Will Russia Emerge As The Next Dominant Superpower

[be.open]

For be.open, and all the people who are currently living inside Russia.

Is the protests against the Russian government's decision for mobilisation true? Is it growing in support? Or is it merely another form of propaganda for the people outside of Russia to believe that something "important" is actually happening?

I can see just one person in the picture, with any protests in the background. Plus she looks "too beautiful" with make up?

There are no mass protests in my small town in the Urals. Every day a new bus leaves the city with mobilized 10-15 people. Based on the dynamics of mobilization, I can assume that much more will be mobilized than the 300 thousand people announced by Putin.

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[DrBeer]

In fact, holding such fake referendums by Russia only plays into the hands of Ukraine. And other countries, such as China. Russia has created a precedent that everyone will now refer to when acting on the territories of Russia. For example, Ukraine thus "legally" in relation to Russia can regain the Kuban, Taganrog and other Ukrainian regions stolen by Russia in the 20th century. China - the primordially Chinese fastened regions of the Trans-Urals ... Then it will be useless for the Russians to squeal, the answer will be simple - come on, it's honest, you YOURSELF ACKNOWLEDGED IT

The precedent was in Kosovo. Then Russia annexed Crimea from Ukraine in 2014. Within a week, I think the DPR, LPR, Kherson and Zaporozhye regions will also become part of Russia. Your fantasies about the Kuban and Taganrog are empty and groundless.

Yes ? 
And tell me - Kosovo became part of the United States? Germany? Here are all the Russians - a lie as the meaning of life, to lie primitively and always, to replace the essence and LIE. Let me remind you once again - it works among Russians, but not among adequate people
Kosovo left Yugoslavia and became an independent state. But it did not enter the territory of Serbia and by military means, violating the law, it was captured! Montenegro, for example, did not enter Kosovo either and did not capture it, introducing it into its composition with an illegitimate fake pseudo-referendum. Do you feel the difference? I'm sure - you know, but you are habitually lying, habitually trying to justify the crimes of rashism. Nothing, it won't last long

As a result of the referendum, Kosovo gained independence, using the right of the nation to self-determination, which is one of the clauses of the UN Charter.

In the same UN Charter there is another clause aimed at protecting the territorial integrity of any state. These two points at times and places directly contradict each other. Life, too, is sometimes contradictory, as is this legal conflict.

Unsuccessful attempt at manipulation mixed with lies

1. There was an INTERNAL conflict in Yugoslavia, despite the fact that Yugoslavia was indeed a federal republic, and consisted of several independent but united subjects. The Constitution of Yugoslavia did not restrict, although it did not approve, the process of secession from the Federation.
2. Based on the results, the Independent Subject of the Federation became fully independent.
3. In Ukraine, the conflict in the Crimea and in the eastern regions was the result of the invasion of Russian terrorist troops, which was confirmed even by Putin himself. Before that, it’s true, out of habit, he lied for a long time, but this is Russia!
4. Ukraine is a UNITARY state.
5. The ongoing fake elections in the occupied cities of Ukraine, by Russian invaders, are contrary to any norms.


By the way, I posted a video about how the "counting of votes" takes place in these fake elections, check out the comments in 3 languages ​​

https://youtu.be/aR7Uaw4Gq5I

[Wind_FURY]

For be.open, and all the people who are currently living inside Russia.

Is the protests against the Russian government's decision for mobilisation true? Is it growing in support? Or is it merely another form of propaganda for the people outside of Russia to believe that something "important" is actually happening?

I can see just one person in the picture, with any protests in the background. Plus she looks "too beautiful" with make up?

There are no mass protests in my small town in the Urals. Every day a new bus leaves the city with mobilized 10-15 people. Based on the dynamics of mobilization, I can assume that much more will be mobilized than the 300 thousand people announced by Putin.

What about in the big cities like Moscow and St. Petersburg, and what about in the news, and what's mood of the news? Plus I will not ask what's your personal opinion about the mobilisation, but what are your neighbors' or your friends' opinions on the mobilisation? Are they in a "patriotic mood" and support the possbility of an expansion of the war, or are they cycnical and in doubt?

OR, if majority of the people are in protest, will it matter?

[kesmex]

Is the protests against the Russian government's decision for mobilisation true? Is it growing in support? Or is it merely another form of propaganda for the people outside of Russia to believe that something "important" is actually happening?

I can see just one person in the picture, with any protests in the background. Plus she looks "too beautiful" with make up?

Obviously when such massive number of people are being mobilized (reports range from 300,000 to 1,000,000 reserve soldiers being called up), there will be widespread protests. But they are not at a level where the authorities will be concerned. In general, it looks as if a majority of those who are called up are reporting to the enlistment centers. And this is the reason why the Russian government is not making any attempts to stop people from fleeing across the border to Kazakhstan, Georgia, Finland and Turkey.

Are you from, or living in Russia? I truly want to know how "widespread" the protests against the mobilisation are, and if there's truly an anti-war "feeling" among ordinary people and plebs like you and me. It's also important to know if it's growing, or if it's just propaganda spreading in the internet.

Regardless of what basically every human being wants peace in his heart,
so I don't think all Russians want war and maybe this is purely the wish of their president,
anyway still need more information about it

[be.open]

For be.open, and all the people who are currently living inside Russia.

Is the protests against the Russian government's decision for mobilisation true? Is it growing in support? Or is it merely another form of propaganda for the people outside of Russia to believe that something "important" is actually happening?

I can see just one person in the picture, with any protests in the background. Plus she looks "too beautiful" with make up?

There are no mass protests in my small town in the Urals. Every day a new bus leaves the city with mobilized 10-15 people. Based on the dynamics of mobilization, I can assume that much more will be mobilized than the 300 thousand people announced by Putin.

What about in the big cities like Moscow and St. Petersburg, and what about in the news, and what's mood of the news? Plus I will not ask what's your personal opinion about the mobilisation, but what are your neighbors' or your friends' opinions on the mobilisation? Are they in a "patriotic mood" and support the possbility of an expansion of the war, or are they cycnical and in doubt?

OR, if majority of the people are in protest, will it matter?

Two of my friend's acquaintances emigrated after the announcement of mobilization - one to Georgia, the other to Kazakhstan. I think this is the only reasonable protest option for the people of Russia, voting with their feet.

Basically, the protests are not against the fact of mobilization, but against the mess in its implementation, which is also enough. By the way, these protests are quite effective, if it turns out that the mobilized is more useful in the rear, they leave him alone. The mobilized themselves, I think, are not happy. Adults are pulled out of normal life and sent to the war zone, where they may have to spend the winter in the field. Basically, people buy themselves a first-aid kit and warm clothes, not really relying on army supplies.

[cryptomaxsun]

Kuban will become Ukrainian territory in no more than 3 years.
It would be foolish and naïve to doubt it.

Yeah.. sure.. Ukrainian population has decreased from approx. 52 million in 1992 to around 35 million as of now. They have already lost more than 20% of the territory from the pre-1992 borders till now and are on course to lose even more. And still dreaming about conquering the Kuban region. Forget about Kuban becoming Ukrainian territory in 3 years. It will be "foolish and naïve" to think that Ukraine will even exist by 2025. Winter warfare will obviously give an advantage to Russia, but I don't want to predict much at this point.

You hear, you are a stupid fascist, Ukraine will be, do not doubt it, and the Kuban will be Ukrainian territory, but you will no longer be, you are on the black list.

[DrBeer]

Is the protests against the Russian government's decision for mobilisation true? Is it growing in support? Or is it merely another form of propaganda for the people outside of Russia to believe that something "important" is actually happening?

I can see just one person in the picture, with any protests in the background. Plus she looks "too beautiful" with make up?

Obviously when such massive number of people are being mobilized (reports range from 300,000 to 1,000,000 reserve soldiers being called up), there will be widespread protests. But they are not at a level where the authorities will be concerned. In general, it looks as if a majority of those who are called up are reporting to the enlistment centers. And this is the reason why the Russian government is not making any attempts to stop people from fleeing across the border to Kazakhstan, Georgia, Finland and Turkey.

Are you from, or living in Russia? I truly want to know how "widespread" the protests against the mobilisation are, and if there's truly an anti-war "feeling" among ordinary people and plebs like you and me. It's also important to know if it's growing, or if it's just propaganda spreading in the internet.

Youtube, twitter and google help you!
As reality has shown, the population in Russia is divided into 3 camps:
1. "Heroic" cowards, who yelled "kill Ukrainians" in front of the TV, cowardly flee to Georgia, Kazakhstan, Armenia, Turkey. By the way - if you have acquaintances in Turkey - specify how many "Russian heroes" are hiding in their hotels now? A friend works in the hotel business, she says it arrived in a week as a good one for the whole season. Patrites, heroes in Russian

2. Sheep. These are the ones who, having received a summons, went to buy their own ammunition, pads, tampons, electrical tape, and went to be slaughtered, as Putin ordered. Their relatives see them off, applauding, sending them to the slaughter. Also sheep. Apparently, there is nothing valuable in their life, since they go to their death so easily, at 20-30-40-50 years old ...

3. Normal people - residents of Ichkeria, Dagestan and several other republics where human life is the most precious thing! Also, they do not want to be involved in terrorism for the sake of implementing Putin's complexes. In Ichkeria and Dagestan, mobilization has already been officially canceled - they are protected, and only residents of central Russia go to die - they are not sorry

[Sithara007]

You hear, you are a stupid fascist, Ukraine will be, do not doubt it, and the Kuban will be Ukrainian territory, but you will no longer be, you are on the black list.

LOL.. I should be really frightened now since I am on the blacklist. 

I asked some legitimate questions and you resorted to name calling, since you don't have any valid answer. How is conquering Kuban any different from Russia's current invasion of Ukraine? And at least in Russia's case they can claim that the vast majority of the population in regions they have annexed till now are Russian-speaking. The same is not true with Kuban. Less than 0.1% of the population there speak Ukrainian. And obviously everyone will be a fascist if they disagree with what you are saying. ROFL.

[Wind_FURY]

For be.open, and all the people who are currently living inside Russia.

Is the protests against the Russian government's decision for mobilisation true? Is it growing in support? Or is it merely another form of propaganda for the people outside of Russia to believe that something "important" is actually happening?

I can see just one person in the picture, with any protests in the background. Plus she looks "too beautiful" with make up?

There are no mass protests in my small town in the Urals. Every day a new bus leaves the city with mobilized 10-15 people. Based on the dynamics of mobilization, I can assume that much more will be mobilized than the 300 thousand people announced by Putin.

What about in the big cities like Moscow and St. Petersburg, and what about in the news, and what's mood of the news? Plus I will not ask what's your personal opinion about the mobilisation, but what are your neighbors' or your friends' opinions on the mobilisation? Are they in a "patriotic mood" and support the possbility of an expansion of the war, or are they cycnical and in doubt?

OR, if majority of the people are in protest, will it matter?

Two of my friend's acquaintances emigrated after the announcement of mobilization - one to Georgia, the other to Kazakhstan. I think this is the only reasonable protest option for the people of Russia, voting with their feet.

Basically, the protests are not against the fact of mobilization, but against the mess in its implementation, which is also enough. By the way, these protests are quite effective, if it turns out that the mobilized is more useful in the rear, they leave him alone. The mobilized themselves, I think, are not happy. Adults are pulled out of normal life and sent to the war zone, where they may have to spend the winter in the field. Basically, people buy themselves a first-aid kit and warm clothes, not really relying on army supplies.

That's how Russia might lose in my opinion. Plus if an open conflict/war starts across Europe, Russia will have problems getting advanced parts for their miltiary equipment, as I have already posted. Will China help them, and risk sanctions too? We will never know, but knowing China, it will just watch the battle between two great armies and wait for their own opportunity after their exhaustion.

[be.open]

That's how Russia might lose in my opinion. Plus if an open conflict/war starts across Europe, Russia will have problems getting advanced parts for their miltiary equipment, as I have already posted. Will China help them, and risk sanctions too? We will never know, but knowing China, it will just watch the battle between two great armies and wait for their own opportunity after their exhaustion.

I mean that most of the mobilized people prefer to buy themselves a couple of sets of thermal underwear, earplugs and diarrhea pills, as well as comfortable winter shoes, not relying too much on regular army uniforms. Of course, each motorized rifleman will be given a helmet, bulletproof vest and a Kalashnikov assault rifle, as well as the statutory camouflage uniform and shoes. But there are things that make staying in the field more comfortable, and each mobilized person usually takes care of this himself, if it is important for him. Someone even takes tactical glasses, active headphones, a thermal imager and a quadcopter with them, but these are already the most stubborn survivalists. On average, the minimum set of uniforms costs each mobilized 500-1000 dollars.

[Sithara007]

I mean that most of the mobilized people prefer to buy themselves a couple of sets of thermal underwear, earplugs and diarrhea pills, as well as comfortable winter shoes, not relying too much on regular army uniforms. Of course, each motorized rifleman will be given a helmet, bulletproof vest and a Kalashnikov assault rifle, as well as the statutory camouflage uniform and shoes. But there are things that make staying in the field more comfortable, and each mobilized person usually takes care of this himself, if it is important for him. Someone even takes tactical glasses, active headphones, a thermal imager and a quadcopter with them, but these are already the most stubborn survivalists. On average, the minimum set of uniforms costs each mobilized 500-1000 dollars.

Any idea on the total number that will be mobilized? I have heard about conflicting numbers, ranging from 300,000 to one million. Given that there are around 200,000 on the frontline right now (including militia from DNR/LNR and PMC Wagner), the lower range will raise the total number of Russian soldiers to 500,000. This still gives the Ukrainians a numerical superiority of 2 to 1. If one million reservists are drafted, then Russia will have the numerical advantage. Given that the frontline is around 1,000 km long the lower range would give a soldier for every 4 meters (given that 50% will actually be deployed in the front).

[be.open]

Any idea on the total number that will be mobilized? I have heard about conflicting numbers, ranging from 300,000 to one million. Given that there are around 200,000 on the frontline right now (including militia from DNR/LNR and PMC Wagner), the lower range will raise the total number of Russian soldiers to 500,000. This still gives the Ukrainians a numerical superiority of 2 to 1. If one million reservists are drafted, then Russia will have the numerical advantage. Given that the frontline is around 1,000 km long the lower range would give a soldier for every 4 meters (given that 50% will actually be deployed in the front).

This is a tricky question, given that officials in Russia have dismissed all rumors about the extent of the partial mobilization. Personally, my opinion is that the current stage of mobilization is a trial one in order to check in practice the state of the mobilization system in Russia. And I think that the matter will not be limited to 300 thousand reservists, there will be at least 1-2 more waves of mobilization. In theory, you need to call a million people under arms in order to confidently deprive Ukraine of its only advantage in manpower.

ps Another thing is that tomorrow four new regions may join Russia based on the results of referendums. And generally speaking, this will untie the hands of Putin to use the soldiers who are serving in the Russian Army in these territories. Therefore, additional mobilization may not be necessary.

[Wind_FURY]

That's how Russia might lose in my opinion. Plus if an open conflict/war starts across Europe, Russia will have problems getting advanced parts for their miltiary equipment, as I have already posted. Will China help them, and risk sanctions too? We will never know, but knowing China, it will just watch the battle between two great armies and wait for their own opportunity after their exhaustion.

I mean that most of the mobilized people prefer to buy themselves a couple of sets of thermal underwear, earplugs and diarrhea pills, as well as comfortable winter shoes, not relying too much on regular army uniforms. Of course, each motorized rifleman will be given a helmet, bulletproof vest and a Kalashnikov assault rifle, as well as the statutory camouflage uniform and shoes. But there are things that make staying in the field more comfortable, and each mobilized person usually takes care of this himself, if it is important for him. Someone even takes tactical glasses, active headphones, a thermal imager and a quadcopter with them, but these are already the most stubborn survivalists. On average, the minimum set of uniforms costs each mobilized 500-1000 dollars.

OK, I understand.

I'm curious about something, and this was posted/asked in the forum by someone before. Do you, or the Russian people in general, consider China to be a "good ally", or is China a "dangerous ally"? Because for Great Britain, they know that the United States is their "good ally"/almost brothers as history illustrates, they fought together during World War I and World War II. I believe their alliance won't change if there's World War III.

[be.open]

I'm curious about something, and this was posted/asked in the forum by someone before. Do you, or the Russian people in general, consider China to be a "good ally", or is China a "dangerous ally"? Because for Great Britain, they know that the United States is their "good ally"/almost brothers as history illustrates, they fought together during World War I and World War II. I believe their alliance won't change if there's World War III.

My opinion is that China is a dangerous ally. The Chinese practically do not assimilate with the local population (just one day a Chinatown appears in your city) and China has quite definite views on the dominant role of the Celestial Empire in the world. Plus, for historical reasons, China considers the Russian Far East its territory (it passed to Russia for helping China during the opium wars). China is a very dangerous ally. And at the same time, his danger and strength make him a good ally for Russia (because what is the use of a weak ally at all?). Now Russia and China do not look at each other, but rather stand back to back.

[pooya87]

Do you, or the Russian people in general, consider China to be a "good ally", or is China a "dangerous ally"?

China (and Russia for that matter) is a bad ally. It's just that for the past couple of years such alliances are based on "enemy of my enemy is my friend" kind of situation. Besides, these alliances (unlike the alliances in the west) are based on mutual benefits not unilateral ones.

Because for Great Britain, they know that the United States is their "good ally"/almost brothers as history illustrates

These days things like this remind me of a famous quote from Kissinger:
"To be an enemy of America can be dangerous, but to be a friend is fatal."

[be.open]

Do you, or the Russian people in general, consider China to be a "good ally", or is China a "dangerous ally"?

China (and Russia for that matter) is a bad ally. It's just that for the past couple of years such alliances are based on "enemy of my enemy is my friend" kind of situation. Besides, these alliances (unlike the alliances in the west) are based on mutual benefits not unilateral ones.

As Alexander III seems to have said, Russia has only two allies - its army and navy. All strategic and tactical foreign policy alliances with Russia are possible only if the cooperation is mutually beneficial.

[Sithara007]

My opinion is that China is a dangerous ally. The Chinese practically do not assimilate with the local population (just one day a Chinatown appears in your city) and China has quite definite views on the dominant role of the Celestial Empire in the world. Plus, for historical reasons, China considers the Russian Far East its territory (it passed to Russia for helping China during the opium wars). China is a very dangerous ally. And at the same time, his danger and strength make him a good ally for Russia (because what is the use of a weak ally at all?). Now Russia and China do not look at each other, but rather stand back to back.

There is an agreement on the border between China and Russia, which was signed back in 1999. As per the agreement, China has recognized these territories as part of Russia. China may be a tough negotiator, but I don't think that they are someone who can be considered as untrustworthy. At least when compared to Turkey, China seems to be a good ally. Turkey on the other hand has handed over military equipment to Ukraine and invaded Nagorno Karabakh, despite benefitting from cheap Russian pipeline gas.

[Wind_FURY]

Do you, or the Russian people in general, consider China to be a "good ally", or is China a "dangerous ally"?

China (and Russia for that matter) is a bad ally. It's just that for the past couple of years such alliances are based on "enemy of my enemy is my friend" kind of situation. Besides, these alliances (unlike the alliances in the west) are based on mutual benefits not unilateral ones.

Because for Great Britain, they know that the United States is their "good ally"/almost brothers as history illustrates

These days things like this remind me of a famous quote from Kissinger:
"To be an enemy of America can be dangerous, but to be a friend is fatal."

Hahaha! That's a funny quote. But I'm only speaking out of what I've read from history books. Perhaps in times of peace, being of friend of the the United Stares is fatal, but in times of war, it's a friend that you truly need. Those countries have always helped each other during times of war, and I don't believe that will change.

[cryptomaxsun]

You hear, you are a stupid fascist, Ukraine will be, do not doubt it, and the Kuban will be Ukrainian territory, but you will no longer be, you are on the black list.

LOL.. I should be really frightened now since I am on the blacklist. 

I asked some legitimate questions and you resorted to name calling, since you don't have any valid answer. How is conquering Kuban any different from Russia's current invasion of Ukraine? And at least in Russia's case they can claim that the vast majority of the population in regions they have annexed till now are Russian-speaking. The same is not true with Kuban. Less than 0.1% of the population there speak Ukrainian. And obviously everyone will be a fascist if they disagree with what you are saying. ROFL.

You stupid hindu, the Kuban was the territory of Ukraine, and there for a long time, until the russians eradicated it, they spoke Ukrainian and wore embroidered shirts, such a national shirt.
The film "Cтpяпyxa", the 60s, it all is shown there. https://www.kinopoisk.ru/film/44014/

[pooya87]

Hahaha! That's a funny quote. But I'm only speaking out of what I've read from history books. Perhaps in times of peace, being of friend of the the United Stares is fatal, but in times of war, it's a friend that you truly need. Those countries have always helped each other during times of war, and I don't believe that will change.

That's even more true in times of war. Take World War 2 for example, the Americans didn't even get involved in it for the first 3 years, and only came in until the Axis showed both capability and will to attack US mainland.
Even during these days where 3 wars are going on (energy, food and the armed conflict in Ukraine) US is seeking its own benefits and is using EU (the "friends") instead of helping them. They sometimes even use them as cannon fodder like Australia and Taiwan against China, South Korean against North Korea, etc.