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[DarkDays]

Absolutely bonkers high roller board today! Almost a full sheet of green!

Congratulations to all the higher rollers who made it on the board in green today.



Special congratulations to the [Hidden] user, who racked up some incredible bets in Roulette, including one 0.8 LTC to 20.8 LTC bet!

[1714749665]

1714749665

[1714749665]

1714749665

[1714749665]

1714749665

[1714749665]

1714749665

[perfect999]

~

Because he was placing flat bets.

Well, if that was the case, then he did win 23 times in a row with 33.066% win chance. Or, otherwise we would see some lost bets in the pictures above, right? You see, that's why I've been writing about it so much: 23 wins in a row with 33.066% win chance seems highly unlikely.

Even if you think it is highly unlikely, just like we always tell to people who lose 10+ times in a row on martingale, each bet is individual to itself and independent from the others, which means the 23th bet he made, after 22 times hitting the correct one, is actually still 1/3 chance to win, it doesn't suddenly becomes even more impossible to hit it just because you managed to hit many corrects in a row. Normally we talk about this on losses and not wins, talking about it on wins does make it a bit interesting because we rarely ever see them come out like this, however as you can see if there are people who complain about losing too many times in a row, there is always a person who hits that many in a row as well, hell I don't remember last time I saw 23 times in a row lose on a 67% odd for example.

[DarkDays]

~

Because he was placing flat bets.

Well, if that was the case, then he did win 23 times in a row with 33.066% win chance. Or, otherwise we would see some lost bets in the pictures above, right? You see, that's why I've been writing about it so much: 23 wins in a row with 33.066% win chance seems highly unlikely.

Even if you think it is highly unlikely, just like we always tell to people who lose 10+ times in a row on martingale, each bet is individual to itself and independent from the others, which means the 23th bet he made, after 22 times hitting the correct one, is actually still 1/3 chance to win, it doesn't suddenly becomes even more impossible to hit it just because you managed to hit many corrects in a row. Normally we talk about this on losses and not wins, talking about it on wins does make it a bit interesting because we rarely ever see them come out like this, however as you can see if there are people who complain about losing too many times in a row, there is always a person who hits that many in a row as well, hell I don't remember last time I saw 23 times in a row lose on a 67% odd for example.

It really depends on when you make your prediction.

If somebody needs to win a 1/3 bet 10 times in a row, and you make your estimation before they start, then the odds of succeeding are 0.333^10 = approx 0.0000167%, or almost 1 in 60,000.

However, if they have already won 22 times in a row, then the odds of winning a 23rd time is 1/3, a 24th time is 1/9, a 25th time is 1/27 etc (when predicting before any bets are made).

[buwaytress]

Hmm, that really does look like someone won all that in a row since there IS no losing bet in that string of green.

Of course, he could be on a martingale where his max bet amount is precisely above the min for a high roll entry. Although,,, it's gotta some kind of probability to survive busting on your max bet 23 times in a row.

[stomachgrowls]

13 days left for the monthly wager contest and here's the current top ETH wagerers.

[DarkDays]

Such a diverse high roller leaderboard today 



tmills is absolutely killing it on the 2x multiplier, there isn't even anybody else on the board!

[stomachgrowls]

Some nice wins for this day.



12 days left for month wager contest and here's the rewards.

BitCoinCash - 5 prizes, up to 18.50 BCH total bonuses
BitCoin - 10 prizes, up to 3.84 BTC total bonuses + 828 lotto tickets
Dash - 5 prizes, up to 18.50 DASH total bonuses
DogeCoin - 5 prizes, up to 975,000.00 DOGE total bonuses + 320 lotto tickets
EthereumClassic - 5 prizes, up to 185.00 ETC total bonuses
Ethereum - 10 prizes, up to 21.80 ETH total bonuses + 828 lotto tickets
NeoGas - 5 prizes, up to 290.00 GAS total bonuses
LiteCoin - 7 prizes, up to 42.50 LTC total bonuses + 790 lotto tickets
Stratis - 5 prizes, up to 1,155.00 STRAT total bonuses
Monero - 5 prizes, up to 23.30 XMR total bonuses

[s0lidus]

~

Because he was placing flat bets.

Well, if that was the case, then he did win 23 times in a row with 33.066% win chance. Or, otherwise we would see some lost bets in the pictures above, right? You see, that's why I've been writing about it so much: 23 wins in a row with 33.066% win chance seems highly unlikely.

No, because the betsize itself is not qualified to show on high rolls, it's shown there because of the high profit. So if he places 50 of these bets, only the winning ones will pop up.

Such a diverse high roller leaderboard today  



tmills is absolutely killing it on the 2x multiplier, there isn't even anybody else on the board!

It's even x3 multiplier, only profit is showing on the right. Meanwhile he wagered 236 BTC with an estimated reward of 0.473 BTC on Wagering Contest. He might be the first player this year to reach max reward of 1.5 BTC if he continues like this. =P

[buwaytress]

So I finally understood today that high rolls are actually based on the loss/win amount, not the size of the bet placed! That does explain why I didn't get in on some value losses that had otherwise entered earlier when I won at higher multiplier.

P.S. Top 500 teams worldwide for the F@H project too. Well done guys. All my time collecting can't come close to the millions of points racked up in just the past weeks.

[s0lidus]

So I finally understood today that high rolls are actually based on the loss/win amount, not the size of the bet placed! That does explain why I didn't get in on some value losses that had otherwise entered earlier when I won at higher multiplier.

Hope you understand after reading this:

On High Rolls section (this is where the discussion really is about) 1. we show big profits regardless the bet size and 2. we show bets from a certain amount or above, regardless the outcome.

[Crypto-Games.net]

Current top 7 players on LTC contest with 12 days to go:

[joksim299]

Current top 7 players on LTC contest with 12 days to go:

Shahista is known high roller, hopefully he will hit maximum reward.

[Betwrong]

~

Because he was placing flat bets.

Well, if that was the case, then he did win 23 times in a row with 33.066% win chance. Or, otherwise we would see some lost bets in the pictures above, right? You see, that's why I've been writing about it so much: 23 wins in a row with 33.066% win chance seems highly unlikely.

No, because the betsize itself is not qualified to show on high rolls, it's shown there because of the high profit. So if he places 50 of these bets, only the winning ones will pop up.

Oh, thank you very much for this explanation!

Now all the pieces of the puzzle are starting to fall into right places.

So, the size of the bet or the win amount must be higher than 0.02 BTC to appear in the HIGH ROLLS. Do I understand it correctly this time?

[joter85]

~

Because he was placing flat bets.

Well, if that was the case, then he did win 23 times in a row with 33.066% win chance. Or, otherwise we would see some lost bets in the pictures above, right? You see, that's why I've been writing about it so much: 23 wins in a row with 33.066% win chance seems highly unlikely.

No, because the betsize itself is not qualified to show on high rolls, it's shown there because of the high profit. So if he places 50 of these bets, only the winning ones will pop up.

Oh, thank you very much for this explanation!

Now all the pieces of the puzzle are starting to fall into right places.

So, the size of the bet or the win amount must be higher than 0.02 BTC to appear in the HIGH ROLLS. Do I understand it correctly this time?

Correct.

[s0lidus]

Join Crypto-Games' folding@home team to fight COVID-19 and get rewarded. There's 0.5 BTC in prize pool.

Check this thread for more information: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5236789.0

[Crypto-Games.net]

tmills is doing great on our wagering contest with around 10 days to go:

[eXtremal]

tmills is doing great on our wagering contest with around 10 days to go:

a good opportunity with a big enough prize for a contest, I'm interested in participating, and crypto games have also been running for a long time, I like the gambling platform that has many users

[stomachgrowls]

BTC Lottery round 469 ends in 22hrs!


First place
0.003600 BTC

Second place
0.000675 BTC

Third place
0.000225 BTC

Total tickets (of all players)
45

Price per ticket
0.000100 BTC

[Crypto-Games.net]

Wager your altcoins we support (if you're not willing risk your valuable Bitcoins ) and win nice prizes on our wagering contest! Here are the top 10 players on Stratis contest with only 8 days left:




If you don't have coins we support, use our CoinSwitch feature to deposit a different coin to one of our supported coins, and go nuts.


How to use CoinSwitch on our website: https://blog.crypto-games.net/2019/07/coinswitch-tutorial.html

[stomachgrowls]

ETH Lottery round 204 end in 17hrs!


First place
0.1524 ETH

Second place
0.0286 ETH

Third place
0.0095 ETH

Total tickets (of all players)
127

Price per ticket
0.0015 ETH