New Diff thread Mar 22 to Apr. 5 not ready for prime time

[notlist3d]

The reason I could see a company putting in more then normal is being first to next gen.  If company is a month or even two ahead of others it would go a long ways on their ROI.

Currently we don't know how far along companies are on next gen so it's hard to tell a lot.

[1714718099]

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[1714718099]

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[1714718099]

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[GenTarkin]

The way things are going, if they keep going, soon we will only have the ASIC manufacturers mining ... noone else.

[philipma1957]

The reason I could see a company putting in more then normal is being first to next gen.  If company is a month or even two ahead of others it would go a long ways on their ROI.

Currently we don't know how far along companies are on next gen so it's hard to tell a lot.

or the rush to put in a super farm  filled with 10th 3000 watt gear as fast as possible crashes prices down to 150 or less.

I can see some like bitfury swapping out the old gear and not increasing power use.  But  their hash rate doubles since their new gear uses half the power.

This means only building miners no farm build or psus are needed since they have it with the old gear.

Cuts the build cost a lot.  and in my example above a 50k a day profit would be 145k a day for at least 1 diff jump.

the old gear they had was 6th maybe 3000 of them  so now  3000 new pieces.  just slide the old pcb boards out and slide the new ones in. reuse the heatsink the farm the cooling the psu.  only thing to waste is the old pcb boards.

and maybe they can just solder the new chip in place of the old.

pretty cheap upgrade from 20ph to  30ph.  the second part of the upgrade costs a bit more since they only had 3000 old machine to convert the rest would need all the parts.

  I am actually hoping this is what happened to make the  increase

[notlist3d]

Thank you Phil for doing so much about difficulty game.

If you would change my guess to +11.51 to +11.75

Sadly my first day guess of negative was off.

[philipma1957]

Thank you Phil for doing so much about difficulty game.

If you would change my guess to +11.51 to +11.75

Sadly my first day guess of negative was off.

no worries

[philipma1957]

I think the list is up to date


-5.01 to -5.25 open ----------------- Chris_Sabian

-4.01 to -4.25 Medow

 5 or six spots


-2.51 to   -2.75  tarmi--------------this was  corrected from -2.51 to -2.76
-2.26 to   -2.50   open ---Roadstress-------- this was corrected from -2.25 to -2.49
-2.01 to   -2.25  Mikestang--------- this was corrected from -2.00 to -2.25
-1.76 to   -2.00-----open-------------- Quickseller
-1.51 to   -1.75 edonkey
-1.26 to   -1.50 valkir
-1.01  to  -1.25 philipma1957
-0.76  to  -1.00------open------------------- notlist3d
-0.51 to   -0.75  Jamphone
-0.26 to   -0.50 coinits

-0.01 to   -0.25  open------------------- MegaFall

0.00-------------- A4TECH
+0.01 to  +0.25 Amph
+0.26 to  +0.50 davejh
+0.51 to  +0.75 Kexkey
+0.76 to  +1.00 ezeminer
+1.01 to  +1.25 mavericklm
+1.26 to  +1.50  SimplisticStu
+1.51 to  +1.75  HerbPean

+1.76 to  +2.00 MegaFall-----------------A switch from (-0.01 to -0.25)
+2.01 to  +2.25 SunnyIgor

+2.26 to  +2.50 Open---------------- zebedee

+2.51 to  +2.75 alh
+2.76 to +3.00 Korbman
+3.01 to +3.25 tertius993
+3.26 to +3.50 jmumich------------------  A switch from +1.76 to +2.00
+3.51 to +3.75 wpt1wpt1 ------------this was corrected from +3.51 to +3.76%
+3.76 to +4.00 tlhIlwI
+4.01 to +4.25 Open------------------------ buyandhold

+5.01 to +5.25 Chris_Sabian ------------A switch from -5.01 to -5.25
+5.26 to +5.50 RealMalatesta

+6.01 to +6.25 freedomno1


+7.76 to +8.00 armedmilitia
+8.51 to +8.75 zebedee--------------------A switch from +2.26 to +2.50
+8.76 to +9.00 Last of the V8s

+9.76 to +10.00 buyandhold------------A switch from +4.01 to +4.25

+11.01 to +11.25 EMIF
+11.51 to +11.75 notlist3d--------- switched from - 0.76 to - 1.00
+12.26 to +12.50 adaseb------------corrected from 12.50  ----

+13.01 to +13.25 RoadStress---------Switched from -2.26 to -2.50---- and corrected to a .25 range

+14.76 to +15.00 lovenlifelarge ---corrected from +15.00

+ 15.01 to 15.25  Quickerseller----- Switched from -1.76 to -2.00
+18.51  to 18.75   shapeshift
https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty (+5.93%)

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1qmF2knc5rSrJLESgQJYBz8mPzpKihmSzPPQUGH7pT8g/edit#gid=561061211

(+11.07%)   still a nasty number

[notlist3d]

Nasty is definitely a good word for it.  Even with negative the difficulty before this one will hurt.

[suchmoon]

Nasty is definitely a good word for it.  Even with negative the difficulty before this one will hurt.

We're all horribly spoiled 

Double-digit increases were the norm not too long ago. Although BTC at $600+ helped of course.

[notlist3d]

Nasty is definitely a good word for it.  Even with negative the difficulty before this one will hurt.

We're all horribly spoiled 

Double-digit increases were the norm not too long ago. Although BTC at $600+ helped of course.

The time when there was a blinky like heaven from all the usb sticks.... and smell of 1000 dollar bitcoin.   Ahhh the good old times .

I would agree we have been a little spoiled on difficulty, but price sure has not helped jumps.

[judypug1956]

Nasty is definitely a good word for it.  Even with negative the difficulty before this one will hurt.

We're all horribly spoiled  

Double-digit increases were the norm not too long ago. Although BTC at $600+ helped of course.

also new gear with big power drops.

300 watt gpu's gave .6 gh
10   watt asics  gave 1 gh     a 50 to 1 improvement
2     watt  asics  gave 1 gh    a 5 to 1 improvement
1      watt asics gave  1 gh    a 2 to  1 improvement
.8     watt  asics gave  1gh     a 1,25 to 1 ratio--------------- btc price drop
.5     watt  asics  gave 1gh     a  1.6 to 1 improvement -----  btc price drop

Next 

[philipma1957]

better gear at cheaper prices served to lower btc price a lot.   I think   

[philipma1957]

Nasty is definitely a good word for it.  Even with negative the difficulty before this one will hurt.

yeah 10% jumps with coins at this price ugh.

[alh]

I would like to drop my +2.51% slot and take the +5.76% slot instead. This going to be way worse than I thought. Not just "variance" this time.... 

[eretron]

Hello,

may I enter the game

My guess:

+ 9.51%

Thanks

[philipma1957]

I think the list is up to date


-5.01 to -5.25 open ----------------- Chris_Sabian

-4.01 to -4.25 Medow

 5 or six spots


-2.51 to   -2.75  tarmi--------------this was  corrected from -2.51 to -2.76
-2.26 to   -2.50   open ---Roadstress-------- this was corrected from -2.25 to -2.49
-2.01 to   -2.25  Mikestang--------- this was corrected from -2.00 to -2.25
-1.76 to   -2.00-----open-------------- Quickseller
-1.51 to   -1.75 edonkey
-1.26 to   -1.50 valkir
-1.01  to  -1.25 philipma1957
-0.76  to  -1.00------open------------------- notlist3d
-0.51 to   -0.75  Jamphone
-0.26 to   -0.50 coinits

-0.01 to   -0.25  open------------------- MegaFall

0.00-------------- A4TECH
+0.01 to  +0.25 Amph
+0.26 to  +0.50 davejh
+0.51 to  +0.75 Kexkey
+0.76 to  +1.00 ezeminer
+1.01 to  +1.25 mavericklm
+1.26 to  +1.50  SimplisticStu
+1.51 to  +1.75  HerbPean

+1.76 to  +2.00 MegaFall-----------------A switch from (-0.01 to -0.25)
+2.01 to  +2.25 SunnyIgor

+2.26 to  +2.50 Open---------------- zebedee

+2.51 to  +2.75 Open---------------- alh
+2.76 to +3.00 Korbman
+3.01 to +3.25 tertius993
+3.26 to +3.50 jmumich------------------  A switch from +1.76 to +2.00
+3.51 to +3.75 wpt1wpt1 ------------this was corrected from +3.51 to +3.76%
+3.76 to +4.00 tlhIlwI
+4.01 to +4.25 Open------------------------ buyandhold

+5.01 to +5.25 Chris_Sabian ------------A switch from -5.01 to -5.25
+5.26 to +5.50 RealMalatesta
+5.76 to +6.00 alh  ----------------------A switch from +2.51 to +2.75
+6.01 to +6.25 freedomno1


+7.76 to +8.00 armedmilitia
+8.51 to +8.75 zebedee--------------------A switch from +2.26 to +2.50
+8.76 to +9.00 Last of the V8s
+9.51 to + 9.76 eretron
+9.76 to +10.00 buyandhold------------A switch from +4.01 to +4.25

+11.01 to +11.25 EMIF
+11.51 to +11.75 notlist3d--------- switched from - 0.76 to - 1.00
+12.26 to +12.50 adaseb------------corrected from 12.50  ----

+13.01 to +13.25 RoadStress---------Switched from -2.26 to -2.50---- and corrected to a .25 range

+14.76 to +15.00 lovenlifelarge ---corrected from +15.00

+ 15.01 to 15.25  Quickerseller----- Switched from -1.76 to -2.00
+18.51  to 18.75   shapeshift




https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty (+7.65%)

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1qmF2knc5rSrJLESgQJYBz8mPzpKihmSzPPQUGH7pT8g/edit#gid=561061211

(+10.56%)   still a nasty number


we have less then 1 day for the picks.
We all the changes I may have fucked up one or two of these.  Please check them today.  Good luck to us all with this jump we are going to need it.

coin price is 253 at coinbase.


https://www.coinbase.com/buys

[notlist3d]

I keep hoping the spreadsheet get' closer to bitwisdom's guess.  But it's looking like a 10 or higher most of this week.

Being over 250 is nice, if it could go up a little higher I would be more happy.

[valkir]

Switch me to +10.01 - 10.25

Thanks you!

I hate this big jump 

[philipma1957]

I think the list is up to date


-5.01 to -5.25 open ----------------- Chris_Sabian

-4.01 to -4.25 Medow

 5 or six spots


-2.51 to   -2.75  tarmi--------------this was  corrected from -2.51 to -2.76
-2.26 to   -2.50   open ---Roadstress-------- this was corrected from -2.25 to -2.49
-2.01 to   -2.25  Mikestang--------- this was corrected from -2.00 to -2.25
-1.76 to   -2.00-----open-------------- Quickseller
-1.51 to   -1.75 edonkey
-1.26 to   -1.50--------open------------ valkir
-1.01  to  -1.25 philipma1957
-0.76  to  -1.00------open------------------- notlist3d
-0.51 to   -0.75  Jamphone
-0.26 to   -0.50 coinits

-0.01 to   -0.25  open------------------- MegaFall

0.00-------------- A4TECH
+0.01 to  +0.25 Amph
+0.26 to  +0.50 davejh
+0.51 to  +0.75 Kexkey
+0.76 to  +1.00 ezeminer
+1.01 to  +1.25 mavericklm
+1.26 to  +1.50  SimplisticStu
+1.51 to  +1.75  HerbPean

+1.76 to  +2.00 MegaFall-----------------A switch from (-0.01 to -0.25)
+2.01 to  +2.25 SunnyIgor

+2.26 to  +2.50 Open---------------- zebedee

+2.51 to  +2.75 Open---------------- alh
+2.76 to +3.00 Korbman
+3.01 to +3.25 tertius993
+3.26 to +3.50 jmumich------------------  A switch from (+1.76 to +2.00)
+3.51 to +3.75 wpt1wpt1 ------------this was corrected from +3.51 to +3.76%
+3.76 to +4.00 tlhIlwI
+4.01 to +4.25 Open------------------------ buyandhold

+5.01 to +5.25 Chris_Sabian --------------A switch from (-5.01 to -5.25)
+5.26 to +5.50 RealMalatesta
+5.76 to +6.00 alh  ------------------------A switch from (+2.51 to +2.75)
+6.01 to +6.25 freedomno1


+7.76 to +8.00 armedmilitia
+8.51 to +8.75 zebedee--------------------A switch from (+2.26 to +2.50)
+8.76 to +9.00 Last of the V8s
+9.51 to + 9.76 eretron
+9.76 to +10.00 buyandhold---------------A switch from (+4.01 to +4.25)
+10.01 to +10.25 valkir--------------------A switch from (-1.26 to -1.50)
+11.01 to +11.25 EMIF
+11.51 to +11.75 notlist3d-----------------A switch from (- 0.76 to - 1.00)
+12.26 to +12.50 adaseb------------corrected from 12.50  ----

+13.01 to +13.25 RoadStress--------------A Switch from (-2.26 to -2.50)---- and corrected to a .25 range

+14.76 to +15.00 lovenlifelarge ---corrected from +15.00

+ 15.01 to 15.25  Quickerseller-------------A Switch from (-1.76 to -2.00)
+18.51  to 18.75   shapeshift




https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty (+7.74%)

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1qmF2knc5rSrJLESgQJYBz8mPzpKihmSzPPQUGH7pT8g/edit#gid=561061211

(+10.60%)   still a nasty number


we have less then 1 day for the picks.
We all the changes I may have fucked up one or two of these.  Please check them today.  Good luck to us all with this jump we are going to need it.

coin price is 253 at coinbase.


https://www.coinbase.com/buys

[RealMalatesta]

What I really hate about this jump is that there is almost no gear available for private miners to get some more hash rate and even out the jump.

[notlist3d]

What I really hate about this jump is that there is almost no gear available for private miners to get some more hash rate and even out the jump.

Who ever it is is definitely keeping quiet.  I keep hoping someone will make a announcement so we know who it is, but we have not been that lucky.