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1141  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: May 03, 2013, 02:41:54 AM

Cheesy i don't believe it. just left forum for some hours to watch a movie...
and i come back and see 3D charts.
Shit I had that stereoscopic idea in the old wall-thread 3 weeks ago.
Quote
I just imagine that data fed into unreal or cryengine and modifying some big planes in realtime.
f**k you could even run from fps perspective along the waves shooting some bears ;-)
i have to research that idea further if it's possible, seems like a real interesting art or game concept.
for the beginning these pics would look amazing as stereoscopic versions.
like this for example, but that will just be possible if you'd change to more mixedup colours. (sterescopic need pure red and green channels)


Thanks Richy_T for such cool stuff, I have to check out your code at the weekend.
need to sleep now...but let's open a thread for that stuff...call me hooked

besides...sorry for bumping that thread with pics...back to business

Yes, that was the post which inspired me. I have written the graph with stereoscopy in-mind but need to modify my equations to be able to do that. I'm nor really up for anaglyph though, I have an interlaced 3d monitor that can work with side-by-side images so expect to see that sometime soon. I do believe there is software that would be able to convert between the two though.

i have no 3d 120Hz monitor but plan on buying one (depends on how my bitcoins are doing Smiley)
you need that stereoscopic bundle by nvidia (with card) for pc output (then with shutter technique) or newest version of powerdvd (or some other player) for polarising filter technique.
I will do some digging on the net how to get that going. really inspiring stuff!
1142  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: May 03, 2013, 02:30:24 AM

holding strong and shit how i want stereoscopic realtime waves right now...
aaaand next dump coming in
1143  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: May 03, 2013, 02:13:54 AM


Cheesy i don't believe it. just left forum for some hours to watch a movie...
and i come back and see 3D charts.
Shit I had that stereoscopic idea in the old wall-thread 3 weeks ago.
Quote
I just imagine that data fed into unreal or cryengine and modifying some big planes in realtime.
f**k you could even run from fps perspective along the waves shooting some bears ;-)
i have to research that idea further if it's possible, seems like a real interesting art or game concept.
for the beginning these pics would look amazing as stereoscopic versions.
like this for example, but that will just be possible if you'd change to more mixedup colours. (sterescopic need pure red and green channels)



Thanks Richy_T for such cool stuff, I have to check out your code at the weekend.
need to sleep now...but let's open a thread for that stuff...call me hooked

besides...sorry for bumping that thread with pics...back to business
1144  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: May 02, 2013, 04:48:30 PM
one positive aspect of the whole thing is that nothing is goxed up.
no minute long lag, no ddos.
just speculators playing together...i like that.


...okay 30s lag as i wrote that, but could be worse.
1145  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: May 02, 2013, 01:30:22 PM
why are there hourly dumps for the last three hours? (ca. 12:30, 13:30, 14:30)
next dump in half an hour or am I just seeing things that are not there?


I noticed a similar trend last week. Some very very big player slowly cashing out? Selling a bit at a time to reduce slippage?

But that's kinda silly, he'd be much better off going OTC.

but next dumps should be huge to push to double digits, right?.
Still there's a big wall at 100$

It's almost the time for the fourth push, every dump was stronger than previous, let's see what will happen this time.

4th push starting (with some burpses in the beginning Smiley)
1146  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: May 02, 2013, 01:18:59 PM
It is amazing that no bull is defending the battle by pushing it up, Its 180 degrees move from early morning pushing to 126..Those asians are nuts!!
perhaps all bulls are waiting in the starting blocks around 100$ to rally back up to 120$.
1147  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: May 02, 2013, 01:06:54 PM
why are there hourly dumps for the last three hours? (ca. 12:30, 13:30, 14:30)
next dump in half an hour or am I just seeing things that are not there?


I noticed a similar trend last week. Some very very big player slowly cashing out? Selling a bit at a time to reduce slippage?

But that's kinda silly, he'd be much better off going OTC.

but next dumps should be huge to push to double digits, right?.
Still there's a big wall at 100$
1148  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: May 02, 2013, 12:54:51 PM
why are there hourly dumps for the last three hours? (ca. 12:30, 13:30, 14:30)
next dump in half an hour or am I just seeing things that are not there?
1149  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: May 02, 2013, 02:51:05 AM
Thanks captain obvious. Nothing gets by you TA guys.

we don't have to be enemies... this is a community Smiley i have nothing against you, fitty.

Agree, things are really breaking down in here.

this.

haven't visited new wall thread too often last days but it got really rough tones compared to the old one.
Why is that thread called hardcore again?
(reminds me of that well-known netexperience when you search a subject on some forum and instead of getting the wanted information you can scroll through a multiple page flamewar.
Nice for voyeuristic tendencies and analyzing social deficiency but useless for this thread!)
please chill the f**k out, here 's a flower (to stick in your hair) and discuss that stuff in some battlearenathread where you can speculate with your egos.

sorry for getting too groovy, where were we?
ah perhaps someone post some charts, that could relax the mood...and really get some objective discussions going
1150  Economy / Speculation / Re: They/he/she/it is doing it again on: April 18, 2013, 10:35:54 AM
imo Everybody that buys their first bitcoin should get a little info about the advantages of holding as the best strategy as long as you're not used to the fast changing markets and all the speculation going on .[...]
perhaps some kind of info email with the registration or a locked thread would be good.
surely it's everybody's decision when to sell and buy but at least some recommendations for speculating and how to react to some market events would be really helpful. [...]
It would be really cool to push such a dogma-like thread (it could evolve to a little info brochure pdf) for everyone to first read before freaking out on the forums about the values changing every hours.
any feedback?


Well, educating people is always a good idea, but remember that we have people here who are experienced, have been trading or using bitcoin for years, and are regarded as experts. Yet many of these very people still have tunnel vision syndrome and for the past week have been posting "Bitcoin crashing/bitcoin is dead" everytime the price moves down $10, and "OMG Rally starting, sky high ATHs ahead" whenever the price moves up $10.
Some people just never learn Grin

As for market making, one of the recent Keiser Reports had Max talking about the market making function of exchanges and how "real" markets perform functions very similar to what was proposed by posters in this thread. I.E. they have a stash of the very stock they are selling, and place orders as they see fit to "keep things real." If you don't think this is a good idea, simply don't buy on an exchange or don't participate in trading that particular commodity/currency/stock/etc. If you feel a market is being manipulated in a way that you don't agree with, no one's forcing you to participate in that market.

perhaps you're right and this suggestion was a bit over the top for the bitcointalk-forums (especially in the speculation section) and would be at a better place directly at the exchanges.
I just thought with the ongoing spreading into the average john doe- mass consumer market every user of bitcoin would be better off with some instruction manual at the start.
But when bitcoin will have succesfully reached that far the value will probably be relatively stable and not that crazy rollercoaster ride we experience in recent times.
thanks for the feedback.
1151  Economy / Speculation / Re: They/he/she/it is doing it again on: April 18, 2013, 02:25:03 AM
+1
although I'm bored after seeing more than 100 of these threads (kind of feels like that after some time).
it's always good to steadily inform more newcomers about the danger of panic-selling.
imo Everybody that buys their first bitcoin should get a little info about the advantages of holding as the best strategy as long as you're not used to the fast changing markets and all the speculation going on.
sell to strength is also really a good advice how to counter panic-selling!

perhaps some kind of info email with the registration or a locked thread would be good.
surely it's everybody's decision when to sell and buy but at least some recommendations for speculating and how to react to some market events would be really helpful.
I registered one week ago and before I have read quite a lot of threads for 2 months to get the hang of it how everything works in the bitcoin ecosystem.

It would be really cool to push such a dogma-like thread (it could evolve to a little info brochure pdf) for everyone to first read before freaking out on the forums about the values changing every hours.
Most people get the system of bitcoin at the start but nearly nobody but for longtime bitcoiners and guys with financial market knowledge has a clue what's up with all the trading and speculating on the markets.

That is just my impression after some time, i could be wrong but it sounds like a good idea to me.
Perhaps it's naive to give infos how to behave to a completely liberated market, but at least it would prevent some people from panic-selling.

any feedback?

1152  Economy / Speculation / Re: in early stages of bitcoin era, the war on exchanges has started doing victims on: April 18, 2013, 12:20:08 AM
bought most of my bitcoins via bitcoin.de.
it's a relatively small exchange with direct money transfers between user's bank accounts. (ca. 50.000 user accounts so far)
(prices compared to mt. gox suck big time, but i still wait for finishing of my sepa transfer and right now I'm not too sure how long the gox account in poland will stay as it's mentioned others there are already shut down)
today that exchange anounced a planned collaboration with some partner from financial sector (perhaps in germany?) which could lead to some bigger exchange in europe.
we'll see if it's just bragging but it definitively sounds like some good developement for european exchanges.
And somewhere on the forums i read that there's some exchange soon to open in london.
I'm curious how governments will start reacting to the fast expansion of this sector.
1153  Economy / Speculation / Re: Call the low for this time tomorrow and have .5btc (7pm EST) on: April 17, 2013, 01:09:43 AM
67.5
1154  Economy / Speculation / Re: Confused?? Wake up!! Decide who you are...not bull/bear, BUT... on: April 16, 2013, 02:55:40 AM
+1

at the beginning i started refeshing that wall observer thread everyday because I wanted to check where my little investment is going.
But after some time I realized that I went into that game not for shortterm speculation but because I believe in the idea behind that whole thing.
The problem is that as a newbie on these forums you're sucked into the fiat/bitcoin value spiral very very fast, because fiat is the only value you're used to since being born.
Let the bulls and bears have their fun, it's just another playground favoured because of the high margin profit.
Bitcoin is still in the toodler stage and it takes quite some time to grow up.
Seeing the internet as a virtual world it's just logical that someday it would get its own currency.
Bitcoin exists on the internet now for a relatively long time span and that is the biggest argument that it's not just a little hype that will disappear.
As with everything an idea always has its ups an downs, but if it's good enough the world will open and give it its place.
The market for bitcoin has to comply with the fast spreading and decentralise so that the value is not just depending on one big exchange but many more different factors of influence.

I know it's sometimes a bit too abstract to compare the internet to the history of the real world. (I always see its timeframe now as kind of shortly after digital middleage)
My theory is that bitcoin is a virtual resource that will be used for trading like gold many many years ago. (Although its bound to fiat standard at the moment)
And perhaps someday that status could even be replaced by another kind of virtual currency that correlates more to fiat money then bound to bitcoin standard.
(I haven't read too much about ripple, but it sounds like a first approach to that for me)
Because internet has a much faster developement curve compared to the history of the real world, it feels to me like I'm saving an amount of gold back in the days of the goldrush and looking to its value after 200 years.

In the end that's complete speculation and I'm just curious how this new idea will change everything depending on the influences of administrative powers.
Until then I'm holding like a bull having a winter sleep and blink from time to time to watch them ripping themselves apart while I eat some popcorn.
1155  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker on: April 14, 2013, 03:36:03 AM
Meanwhile, the Gox verification queue keeps on growing. Now at 28,000+.

http://www.reddit.com/r/Bitcoin/comments/1ca5e4/mtgox_verification_times/c9eio88

I'm still 20680 in queue... I should have verified my account long ago, but when I first registered, there was no verification process lol

When did you start this attempt at verification ? Just to know ow man days to open an account ?


Thanks



Registered 3.04 and got verification yesterday. took long but still in time of the promised 10 days.
1156  Economy / Speculation / Re: News Just In! Bitcoin crash not caused by rush to sell, but by rush to buy!!! on: April 14, 2013, 03:30:29 AM


by the way haven't payed attention to that pic for the last three posts.
back to business...uh gox not lagging and back at 100$
nice
1157  Economy / Speculation / Re: News Just In! Bitcoin crash not caused by rush to sell, but by rush to buy!!! on: April 14, 2013, 03:17:23 AM
imo complete bullshit and a sight of germany that is from the late 90s.
I'm german and the multiculturalism has changed in the last decade for good.
Main problem in germany in the past was that every minority that came from other countrys to work here were mainly rural people that had much more tendencies to stay in their communities than people from bigger cities which pushed the segregation. that given and the problem of a more right than centered government for longer than 10 years (which made politics not in favor of multiculturalism) the reunion of germany build a vaccuum, because eastgermans haven't even met foreign people in their life, but for russians and people from exsovietunion states.
as a result many eastgermans got right-wing tendencies which peaked in an assault of a hostel for asylum seekers in rostock-lichtenhagen 1992.
after that the masses woke up and up to now every march of right-wing extremist in citys is accompanied by huge counterdemonstrations.
The second generation of immigrants especially turks is integrated in german society much better because of growth of their middleclass.
At the moment we have problems both with small rightextremist (Nationalsocialist Underground has killed 23 immigrants) and muslim extremist groups (mainly salafis).
But these people represent less than 1% of german society. imo in every other country there are the same problems, in germany it is dealt even better with it because of our history. (although the authorities still need to evolve in that point)
The flood of immigrants since the crisis right now is immense (50.000 people mainly from greece and spain), but they all go to the big cities which evolved to huge melting pots, where the prejudices are not as big as in rural areas.
So to finish my history lesson everythings going relatively well and i really doubt that during a big crisis germans start bashing the immigrants.
The right-wing groups will get more attention for sure, as in every country when a society starts crumbling, but i doubt that things will happen like in greece where small groups start hunting immigrants through the streets. (ok if everythings shattered every society has these phenomenons. in great-britain extremists would probably start hunting pakistanis)
The main advantage of german society is its past because that pushes awareness much more earlier to fight xenophobia than in countries that don't have that history.

sorry big post here, but as a german hearing such stuff quite often from foreigners this is the only thing that pushes in me some tendencies to be proud for my country.
and imo hitler is quite funny (you knew he was on meth most of the time at the end?), we have lot of parody movies of him.
(by the way merkel is a big fat bitch)
....back to bitcoin please!

Firstly, you cannot post a comedy Hitler picture and declare victory in a forum argument.

Secondly, with all due respect, what you have wrote is just your own personal take on things, which is very different from that of many other people, and I include German people in that. For example, at current breeding rates, native German's are set to become a minority in their own country within 70 years. Perhaps there is as much chance of this happening as there was of Bitcoin smashing the $1000 barrier, but with current immigration and breeding rates held even, this is what would be set to happen. I know this because German political establishment figures consider these sort of things such a problem that books have been written about it.

The multiculturalism problem however, and by that I mean largely segregated minority communities, is a pan European problem, not just a German problem. Certainlly in the UK, it is a huge problem and tensions are on the rise. Of course, as long as everyone has full bellies and enough people consider themselves as 'middle class', then there is not likely to ever be problems on a large scale. Real problems will only arise when the wealth stops flowing in.

The other thing I wrote about was probably a bit abstract for this forum and certainly way off topic. But basically I am paraphrasing Jungian psychology which would suggest that the way in which Germany has handled its 'war guilt', i.e. through streng self repression and punishment, wouldn't be a method of handling the issues that would help bring closure to the issue.

Firstly, sorry that was perhaps a bit too much, i should have marked it as german irony

secondly, right perhaps i live in that small mulitcultural bubble in the city where i don't see the main problem. I know that breeding levels in germany are a problem and society is shifting more and more to excess of age.
But you can't say germans will become a minority in their own land. It's mixing up and society is sucking up a big part of the different minorities. Some of my best friends are this second generation of immigrants and they see themselves as germans with immigrant roots. I think that the european union surely is seesawing beetween melting together and segregating at the same time (more extremly during times of crisis), but i would foresee a developement like in USA. Sure it takes centuries for that to happen, but every american sees himself firstly as american and secondly as a mixture of different origins. imo europe is also going to become more and more a melting pot like america after a long period of time and no doubt there will be many battles but that's good for the longterm. Every destruction builds up a change to the better. At this topic I always think in timespans of 100 years or more. There will perhaps be some national dictatorshiplike tendencies in several countries that slow this progress down but in the end I believe there will be that european citizen that sees himself as that.

And about that Jungian philosophy you have to take in mind that with every next generation that part of our own history is handled with a much more distant and abstract approach and less feeling of being "guilty" that is "deep-rooted" in german brains. The movement of the first post-war generation in germany evolved 1968 because there was no real reflection at all up to that point but mostly denial (I'm second post-war generation and sure i heard things from my grandfather, but personally the only thing i internalized from it all is no feeling of guilt but awareness of what's happening politically and going on the streets when things seem to go wrong.
There are countries around germany that have far more problems handling their history during that time because there was little to none internal reflection at all but complete denial and pushing guilt towards the germans. (e.g. italy with mussolini and the complicity in many countries that were occupied by nazi germany)


I think your thought process is kind of right at the beginning but personally it corresponds to me more to the mood in germany during the 90s. At the latest since World Cup 2006 things have changed. That was the first time since the fall of berlin wall that I saw germans had no feeling of guilt when waving their flag and since then the penny has dropped in a way.
but hey that's just my personal opinion and it's defintively not the opinion of the average man.
I just realize that perhaps i have a different kind of complex of guilt corresponding this subject. I channel it towards taking this a bit too serious and explaining my thoughts everytime it's mentioned. (so Jung there you are :-))
next time i just go "meh, i don't care", whatever thanks for that little sokratian self-awareness and I don't want to declare victory to that argument
but let's just say everyone has their opinion and it's good to see things from a different angle and think about it in a new way
1158  Economy / Speculation / Re: News Just In! Bitcoin crash not caused by rush to sell, but by rush to buy!!! on: April 14, 2013, 01:23:31 AM
i hereby proclaim this issue brought to an end
1159  Economy / Speculation / Re: News Just In! Bitcoin crash not caused by rush to sell, but by rush to buy!!! on: April 14, 2013, 01:16:05 AM
I am simply fed up of all that german bashing. Including all the germans bashing themselves into a hypnotic trance of guilt submission. That's the worst.

It never ceases to disappoint me, that Germans have a complete lack of an ability to appreciate the comedic potential of Hitler and the Nazis like we Brits do.

The level of self imposed guilt and repression is no way to deal with any traumatic past event, whether it be on a personal level or on a societal level. Whilst most Germans will tell you that this is a good thing because it ensures that such a movement can never happen again in Germany, I suspect the opposite may more likely be the case. Somewhere buried deep in the German psyche, is a knowledge that the eruption of the Nazi movement into mainstream German life happened for a reason, and so long as this cannot be acknowledged and the spiritual scars truly healed, then this conflict within the individual and collective unconscious will seek to resolve itself and will knock persistently against the doors of the conscious mind, perhaps one day breaking out and overcompensating into a re-embracement of much of the emotional and mental expression that was embodied in the Nazi ideology. This might especially be the case should the German economy suffer in the same way that the southern Med countries economies are going to suffer which will erode the material glue which is presently all that holds Western civilisation together.

Edit:

Having thought more about the matter. Perhaps one of the effects of the ever increasing multiculturalism of Germany, is that the effects of the collective spiritual volatility of the longer established native Germans, will be diluted. As people who haven't inherited the same spiritual tensions will not relate and react as readily to any outward expression of such tensions. Thus acting as a kind of resistance to any mass cultural expression (positive or negative) that might be triggered from within the native collective unconscious. Having said that, If the different cultures in Germany remain as segregated as say the Turks are from the native Germans, then obviously this could have a very negative effect on what may transpire once the wealth stops rolling in. This applies not to Germany, but perhaps the whole of Western Europe. I sometimes wonder whether the Muslim minorities that are being allowed to establish themselves throughout the West are not being set up as the scapegoats for the outbreak of social angst which may be yet to come.

imo complete bullshit and a sight of germany that is from the late 90s.
I'm german and the multiculturalism has changed in the last decade for good.
Main problem in germany in the past was that every minority that came from other countrys to work here were mainly rural people that had much more tendencies to stay in their communities than people from bigger cities which pushed the segregation. that given and the problem of a more right than centered government for longer than 10 years (which made politics not in favor of multiculturalism) the reunion of germany build a vaccuum, because eastgermans haven't even met foreign people in their life, but for russians and people from exsovietunion states.
as a result many eastgermans got right-wing tendencies which peaked in an assault of a hostel for asylum seekers in rostock-lichtenhagen 1992.
after that the masses woke up and up to now every march of right-wing extremist in citys is accompanied by huge counterdemonstrations.
The second generation of immigrants especially turks is integrated in german society much better because of growth of their middleclass.
At the moment we have problems both with small rightextremist (Nationalsocialist Underground has killed 23 immigrants) and muslim extremist groups (mainly salafis).
But these people represent less than 1% of german society. imo in every other country there are the same problems, in germany it is dealt even better with it because of our history. (although the authorities still need to evolve in that point)
The flood of immigrants since the crisis right now is immense (50.000 people per month mainly from greece and spain), but they all go to the big cities which evolved to huge melting pots, where the prejudices are not as big as in rural areas.
So to finish my history lesson everythings going relatively well and i really doubt that during a big crisis germans start bashing the immigrants.
The right-wing groups will get more attention for sure, as in every country when a society starts crumbling, but i doubt that things will happen like in greece where small groups start hunting immigrants through the streets. (ok if everythings shattered every society has these phenomenons. in great-britain extremists would probably start hunting pakistanis)
The main advantage of german society is its past because that pushes awareness much more earlier to fight xenophobia than in countries that don't have that history.

sorry big post here, but as a german hearing such stuff quite often from foreigners this is the only thing that pushes in me some tendencies to be proud for my country.
and imo hitler is quite funny (you knew he was on meth most of the time at the end?), we have lot of parody movies of him.
(by the way merkel is a big fat bitch)
....back to bitcoin please!
1160  Economy / Speculation / Re: Crash will bottom at $30, you heard it HERE first. on: April 13, 2013, 11:26:04 PM
imo you still can't compare bitcoin at the moment to silver or gold.
biggest gold reserves sit in usa and germany.
now guess how they can play with the prices when they want. (just have read in the news yesterday that cyprus perhaps has to pay part of the debts with their gold reserves
if this is becoming a trend other countrys should follow.)
more and more big players start gambling with bitcoins although the market for bitcoins itself is just slowly developing.
everyhting is at a point of virginity and in a kind of goldrush state.
there will be a lot of gambling between several bubble stages but if i look at the charts of these last years, the price is constantly climbing up.
If the regulating elites don't start crippling the hype, i see good times in the future for this whole thing.
and even if they try to regulate bitcoin, then the masses suddenly would hear "bitcoin" for the first time and start getting curious.
If a government wants to boycott something mostly a significant part of the masses does the opposite and wants to find out more.
It's like to tell a child to never start smoking although he never knew what a cigarette was in the first place.
and what will he do then???
right, start finding out what's up with that bitcoin thingy.
imo only big danger is that somehow the bad parents start buying in and control the famous 51% and with that like the gold market the whole thing.
It's not about the current price of bitcoins, it's about the possiblitiest and the genious idea behind it that stomps every fiat into the ground.
I love it that everythings about speculation right now. At this stage most governments will think everything will settle itself and it's just a short trend.
(same with internet, after one decade they started realizing they should have controlled it much more in the first place)

but to get to the point, nobody can predict the real value of bitcoin right now
it's pure speculation. but with this small market it's just constant extremes.
euro value dropped by one cent in the last weeks compared to usd and think about how big that market is. (it's by comparison a huge fall)
everythings gonna be fine in the longterm...and I'm holding
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