Only Arsenal has a good chance of surviving and advancing from the round of 16.
Newcastle, despite drawing 1-1 in their away match at Barcelona's iconic stadium, are likely to be defeated by Barcelona with a score exceeding 2.
Arsenal will play a next match at their home stadium and with a draw from a first match, they have quite good chance to go to quarter final. Newcastle United also got a draw from a first match but it's different and more challenging as they will have to play a next match at Barcelona's home stadium where even biggest clubs in Europe have to be fearful. Barcelona will very possibly be able to take advantage of the home stadium, and their better quality to beat Newcastle United.
Tottenham, Chelsea, and Manchester City will also face significant challenges in overturning the aggregate score against the teams that defeated them yesterday.
These clubs have almost zero chance after losing big in the first match and their opponents are strong as well as experienced enough to secure big goal-advantage for tickets to quarter finals.
Meanwhile, I briefly overlooked Liverpool. Liverpool still has over a 60% chance of advancing.
Liverpool have opportunity to win in a next match and aggregated result if they play well, as losing in a first match with only 1 goal difference is not too terrible and they will play at their home stadium next week too.