OSCARS 2021- Nominees, Odds and Predictions!

[Rikafip]

Academy released today list of 2021 Oscar nominees in 24 categories so I thought its time to start this thread, mention all the nominees and their odds. The odds have been taken from nicerodds. Some categories that don't have odds available yet will be updated later.

Official website: https://www.oscars.org


Best Picture
Nomadland 1.40
The Trial of The Chicago 7 6
Minari 13
Promising Young Woman 16
Judas And The Black Messih 26
Mank 26
Sound of Metal 101
The Father 101

Best Actress
Carey Mulligan (Promising Young Woman) 1.61
Andra Day (The United States Vs. Billie Holiday) 5
Frances Mcdormand (Nomadland) 5.5
Vanessa Kirby (Pieces Of A Woman) 11
Viola-Davis (Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom) 13

Best Actor
Chadwick Boseman (Ma Raineys Black Bottom) 1.08
Anthony Hopkins (The Father) 9
Riz Ahmed (Sound Of Metal) 17
Gary Oldman (Mank) 26
Steven Yeun (Minari) 34

Best Director
Chloe Zhao (Nomadland) 1.1
David Fincher (Mank) 9
Lee Isaac Chung (Minari) 11
Emerald Fennell (Promising Young Woman) 26
Thomas Vinterberg (Another Round) 34

Best Supporting Actor
Daniel Kaluuya (Judas And The Black Messiah) 1.22
Sacha Baron Cohen (The Trial Of The Chicago 7) 5
Leslie Odom Jr. (One Night In Miami) 13
Paul Raci (Sound Of Metal) 23
Lakeith Stanfield (Judas And The Black Messiah)

Best Supporting Actress
Maria Bakalova (Borat Subsequent Moviefilm) 2.62
Youn Yuh-Jung (Minari) 3
Glenn Close (Hillbilly Elegy) 5
Olivia Colman (The Father) 10
Amanda Seyfried (Mank) 11

Best Adapted Screenplay
Nomadland 1.2
The Father 6
One Night In Miami 9
Borat Subsequent Moviefilm 26
The White Tiger 26

Best Animated Feature
Soul 1.18
Wolfwalkers 5
Onward 13
Over The Moon 26
A Shaun The Sheep Movie: Farmageddon 34

Best Cinematography
Nomadland 1.5
Mank 2.87
News Of The World 13
Judas And The Black Messiah 17
The Trial Of The Chicago 7 21

Best Costume Design
Emma 2.2
Ma Rainey's Black Bottom 2.2
Mank 4.33
Pinocchio 26
Mulan 34

Best Documentary Feature
Time 1.61
Collective 3.25
Crip-Camp 7.5
My-Octopus-Teacher 9
The-Mole-Agent 23

Best International Feature Film
Another-Round 1.25
Quo-Vadis-Aida 5
Collective 9
Better-Days 17
The-Man-Who-Sold-His-Skin 26

Best Makeup and Hairstyling
Ma Rainey's Black Bottom 1.4
Hillbilly Elegy 6
Emma 7
Mank 7
Pinocchio 17

Best Original Screenplay
The Trial Of The Chicago 7 1.57
Promising Young Woman 2.62
Minari 17
Sound Of Metal 26
Judas And The Black Messiah

Best original score
Soul 1.2
Mank 6
Minari 12
News Of The World 23
Da 5 Bloods 26

Best production design
Mank 1.2
Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom 6.5
Tenet 11
News of the World 18
The Father 21

Best sound
Sound of Metal 1.16
Soul 9
Mank 9
News Of The World 19
Greyhound 21


Best Visual Effects
Tenet 1.25
The Midnight Sky 4.33
Mulan 17
Love And Monsters 26
The One And Only Ivan 29

Best animated short film
If Anything Happens I Love You 1.53
Opera 5
Burrow 7.5
Genius Loci 8
Yes-People 21

Best documentary short
A Love Song for Latasha 1.4
A Concerto Is A Conversation 6.5
Colette 10
Hunger Ward 11
Do Not Split 15

Best film editing
The Trial of the Chicago 7 2.25
Sound Of Metal 2.75
Nomadland 6
The Father 21
Promising Young Woman 29

Best live-action short film
The Letter Room 1.4
Two Distant Strangers 3.5
Feeling Through 15
The Present 17
White Eye 34

Best original score
Soul 1.2
Mank 6
Minari 12
News Of The World 23
Da 5 Bloods 26

Best original song
Speak Now, One Night in Miami 1.6
Io Si (The Life Ahead) 3.25Husavik
(Eurovision Song Contest: Song Of Ice And Fire) 8
Fight For You (Judas And The Black Messiah) 21
Hear My Voice (The Trial Of The Chicago 7) 34



So, who are your personal favorites, who do you think it will win and on who are you  going to bet? Discuss!

[Saint-loup]

Thank you for this thread but if you're asking people favorites you shouldn't put odds here because people will be influenced by that. And you won't get reliable opinions.
The biggest favorites are of course Chadwick Boseman, Chloe Zhao and Nomadland.
For the best actress, Carey Mulligan was already the favorite at the Golden Globes but finally Andra Day won it so I think 5.0 for Andra Day is too high, she is a serious contender actually.

[STT]

Thanks for making this thread, gives me a good list to go through and review.   Of course without knowing all the films content I cant quite judge yet but I'd be biased towards any established actor whose been nominated a few times like Anthony Hopkins (The Father) Gary Oldman and Carey Mulligan Glenn Close (Hillbilly Elegy) Olivia Colman are familiar to me so first I think I will make sure to tick off the list first and consider all eventually.   The hardest to call is the new comer or slightly unknown but I think people accumulate support and respect across years that helps their odds with an actual win.    Theres a certain type of story that the Oscars seems to go for especially in its appeal, almost political but not that, more within the theatrical realm they favour the gushy type films with big production.

[ingiltere]

Only 1.08 odds for Chadwick Boseman? This could be a sure bet but I wouldn't play for such low odds.
From the odds I can say Nomadland must be a really good movie. I should watch it as soon as possible. We know odds don't give us winners but we also know Oscars are fixed to hell, just like Grammy's etc. 1.40 against 6, the lowest odd, it seems that other's winning chances are almost impossible.

[AmoreJaz]

Thank you for this thread but if you're asking people favorites you shouldn't put odds here because people will be influenced by that. And you won't get reliable opinions.
The biggest favorites are of course Chadwick Boseman, Chloe Zhao and Nomadland.
For the best actress, Carey Mulligan was already the favorite at the Golden Globes but finally Andra Day won it so I think 5.0 for Andra Day is too high, she is a serious contender actually.

yes, there's no need to put the odds beside their name. i think, better add the sites (crypto bookies preferably, but hard to find) which are including this oscars betting. that will be helpful to gamblers here.

for fiat bookies, you can check these sites - 1 or 2 or 3

the last site, it listed https://www.bovada.lv/ - and it says bitcoin and bitcoin cash accepted

[Rikafip]

Thank you for this thread but if you're asking people favorites you shouldn't put odds here because people will be influenced by that. And you won't get reliable opinions.

To be honest, I expect people will check the odds anyway, so why not share them immediately? But I would also like to hear who would people like to win an Oscar, and not just who they think will win the Oscar.

The biggest favorites are of course Chadwick Boseman, Chloe Zhao and Nomadland.

I haven't seen Ma Rainey's Black Bottom yet so I don't know how good Chadwick Boseman was, but from the movies I saw  would like of Riz Ahmed scoops the award. First half an hour into movie I was sure he gets a nomination. I didn't have an opportunity  to watch The Father yet, I expect  a lot from that one. Regarding Nomadland, I saw it  and I agree that it is a good film but definitely not everyone's cup of tea as it is slow paced. I am surprised that The Trial of The Chicago 7 is has the 2nd lowest odds as it nothing special tbh, an average movie. At least for me.

Only 1.08 odds for Chadwick Boseman? This could be a sure bet but I wouldn't play for such low odds.
From the odds I can say Nomadland must be a really good movie. I should watch it as soon as possible. We know odds don't give us winners but we also know Oscars are fixed to hell, just like Grammy's etc. 1.40 against 6, the lowest odd, it seems that other's winning chances are almost impossible.

Yeah I agree, 1.08 is simply too low for an Oscar and it is a bad bet. If you don't mind slow paced movies, chances are that you will like Nomadland, but generally I think that this is one of the weaker years when it comes to Best Picture award.

[dkbit98]

You telling me you really watched those movies? 

I think Hollywood is in trouble and they are making boring movies with bunch of rinse and repeat remake stories, but I did try to watch two movies from those Oscar nominees.
Started watching Tenet but never finished it, and I watched News of the World with Tom Hanks and it's ok post Civil War story but nothing special and not Oscar material for me.
I can't believe that Borat stuff made it to Oscars and that tells you everything you need to know about Oscars...

[Trofo]

but generally I think that this is one of the weaker years when it comes to Best Picture award.

This is for sure the weakest year ever. OK maybe not ever but in the last 20 years for sure. Don't even want to watch any of the movies nominated let alone give them an award. Too bad all those blockbusters need big revenues from cinemas. We could have had a much less boring year if some of the movies that should have aired actually did so. Just another way covid managed to screw with our lives.

Good thing streaming services like Netflix stepped up and did some good work. But that is off topic here so I will not continue with that discussion.

[Rikafip]

You telling me you really watched those movies?  

Since I watch approximately 300-400 movies per year and I am on that pace for the last ~20 years, I can't really choose much. But that's just life a of a cinephile, you watch a lot and hope that you will find some gems. And I always do as I am not restricting myself to any country, good movies are being made all over the world.

I think Hollywood is in trouble and they are making boring movies with bunch of rinse and repeat remake stories, but I did try to watch two movies from those Oscar nominees.
Started watching Tenet but never finished it, and I watched News of the World with Tom Hanks and it's ok post Civil War story but nothing special and not Oscar material for me.

It is true that Hollywood produces a lot of shallow movies whose only goal is to make a lot of money, but there are still good American movies outside Hollywood factory, like that indie movie Nomadland. Or Minari. But if you focus on blockbusters and other hyped movies, of course chances are that you will get disappointed.

Regarding Tenet (mess of a movie) and News of the World (average imho but it is good visually), both are only nominated in technical categories and not for the Best Picture.

I can't believe that Borat stuff made it to Oscars and that tells you everything you need to know about Oscars...

While first one was really funny, Borat sequel is one of the worst movies I saw recently and I barely managed to finish it.

This is for sure the weakest year ever. OK maybe not ever but in the last 20 years for sure. Don't even want to watch any of the movies nominated let alone give them an award.

It is true that among nominated I haven't seen truly great movie, but there are some that are good/decent like Nomadland, Minari, Sound of Metal and Mank. But of course it's all about what kind of movies you like to watch. I am personally not a fan of blockbusters & comic based movies  so I don't really miss those.

Good thing streaming services like Netflix stepped up and did some good work.

Yep, again one of the Netflix produced movies has been nominated, Mank. They did increase movie quality a lot in he last couple of years. Their Roma is one of the best films I've seen in years and it is a shame that it didn't win an Oscar for Best Picture few years ago.

[davis196]

Is someone really placing bets on this s&it? What is this?Hollywood gambling?
I really hate Hollywood and all those movies that got Oscar nominations are just so boring.
There was at least one interesting movie that caught my attention in the previous years.This will be the most uninteresting Oscar ceremony in the history of the academy for sure.
2020 was an awful year,when it comes to movie making,I guess.
I wouldn't gamble on such predictions.

[TheNineClub]

Is someone really placing bets on this s&it? What is this?Hollywood gambling?
I really hate Hollywood and all those movies that got Oscar nominations are just so boring.
There was at least one interesting movie that caught my attention in the previous years.This will be the most uninteresting Oscar ceremony in the history of the academy for sure.
2020 was an awful year,when it comes to movie making,I guess.
I wouldn't gamble on such predictions.

Sure, it was a slow year, to say the least, but let's give them some slack with the conditions they were working with. I am inclined to believe that a bunch of movies that could have potentially shine have been put on the shelf because of the obstacles caused by the pandemic. And it's not all Hollywood here, you still have the international section to check out and the category such as visual effects, score, sound, and song are really not affected by how boring the movie is.

[Saint-loup]

Thank you for this thread but if you're asking people favorites you shouldn't put odds here because people will be influenced by that. And you won't get reliable opinions.

To be honest, I expect people will check the odds anyway, so why not share them immediately? But I would also like to hear who would people like to win an Oscar, and not just who they think will win the Oscar.

The biggest favorites are of course Chadwick Boseman, Chloe Zhao and Nomadland.

I haven't seen Ma Rainey's Black Bottom yet so I don't know how good Chadwick Boseman was, but from the movies I saw  would like of Riz Ahmed scoops the award. First half an hour into movie I was sure he gets a nomination. I didn't have an opportunity  to watch The Father yet, I expect  a lot from that one. Regarding Nomadland, I saw it  and I agree that it is a good film but definitely not everyone's cup of tea as it is slow paced. I am surprised that The Trial of The Chicago 7 is has the 2nd lowest odds as it nothing special tbh, an average movie. At least for me.

Only 1.08 odds for Chadwick Boseman? This could be a sure bet but I wouldn't play for such low odds.
From the odds I can say Nomadland must be a really good movie. I should watch it as soon as possible. We know odds don't give us winners but we also know Oscars are fixed to hell, just like Grammy's etc. 1.40 against 6, the lowest odd, it seems that other's winning chances are almost impossible.

Yeah I agree, 1.08 is simply too low for an Oscar and it is a bad bet. If you don't mind slow paced movies, chances are that you will like Nomadland, but generally I think that this is one of the weaker years when it comes to Best Picture award.

Why betting on Chadwik Boseman for the best actor award would be a "bad bet"?   I don't understand, could you explain us what you mean by that please? I've bet on him for the Golden Globes, and it was the bet I was the most sure of among the awards. Would you bet he won't win the Oscar?

[Rikafip]

Why betting on Chadwik Boseman for the best actor award would be a "bad bet"?

I wouldn't bet on Chadwick Boseman winning the Oscar not because I don't think that he will win it (on the contrary, seems like he is obviously the the favorite) but because odds given are way too low. With odds ranging from 1.05-1.08 you would have to bet a lot to get any decent return, and I think that risk/reward ratio in this case ain't good at all, therefore making it a bad bet.

If odds were let's say 1.3-1.4, then I would certainly think about taking that bet, but with 1.08? No chance! I generally avoid such a low odds, no matter what I am betting on. Too many times lost while taking sub 1.1 odds not to learn the lesson.

Sure, it was a slow year, to say the least, but let's give them some slack with the conditions they were working with. I am inclined to believe that a bunch of movies that could have potentially shine have been put on the shelf because of the obstacles caused by the pandemic.

+1

It was a tough year for sure. Imagine you are studio who invested 200-300 millions USD and then you can't play them in movies, or even if you can, only with limited release, meaning you will loose shit load of money.

Good example of that is Dune. First release date was supposed to be December 18th 2020 but as we know covid-19 situation back then, it was postponed for October 2021. There was even a plan to release it sooner than that on streaming platforms, but Denis Villeneuve (director) fought hard with studio to change the plan and go only in cinemas as planned, October 1st 2021. Thing is,its planned for Dune to have 2 parts, and in case first part failed financially (which it probably would) 2nd part probably wouldn't happen. So yeah, many things t think about when making a movie in the last year  or so.

And it's not all Hollywood here, you still have the international section to check out and the category such as visual effects, score, sound, and song are really not affected by how boring the movie is.

Exactly this, people often have no clue what they are talking about, but signature quota has to be filled.

[el kaka22]

I have to say this has been one of the weakest years I have ever seen, in fact in the recent years the idea of making a film for oscars and making a film for audience started to change a lot. Oscar movies are there to give a message, to have a political stance sometimes, to have some societal situation, whereas movies who are made so that more and more people would watch are different.

Do not tell me that these oscar movies are "watched" because even the best one rarely gets watched (recent years of course), look at how much Marvel was watched, you think Marvel was a best picture oscar movie? At the end of the day we are not talking about this growing gap anymore, new movies for oscars come out as hardcore message sending as possible and other movies grow to become more and more huge to get more and more people going so that they could make money.

[TheNineClub]

I have to say this has been one of the weakest years I have ever seen, in fact in the recent years the idea of making a film for oscars and making a film for audience started to change a lot. Oscar movies are there to give a message, to have a political stance sometimes, to have some societal situation, whereas movies who are made so that more and more people would watch are different.

Do not tell me that these oscar movies are "watched" because even the best one rarely gets watched (recent years of course), look at how much Marvel was watched, you think Marvel was a best picture oscar movie? At the end of the day we are not talking about this growing gap anymore, new movies for oscars come out as hardcore message sending as possible and other movies grow to become more and more huge to get more and more people going so that they could make money.

But nobody said that the movies that are presented at the Oscars are the most-watched movies, or even watched at all. They are movies that have been sent as potential nominations by people who think they have something to offer in one of the categories. There are a ton of movies that give out a message or a stance on something and are watched but not on oscar lists, and it all boils down to the benefit of getting an oscar. I am sure that the Marvel franchise would submit their movies for a category if they thought it would benefit them. Remember, there are multiple categories, not just best movie.

[Stalker22]

I agree, this year is already shaping up to be one of the more forgettable oscars in the awards' 93-year history. There will be very few upsets in the Best Picture race and very few even remotely worthy performances in major categories. And in many of the technical categories, the competition is weaker than usual.

[uneng]

You telling me you really watched those movies?  

I think Hollywood is in trouble and they are making boring movies with bunch of rinse and repeat remake stories, but I did try to watch two movies from those Oscar nominees.
Started watching Tenet but never finished it, and I watched News of the World with Tom Hanks and it's ok post Civil War story but nothing special and not Oscar material for me.
I can't believe that Borat stuff made it to Oscars and that tells you everything you need to know about Oscars...

Sadly quality seems to not matter for Hollywood anymore. They just follow their trash political agenda and the results are worse movies each new year. Actually politics is probably the reason why Borat was included there. Interesting how many films considered *B movies* by specialists many years ago are much better than nowadays Oscar's movies. And even more interesting how a *B movie* isn't considered poor when it's sympathetic to the Hollywood's interests.

[Silberman]

Sadly quality seems to not matter for Hollywood anymore.

It is not difficult to know what is happening, Hollywood is being a victim of its own success, they have been earning so much money that they thought they could release whatever they wanted and still make a fortune and now they are realizing this is not the case, and when we add that it seems every movie needs hundreds of millions of dollars to be produced even when the spectator cannot see where all that money went then we have a situation like what we have now, the audience is not as interested as it was on the past on watching the Oscars as they are giving the awards to movies very few watched.

[Johnyz]

Sadly quality seems to not matter for Hollywood anymore.

It is not difficult to know what is happening, Hollywood is being a victim of its own success, they have been earning so much money that they thought they could release whatever they wanted and still make a fortune and now they are realizing this is not the case, and when we add that it seems every movie needs hundreds of millions of dollars to be produced even when the spectator cannot see where all that money went then we have a situation like what we have now, the audience is not as interested as it was on the past on watching the Oscars as they are giving the awards to movies very few watched.

Many deserving artist didn't won any award in the past years and since then, many speculate the corruption between the Oscars. I remember Leonardo on winning his first ever Oscard award after being a nominee for many times. There's a lot of good movies nowadays, honestly and thanks to Netflix for bringing such good movies, the awards is just a consolation price for those good movies, they are still the best for me.

[danherbias07]

Lots of titles I haven't watched yet. I highly doubt they could create a good one because of the pandemic .
But my focus is on the best animated features. Pandemic = focus on animations.  

"Soul" is a unique story and the twist amazed me.
"Onward" also got a good lesson to learn from.
I have never watched the 3 of them yet but yes, I will vote for Soul before Onward.