Hey, what do you know, 100 days!
10[edit]0k,buwaytress,100,1360,2025-11-04
Congrats on 100 days.
Various markers along the way can be helpful in terms of feeling progress.. and even a data set to look at in order that you can see how things are going if you, on a personal level, might be moving upwards, downwards or sideways.
As far as the group goes, we have this table, so we can see an ongoing movement of the pushup totals in an upward direction.
I get a lot of joint pain, too.
You think that $100k might not hold?
And even if it does not hold, I think that we would have to go below $85k before I might start to consider that the top is in for this cycle.. and yeah, 4 years is a long time to wait for another top. Even this particular top did not feel overly high, but there still might be some additional leverage that needs to get flushed from the system. Perhaps?
Maybe we have to keep pushing, just to try to give some assurance (support) that we do not go below $100k? Doing pushups will not guarantee that sub $100k won't be visited, but it could be helpful. Perhaps?
Even though many of us were starting to feel quite good about our recent BTC prices largely bouncing between $110k and $120k for quite a while (even since early May-ish we have been above $100K), there was no guarantee that $100k or even sub-$100k might not get re-tested, at some point.
Sometimes I feel like this pain is already part of my life, almost like the numbness in my wrist is almost forgotten, until I try to hold a cup and it slips. Even typing with a few fingers has become second nature!
Many times when we are younger we would have had been experiencing ongoing growth, a sense of strength and even maybe taking for granted a sense of immortality.
So then as the years go on, we might experience more and more aging issues and/or maybe losses in functionality or inabilities to get back some of the functionality that we had in our youth - and some of the deterioration is more severe than others or maybe just gradual.. and we might not exactly notice sudden changes so then we end up adapting to something that might be difficult (or perhaps impossible) to get back to earlier functionality. So, in that sense we might not be so conscious and/or aware of what we have until we lose it.
Yeah I didn't think it would hold 5 days ago, and it really looks weak now. Just feels, emotions, nothing solid to back it up other than that this period of lengthened 100k+ has now been going on for longer than any of us thought.
There sure can be a lot of challenge to overcome when a downity momentum starts, and momentum will frequently build upon itself - yet I try to not to get too distracted by sentiment, perceptions of sentiment or even some of the exaggerated nonsense that may or may not play out - and surely there can be fake outs and back and forth with sentiment, including that if there is any existing way to grasp on some narrative (such as the bull run is over blah blah blah) then those kinds of sentiments will be played towards their max and even amplified in various ways to attempt to manifest such proclamations into reality.. and so the manifestation into reality may or may not end up happening, even though there can be some temporary effects that are real and meaningful.. such as a 20% drop in price that snowballs into a 30% drop in price and whether we are actually in bear season or not, it surely seems premature . and surely there is a sense that anyone who does end up dumping, they are advantaged by dumping first, but they still might not know when to buy back and they may well end up getting greedy, even if they had happened to dump earlier than others.
I personally feel much better to be buying on the way down and selling on the way up, even though the amounts of my selling on the way up tend to be quite small - such as around 2% for every doubling of the price, even though I had been authorizing myself to sell up to 10% of my stash for every doubling.. I tend to not be able to come even close to being able to sell 10% for every doubling.. and surely I do not recommend anyone sell any of their bitcoin until they have reached an overaccumulation status.. (accordingly I don't agree with trading or selling in order to buy back lower).
so each person has to figure out how to assess the extent to which he may have reached overraccumulation status and if he has come to such conclusion about his own stash, then to figure out what reaching overaccumulation status allows him to be able to do that he had not been able to do prior to reaching such status.. such as being able to sell on the way up and things like that, whereby prior to reaching overaccumulation status, he might have ONLY been able to ongoingly buy and not sell any bitcoin (except maybe spend and replace type scenarios).
Agree 85k would be the one distance that tells me it really is over.
I doubt that we are able to proclaim high levels of certainty that "it really is over," based on just one or two indicators, even though it is likely that certain indicators will support other indicators and allow us to attempt to meaningfully assess the context and the extent to which real factors might have changed versus if we might just be in a process of being manipulated.
And, yeah, sometimes it might be "over," yet we do not realize that it is over until it is already too late to do anything about it, which is one of the reasons to attempt to be ahead of the game in terms of what we are doing and why we are doing it rather than reacting to indicators that may or may not be as solid as they seem to be on the surface.
By the way, if you might recall in the second downtrend of the 2021 market that brought us into 2022, there was no real reason that the run of that year had to be over based on mere technicalities and price movements, and it may not have had been clear how much froth and even corruption that there was in the system until right around April/May 2022 when the Terra/Luna liquidity event took place that then subsequently contributed to a cascade of other crashes to see how much leverage was within the system and even the faking of the bitcoin supply that was held by various 3rd parties - including that there were multiple claims on the same bitcoin that were not able to be covered up when the claims for the bitcoin were being made.
Of course, there might have had been some folkls with better information than others in regards to the extent of the then existing froth - yet a lot of that information did not really clearly come out until more and more time passed and until the BTC price dropped more and more that ended up causing the flushing out of the frauds and the fakes, and SBF ended up being one of the BIGGEST frauds, partly based on how revered he was and even his various ongoing offers to buy out the other exchanges and/or third party custodians that were caught in a situation in which they did not have even close to the amount of bitcoin that they claimed to have had.. and some of those did not have the bitcoin because they had lent it to others for "yield," and there was a daisying of the yield upon yield upon yield that contributed toward difficulties to get the supposedly "locked up" bitcoin back prior the subsequent implosions that ended up taking place "out of surprise." Some of us were ONLY saved from being damaged because we did not use those then "scammy" yield products and/or we just kept an overwhelming majority of our coins in our own self custody, since even some of the folks who were not using those yield products still got sucked into being damaged by the cascading liquidations of a lot of the third-parties who were overly employing risk and were likely not engaged in enough due dilegence when they were either using and/or offering those various yield products.
Then I expect the old ATH of 61k to be broken, as the cycle starts anew (in whatever form or shape a cycle might look like now).
Hopefully you are not trying to trade those kinds of ideas of yours, since they sound like gambles rather than any kinds of scenarios that have high chances of playing out, even if you are considering them as your base case scenario... and geez that is a bit of a pessimistic base case set of expectations, even though sure it is possible that some variation of that could end up happening.
By the way, your $61k is not a correct number.
The high for the 2021 cycle was $69k... so I am not sure if that affects your numbers, but you should try to use more accurate numbers, especially if you might be tailoring any of your actual actions in the ballpark of such numbers.
I had been willing to bet anyone that sub $80k would never happen again, yet now that it appears that we are imminently (and currently) testing $100k, I would still be willing to bet that sub $70k will never, ever happen again, if you (or anyone else with bearish expectatiouns) would be willing to take the other side of such bet.
I had also recently entered into a bet that the ATH is not yet in for this cycle, and I am a little worried right now to enter new bets for that particular proposition, even though I still consider that the odds are still higher than 50% that the high for this cycle is not in, since I doubt that we are "officially" in a bear market until we were to get to around $85k or perhaps below $85k.. which means that if we are in a bull market, then the odds for up are greater than the odds for down.. at least in the longer term, even if we cannot really know for sure or have confidence in regards to the depth of our current correction, which is another reason that I don't trade (or claim to trade) even though I may well be willing to enter into a bet here and there.. at various points along the way.
The pushups are a great psychological way to keep pushing... literally and metaphorically. Glad I joined when I did =)
It is great to have some pushups under the belt - even though it can take some time to get into the habit of doing the pushups on a daily basis (or some other regular basis that works for your schedule).
With the current fall of Bitcoin price doesn't show if the remaining month to end this year 2025 will be better than this month because it we have been seeing more of the red than the green and from how things are going it might drop to $99k below, can this month still kick up to anything close to the ATH? Was jogging today and was still thinking how would the remaining of November be, like the previous month or something different in a positive way...
10[edit]0k,Sexylizzy2813,176,38040,2025-11-04
Personally, I doubt that it is healthy to prepare yourself either financially or psychologically upon expectations of what bitcoin may or may not do in month-long increments. But, hey, you do you. I know you like to get caught up upon short-term predictions and even sometimes structuring your actions around such short-term expectations.
By the way, when we are in the midst of a bunch of dumping and resultant price movements that reflect in such ongoing dumpings, it can be difficult to figure out the bottom, or to know when the bottom is in... or even to have any clue if there will be a bounce back recovery or if we might get caught into a long consolidation rather than bouncing back relatively quickly... I am not going to proclaim to know, even though I will repeat my oft recommendation that each of us should attempt to sufficiently/adequately prepare ourselves for either price direction as best as we can. It is not healthy to just be prepared for one price direction that may or may not end up happening.
[edited out]
I guess this is a good time to buy more bitcoin, nothing is sure we may see another all time high before december ending this year it may not also come but the price will go up before ending. The remaining weeks those who hold bitcoin should be more if they can bitcoin price might skyrocket from new year.
I have not be serious with my modified push up am not doing it every day but i know it time it will get use to me.
10[edit]0k,Female king,10,238,2025-11-04.
I think that some of us try to combine the idea of daily (or at least regular) pushups with the focusing on bitcoin as an investment (not as a trade) as a kind of reinforcement mechanism in which each of the activities are able to reinforce the other.. and hopefully regularly doing the activities in each of the areas (the pushups and the focus on bitcoin) end up bringing us benefits in connection with both angles of attack.
I previously said I didn't think Bitcoin would fall below 100,000 these days.
I've seen these days that this prediction is flawed, and I probably will be. There's been an interest rate cut, and relations between China and the US have improved, but Bitcoin continues to fall.
Moving on to push-ups, I did 100 push-ups today and am adding them to my report. Tomorrow, I'll go to the gym and continue practicing handstands, which will be shoulder day.
10[edit]0k,l99l,155,16770,2025-10-04
Sometimes, such as now, there may be no indication on the surface that justify bitcoin's ongoing price correction and sometimes there might be short-term correlation with various other macro happenings (general direction of the market), yet even short-term correlation might not explain very well what is happening, since there could be something else going on that has not yet been fleshed out in the market, or maybe the actual situation ends up being a bit of a fake out.
Right now, I get the sense that there is a bit of a desire to try to take advantage of some of the sentiment that the bull cycle might be over, so there ends up being more exaggerated dumping to attempt to reinforce that negative belief about bitcoin's price and/or the current state of the market (cycle) (whether the sentiments end up being correct or not).
[edited out]
I think it won't happen for us to see a new ATH this year judging by how poor the market movement has been since last two months, that alone should discourage many to conclude that they have lost everything which I sometimes find it funny. Bitcoin will drop but when is time to skyrocket the smiles will be massive but at the same time let's take it the way we have it and the hope of seeing a new ATH should be less I mean for this year, for now the buying should be more because something big is about to happen and I'm not expecting that next month, from next year.
So you believe that there is no more ATH for this year.. and even extending into next year, the first or second quarter of 2026?
Unless we spend at least a week below $95k, I still think that we are in a bull market, so the odds are at least slightly more than 50% (such as 51%) that the ATH is not yet in.. whether we are referring to this calendar year or extending into the 1st and/or second quarter of 2026.
Poll
