Germans are looking to firewood for energy as natural gas prices soar

[Sithara007]

Georgians aren't pro-Russians but the problem is that there are so many migrants from Russia to Georgia that are settling down that soon probably they'll be the majority in this tiny country

I would say that Georgia is a pro EU country. I think that Germany is very popular destination for Georgians and I know some German companies who hired Georgian staff and operate from there. I have spent a month or two in the capital of Georgia and I have a good hopes, older generation very much likes people from EU and America too, young generation pretty much wants it to be a country like EU.
That's what I can say from my experience, hope someone will confirm this who has been in Georgia.

Btw Germany isn't in terrible situation right now. Recently I was in Ireland and returned in Germany, food prices are still good, it's hot in gyms, stores, etc. I'm in Bavaria and can't say that anyone is really worried. People work like before and life continues on. Oh, and no oil problems in supermarkts too, I'll update you guys with the prices on Monday

Georgia is a country of 5 million people, and a few thousand Russians are not going to change the ethnic composition in a big way.

And now coming to Germany, the government has already announced that they will subsidize the gas prices for its citizens. I don't think that they will extend that support to the industrial units, but the population should be happy with what they get. LNG deliveries from US and Qatar has also picked up pace, and there should not be a severe shortfall in gas during the summer. But the long-term stability is still in doubt. And the government won't be able to spend hundreds of billions of Euros to subsidize gas every year.

[DrBeer]

Azerbaijan ships in large quantities of pipeline gas to the EU, and the pipeline goes through Georgia. And back in 2008, there was a conflict between Russia and Georgia. Since the current regime in Georgia is not very hostile to Russia, the chances are very low. But still I won't rule out the possibilities. Nigeria and the Maghreb countries (especially Algeria) are also important sources of gas to the EU, and these countries are politically very volatile. Only stable suppliers are United States, Qatar and Australia.

Exactly, all the alternative sources they have are too risky and unstable. Georgia itself is a complicated situation that at least 3 fractions are fighting each other over power, some are pro-Russia so obviously they will want to prevent such export to EU.

Speaking of Azerbaijan, things are heating up in somewhat of a media blackout. Our armed forces already crossed Aras river while all of a sudden some people in Nakhchivan declared they want to rejoin the motherland.
After the 10-day straight bombardment of the terrorist bases in Northern Iraq the crosshair is now on Baku. We have to wait and see what that leads to.

Any attempts at terrorist attacks (read - Russian) will lead to the inclusion, full-fledged, of the Turkish army. Although Erdogan is trying to play both sides, he will not miss the slightest chance to show Russia its real place in this region. Probably you will not deny that after Russia, having once again pushed the short-sighted Armenia to the conflict, having heard the statement of Turkey, cowardly put its tail between its legs and ran away from the battlefield. Leaving the unfortunate Armenians to die under the blows of the Turkish-Azerbaijani group. The only thing that Russia can try to do is to incite Iran, with its inadequate regime, which is now conducting exercises near the borders with Azerbaijan, to start a conflict there.
Russia will try its favorite methods to prevent alternative gas supplies to the EU. So it will be necessary to expect new terrorist attacks.

[Synchronice]

Georgia is a country of 5 million people, and a few thousand Russians are not going to change the ethnic composition in a big way.

Well, just googled and it says 3,714 Millionen so? And officially, thousands of Russians are passing the borders of Georgia since the beginning of war. I have a friend in Tbilisi who says that almost everywhere you hear Russian language and they are truly a lot in the country. Officially, more than 1 Million Russians passed the borders of Georgia. That can be a problem you know in country with 3.5 million population right? These Russians can say that they are experiencing racism, disintegration, etc and ask Russia for "help" and you know it's enough for Russia to start another conflict.

[pooya87]

Any attempts at terrorist attacks (read - Russian) will lead to the inclusion, full-fledged, of the Turkish army.

Turkey can not afford to enter any war considering how it is surrounded on all sides by conflicts ready to explode. From Greece that is being armed to the teeth to fight Turkey to the Resistance on the entire southern Turkish border ready to burn Turkey for its war crimes in their countries. They can't afford to get involved in another conflict in the North with Russia.
Not to mention that the ~90% inflation that Turkey has been experiencing has crippled the economy and has increased public unrest. If they are stupid enough to enter a war, it would push the country over the edge for a civil war inside Turkey where Turkish people would attempt another coup to remove Erdogan but this time Iran won't save him like last time.

Probably you will not deny that after Russia, having once again pushed the short-sighted Armenia to the conflict,

That is nonsense. It is Azerbaijan that started attacking Armenia and is trying to wipe it out from the maps not the other way around.

with its inadequate regime,

Was that supposed to be an insult? LOL

which is now conducting exercises near the borders with Azerbaijan, to start a conflict there.

The forces already crossed the border and the recent announcement by the foreign minister (Armenia's security is going to be ensured by Iran) put an end to any possibility of Azerbaijan's terrorist attack on Armenia.

P.S. I really wish the idiots in Baku are stupid enough to attempt something. The trigger fingers are itching to take back our occupied cities like Aran and cleanse it from terrorists including but not limited to ISIS and Zionists.

[Sithara007]

The forces already crossed the border and the recent announcement by the foreign minister (Armenia's security is going to be ensured by Iran) put an end to any possibility of Azerbaijan's terrorist attack on Armenia.

P.S. I really wish the idiots in Baku are stupid enough to attempt something. The trigger fingers are itching to take back our occupied cities like Aran and cleanse it from terrorists including but not limited to ISIS and Zionists.

Two years ago, I read somewhere that Iran had offered to send peacekeepers to Karabakh region, but the pro-US Armenian regime under Pashinyan rejected it. If they had accepted the offer back then, they could have still controlled most of the disputed region. Iranian peacekeepers could have ensured the status quo during the conflict, unlike the Russians who decided to sit back and watch while Azeri troops over-ran most of the region. For Armenia, Iran is much more reliable as an ally when compared to Russia.

[pooya87]

Two years ago, I read somewhere that Iran had offered to send peacekeepers to Karabakh region, but the pro-US Armenian regime under Pashinyan rejected it. If they had accepted the offer back then, they could have still controlled most of the disputed region. Iranian peacekeepers could have ensured the status quo during the conflict, unlike the Russians who decided to sit back and watch while Azeri troops over-ran most of the region. For Armenia, Iran is much more reliable as an ally when compared to Russia.

The problem is exactly Pashinyan himself. After the recent attacks he was about to sign off on part of Armenia and hand it over to Azerbaijan without any resistance!!! There was a mass protest and people were about to enter the ministry to physically remove him so he was forced to step back from that plan. Pelosi's visit was exactly because of that (after the plan failed).

Turns out Iran's military needed to cross Aras river for the consulate (basically the same as peacekeepers) to be opened inside Kapan despite Pashinyan resistance. The officials already told him that they won't accept any border changes regardless of who agrees on what.

[bboyz]

Azerbaijan ships in large quantities of pipeline gas to the EU, and the pipeline goes through Georgia. And back in 2008, there was a conflict between Russia and Georgia. Since the current regime in Georgia is not very hostile to Russia, the chances are very low. But still I won't rule out the possibilities. Nigeria and the Maghreb countries (especially Algeria) are also important sources of gas to the EU, and these countries are politically very volatile. Only stable suppliers are United States, Qatar and Australia.

Exactly, all the alternative sources they have are too risky and unstable. Georgia itself is a complicated situation that at least 3 fractions are fighting each other over power, some are pro-Russia so obviously they will want to prevent such export to EU.

Speaking of Azerbaijan, things are heating up in somewhat of a media blackout. Our armed forces already crossed Aras river while all of a sudden some people in Nakhchivan declared they want to rejoin the motherland.
After the 10-day straight bombardment of the terrorist bases in Northern Iraq the crosshair is now on Baku. We have to wait and see what that leads to.

Any attempts at terrorist attacks (read - Russian) will lead to the inclusion, full-fledged, of the Turkish army. Although Erdogan is trying to play both sides, he will not miss the slightest chance to show Russia its real place in this region. Probably you will not deny that after Russia, having once again pushed the short-sighted Armenia to the conflict, having heard the statement of Turkey, cowardly put its tail between its legs and ran away from the battlefield. Leaving the unfortunate Armenians to die under the blows of the Turkish-Azerbaijani group. The only thing that Russia can try to do is to incite Iran, with its inadequate regime, which is now conducting exercises near the borders with Azerbaijan, to start a conflict there.
Russia will try its favorite methods to prevent alternative gas supplies to the EU. So it will be necessary to expect new terrorist attacks.

You have summed up the subject wonderfully with an unbiased observation.

When I take the map in my hand, I see that Greece in the west [1], Armenia in the east, and the PKK/YPG terrorist organization in the south [2] are armed against us. Thank God we have the Black Sea in our north. We are indeed in the firing line, but we are on the verge of a process that we can overcome.

However, instead of living this relentless struggle, we should have increased the welfare of our peoples by making economic cooperation. Today, about 50 thousand poor people of Armenia are working illegally in Turkey [3]. The Armenian government should try to create an environment of peace in the region instead of leaving its people to starvation by implementing irrational and aggressive policies. Although our skin colors and languages are different, we are all children of this ancient geography. We have lived together for centuries, we can do it again.

If they don't read well the motives of those who came here from across the ocean and gave them weapons, they will continue to suffer. I hope what happened to Armenia will be a good lesson for others. The moment the forces beyond the ocean retreat from their backs, it is the moment they are caught in the void.

[1] https://www.telesurenglish.net/news/Turkiye-Accuses-Greece-of-Transferring-Weapons-to-Islands--20220925-0014.html
[2] https://www.dailysabah.com/politics/war-on-terror/despite-turkeys-concerns-us-provides-2b-support-to-ypg-terrorists
[3] https://www.gazetevatan.com/gundem/oluruz-de-gitmeyiz-294487

[DrBeer]

Azerbaijan ships in large quantities of pipeline gas to the EU, and the pipeline goes through Georgia. And back in 2008, there was a conflict between Russia and Georgia. Since the current regime in Georgia is not very hostile to Russia, the chances are very low. But still I won't rule out the possibilities. Nigeria and the Maghreb countries (especially Algeria) are also important sources of gas to the EU, and these countries are politically very volatile. Only stable suppliers are United States, Qatar and Australia.

Exactly, all the alternative sources they have are too risky and unstable. Georgia itself is a complicated situation that at least 3 fractions are fighting each other over power, some are pro-Russia so obviously they will want to prevent such export to EU.

Speaking of Azerbaijan, things are heating up in somewhat of a media blackout. Our armed forces already crossed Aras river while all of a sudden some people in Nakhchivan declared they want to rejoin the motherland.
After the 10-day straight bombardment of the terrorist bases in Northern Iraq the crosshair is now on Baku. We have to wait and see what that leads to.

Any attempts at terrorist attacks (read - Russian) will lead to the inclusion, full-fledged, of the Turkish army. Although Erdogan is trying to play both sides, he will not miss the slightest chance to show Russia its real place in this region. Probably you will not deny that after Russia, having once again pushed the short-sighted Armenia to the conflict, having heard the statement of Turkey, cowardly put its tail between its legs and ran away from the battlefield. Leaving the unfortunate Armenians to die under the blows of the Turkish-Azerbaijani group. The only thing that Russia can try to do is to incite Iran, with its inadequate regime, which is now conducting exercises near the borders with Azerbaijan, to start a conflict there.
Russia will try its favorite methods to prevent alternative gas supplies to the EU. So it will be necessary to expect new terrorist attacks.

You have summed up the subject wonderfully with an unbiased observation.

When I take the map in my hand, I see that Greece in the west [1], Armenia in the east, and the PKK/YPG terrorist organization in the south [2] are armed against us. Thank God we have the Black Sea in our north. We are indeed in the firing line, but we are on the verge of a process that we can overcome.

However, instead of living this relentless struggle, we should have increased the welfare of our peoples by making economic cooperation. Today, about 50 thousand poor people of Armenia are working illegally in Turkey [3]. The Armenian government should try to create an environment of peace in the region instead of leaving its people to starvation by implementing irrational and aggressive policies. Although our skin colors and languages are different, we are all children of this ancient geography. We have lived together for centuries, we can do it again.

If they don't read well the motives of those who came here from across the ocean and gave them weapons, they will continue to suffer. I hope what happened to Armenia will be a good lesson for others. The moment the forces beyond the ocean retreat from their backs, it is the moment they are caught in the void.

[1] https://www.telesurenglish.net/news/Turkiye-Accuses-Greece-of-Transferring-Weapons-to-Islands--20220925-0014.html
[2] https://www.dailysabah.com/politics/war-on-terror/despite-turkeys-concerns-us-provides-2b-support-to-ypg-terrorists
[3] https://www.gazetevatan.com/gundem/oluruz-de-gitmeyiz-294487

I am sure you know the background of the Armenian-Azerbaijani conflict. Who there acted as an "accelerator" of the conflict, and then allegedly acted as a "peacemaker", deliberately creating another zone of tension in the east. Russia. It was Russia that staged, provoked, and by proxy arranged the massacre of the two peoples. Again, making a stuffing about "original territories", "historical justice". This is the policy of Russia - destabilization wherever possible, if someone wants to leave the sphere of influence of Russia, as, for example, Azerbaijan did hotle.
But, Russia has opened a "pandora's box" for itself - now many peoples enslaved by Muscovy / Russia will remember their history, their ancestral territories, and sooner or later Russia will "tear" into many independent states ...

[Sithara007]

The problem is exactly Pashinyan himself. After the recent attacks he was about to sign off on part of Armenia and hand it over to Azerbaijan without any resistance!!! There was a mass protest and people were about to enter the ministry to physically remove him so he was forced to step back from that plan. Pelosi's visit was exactly because of that (after the plan failed).

Turns out Iran's military needed to cross Aras river for the consulate (basically the same as peacekeepers) to be opened inside Kapan despite Pashinyan resistance. The officials already told him that they won't accept any border changes regardless of who agrees on what.

Nikol Pashinyan has been a disaster for Armenia. He seized power by toppling the government led by Serzh Sargsyan during the "velvet revolution". Pashinyan wanted Armenia to move away from the Russian-Iranian zone of influence and align with the NATO. And this move backfired, as the Americans refused to help him when Azerbaijan invaded Karabakh with the help from Turkey. What surprises me is that Pashinyan still remains in power. In any other country, he would have been overthrown immediately after the military defeat and tried for high treason.

[DrBeer]

Any attempts at terrorist attacks (read - Russian) will lead to the inclusion, full-fledged, of the Turkish army.

Turkey can not afford to enter any war considering how it is surrounded on all sides by conflicts ready to explode. From Greece that is being armed to the teeth to fight Turkey to the Resistance on the entire southern Turkish border ready to burn Turkey for its war crimes in their countries. They can't afford to get involved in another conflict in the North with Russia.
Not to mention that the ~90% inflation that Turkey has been experiencing has crippled the economy and has increased public unrest. If they are stupid enough to enter a war, it would push the country over the edge for a civil war inside Turkey where Turkish people would attempt another coup to remove Erdogan but this time Iran won't save him like last time.

Probably you will not deny that after Russia, having once again pushed the short-sighted Armenia to the conflict,

That is nonsense. It is Azerbaijan that started attacking Armenia and is trying to wipe it out from the maps not the other way around.

with its inadequate regime,

Was that supposed to be an insult? LOL

which is now conducting exercises near the borders with Azerbaijan, to start a conflict there.

The forces already crossed the border and the recent announcement by the foreign minister (Armenia's security is going to be ensured by Iran) put an end to any possibility of Azerbaijan's terrorist attack on Armenia.

P.S. I really wish the idiots in Baku are stupid enough to attempt something. The trigger fingers are itching to take back our occupied cities like Aran and cleanse it from terrorists including but not limited to ISIS and Zionists.

The Turkish army, in this region, is currently the strongest army. Iran can say a lot, but no more than that. Iran can only partially destabilize the situation in the area where Azerbaijan is restoring its historical, legal borders from the occupying troops of Armenia. The reason is the cowardly flight of Russia, and the desire to "revenge", but out of habit is cowardly. You just remember - at the beginning of the last conflict, how at the beginning Russia heroically told Azerbaijan what to do and what to say, and after Turkey officially declared its full support for Azerbaijan, Russia stuck its tongue up its ass and quietly retired, leaving the Armenian clown alone with the problem
And the topic of hostilities against the Armenian / Russian invaders of friendly Azerbaijan will be a good solution to the inflation you indicated.
About Greece - no need, it causes nothing but a smirk of regret


"this is nonsense. It was Azerbaijan that began to attack Armenia and is trying to wipe it off the face of the earth, and not vice versa." - Well, I'm not surprised at all, another INTENTIONAL lie. Think back to 1991-1994. Russia pushed Armenia to the conflict, developing a favorite theme on the national theme. Allegedly, some Azerbaijani regions, where ethnic Armenians densely lived, were "cesspools" without rights and opportunities. It was Russia that pushed and helped Armenia at the beginning of this conflict. Even officially it is easy to check. So what about nonsense - you tell yourself in front of the mirror

"Is that supposed to be an insult? I CAN'T RJU" - come on, stop making it up! What insult? The pure truth, so to speak, a statement of fact

About Iran - yes, I wrote above - I completely agree, crazy Iran has replaced cowardly Russia. But the result will be the same - defeat and cowardly flight. Moreover, now Iran is brewing new problems in connection with the support of the international terrorist Russia, by providing technical assistance to the "second army of the world", which was able to beg drones from Iran

[Wind_FURY]

A friend texted my that the German government has given the approval to tear down a Wind Farm to build an expansion for a coal mine. The country's government is distressed in looking for energy alternatives because it's going to be winter, and also to remove their reliance on Russian Gas and/or Oil.

I believe oil prices will also increase again if Iran's threat to attack Saudi Arabian oil facilities actually become true. They are currently in high alert in the Middle East.

[pooya87]

I believe oil prices will also increase again if Iran's threat to attack Saudi Arabian oil facilities actually become true. They are currently in high alert in the Middle East.

Such an open attack with a pre-warning is highly unlikely in my personal opinion.
It was more like a warning to force Saudi regime to stop its support of terrorism and shut down its London based media outlet that has been organizing terrorism inside Iran.

More likely scenario is going to be an attack on Saudi energy facilities in at least a month from now by Yemenis whom Saudi regime is already at war with. Just like last time when "they" attacked Aramco and reduced Saudi output by more than half

[Wind_FURY]

I believe oil prices will also increase again if Iran's threat to attack Saudi Arabian oil facilities actually become true. They are currently in high alert in the Middle East.

Such an open attack with a pre-warning is highly unlikely in my personal opinion.
It was more like a warning to force Saudi regime to stop its support of terrorism and shut down its London based media outlet that has been organizing terrorism inside Iran.

More likely scenario is going to be an attack on Saudi energy facilities in at least a month from now by Yemenis whom Saudi regime is already at war with. Just like last time when "they" attacked Aramco and reduced Saudi output by more than half

I believe it wasn't a pre-warning. It was actual intelligence reports gathered by U.S. spies/CIA and their Saudi Arabian assets, and possibly Mossad. OR, it's another Saudi Arabian oil price "manipulation scheme" again, planned and worked with bribed CIA agents. They will find different reasons to lower supply/production, and make the price surge back to above $100 again.

[pooya87]

I believe it wasn't a pre-warning. It was actual intelligence reports gathered by U.S. spies/CIA and their Saudi Arabian assets, and possibly Mossad.

They must have done a very hard work of googling the intelligence

Multiple Iranian military officials including the commander of armed forces have literary spoken on national television and the news have been on all official news outlets in both Farsi and English where they directly threaten Saudi regime to shut down its terrorism campaign.
Not to mention that the first warning came right after the 10-day bombardment of terrorist positions in Northern Iraq which is occupied by separatists. Some of these terrorist groups are backed by Saudi regime.