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[memehunter]

I wanted to ask, what will happen if there is a tie? Is there a tie-breaker rule for that? Like determining the winner based on the submission time: the first submission wins!

Thanks for asking a valid question. Yes, in case of a tie, the first submission will be placed higher. I will update this on the thread as well. On a lighter note, it is very rare to have a tie in a prediction contest but yeah you are right the possibility is there especially when someone just copy-pasted the previous post and gets lucky  .
Thanks once again for proactively engaging in the contest-related discussion to make it more fair and transparent.

Here you go;

- In case of a tie, the first submission will be placed higher.

[Beparanf]

It’s 0.2$ which is a 1000$ profit for a x5000 multiplier. I manage to hit it before from one shot bonus buy on nolimit city that cost me 18$ for a 0.2$ base bet bonus buy.

I manage to hit 1000$+ profit which is so big already given the fact that I’m already playing using a small bankroll coming from the contest rewards.

Only on slot games you can win something significant using small bankroll.

We cant say it in general because there are some other games where we have chance to win big with small bankroll (of course luck is needed).
The games I'm referring to is Mines (up to 5million X multiplier), Crash (various depending on the casino or provider), Limbo (usually 1 million X), and lottery.
The good thing in slot is that there is a chance to win various multiplier in single bet while in above mentioned game, we can only have 1 fixed target which means that if we do not hit the target = losing bet.

You’re totally right, I forgot about those house games since I rarely play them these days but @bitinity managed to win a huge win out of small bet on plinko.

I saw too other players winning huge amount out of small bet on other house games which I don’t want to try myself due to the difficulty on hitting that.

At least on slot you are getting something in return if you don’t hit the max win.

[condoras]

Thanks for asking a valid question. Yes, in case of a tie, the first submission will be placed higher. I will update this on the thread as well. On a lighter note, it is very rare to have a tie in a prediction contest but yeah you are right the possibility is there especially when someone just copy-pasted the previous post and gets lucky  .
Thanks once again for proactively engaging in the contest-related discussion to make it more fair and transparent.

It's more than rare to have a tie, but even if it's 1 in a trillion chances might happen. So, better that you correct it, than sorry.

We cant say it in general because there are some other games where we have chance to win big with small bankroll (of course luck is needed).
The games I'm referring to is Mines (up to 5million X multiplier), Crash (various depending on the casino or provider), Limbo (usually 1 million X), and lottery.
The good thing in slot is that there is a chance to win various multiplier in single bet while in above mentioned game, we can only have 1 fixed target which means that if we do not hit the target = losing bet.

As I see it, all of the above games look like a lottery and I don't play on them. I mean, the rewards are bigger than slots, but the chances are far more limited. I prefer to have more chances to win, even if the multipliers are not in such big numbers.

[Obim34]

Here you go;

- In case of a tie, the first submission will be placed higher.

I saw you updated the thread, very good. The possibility of getting a tie is very rare, never seen any. After the snapshot is taken the last three digits are also checked when deciding the winner. I lost first position to another person, my prediction was $105,500 he did $105,555, little digits included or excluded matter when judging the winners.

We cant say it in general because there are some other games where we have chance to win big with small bankroll (of course luck is needed).
The games I'm referring to is Mines (up to 5million X multiplier), Crash (various depending on the casino or provider), Limbo (usually 1 million X), and lottery.
The good thing in slot is that there is a chance to win various multiplier in single bet while in above mentioned game, we can only have 1 fixed target which means that if we do not hit the target = losing bet.

Crash games haven't been my thing, i wonder how people make profits from it. Few times i tried to enjoy the play, have never given me any good multiplier, i cut out as soon as i hit X1.5 or X2. Slots give me more multiplier in a bet, so i hardly want to spend my bankroll playing crash games.

[BABY SHOES]

But I will try to be a sniper at the end when the deadline is near.

I guess this is what most participants will do, including myself, as it seems the most logical thing to do given the short period between the submission deadline and the rice determination date (24 hours).
Good luck to all the participants!

Yeah some people will do that because it makes sense to get the price closest to the snapshot.

At least we are racing to do that, at the last second lol.

Yea, looking at quick movements from the market, 24hrs is enough for the price to move in a different direction but it's going to be more an advantage from 24hrs gap compare to that of 48hrs, seen Bitcoin price moved widely within minutes  , the market is highly influenced in fluctuations.

Look today the market moved faster from the initial $105K to $108K plus that means the fluctuation in the last 24 hours feels quite far for those bitcoin predictors, so they will probably try to do it at the end.
It is clear to me that a 24 hour gap would be more profitable than a 48 hour gap because that is too long.

[khaled0111]

At least we are racing to do that, at the last second lol.

Doesn’t need to be in the last seconds assubmitting the prediction within the last couple of hours should do the trick
I just hope I won’t miss the deadline this time like I usually do with all the other contests!

i wonder how people make profits from it. Few times i tried to enjoy the play, have never given me any good multiplier, i cut out as soon as i hit X1.5 or X2.

Just like any other game, there is s a chance to win, but the chances of losing are higher. Crash players usually bet on low multipliers with high stakes. It’s a bit different from slot games but can’t say you would win more playing slots. Regarding which one is better... I would say: to each their own!

[Bitcoin_Arena]

Ofc it can, but I just take the minimum amount that you can bet and have the possibility to hit a big multiplier. In all gambling areas and games, you can lose the $1k easily in the same time frame...

Done it before when I tried playing high volatility slot games. Didn't win any meaningfully high multiplier, and my account balance was down to zero after very many spins. 

That's true. But you suppose you bet on getting more fun by watching the game, right?

Depending on how tensed up, someone is. Honestly, I prefer just viewing the results of such games

[Obim34]

Yea, looking at quick movements from the market, 24hrs is enough for the price to move in a different direction but it's going to be more an advantage from 24hrs gap compare to that of 48hrs, seen Bitcoin price moved widely within minutes  , the market is highly influenced in fluctuations.

Look today the market moved faster from the initial $105K to $108K plus that means the fluctuation in the last 24 hours feels quite far for those bitcoin predictors, so they will probably try to do it at the end.
It is clear to me that a 24 hour gap would be more profitable than a 48 hour gap because that is too long.

You have to believe  , i have thought about this over and over, it is not a guarantee but very helpful especially when the market is consolidating at a price, with 24hrs you can easily predict accurately in between the prices of other predictors. The price of Bitcoin is currently $109K and showing positive movements, there is a possibility that the price can move up to consolidate above $110K, just my prediction for the contest, i reserve my observations  .

[gunhell16]

It’s 0.2$ which is a 1000$ profit for a x5000 multiplier. I manage to hit it before from one shot bonus buy on nolimit city that cost me 18$ for a 0.2$ base bet bonus buy.

I manage to hit 1000$+ profit which is so big already given the fact that I’m already playing using a small bankroll coming from the contest rewards.

Only on slot games you can win something significant using small bankroll.

We cant say it in general because there are some other games where we have chance to win big with small bankroll (of course luck is needed).
The games I'm referring to is Mines (up to 5million X multiplier), Crash (various depending on the casino or provider), Limbo (usually 1 million X), and lottery.
The good thing in slot is that there is a chance to win various multiplier in single bet while in above mentioned game, we can only have 1 fixed target which means that if we do not hit the target = losing bet.

You’re totally right, I forgot about those house games since I rarely play them these days but @bitinity managed to win a huge win out of small bet on plinko.

I saw too other players winning huge amount out of small bet on other house games which I don’t want to try myself due to the difficulty on hitting that.

At least on slot you are getting something in return if you don’t hit the max win.

It is very difficult to win a big winning amount in plinko I have tried playing these games, and I have never won anything more than 3$, I even told myself that I am very unlucky in these games, then it is very impossible to win a big amount, yes you will win but it is only a small amount for sure most of the time.

Unlike slot games, which are often played in casinos, and I have also experienced winning a small amount a few times, which is the right thing to say, then the chances of winning I can say are at least realistic compared to plinko according to my experience.

[leonair]

Yea, looking at quick movements from the market, 24hrs is enough for the price to move in a different direction but it's going to be more an advantage from 24hrs gap compare to that of 48hrs, seen Bitcoin price moved widely within minutes  , the market is highly influenced in fluctuations.

Look today the market moved faster from the initial $105K to $108K plus that means the fluctuation in the last 24 hours feels quite far for those bitcoin predictors, so they will probably try to do it at the end.
It is clear to me that a 24 hour gap would be more profitable than a 48 hour gap because that is too long.

You have to believe  , i have thought about this over and over, it is not a guarantee but very helpful especially when the market is consolidating at a price, with 24hrs you can easily predict accurately in between the prices of other predictors. The price of Bitcoin is currently $109K and showing positive movements, there is a possibility that the price can move up to consolidate above $110K, just my prediction for the contest, i reserve my observations  .

Your prediction is just a fantasy. But when you actually become an expert person, you will never think about it as if you are taking it easy. An expert person analyzes many things and then makes a prediction about which direction the price is going to move next and by how much. Gambling is basically a game of luck. Many people gamble to test their luck and make different types of predictions. You can make a prediction using this strategy of yours, but it cannot guarantee that it will work completely. So there is nothing to get too excited about your prediction. Just make the prediction and enjoy in relax

[skarais]

~~~

Your prediction is just a fantasy. But when you actually become an expert person, you will never think about it as if you are taking it easy. An expert person analyzes many things and then makes a prediction about which direction the price is going to move next and by how much. Gambling is basically a game of luck. Many people gamble to test their luck and make different types of predictions. You can make a prediction using this strategy of yours, but it cannot guarantee that it will work completely. So there is nothing to get too excited about your prediction. Just make the prediction and enjoy in relax

Everyone can make predictions and share them with the community. The important thing here is, don't take the predictions as advice, but rather use them as a comparison with your own predictions. Others predict for themselves, you and others don't have to believe them because the market can move in any direction. If you think this is a game of luck, then there are really many games that don't need to be analyzed.

I agree that there are many gamblers who try their luck, but in certain games, analysis can help increase your chances of winning. Even in slot games, there are some strategies that are recommended so that you don't rely entirely on luck.

[condoras]

Done it before when I tried playing high volatility slot games. Didn't win any meaningfully high multiplier, and my account balance was down to zero after very many spins. 

Same here and I guess for others as well.

Depending on how tensed up, someone is. Honestly, I prefer just viewing the results of such games

I totally understand it. I have some friends who prefer to bet on a game and don't even see 1 minute. No matter the importance or the rivalry of a game. They simply place their bet, and keep silent and out of reach until the game(s) end. Some others play slots while they hear the game on the radio. I mean, whatever suits you, it's fine.

[Raflesia]

Ofc it can, but I just take the minimum amount that you can bet and have the possibility to hit a big multiplier. In all gambling areas and games, you can lose the $1k easily in the same time frame...

Done it before when I tried playing high volatility slot games. Didn't win any meaningfully high multiplier, and my account balance was down to zero after very many spins. 

This kind of thing can be realized and can be felt by most people and even I also feel the same way where when the small bet is actually the result is better in terms of digging than with a larger bet

Although not all of them are like that but it cannot be denied that sometimes the average always happens and this is like a common thing in gambling especially for slots.
So instead of forcing things like that, I prefer to be at a small bet even if I lose in the end but it is undeniable that at least I don't regret it too much and can play more even though in the end my balance returned to 0 too but it was still enough to make me feel the sensation of gambling that happened.
Now I play slots quite rarely sometimes only play on weekends but it is undeniable that things like you said still happen in the end.

[Beparanf]

It is very difficult to win a big winning amount in plinko I have tried playing these games, and I have never won anything more than 3$, I even told myself that I am very unlucky in these games, then it is very impossible to win a big amount, yes you will win but it is only a small amount for sure most of the time.

Exactly, I it’s painful to watch your balance decreasing slowly while on your screen the ball keep dropping on x0 or the least multiplier on the middle while the best I can get is x3 of my bet amount.

There’s some people that can endure those rocky road until they hit the big but this game is obviously not fit to my style.

Unlike slot games, which are often played in casinos, and I have also experienced winning a small amount a few times, which is the right thing to say, then the chances of winning I can say are at least realistic compared to plinko according to my experience.

In addition, slot games has a better visuals that’s why those dead spin can be easily ignored because we are looking forward on the next result hoping for scatters.

[panjul07]

It is very difficult to win a big winning amount in plinko I have tried playing these games, and I have never won anything more than 3$, I even told myself that I am very unlucky in these games, then it is very impossible to win a big amount, yes you will win but it is only a small amount for sure most of the time.

Unlike slot games, which are often played in casinos, and I have also experienced winning a small amount a few times, which is the right thing to say, then the chances of winning I can say are at least realistic compared to plinko according to my experience.

Is it difficult or is it because you do not play it much? winning $3 should be easy on plinko game even if you play the easy level.
Even if you play it with basebet like $0.1, you can win $3 by hitting easily on high level with less number of pins.
It is not about impossible or not, it is about you are willing to take the risk or not because if you are not willing to take a risk, winning big will be impossible for you.

[Obim34]

Your prediction is just a fantasy. But when you actually become an expert person, you will never think about it as if you are taking it easy. An expert person analyzes many things and then makes a prediction about which direction the price is going to move next and by how much. Gambling is basically a game of luck. Many people gamble to test their luck and make different types of predictions. You can make a prediction using this strategy of yours, but it cannot guarantee that it will work completely. So there is nothing to get too excited about your prediction. Just make the prediction and enjoy in relax

I haven't seen anyone proud of their prediction. If you think the called experts are always correct with their predictions, then for the whole time in prediction contest, we should always see them emerging as winners. I have no trading expertise, no knowledge on how to read graphs and market charts, and i have won some predictions based on speculating in the same approach you consider being fantasy.

The important thing here is, don't take the predictions as advice, but rather use them as a comparison with your own predictions.

Just the right approach.

[ultrloa]

It is very difficult to win a big winning amount in plinko I have tried playing these games, and I have never won anything more than 3$, I even told myself that I am very unlucky in these games, then it is very impossible to win a big amount, yes you will win but it is only a small amount for sure most of the time.

Unlike slot games, which are often played in casinos, and I have also experienced winning a small amount a few times, which is the right thing to say, then the chances of winning I can say are at least realistic compared to plinko according to my experience.

Is it difficult or is it because you do not play it much? winning $3 should be easy on plinko game even if you play the easy level.
Even if you play it with basebet like $0.1, you can win $3 by hitting easily on high level with less number of pins.
It is not about impossible or not, it is about you are willing to take the risk or not because if you are not willing to take a risk, winning big will be impossible for you.

I guess they are just not enjoying what they are playing since they conclude its hard to win something on that game since somehow you will feel that way especially that you expect to win huge but end up nothing.

But I think if its really impossible no one will play plinko since its crazy to think that we are playing on a casino game that give us impossible chances to win big.

Maybe people experience defeat is just unlucky at that time, but who knows maybe next time they can hit huge figures especially if they are extremely lucky.

[jcojci]

It is very difficult to win a big winning amount in plinko I have tried playing these games, and I have never won anything more than 3$, I even told myself that I am very unlucky in these games, then it is very impossible to win a big amount, yes you will win but it is only a small amount for sure most of the time.

Unlike slot games, which are often played in casinos, and I have also experienced winning a small amount a few times, which is the right thing to say, then the chances of winning I can say are at least realistic compared to plinko according to my experience.

Is it difficult or is it because you do not play it much? winning $3 should be easy on plinko game even if you play the easy level.
Even if you play it with basebet like $0.1, you can win $3 by hitting easily on high level with less number of pins.
It is not about impossible or not, it is about you are willing to take the risk or not because if you are not willing to take a risk, winning big will be impossible for you.

I guess they are just not enjoying what they are playing since they conclude its hard to win something on that game since somehow you will feel that way especially that you expect to win huge but end up nothing.

But I think if its really impossible no one will play plinko since its crazy to think that we are playing on a casino game that give us impossible chances to win big.

Maybe people experience defeat is just unlucky at that time, but who knows maybe next time they can hit huge figures especially if they are extremely lucky.

They don't have luck so they lose the money. No matter what gambling games they play, if they don't have luck, the result will be losing their money. But if you are lucky, you will win and have the winnings.

That makes people return to the casino and still gamble because they expecting they will win today. The passion to chase wins will be there. So that is why people always return to casinos. But if they always lose their money, maybe they need to take a break from gambling and not return to the casino for a while.

[Beparanf]

That makes people return to the casino and still gamble because they expecting they will win today. The passion to chase wins will be there. So that is why people always return to casinos. But if they always lose their money, maybe they need to take a break from gambling and not return to the casino for a while.

Casino experience is always winning a day then losing the rest of the week or winning 7 days straight then lose everything on a single day or consecutive loss for a month.

The winning and losing timing is always timing that makes gambler play more.

You’re right that we should take a break when we experience more losses but we should do it too when we are winning the most to protect our profit and avoid being greedy.

[notocactus]

Casino experience is always winning a day then losing the rest of the week or winning 7 days straight then lose everything on a single day or consecutive loss for a month.

The winning and losing timing is always timing that makes gambler play more.

You’re right that we should take a break when we experience more losses but we should do it too when we are winning the most to protect our profit and avoid being greedy.

That explains why with investors, traders and gamblers, your net profit or net loss means all. What you got within a day, in short term, is not too important even if you won too big. What means more and also vital with you is your net profit/ loss in long term. If it is positive, you are in profit and has good ability of maintaining it in long term and you have good wealth too. In contrast, if it is negative, you have loss in long term and your finance possibly was not only damaged but even bankrupted too.

You can have win streak or lose streak but if you have bad capital management, a win streak won neither help you richer nor have better life because with terrible management on your capital, your temporary profit will disappear very quickly and turn to loss after all.