It's early to talk about a road to 100,000$, but right now there might be road to 60,000$. Between highs and lows, Bitcoin is displaying a positive tendency on the last 24 hours. Support level seems to be increasing progressively, reaching new highs each new little dump along the day. Now Bitcoin has to recover the 59,000$ mark and get stable around that price, holding on against all the charges launched by the bears. Once Germany gets rid of their coins, things might start improving here, as it will be one less dumper to worry about.
You are obviously forgetting how volatile Bitcoin can be. Just one good positive news will send the price to the target of $100,000. I feel you are having a very short term view of Bitcoin because I believe that the later part of the year will be great for Bitcoin. If you had this thought too, you will not doubt the possibility of $100k.
Talking about $60k as target, that is just an hour movement for Bitcoin and it will be crushed. I have the strong feeling that $100k will be a possibility soon as we move towards September. My reason is the fact that despite the sells by German government, the price has recovered significantly within a short period meaning that the willingness of price to go higher is very strong. Even the combined effect of the news of Mt.Gox refund which was negative for Bitcoin still affected Bitcoin price yet it manages to recover to a great deal.