpool experience pressure that is difficult to handle because when many key players are injured, the team's performance will decrease significantly and of course their progress in achieving victory and getting full points is also more difficult.
I really believe that later in the Liverpool vs Manchester City meeting it will be clear that Liverpool will be under lot of pressure in keeping up with Manchester City game, Liverpool chances of winning are very small.
After they lose to Manchester City, the top of the standings will be taken over and Liverpool will have to fight harder in the future to fight for the top of the standings again.
I was also very surprised to see Liverpool in this condition because previously they performed very well with perfect line-up, now Klopp will work even harder because he is the key to Liverpool success this season.
I don't know who will be champions this season in the Premier League, but what is clear is that Liverpool has serious problem and it is not easy to deal with in order to win the title this season.

[Hanadawa]

We should not use Arsenal's past mistake of missing out on winning the Premier League trophy last season to judge them that they will not win the Premier League trophy this season, even though there is a chance of Arsenal winning it. Arsenal is consistent this season, and they are two points behind Liverpool. Arsenal has what it takes to win the Premier League trophy this season.

This season Liverpool, City and Arsenal have a very small difference in points and this will be a competition between 3 teams to win the EPL title. This is not like the previous season where only Arsenal and City competed at the end of the season. This season is more competitive and I think Arsenal must be really consistent if they want to aim for the title. Liverpool and City are playing very well so far. I think the Liverpool vs City match will be an opportunity for Arsenal to overtake second place in the standings. But Arsenal also have 1 match against City in the following week. I think the title this season is just between Liverpool and City.

[Despairo]

If the chances for win are accurate (from the Premier League on Google), which are as follows for each of the three:

Liverpool: 63%
Man City: 77%
Arsenal: 83%

Then it's actually more likely than not, that at least one of these three won't win their game (around 60% probability).
Of course, it's hard to put an accurate number on sports events, it's all just estimates mostly based on previous results.

It's a big joke, bookie is more accurate because the statistic comes from people who want to bet and they as a bookie, won't make a mistake to calculate the odds, otherwise they will get rekt.

Arsenal is rarely become a champion and they're currently not on top standings, so there's no way to predict Arsenal has a bigger chance among other clubs.

[joniboini]

If the chances for win are accurate (from the Premier League on Google), which are as follows for each of the three:
Liverpool: 63%
Man City: 77%
Arsenal: 83%

It's a big joke, bookie is more accurate because the statistic comes from people who want to bet and they as a bookie, won't make a mistake to calculate the odds, otherwise they will get rekt.
Arsenal is rarely become a champion and they're currently not on top standings, so there's no way to predict Arsenal has a bigger chance among other clubs.

I think this prediction is limited to their next match, not to who will win the Premier League. That being said, it is still unclear how Google calculates the winning probability for each match. There is a suggestion that they use historical stats, others predict they use aggregated betting odds from various gambling websites, and so on. I even suspect they use Opta's LWP model to some extent. So yeah, it is still an unreliable metric and you should not use that as a basis to make any serious prediction at all imo.

[Barikui1]

We should not use Arsenal's past mistake of missing out on winning the Premier League trophy last season to judge them that they will not win the Premier League trophy this season, even though there is a chance of Arsenal winning it. Arsenal is consistent this season, and they are two points behind Liverpool. Arsenal has what it takes to win the Premier League trophy this season.

This season Liverpool, City and Arsenal have a very small difference in points and this will be a competition between 3 teams to win the EPL title. This is not like the previous season where only Arsenal and City competed at the end of the season. This season is more competitive and I think Arsenal must be really consistent if they want to aim for the title. Liverpool and City are playing very well so far. I think the Liverpool vs City match will be an opportunity for Arsenal to overtake second place in the standings. But Arsenal also have 1 match against City in the following week. I think the title this season is just between Liverpool and City.

I think it's quite understandable to take arsenal as less of a contender than Manchester city and Liverpool because this arsenal team has proven over and over again that they aren't consistent enough to mount a serious title challenge till the very end.

And secondly, I don't think arsenal can be that consistent enough to maintain  the push for the title since it's a three horse race because any slip up from them which is very much likely, especially against the smaller teams will be extremely difficult for them to recover, because right now, it's not just one team they are fighting with for the title, but against two, so they can't afford to drop more points at this stage of the competition which we have known them for, but if they want to stand a chance of lifting the title, they just have to be getting the winnings irrespective of how bad the might perform,  because at the end of the day, the most important thing is the results.

[Sexylizzy2813]

I think Chelsea have an internal problem that nobody is talking about, with better players to make the team stronger than they could ever imagine and the coach Pochettino won't have to be in the losing side week by week. During the short time Tuchel was handling the team before he got fired, the Blues got so many players that even some coaches in the EPL saw them as unstoppable that's with those signings, true they would have been but the next thing Tuchel got fired and we started hearing about half of those signings were all injured even up till now.
Nkunku that everybody thought would be the saviour is now injured for the third time, correct me if I'm wrong.
It bothers me to ask if the medical staff of C.F.C are capable enough or are there no medical team in that club since the take over? Players get injured immediately after they come back and I believe Chelsea have players who haven't played up to 3 matches this season due to injury, are the owners fine with what's happening to the team? When we had the J. Terry, Drogba, Lampard and the rest of them, we hardly get something like this (where almost half of the squad would be injured) and I believe Chelsea would have been better if some of these injured players are available, is Chelsea's medical staff incapable or what?

[Solokan]

Of course, this will be the central game of the tour, since the rest of the pairs are either favorites against outsiders or equal teams from the basement (which are interesting only to their fans), and here there will be a fundamental derby. I don’t know if the bet on United is justified, in fact the odds are very attractive:

1.27 - 6.1 - 10.0

But taking into account the efficiency of City’s attack and the fact that United allows even weak teams to score a lot of shots on their own goal, I expect here at least 3-0 or 3-1 in favor of City.

Well, this is what will be very interesting. Even though I know and realize that Man City is very favored. But sometimes it can be a little fun when betting on the underdog. Moreover, the potential profits that can be obtained are commensurate with the risks taken. But yeah, this is just for fun. Because in more serious betting, I think favoring Man City makes the most sense. It's just that both teams have to score goals in that match. And more goals would be even better.  

Yes, if you take a bet on City as one of the outcomes in a multi-bet, then even this choice is good in itself. +27% is a good increase to the final odds. If I were making a single bet, I would rather take the City win with a -1 handicap. Because if everything goes as expected, then City will defeat United in a big way, and if it’s not City’s day, but United’s day, then there could be anything from a United victory to a draw. I think you need to maximize your profit when choosing a favorite.

There's certainly nothing wrong with betting on Manchester United's win if we're ready to take the risk. Likewise, there's no harm in bet to win Manchester City as long as we're ready to take the risk.

If you look at the performance and standings, in my opinion, Manchester City is still superior to Manchester United and in their first meeting this season, Manchester City managed to beat Manchester United with a score of 0-3 and at that time Manchester City also had a lot of possession of the ball. So in the upcoming match between Manchester City and Manchester United, I prefer to bet on Manchester City winning, I hope I get a big profit.

But of course no one knows who will be the winner, but what is clear is that if, for example, Manchester United wins, it will make it difficult for Pep's team to compete with Liverpool. Yes, but of course in this match Manchester City will be the favorite team.

[Josefjix]

I think this prediction is limited to their next match, not to who will win the Premier League. That being said, it is still unclear how Google calculates the winning probability for each match. There is a suggestion that they use historical stats, others predict they use aggregated betting odds from various gambling websites, and so on. I even suspect they use Opta's LWP model to some extent. So yeah, it is still an unreliable metric and you should not use that as a basis to make any serious prediction at all imo.

I predicted based on my personal analysis and I don't follow the trends made by the public. We predict based on the status of a club, you don't go about betting in favour of Luton Town to win an elite club like Manchester City, it's impossible except you want to risk your money, usually the odds that follows becomes significant. The prediction of these clubs are usually based on their previous statistical data and I must say, these clubs brings shocking and amazing scores. You're right, before a  game is started, we have see the odds of the losing and winning club.

[rendravolt]

After failing to win the EFL Cup trophy, Chelsea must refocus on the remaining competitions this season and they must at least finish in a very good position in order to give the impression they deserve as one of the big teams in England. We know that Chelsea are still unable to make a very significant impact this season and with their expensive squad they were embarrassed by Liverpool's young squad in the EFL Cup final.

I think they have to start from there and move on to the next motivation when they play away to Brentford this week. I think this will be quite a tense match and looking at Chelsea's game so far without any steady improvement makes me doubt they can win against Brentford. Small things can be the differentiating factor in this match and even though Brentford are not that good either, at least they don't want to lose to a bad team like Chelsea this time. It is possible that there is no winner in this match and this will be more of a draw for both teams with both scoring goals.

[hyudien]

One goal scored by Casemiro in the final minutes took Manchester United to the quarter-finals. In this match, it seemed that they had difficulty dismantling the defense built by Nottingham Forest, even Nottingham Forest often made it difficult for Manchester United with their attacks. However, Manchester United were able to remain calm in the defensive area so that it prevented Nottingham Forrest from scoring a goal against them. It took Manchester United 89 minutes to shake their opponent's goal net this time.
Unable to escape the challenge, Manchester United will next face Liverpool in the quarter-finals, and again this is a match that will be difficult for them. We know what Liverpool's strength is like this season, and when compared with Manchester United, it is clear that Liverpool are better than Erik Ten Hag's team. However, I won't say Manchester United will lose, because after all they still have a chance to beat Liverpool even though their chances of winning are small. Nothing is impossible in the game of football, anything can happen, including Manchester United being able to beat Liverpool. Will they be able to make a surprise in this match? Interesting for us to see.

[Solokan]

We should not use Arsenal's past mistake of missing out on winning the Premier League trophy last season to judge them that they will not win the Premier League trophy this season, even though there is a chance of Arsenal winning it. Arsenal is consistent this season, and they are two points behind Liverpool. Arsenal has what it takes to win the Premier League trophy this season.

I don't think there's anything wrong with saying Arsenal, Liverpool and Manchester City have a big chance of winning trophies this season because these three teams are the strongest teams in the Premier League at the moment.

Regarding Arsenal, recently their performance has been very good and when they compete they always goal fantastic scores and Arsenal's past failure to win trophies will of course make Arteta's team not to repeat failures this season and of course this season they will be enthusiastic about winning trophies this season.

However, remembering that Arsenal's current rivals certainly cannot be taken lightly because Liverpool and Manchester City have good performances, especially if, for example, Salah returns to play for Liverpool, then the competition will automatically get tougher for the top 3 teams currently in the premierleague.

The current point difference between Arsenal and Liverpool is certainly not much different, but let's see who deserves to win the trophy this season.

[bering]

Tomorrow there is a match between Everton vs West Ham and as a host Everton has displayed poor performance and since December last year Everton still unable to gets the winning results in Premier League and their records is 5 draws and 4 losts in the last 9 matches so these results is make Everton position get in danger because currently Everton only occupy 15th place and they have 5 difference points above to the team from relegation zone and today actually the bookmakers placing them as the favourite but i don't think Everton can able to overcomes West Ham today

For West Ham after suffering 2 consecutive defeated from Manchester United and Arsenal apparently West Ham can able to bounce back because in the last 2 matches in Premier League West Ham can able to win all of those matches and these results too makes West Ham owner didn't sacked David Moyes and for this match Everton squad is very interesting because their current top scorer is Abdoulaye Doucoure which is Doucoure real position is a midfielder not striker and he will be available today but after got long term injured Doucoure still hasn't reach to his top performance again

Even so with West Ham i can see all of their players in the good fitness for this match including their key player Mohammed Kudus since transfered from Ajax Mohammed Kudus can adapt quickly with West Ham and currently he scores 6 goals in Premier League and about the outcomes of this match just like i said above although Everton is the favourite but i highly doubt they can able to beat West Ham even my prediction is West Ham will be able to resumes their winning streak and beat Everton and for betting option West Ham has high odds @3.50

[Agbamoni]

If the chances for win are accurate (from the Premier League on Google), which are as follows for each of the three:

Liverpool: 63%
Man City: 77%
Arsenal: 83%

Then it's actually more likely than not, that at least one of these three won't win their game (around 60% probability).
Of course, it's hard to put an accurate number on sports events, it's all just estimates mostly based on previous results.

Most likely to drop points would be Manchester City at the end of the weekend, this is because derby games are difficult to play and this is also Manchester United trying to find themselves Into the top four in the Premier League Competition. Right from when the season kicked off, I've always wanted Manchester City not to be Champions since I've also wanted a change, it's been three to four years and Manchester City has been dominating. They could still get all three points but it'll not come easy.

I think your right. Manchester City has more chances of dropping points. Luton Town and Manchester United are very strong challengers to Manchester City. More seriousness should be put into these matches because it will be part of what will determine if they win the league or not. Brentford have a strong and consistent defense line while Manchester United will do anything to win the match or attain a draw just like what Chelea did against Manchester City.

[un_rank]

It's a big joke, bookie is more accurate because the statistic comes from people who want to bet and they as a bookie, won't make a mistake to calculate the odds, otherwise they will get rekt.

Arsenal is rarely become a champion and they're currently not on top standings, so there's no way to predict Arsenal has a bigger chance among other clubs.

You misunderstood the post you replied to. It was about the top three teams probability of winning their next match. Manchester City are facing a tougher opponent in a city derby and as expected have a lower win percentage. Arsenal are supposed to stroll to victory but City will have a much harder time.

The next three to four games will be very crucial in determining how the table shapes up.

- Jay -

[Velvet78]

Tottenham have been in a pretty bad shape for many weeks. They aren't performing like they were on the first weeks of the season. Despite Son's return they are still continuing to get poor results against smaller teams.

However I think they will still manage to make up for the last Wolves game. Their next game is against Crystal Palace home tomorrow. I expect a satisfying win by Tottenham no matter what. They have a pretty big dominance over Crystal Palace in the recent years. They won against them away this season as well. While Crystal Palace are having a much poorer season Tottenham should be the winning side. 1.45 is nice odds to bet on. 

[HajiBagi]

If the chances for win are accurate (from the Premier League on Google), which are as follows for each of the three:

Liverpool: 63%
Man City: 77%
Arsenal: 83%

Then it's actually more likely than not, that at least one of these three won't win their game (around 60% probability).
Of course, it's hard to put an accurate number on sports events, it's all just estimates mostly based on previous results.

It's a big joke, bookie is more accurate because the statistic comes from people who want to bet and they as a bookie, won't make a mistake to calculate the odds, otherwise they will get rekt.

Arsenal is rarely become a champion and they're currently not on top standings, so there's no way to predict Arsenal has a bigger chance among other clubs.

This is just a prediction, so let's assume that nobody looked at the teams' results before making it. Arsenal won't even be in second place in the league table at the end of the season, much less take first place. Before we talk about this, we should even look at the teams that are ahead of Arsenal. At the beginning of the season, Arsenal had a chance to be at the top, and they lost it, which was the best opportunity they missed. I'll just say that Arsenal can qualify for the Champions League next season in the same manner as they did the previous year.

I didn't expect any trophies from Arsenal this season because they aren't even sure if they can win one right now. I know that Manchester City and Liverpool are only a few points ahead of them, so if Arsenal plays well, they might try to catch up, but overall, I think Arsenal is the most shameful team in the Premier League because they missed their opportunity to win a trophy last year and again this season. It is extremely painful and shameful for a team with great players to not be able to win a trophy.

[bangjoe]

Tottenham have been in a pretty bad shape for many weeks. They aren't performing like they were on the first weeks of the season. Despite Son's return they are still continuing to get poor results against smaller teams.

However I think they will still manage to make up for the last Wolves game. Their next game is against Crystal Palace home tomorrow. I expect a satisfying win by Tottenham no matter what. They have a pretty big dominance over Crystal Palace in the recent years. They won against them away this season as well. While Crystal Palace are having a much poorer season Tottenham should be the winning side. 1.45 is nice odds to bet on. 

Actually Tottenham are not so bad, it's just that Tottenham have no development, they are just stagnant with the abilities they have at the moment.
In the game maybe yes it can be said that Tottenham can compensate, but in maximizing goals it is much better Wolves.
I am honestly more interested in Manchester United, which has a much better development than Tottenham, which moves stagnantly, while Crystal Palace itself can still be said to be quite able to survive against Tottenham this week, although we know how he maintains his position and remains in the EPL.

[lizarder]

Manchester United won the match but the better team for me was Nottingham Forest. They used the counterattacks and would have scored some goals if not for the quality goalkeeping from Andre Onana. I didn't hear much from the critics of the Cameroonian international because he is gradually proving his worth. United's defense was shaky as they kept making some costly mistakes. Kudos to Casemiro for the goal and it was also a wonderful delivery from Bruno Fernandes. United looked weak also in the attack because we didn't see much from Marcus Rashford and the other attackers. Nottingham Forest the only opportunity they have to win their trophy after a long period, however, they should be proud that they gave United a good fight.

You are right because even though they won, the match was quite disappointing because a number of opportunities that Man United players got were not able to be utilized properly. On the other hand, Nottingham Forest was able to apply much greater pressure so that Man United's defense was a little tired when facing their attacks. This is not a good win for Manchester United because they could lose their captain who suffered an injury while playing against Nottingham Forest. In the future, the matches will be much more difficult because they have to catch up in the standings in the English league because if they want to qualify for the Champions League then they have to catch up with Tottenham and Aston Villa.

Casimero was the difference in the match because the attacking line was deadlocked in scoring goals. But because of Casimero's calmness and experience, he managed to win in this difficult match. This should be a note to Erik Ten Hak because when the front line gets deadlocked then there must be another figure who takes on the role of scoring goals.

[xzone]

Tottenham have been in a pretty bad shape for many weeks. They aren't performing like they were on the first weeks of the season. Despite Son's return they are still continuing to get poor results against smaller teams.

However I think they will still manage to make up for the last Wolves game. Their next game is against Crystal Palace home tomorrow. I expect a satisfying win by Tottenham no matter what. They have a pretty big dominance over Crystal Palace in the recent years. They won against them away this season as well. While Crystal Palace are having a much poorer season Tottenham should be the winning side. 1.45 is nice odds to bet on. 

Tottenham has become a very unreliable team in recent weeks. I can say that it is not a team I would prefer to bet on, it will not be very safe for at least a few weeks.
But the betting odds are not bad at all. If Tottenham wants to be among the top 4 teams again, they must continue without losing points. This week's opponent is not a strong team, I think they will win 3 points. Crystal Palace is not currently strong enough to fight against Tottenham

[Strongkored]

Tottenham will play at home and maybe that will be an advantage for them and now the competition at the top requires Tottenham to be able to win.
I think Tottenham and Crystal Palace are both inconsistent this season, especially in their last few matches, but if you look at the strength of these two teams, there is no significant difference so this match will probably be quite difficult for both teams.

Crystal Palace is only a mediocre team that often has difficulty facing top teams even though Tottenham is also currently sometimes unstable but playing at home will give them an advantage because they are facing a team whose away game is not very good, but the interesting thing about this match is that Tottenham have never had a draw at home so there is a chance for Crystal Palace to beat Tottenham if this home team plays badly again like when they lost to Wolves, but because Tottenham's position is increasingly being approached by Manchester United, this could be used as motivation to win because they are targeting to be able to play in the European league next season.

Chelsea will compete against Brentford, a team which in the last five matches has only been able to win once with four defeats, but in their last four meetings Chelsea have only been able to draw once, with Brentford beating them 3 times, but Chelsea should be able to beat this opponent, because usually after some not good results Chelsea will win.
Christopher Nkunku will not play for Chelsea due to injury after having played several times, which is quite unfortunate, and for Chelsea, this is clearly a loss because since his arrival he has been resting more due to injury than playing and it is reported that he will be absent for one month