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Author Topic: Does martingale really works?  (Read 123217 times)
deisik
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March 12, 2015, 11:01:09 AM
 #761

i´m a 10 years forex expert
in 1 sentence

martingale does work  Shocked
( conter martingale )

set your profit to around 20 $ daily as equity target and you are fine
you need around 500 $ margin which is fantastic

in casino i hear a report from scientist that you need 170.000 $ to have a 99% chance to win 50 $
which is insane ( + casino has a betting limit so this calculation is nulled )

It is a big difference if you have a 99% chance to win 50$ and lose the same amount (or, say, 500$), or if you can win 50$ with a 99% certainty, but lose 170,000$ in the case lady Luck decides to turn her back on you. A huge difference! Cool

lava-trader
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March 12, 2015, 11:29:56 AM
 #762

i´m a 10 years forex expert
in 1 sentence

martingale does work  Shocked
( conter martingale )

set your profit to around 20 $ daily as equity target and you are fine
you need around 500 $ margin which is fantastic


in casino i hear a report from scientist that you need 170.000 $ to have a 99% chance to win 50 $
which is insane ( + casino has a betting limit so this calculation is nulled )

hope you understand me

Well some btc casinos dont have a limit, are you sure about that tho? Any links to that scientist report?

i dont remember but im sure it was on PRO7 gallileo ( german tv )
deisik
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March 12, 2015, 11:57:36 AM
 #763

i´m a 10 years forex expert
in 1 sentence

martingale does work  Shocked
( conter martingale )

set your profit to around 20 $ daily as equity target and you are fine
you need around 500 $ margin which is fantastic


in casino i hear a report from scientist that you need 170.000 $ to have a 99% chance to win 50 $
which is insane ( + casino has a betting limit so this calculation is nulled )

hope you understand me

Well some btc casinos dont have a limit, are you sure about that tho? Any links to that scientist report?

Could you please name a few? If a casino doesn't impose an upper limit on the wager, they are most likely scams or can just stop your bets where they see fit. Note that the presence of such a limit doesn't necessarily prevent a casino from turning into a scam...

djibrilantiuang
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March 12, 2015, 12:02:01 PM
 #764

martingale clearly not working on gambling,
if anyone here success did martingale let me know,how you did it.

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March 12, 2015, 12:17:19 PM
 #765

Well some btc casinos dont have a limit, are you sure about that tho? Any links to that scientist report?

Could you please name a few? If a casino doesn't impose an upper limit on the wager, they are most likely scams or can just stop your bets where they see fit. Note that the presence of such a limit doesn't necessarily prevent a casino from turning into a scam...

Actually most casinos don't have a limit on a wager, they have a limit on a maximum winnable amount by a player, which is usually up to 1% of casino bankroll (Kelly criterion). The maximum wager for a specific game is then determined according the odds for that game, so the winning cant reach over maximum winnable amount.
steven.G999
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March 12, 2015, 12:21:11 PM
 #766

martingale clearly not working on gambling,
if anyone here success did martingale let me know,how you did it.

work but only in the short term, if it is too long for sure in the end lost
Wendigo
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March 12, 2015, 01:38:58 PM
 #767

To be able to see the server seed means that it's an inside job or some intruder compromised the website and took advantage of the system?
shulio
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March 12, 2015, 01:51:07 PM
 #768

To be able to see the server seed means that it's an inside job or some intruder compromised the website and took advantage of the system?

cant tell for sure if it is an inside job, but it is an intruder compromised, which enable him to few the next rolls, making him able to determine the outcome of the game
cryptworld
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March 12, 2015, 01:54:43 PM
 #769

I have tried some times and I can say I'm in loss with martingale, so it's not for me
deisik
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March 12, 2015, 04:03:18 PM
 #770

To be able to see the server seed means that it's an inside job or some intruder compromised the website and took advantage of the system?

cant tell for sure if it is an inside job, but it is an intruder compromised, which enable him to few the next rolls, making him able to determine the outcome of the game

The pipe dream of the total majority of casino players, feeling yourself a God in a sense. Maybe, this guy arrived from the future to make up for the losses in his past (and then his colleagues followed him in their quest to ruin the casino)... Roll Eyes

Hfleer
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March 12, 2015, 06:17:27 PM
 #771

To be able to see the server seed means that it's an inside job or some intruder compromised the website and took advantage of the system?

cant tell for sure if it is an inside job, but it is an intruder compromised, which enable him to few the next rolls, making him able to determine the outcome of the game

if you know the unhashed seed, you can just change your seed so that you will win every bet. Or you can just alter hi/lo and then win every bet.

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98problems
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March 12, 2015, 06:33:25 PM
 #772

I have tried some times and I can say I'm in loss with martingale, so it's not for me
its better to do all in on 50 % chance as doing martingale makes the house edge bigger when you roll bunch of times. i never use this strategy

Hfleer
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March 12, 2015, 06:45:56 PM
 #773

I have tried some times and I can say I'm in loss with martingale, so it's not for me
its better to do all in on 50 % chance as doing martingale makes the house edge bigger when you roll bunch of times. i never use this strategy

Apparently this is not true. You can actually "lower" the house edge if you bet with a certain strategy other than 50% bet. There was a long discussing on previous pages.

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avw1982
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March 12, 2015, 06:55:04 PM
 #774

Tried it but mostly you will got a very long losing streak .
ranlo
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March 12, 2015, 07:36:23 PM
 #775

I have tried some times and I can say I'm in loss with martingale, so it's not for me
its better to do all in on 50 % chance as doing martingale makes the house edge bigger when you roll bunch of times. i never use this strategy

Apparently this is not true. You can actually "lower" the house edge if you bet with a certain strategy other than 50% bet. There was a long discussing on previous pages.

It's not really lowering the house edge, per se, but rather exploiting the rounding of numbers. Some sites have already fixed that issue, though, and it relies on very specific sets of numbers to work even on those that haven't fixed it. With that said, it's less of a "beating the house" and more of an exploit than anything.

https://nanogames.io/i-bctalk-n/
Message for info on how to get kickbacks on sites like Nano (above) and CryptoPlay!
Hfleer
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March 12, 2015, 07:38:32 PM
 #776

I have tried some times and I can say I'm in loss with martingale, so it's not for me
its better to do all in on 50 % chance as doing martingale makes the house edge bigger when you roll bunch of times. i never use this strategy

Apparently this is not true. You can actually "lower" the house edge if you bet with a certain strategy other than 50% bet. There was a long discussing on previous pages.

It's not really lowering the house edge, per se, but rather exploiting the rounding of numbers. Some sites have already fixed that issue, though, and it relies on very specific sets of numbers to work even on those that haven't fixed it. With that said, it's less of a "beating the house" and more of an exploit than anything.


Oh I see. I thought it had something to do with the fact that you on average reach the goal earlier before wagering all of the 1 BTC and thus incurring less house edge.

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ranlo
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March 12, 2015, 07:40:44 PM
 #777

I have tried some times and I can say I'm in loss with martingale, so it's not for me
its better to do all in on 50 % chance as doing martingale makes the house edge bigger when you roll bunch of times. i never use this strategy

Apparently this is not true. You can actually "lower" the house edge if you bet with a certain strategy other than 50% bet. There was a long discussing on previous pages.

It's not really lowering the house edge, per se, but rather exploiting the rounding of numbers. Some sites have already fixed that issue, though, and it relies on very specific sets of numbers to work even on those that haven't fixed it. With that said, it's less of a "beating the house" and more of an exploit than anything.


Oh I see. I thought it had something to do with the fact that you on average reach the goal earlier before wagering all of the 1 BTC and thus incurring less house edge.

That post I made with all the math I think has to be off. I spent a lot of time thinking about it and I don't see how raising bet amounts (without changing the % chance) could possibly affect the house edge. I just don't know where I went wrong with it...

I guess it's possible that it's correct. It just doesn't make logical sense.

https://nanogames.io/i-bctalk-n/
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Hfleer
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March 12, 2015, 07:45:38 PM
 #778

I have tried some times and I can say I'm in loss with martingale, so it's not for me
its better to do all in on 50 % chance as doing martingale makes the house edge bigger when you roll bunch of times. i never use this strategy

Apparently this is not true. You can actually "lower" the house edge if you bet with a certain strategy other than 50% bet. There was a long discussing on previous pages.

It's not really lowering the house edge, per se, but rather exploiting the rounding of numbers. Some sites have already fixed that issue, though, and it relies on very specific sets of numbers to work even on those that haven't fixed it. With that said, it's less of a "beating the house" and more of an exploit than anything.


Oh I see. I thought it had something to do with the fact that you on average reach the goal earlier before wagering all of the 1 BTC and thus incurring less house edge.

That post I made with all the math I think has to be off. I spent a lot of time thinking about it and I don't see how raising bet amounts (without changing the % chance) could possibly affect the house edge. I just don't know where I went wrong with it...

I guess it's possible that it's correct. It just doesn't make logical sense.

Yes, it boggles my mind too. My explanation made the most sense in my head, but could be dead wrong.

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aliser
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March 12, 2015, 07:46:28 PM
 #779

short and clear, martingale is huge hoax.
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March 12, 2015, 07:47:53 PM
 #780

I have tried some times and I can say I'm in loss with martingale, so it's not for me
its better to do all in on 50 % chance as doing martingale makes the house edge bigger when you roll bunch of times. i never use this strategy

Apparently this is not true. You can actually "lower" the house edge if you bet with a certain strategy other than 50% bet. There was a long discussing on previous pages.

It's not really lowering the house edge, per se, but rather exploiting the rounding of numbers. Some sites have already fixed that issue, though, and it relies on very specific sets of numbers to work even on those that haven't fixed it. With that said, it's less of a "beating the house" and more of an exploit than anything.


Oh I see. I thought it had something to do with the fact that you on average reach the goal earlier before wagering all of the 1 BTC and thus incurring less house edge.

That post I made with all the math I think has to be off. I spent a lot of time thinking about it and I don't see how raising bet amounts (without changing the % chance) could possibly affect the house edge. I just don't know where I went wrong with it...

I guess it's possible that it's correct. It just doesn't make logical sense.

Yes, it boggles my mind too. My explanation made the most sense in my head, but could be dead wrong.

I'll probably need to get in touch with Dooglus and see his opinion on this. He's pretty solid when it comes to figuring these things out and if he has time, should be able to see what's wrong.

https://nanogames.io/i-bctalk-n/
Message for info on how to get kickbacks on sites like Nano (above) and CryptoPlay!
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