perfect999
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![](https://bitcointalk.org/Themes/custom1/images/post/xx.gif) |
April 16, 2020, 07:56:15 PM |
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~
Because he was placing flat bets. Well, if that was the case, then he did win 23 times in a row with 33.066% win chance. Or, otherwise we would see some lost bets in the pictures above, right? You see, that's why I've been writing about it so much: 23 wins in a row with 33.066% win chance seems highly unlikely. Even if you think it is highly unlikely, just like we always tell to people who lose 10+ times in a row on martingale, each bet is individual to itself and independent from the others, which means the 23th bet he made, after 22 times hitting the correct one, is actually still 1/3 chance to win, it doesn't suddenly becomes even more impossible to hit it just because you managed to hit many corrects in a row. Normally we talk about this on losses and not wins, talking about it on wins does make it a bit interesting because we rarely ever see them come out like this, however as you can see if there are people who complain about losing too many times in a row, there is always a person who hits that many in a row as well, hell I don't remember last time I saw 23 times in a row lose on a 67% odd for example.
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DarkDays
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 2030
Merit: 1189
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![](https://bitcointalk.org/Themes/custom1/images/post/xx.gif) |
April 17, 2020, 08:31:21 AM |
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~
Because he was placing flat bets. Well, if that was the case, then he did win 23 times in a row with 33.066% win chance. Or, otherwise we would see some lost bets in the pictures above, right? You see, that's why I've been writing about it so much: 23 wins in a row with 33.066% win chance seems highly unlikely. Even if you think it is highly unlikely, just like we always tell to people who lose 10+ times in a row on martingale, each bet is individual to itself and independent from the others, which means the 23th bet he made, after 22 times hitting the correct one, is actually still 1/3 chance to win, it doesn't suddenly becomes even more impossible to hit it just because you managed to hit many corrects in a row. Normally we talk about this on losses and not wins, talking about it on wins does make it a bit interesting because we rarely ever see them come out like this, however as you can see if there are people who complain about losing too many times in a row, there is always a person who hits that many in a row as well, hell I don't remember last time I saw 23 times in a row lose on a 67% odd for example. It really depends on when you make your prediction. If somebody needs to win a 1/3 bet 10 times in a row, and you make your estimation before they start, then the odds of succeeding are 0.333^10 = approx 0.0000167%, or almost 1 in 60,000. However, if they have already won 22 times in a row, then the odds of winning a 23rd time is 1/3, a 24th time is 1/9, a 25th time is 1/27 etc (when predicting before any bets are made).
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buwaytress
Legendary
Online
Activity: 2926
Merit: 3603
Join the world-leading crypto sportsbook NOW!
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![](https://bitcointalk.org/Themes/custom1/images/post/xx.gif) |
April 17, 2020, 09:16:27 AM |
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Hmm, that really does look like someone won all that in a row since there IS no losing bet in that string of green.
Of course, he could be on a martingale where his max bet amount is precisely above the min for a high roll entry. Although,,, it's gotta some kind of probability to survive busting on your max bet 23 times in a row.
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stomachgrowls
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![](https://bitcointalk.org/Themes/custom1/images/post/xx.gif) |
April 17, 2020, 10:47:01 AM |
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13 days left for the monthly wager contest and here's the current top ETH wagerers. ![](https://ip.bitcointalk.org/?u=https%3A%2F%2Fi.imgur.com%2FcthUQyX.png&t=665&c=6VEfl7Q70tUMPA)
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| | . .Duelbits. | │ | ..........UNLEASH.......... THE ULTIMATE GAMING EXPERIENCE | │ | DUELBITS FANTASY SPORTS | ████▄▄▄█████▄▄▄ ░▄████████████████▄ ▐██████████████████▄ ████████████████████ ████████████████████▌ █████████████████████ ████████████████▀▀▀ ███████████████▌ ███████████████▌ ████████████████ ████████████████ ████████████████ ████▀▀███████▀▀ | . ▬▬ VS ▬▬ | ████▄▄▄█████▄▄▄ ░▄████████████████▄ ▐██████████████████▄ ████████████████████ ████████████████████▌ █████████████████████ ███████████████████ ███████████████▌ ███████████████▌ ████████████████ ████████████████ ████████████████ ████▀▀███████▀▀ | /// PLAY FOR FREE /// WIN FOR REAL | │ | ..PLAY NOW.. | |
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DarkDays
Legendary
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Activity: 2030
Merit: 1189
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![](https://bitcointalk.org/Themes/custom1/images/post/xx.gif) |
April 17, 2020, 07:07:30 PM |
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Such a diverse high roller leaderboard today ![Wink](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/wink.gif) ![](https://ip.bitcointalk.org/?u=https%3A%2F%2Fi.imgur.com%2FNUUPWja.png&t=665&c=u4AWgcDb6ACK2g) tmills is absolutely killing it on the 2x multiplier, there isn't even anybody else on the board!
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stomachgrowls
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![](https://bitcointalk.org/Themes/custom1/images/post/xx.gif) |
April 18, 2020, 11:12:22 AM |
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Some nice wins for this day. ![Cool](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/cool.gif) ![](https://ip.bitcointalk.org/?u=https%3A%2F%2Fi.imgur.com%2FBadBVqK.png&t=665&c=dTm9NMGZcC__dA)
12 days left for month wager contest and here's the rewards. BitCoinCash - 5 prizes, up to 18.50 BCH total bonuses BitCoin - 10 prizes, up to 3.84 BTC total bonuses + 828 lotto tickets Dash - 5 prizes, up to 18.50 DASH total bonuses DogeCoin - 5 prizes, up to 975,000.00 DOGE total bonuses + 320 lotto tickets EthereumClassic - 5 prizes, up to 185.00 ETC total bonuses Ethereum - 10 prizes, up to 21.80 ETH total bonuses + 828 lotto tickets NeoGas - 5 prizes, up to 290.00 GAS total bonuses LiteCoin - 7 prizes, up to 42.50 LTC total bonuses + 790 lotto tickets Stratis - 5 prizes, up to 1,155.00 STRAT total bonuses Monero - 5 prizes, up to 23.30 XMR total bonuses
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| | . .Duelbits. | │ | ..........UNLEASH.......... THE ULTIMATE GAMING EXPERIENCE | │ | DUELBITS FANTASY SPORTS | ████▄▄▄█████▄▄▄ ░▄████████████████▄ ▐██████████████████▄ ████████████████████ ████████████████████▌ █████████████████████ ████████████████▀▀▀ ███████████████▌ ███████████████▌ ████████████████ ████████████████ ████████████████ ████▀▀███████▀▀ | . ▬▬ VS ▬▬ | ████▄▄▄█████▄▄▄ ░▄████████████████▄ ▐██████████████████▄ ████████████████████ ████████████████████▌ █████████████████████ ███████████████████ ███████████████▌ ███████████████▌ ████████████████ ████████████████ ████████████████ ████▀▀███████▀▀ | /// PLAY FOR FREE /// WIN FOR REAL | │ | ..PLAY NOW.. | |
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s0lidus
Full Member
![*](https://bitcointalk.org/Themes/custom1/images/star.gif) ![*](https://bitcointalk.org/Themes/custom1/images/star.gif)
Offline
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CryptoGames: Revamped Games, Multiple Coins
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![](https://bitcointalk.org/Themes/custom1/images/post/xx.gif) |
April 18, 2020, 11:28:05 AM Last edit: April 18, 2020, 11:43:09 AM by s0lidus |
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~
Because he was placing flat bets. Well, if that was the case, then he did win 23 times in a row with 33.066% win chance. Or, otherwise we would see some lost bets in the pictures above, right? You see, that's why I've been writing about it so much: 23 wins in a row with 33.066% win chance seems highly unlikely. No, because the betsize itself is not qualified to show on high rolls, it's shown there because of the high profit. So if he places 50 of these bets, only the winning ones will pop up. Such a diverse high roller leaderboard today ![Wink](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/wink.gif) ![](https://ip.bitcointalk.org/?u=https%3A%2F%2Fi.imgur.com%2FNUUPWja.png&t=665&c=u4AWgcDb6ACK2g) tmills is absolutely killing it on the 2x multiplier, there isn't even anybody else on the board! It's even x3 multiplier, only profit is showing on the right. Meanwhile he wagered 236 BTC with an estimated reward of 0.473 BTC on Wagering Contest. He might be the first player this year to reach max reward of 1.5 BTC if he continues like this. =P
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buwaytress
Legendary
Online
Activity: 2926
Merit: 3603
Join the world-leading crypto sportsbook NOW!
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![](https://bitcointalk.org/Themes/custom1/images/post/xx.gif) |
April 18, 2020, 03:01:43 PM |
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So I finally understood today that high rolls are actually based on the loss/win amount, not the size of the bet placed! That does explain why I didn't get in on some value losses that had otherwise entered earlier when I won at higher multiplier.
P.S. Top 500 teams worldwide for the F@H project too. Well done guys. All my time collecting can't come close to the millions of points racked up in just the past weeks.
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s0lidus
Full Member
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Offline
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CryptoGames: Revamped Games, Multiple Coins
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April 18, 2020, 03:13:10 PM |
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So I finally understood today that high rolls are actually based on the loss/win amount, not the size of the bet placed! That does explain why I didn't get in on some value losses that had otherwise entered earlier when I won at higher multiplier.
Hope you understand after reading this: On High Rolls section (this is where the discussion really is about) 1. we show big profits regardless the bet size and 2. we show bets from a certain amount or above, regardless the outcome.
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Crypto-Games.net
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![](https://bitcointalk.org/Themes/custom1/images/post/xx.gif) |
April 18, 2020, 10:47:23 PM |
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Current top 7 players on LTC contest with 12 days to go: ![](https://ip.bitcointalk.org/?u=https%3A%2F%2Fi.imgur.com%2FmUEzfA6.png&t=665&c=vuj2UrJ5wvCVDw)
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joksim299
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 2198
Merit: 1014
Bitdice is scam scam scammmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmm
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![](https://bitcointalk.org/Themes/custom1/images/post/xx.gif) |
April 19, 2020, 12:46:48 PM |
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Current top 7 players on LTC contest with 12 days to go: ![](https://ip.bitcointalk.org/?u=https%3A%2F%2Fi.imgur.com%2FmUEzfA6.png&t=665&c=vuj2UrJ5wvCVDw) Shahista is known high roller, hopefully he will hit maximum reward.
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..Stake.com.. | | | ▄████████████████████████████████████▄ ██ ▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄ ▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄ ██ ▄████▄ ██ ▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀ ██████████ ▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀ ██ ██████ ██ ██████████ ██ ██ ██████████ ██ ▀██▀ ██ ██ ██ ██████ ██ ██ ██ ██ ██ ██ ██████ ██ █████ ███ ██████ ██ ████▄ ██ ██ █████ ███ ████ ████ █████ ███ ████████ ██ ████ ████ ██████████ ████ ████ ████▀ ██ ██████████ ▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄ ██████████ ██ ██ ▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀ ██ ▀█████████▀ ▄████████████▄ ▀█████████▀ ▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄███ ██ ██ ███▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄ ██████████████████████████████████████████ | | | | | | ▄▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▄ █ ▄▀▄ █▀▀█▀▄▄ █ █▀█ █ ▐ ▐▌ █ ▄██▄ █ ▌ █ █ ▄██████▄ █ ▌ ▐▌ █ ██████████ █ ▐ █ █ ▐██████████▌ █ ▐ ▐▌ █ ▀▀██████▀▀ █ ▌ █ █ ▄▄▄██▄▄▄ █ ▌▐▌ █ █▐ █ █ █▐▐▌ █ █▐█ ▀▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▀█ | | | | | | ▄▄█████████▄▄ ▄██▀▀▀▀█████▀▀▀▀██▄ ▄█▀ ▐█▌ ▀█▄ ██ ▐█▌ ██ ████▄ ▄█████▄ ▄████ ████████▄███████████▄████████ ███▀ █████████████ ▀███ ██ ███████████ ██ ▀█▄ █████████ ▄█▀ ▀█▄ ▄██▀▀▀▀▀▀▀██▄ ▄▄▄█▀ ▀███████ ███████▀ ▀█████▄ ▄█████▀ ▀▀▀███▄▄▄███▀▀▀ | | | ..PLAY NOW.. |
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Betwrong
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 3402
Merit: 2211
I stand with Ukraine.
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![](https://bitcointalk.org/Themes/custom1/images/post/xx.gif) |
April 19, 2020, 02:27:00 PM |
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~
Because he was placing flat bets. Well, if that was the case, then he did win 23 times in a row with 33.066% win chance. Or, otherwise we would see some lost bets in the pictures above, right? You see, that's why I've been writing about it so much: 23 wins in a row with 33.066% win chance seems highly unlikely. No, because the betsize itself is not qualified to show on high rolls, it's shown there because of the high profit. So if he places 50 of these bets, only the winning ones will pop up. Oh, thank you very much for this explanation! Now all the pieces of the puzzle are starting to fall into right places. So, the size of the bet or the win amount must be higher than 0.02 BTC to appear in the HIGH ROLLS. Do I understand it correctly this time?
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BITCOIN TO THE MOON ☾ ₿ ₿ ₿ ₿ ₿ ₿ ₿ ₿ ₿ ₿ ₿ ₿ ₿ ₿ ₿
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joter85
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![](https://bitcointalk.org/Themes/custom1/images/post/xx.gif) |
April 19, 2020, 03:52:02 PM |
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~
Because he was placing flat bets. Well, if that was the case, then he did win 23 times in a row with 33.066% win chance. Or, otherwise we would see some lost bets in the pictures above, right? You see, that's why I've been writing about it so much: 23 wins in a row with 33.066% win chance seems highly unlikely. No, because the betsize itself is not qualified to show on high rolls, it's shown there because of the high profit. So if he places 50 of these bets, only the winning ones will pop up. Oh, thank you very much for this explanation! Now all the pieces of the puzzle are starting to fall into right places. So, the size of the bet or the win amount must be higher than 0.02 BTC to appear in the HIGH ROLLS. Do I understand it correctly this time? Correct.
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s0lidus
Full Member
![*](https://bitcointalk.org/Themes/custom1/images/star.gif) ![*](https://bitcointalk.org/Themes/custom1/images/star.gif)
Offline
Activity: 948
Merit: 120
CryptoGames: Revamped Games, Multiple Coins
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![](https://bitcointalk.org/Themes/custom1/images/post/xx.gif) |
April 20, 2020, 06:35:02 AM |
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![](https://ip.bitcointalk.org/?u=https%3A%2F%2Fi.imgur.com%2F605Z4Vq.png&t=665&c=Fgm2Eg7JJUgGnA) Join Crypto-Games' folding@home team to fight COVID-19 and get rewarded. There's 0.5 BTC in prize pool. ![Wink](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/wink.gif) Check this thread for more information: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5236789.0
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Crypto-Games.net
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![](https://bitcointalk.org/Themes/custom1/images/post/xx.gif) |
April 21, 2020, 01:17:05 AM |
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tmills is doing great on our wagering contest with around 10 days to go: ![](https://ip.bitcointalk.org/?u=https%3A%2F%2Fi.imgur.com%2FP072W8O.png&t=665&c=jzq279SRWPyWmw)
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eXtremal
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![](https://bitcointalk.org/Themes/custom1/images/post/xx.gif) |
April 21, 2020, 05:16:31 AM |
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tmills is doing great on our wagering contest with around 10 days to go: ![](https://ip.bitcointalk.org/?u=https%3A%2F%2Fi.imgur.com%2FP072W8O.png&t=665&c=jzq279SRWPyWmw) a good opportunity with a big enough prize for a contest, I'm interested in participating, and crypto games have also been running for a long time, I like the gambling platform that has many users
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stomachgrowls
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![](https://bitcointalk.org/Themes/custom1/images/post/xx.gif) |
April 21, 2020, 08:59:29 AM |
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BTC Lottery round 469 ends in 22hrs! First place 0.003600 BTCSecond place 0.000675 BTC
Third place 0.000225 BTCTotal tickets (of all players) 45Price per ticket 0.000100 BTC
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| | . .Duelbits. | │ | ..........UNLEASH.......... THE ULTIMATE GAMING EXPERIENCE | │ | DUELBITS FANTASY SPORTS | ████▄▄▄█████▄▄▄ ░▄████████████████▄ ▐██████████████████▄ ████████████████████ ████████████████████▌ █████████████████████ ████████████████▀▀▀ ███████████████▌ ███████████████▌ ████████████████ ████████████████ ████████████████ ████▀▀███████▀▀ | . ▬▬ VS ▬▬ | ████▄▄▄█████▄▄▄ ░▄████████████████▄ ▐██████████████████▄ ████████████████████ ████████████████████▌ █████████████████████ ███████████████████ ███████████████▌ ███████████████▌ ████████████████ ████████████████ ████████████████ ████▀▀███████▀▀ | /// PLAY FOR FREE /// WIN FOR REAL | │ | ..PLAY NOW.. | |
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Crypto-Games.net
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![](https://bitcointalk.org/Themes/custom1/images/post/xx.gif) |
April 22, 2020, 01:22:59 PM |
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Wager your altcoins we support (if you're not willing risk your valuable Bitcoins ![Tongue](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/tongue.gif) ) and win nice prizes on our wagering contest! Here are the top 10 players on Stratis contest with only 8 days left: ![](https://ip.bitcointalk.org/?u=https%3A%2F%2Fi.imgur.com%2F4UVpiwl.png&t=665&c=spW4UQD4ZD-2TA) If you don't have coins we support, use our CoinSwitch feature to deposit a different coin to one of our supported coins, and go nuts. How to use CoinSwitch on our website: https://blog.crypto-games.net/2019/07/coinswitch-tutorial.html
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stomachgrowls
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![](https://bitcointalk.org/Themes/custom1/images/post/xx.gif) |
April 22, 2020, 02:00:28 PM |
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ETH Lottery round 204 end in 17hrs! First place 0.1524 ETH
Second place 0.0286 ETHThird place 0.0095 ETHTotal tickets (of all players) 127
Price per ticket 0.0015 ETH
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| | . .Duelbits. | │ | ..........UNLEASH.......... THE ULTIMATE GAMING EXPERIENCE | │ | DUELBITS FANTASY SPORTS | ████▄▄▄█████▄▄▄ ░▄████████████████▄ ▐██████████████████▄ ████████████████████ ████████████████████▌ █████████████████████ ████████████████▀▀▀ ███████████████▌ ███████████████▌ ████████████████ ████████████████ ████████████████ ████▀▀███████▀▀ | . ▬▬ VS ▬▬ | ████▄▄▄█████▄▄▄ ░▄████████████████▄ ▐██████████████████▄ ████████████████████ ████████████████████▌ █████████████████████ ███████████████████ ███████████████▌ ███████████████▌ ████████████████ ████████████████ ████████████████ ████▀▀███████▀▀ | /// PLAY FOR FREE /// WIN FOR REAL | │ | ..PLAY NOW.. | |
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DarkDays
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 2030
Merit: 1189
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![](https://bitcointalk.org/Themes/custom1/images/post/xx.gif) |
April 22, 2020, 06:04:48 PM |
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Looks like a lot of high rollers are wagering with Ethereum these days. I guess they're not happy with Ethereum's measly 40% gain since 2020 began ![Grin](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/grin.gif) Nope, these guys are after the big wins. 100% in 1 bet > 40% in almost 5 months. ![](https://ip.bitcointalk.org/?u=https%3A%2F%2Fi.imgur.com%2F2aYGTdS.png&t=665&c=IXzbuPXa2Ov1fA) Keep it up guys!
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