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1901  Economy / Economics / Re: Russian Gas ban - A problem for Europe or suicide for Russia? on: May 11, 2022, 03:19:11 AM
Germany doesn't have an agreement with Qatar but there is another player that you haven't accounted for. US going to apply pressure on the oils cartel with NOPEC bill that allows US to sue the oil cartel or its members, force them to increase their oil production or risk of their assets frozen in US banks or no business with US's entities. If those cartel doesn't like it, they can open up a shooting war with US which I'm sure US will be happier to have more oil country under their control.
This has nothing to do with gas supplies to Europe. However, the best the US can do about the oil shortage is to increase its own production or spend strategic reserves. Attempts to pressure the cartel are ridiculous. Even Brazil said "no" to the US request to increase oil production, arguing that it was a matter of business strategy, not diplomacy and political speculation.
1902  Economy / Economics / Re: Russian Gas ban - A problem for Europe or suicide for Russia? on: May 10, 2022, 04:13:49 PM
Firstly, not the EU but Germany! Secondly, the main problem that is being discussed now is the term of the contract. Qatar wants 20 years. And Germany has already launched a “farewell to Russian gas, oil and coal” program as part of a program to reduce emissions into the atmosphere, and according to the approved plan, Germany should reduce carbon dioxide emissions by 88 percent by 2040. This means that gas purchases should also be reduced until 2040, and not only in Russia. And 2040-2022 = 18, but not 20 years, do you get the point? I'm sure the issue will be resolved. The question remains unresolved - where will Russia put its gas, oil, coal, which no one needs?! Smiley
OK, Germany cannot agree with Qatar on the supply of liquefied natural gas. Qatar does not want to increase production for the sake of a country that is going to reduce its gas consumption in the long term. Qatar also fears that its profits from gas supplies to Germany will be nullified by European antitrust law. Qatar also does not want the gas it supplies to be resold to other European countries. There are several reasons, but the result is the same - Germany does not have an agreement with Qatar on gas supplies.
1903  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress] on: May 10, 2022, 01:30:46 PM
Is this part of the parade?
The parade in Moscow took place yesterday as usual, except that they did not begin to disperse the clouds for the air show. Putin did not declare a general mobilization and the Crimean bridge was also not damaged, so I have nothing to please you with.

No, I meant the one in Kyiv.  The one that would be naive and foolish to think wouldn't happen.  Why didn't they have one there?  That's rhetorical, of course.  The reason is because the Russian military lost that battle.  I'm just curious how much you're willing to twist yourself to not admit it.  It's tough to deflect such an obvious black and white situation. 

Ukrainians will be fighting Russian aggressors to death.
Well, that means they'll die.

Yes, Captain Obvious, aggressors will die. That's the whole point.
In Kyiv on May 9 2022, a traditional parade will be held in honor of the victory of the USSR over Nazi Germany. It is naive and foolish to doubt it.

This is the third time I have to answer this question. It seems that you are not reading this topic carefully enough before answering something here, which is generally a violation of the Politics branch rules.
1904  Economy / Economics / Re: Russian Gas ban - A problem for Europe or suicide for Russia? on: May 10, 2022, 12:49:49 PM
Europe could not even reach an agreement with Qatar, Qatar put forward unacceptable demands (a long-term contract for 20 years and a guarantee of protection from European antimonopoly prosecution). It will be extremely difficult for Europe to agree with anyone, why increase production for the sake of a region that has a strategy to reduce its carbon footprint?

Qatar is one of the major beneficiaries from this war, along with the United States. The EU will end up importing LNG from Qatar and the United States, which will cost them 5x when compared to the pipeline gas from Russia.
If Europe manages to agree on this with Qatar, there are still disagreements. Meanwhile, Germany has a dilemma as to who should be turned off first in the event of a shortage of gas - private households or industrial enterprises.
1905  Economy / Economics / Re: Sanction isn't the right option on: May 10, 2022, 12:45:21 PM
In the end it will turn out that sanctions worked opposite and only made Russia more rich and powerful. We have increased prices on natural resources already, and the prices keep going higher. I dont believe those, who call to refuse using Russian gas or oil, or say that they already refused using them, really did it. On one hand Russian economy is suffering from lack of import, on the other it is being pumped with money right now. Who is winning from that?

I have one question for you. Tell me - do you follow the news? Behind the speeches of politicians and government representatives? I mean Russian? No, not hysterical clowns in the Kremlin propaganda studios, but, for example, Lavrov? This is the Minister of Foreign Affairs of Russia. Tell me - do you think he's an idiot? Do you think he does not understand the benefits of sanctions that will only enrich and strengthen Russia? Or is he a saboteur, and is constantly begging the US and the EU for the sanctions to be lifted? It turns out that the entire diplomatic corps of Russia, and the president and prime minister of Russia himself, are enemies of Russia?! Want to prevent profit from sanctions? Smiley
I don't recall a case where Lavrov asked for sanctions to be lifted. In Russia, it is customary to put new Western sanctions in a package with packages, shrug your shoulders and move on.

Well, just because you haven’t heard, absolutely doesn’t mean that Lavrov didn’t say this Smiley

The issue of lifting sanctions is constantly being discussed, Russia is constantly moaning and begging for them to be removed - either it's not fair, it's not humane, or something else. Do you remember how fun it was in 2014 - and don’t make our Iskanders laugh, and the sanctions are only good. And now Putin asks to withdraw from the UN (last year), then Lavrov speaks of inhumanity (the last couple of years), then recently Lavrov was surprised new package of sanctions, and was quite annoyed (last month). As I understand it, it's all about the fact that they like sanctions and they enjoy them, right? Smiley Finding the described events is very simple - Google, and the request "Putin asks to lift sanctions", or "Lavrov asks to lift sanctions", and you will be happy - hear them! Smiley
Maybe you can do it for me and provide prooflinks? And now it looks more like lies and slander that you spread as part of a subscription campaign, which your bounty manager may not like.
1906  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress] on: May 10, 2022, 10:02:47 AM
I didn't follow closely, who kept Snake Island before special operation started, and who is
keeping it now?
This is the same island whose Ukrainian defenders sent the Russian ship to hell and then died heroically. Then it turned out that they were captured and were exchanged. Then the island was controlled by Russia, but a few days ago Ukraine launched an operation to liberate it. It seems that Ukraine has already lost several missile boats, planes, helicopters and bayraktars there, Russia also has losses, at least one helicopter. Now the island is gray on the maps, its status is uncertain. Why Ukraine had to spend so much effort to capture this island is beyond me. Theoretically, the island can be fired upon by the new M777 howitzers with some types of long-range ammunition, it is located 40 km from the nearest coast and about 56 km from Odessa.

Perhaps Ukraine is tritely trying to divert attention from the painful defeat in the Donbass, after losing control over Popasna.
1907  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress] on: May 10, 2022, 08:38:13 AM
Don't have enough helicopters and jets to show at the air parade because half of the air force is being dismantled for scrap by Ukrainians and the other half is busy bombing cities. How are we going to hide it?
Say that it's too cloudy today! Nobody's going to ask any questions. They know where questions lead.
Victory Day in Russia is a great national holiday, and you will not be able to spoil it with your impotent poisonous fantasies.
1908  Economy / Economics / Re: Sanction isn't the right option on: May 10, 2022, 08:20:20 AM
In the end it will turn out that sanctions worked opposite and only made Russia more rich and powerful. We have increased prices on natural resources already, and the prices keep going higher. I dont believe those, who call to refuse using Russian gas or oil, or say that they already refused using them, really did it. On one hand Russian economy is suffering from lack of import, on the other it is being pumped with money right now. Who is winning from that?

I have one question for you. Tell me - do you follow the news? Behind the speeches of politicians and government representatives? I mean Russian? No, not hysterical clowns in the Kremlin propaganda studios, but, for example, Lavrov? This is the Minister of Foreign Affairs of Russia. Tell me - do you think he's an idiot? Do you think he does not understand the benefits of sanctions that will only enrich and strengthen Russia? Or is he a saboteur, and is constantly begging the US and the EU for the sanctions to be lifted? It turns out that the entire diplomatic corps of Russia, and the president and prime minister of Russia himself, are enemies of Russia?! Want to prevent profit from sanctions? Smiley
I don't recall a case where Lavrov asked for sanctions to be lifted. In Russia, it is customary to put new Western sanctions in a package with packages, shrug your shoulders and move on.
1909  Economy / Economics / Re: Russian Gas ban - A problem for Europe or suicide for Russia? on: May 10, 2022, 06:51:11 AM
This effect is temporary, as the reorientation of European Union countries away from Russian oil and gas towards other countries and alternative sources disrupts established supply chains, intensifies panic, and then raises the price. Everything will soon return to normal, and then, in the medium term, Russia will suffer enormous losses from which it will never be able to recover.
I don't think that is even possible.
For example gas, there is infrastructure in place that transfers it easily from Russia to Europe. You can't just build another gas line all the way to another farther country. It takes years and the route should go through regions that are unstable. Not to mention that other sources like Qatar for example are not capable of producing 1/1000 of the same amount of gas that Russia is producing and countries that can like Iran are not going to sell it to Europe.
Buying it from elsewhere through other means would also significantly increase the price and won't cover the needs either. To transfer gas using a ship for example you have to first turn it liquid (LNG) which significantly increases the cost and the amount that would be shipped is still not going to be enough.

The problem is the same with oil.
They went to the Arabs and they couldn't increase their production any more. They went to Venezuela and they didn't comply and their infrastructure is already weak and US sanctions prevents them from improving it too so that failed too. They went to Iran that can both produce and ship more than enough oil but Mora met a middle finger 2 days ago so that's not gonna happen either.
Europe could not even reach an agreement with Qatar, Qatar put forward unacceptable demands (a long-term contract for 20 years and a guarantee of protection from European antimonopoly prosecution). It will be extremely difficult for Europe to agree with anyone, why increase production for the sake of a region that has a strategy to reduce its carbon footprint?
1910  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress] on: May 10, 2022, 06:27:36 AM
I am not subscribed to Kadyrov's telegram channel and watch it occasionally. Definitely this is not a fake factory, I have no questions about the authenticity of its content, if you saw a fake there, please provide a specific link, otherwise it looks like slander.
Seems that post about liberated Svitlychne village already deleted from Kadyrov's telegram, but there article about it remaining on Russian media with link to Kadyrov's telegram:
https://www.rbc.ru/rbcfreenews/62730da59a79474c6ba7d701
There is more fakes posted on regular basis, but I would need some time to make research and debunk it.
A single remote message with information that has not been confirmed does not make the entire channel an unreliable source. With this approach, you will not have any sources at all.

Quote
Declaration of Remembrance and Solidarity, 2016. In 2015, the Restitution of Kresov was created.
Thanks for the link. So, Poland and Ukraine condemn Nazi and Soviet agression, what is understandable. But from what I understand that Restitution of Kresov is just some small movement which don't have big importance and probably majority of Poland people don't even know about it.
This joint conviction has far-reaching legal implications. The Kresy Restitution organization managed to collect information about 100,000 (according to other sources, more than 160,000) Polish heirs and property owners in Western Ukraine.

Is this part of the parade?
The parade in Moscow took place yesterday as usual, except that they did not begin to disperse the clouds for the air show. Putin did not declare a general mobilization and the Crimean bridge was also not damaged, so I have nothing to please you with.

Their strategy is 'v pieriod, blyat' ('forward bitch') no matter the consequences. Eventually, they will run out of resources.
I appreciate your optimism! It seems that Russia should have run out of missiles in early March. Grin

Today's update:

- Odessa has taken several missile strikes. Putin's Psychos The Russian Army has gloriously destroyed a mall to de-nazify the people who where shopping inside and made the world a little more inhuman than before. Hypersonic missiles were used to avoid the air defences and alarms did not sound before impacts.
Rumor has it that a hypersonic missile flew into the hotel where the soldiers of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, who were trained in firing from the American M777 howitzer, lived, but I cannot find an exact confirmation. Something strange is also happening around Snake Island, it seems there are losses on both sides.

Did someone mention Wali, the sniper: https://youtu.be/6uCLYAXuQPo?t=12 "I would be more afraid of a number of NATO soldiers than the equivalent Russian soldiers". Translation: Putin is sending Tactical Cannon Fodder to the front.
This is an old video, since then Wali's opinion has changed a lot. A sniper has little chance in a situation where the Russians use artillery instead of sniper rifles.
1911  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress] on: May 07, 2022, 07:00:30 AM
How much do you get paid for shilling russian war propaganda?
Putin's troll army is not a secret anymore, you might have noticed already....
One trophy microwave and three large cans of Nutella per week. Grin

It seems like a couple of times I gave a link to a specific video in Kadyrov's telegram as a prooflink. Or do you seriously think that Chechens know how to deepfake when they shoot a video on the selfie camera of their smartphone?
It's not about deepfakes or something else. My point that's Kadyrov TikTok Telegram is one of many not reliable Russians sources. Quite fresh example about liberated village, which actually was under LPR control since 2014 and it's far from front line. Correct me if I'm wrong, but this stuff was posted on Kadyrov telegram.
I am not subscribed to Kadyrov's telegram channel and watch it occasionally. Definitely this is not a fake factory, I have no questions about the authenticity of its content, if you saw a fake there, please provide a specific link, otherwise it looks like slander.

You're right, I didn't know about it. Could you share some links to read about it because I can't anything about Ukraine abandoning western regions in favor of Poland.
Declaration of Remembrance and Solidarity, 2016. In 2015, the Restitution of Kresov was created.
1912  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress] on: May 06, 2022, 05:14:45 PM
The fronts are not moving. If any, Ukraine has made some minor advancements and Putin keeps sending unready troops to die for nothing. The number of artillery batteries sent now to Ukraine is starting to range in the hundreds, not to mention air defences and civil support. The tactical situation is looking grim for Putin.
The fronts are moving, just slowly. Russia moves at its own pace, using its strengths to compensate for its weaknesses. Ukraine has already carried out three waves of mobilization, while Russia has not carried out a single one. For Ukraine, this is a people's war, and Russia is conducting a special operation with the forces of the peacetime army. All military successes of Ukraine are either fictitious, or are connected with the navy, which it does not have itself, or are connected with Turkish drones. In the East, the positions of the Armed Forces of Ukraine are slowly being minced by artillery and Ukraine cannot do anything about this due to problems with logistics. Russian missiles disable railway electrical substations so that only diesel locomotives operate, this allows you to save infrastructure, but drastically reduce the amount of traffic on the railway.

Putin's army is unable to make any decisive advance. What you call grinding is in fact stagnating.
Decisive offensives mean great sacrifices, you confuse inability and unwillingness.

There is a say "strategy eats tactics for breakfast". Putin's psychos tactics are far from anything that you could call effective, but the strategy of the US here is stalling Russia into a war, bleed it and leave an economy that cannot sustain another war. That is being clearly and unquestionably being achieved. While you waste your time defending a poor tactical performance, they use theirs to make the economy of your country sink into oblivion.
Are you seriously? Rather, it is an action to demilitarize Europe, which, due to its own sanctions, does not have enough energy to quickly replenish its stocks of weapons. It is beneficial for the USA, it is also beneficial for Russia, Europe suffers - Europe is a trophy and a victim. Germany looks terrible and pale in the foreign policy arena, Scholz is called liver sausage and he just swallows it, and the Ukrainian ambassador even refused to apologize. In the West, there is a serious problem with inflation, and in order to solve it, it is not enough to raise the base rate by 0.5%, it must be raised to at least 10%, and this is a trillion-dollar bill for servicing external debt. West bankrupt lol. And Russia has been making record revenues from energy exports, roughly $66 billion since the start of the operation. The ruble against the dollar is now better than before the pandemic in 2020 and much better than in February 2022.

Even in the unlikely case of Russia achieving any significant territorial gain, Putin has gone from trying to have less of a border with NATO to looks like it ends in a "victorious" border with NATO of thousands of km both north-east and south-east, an increase military spending in Europe.
You are speculating on events that have not happened yet.

This great achievement of uniting your enemies and giving new life to an organisation that was in question (NATO) and creating a thousands of kilometres long border with NATO while making sure your army is shown as unable to quick win against a theoretically inferior enemy is so great that I am starting to suspect that Putin is a CIA agent. No joke, a CIA double agent could not do any better than him.

I'm not a big fan of discussing conspiracy theories and wishful thinking.

As Sri Aurobindo Ghose said, "Imperfect is joy that is not shared by all". I am hurt by the suffering of the Ukrainian people, who, due to their stupidity, are forced to experience all the horrors of war. I hope after the operation Ukraine will find a new worthy meaning of life, except for hatred for the fraternal Russian people.

Yes. The Ukrainian people will eventually forgive the deluded Russians after this aggression is over, but not before Ukrainian independence and sovereignty are restored. And not before Putin and his Russian bullies are dealt with in a firm and just way that stops his aggressive activities and gives Ukraine the sovereign rights to create a secure future for itself. This is not only possible, it is inevitable. The history books will be telling tales of Ukraine's destruction and disrespect for national sovereignty for decades to come. The Ukrainian people will hold Russia accountable for its actions, which will have lasting consequences for Russia.

Glad we understand each other. It is useful for Ukraine to appease its ego, because Russia is in a different weight category. It is possible to pursue a free sovereign policy, but why these massive torchlight processions with calls to kill Russians? Zelensky's statements about a nuclear bomb were completely out of place. If it was a provocation, then it was successful.
1913  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress] on: May 06, 2022, 10:08:30 AM
Yeah, I just don't see any reason why the Russians would want it, especially since the peeps in that are are likely to be much less friendly (even in the post Zenensky period.)  I don't really fully buy the argument of 'de-nazification' which strikes me as mostly a PR-friendly excuse.  The benefits of chasing the Nazis into the West is probably not worth the hassles, costs, and risks, and they would just back-fill when the area is vacated anyway.
I think we will soon see how events will develop in the West of Ukraine, because until the complete liberation of Donbass this is not a paramount issue and there are many interested parties, including Poland, Romania, Hungary and even Moldova. I'm not even sure that the West of Ukraine is now subordinate to Kyiv.

You still do not see it. Putin has been brought into a war that is a trap.
Do you now mean that Russia has become a victim of external manipulation and is not to blame for the invasion of Ukraine? This is something new from you.
...

Thanks for recognising that it is an invasion (not a liberation, denazification nor anything else but an invasion - your own words).

- Nothing is happening
- Just an operation
- This is an invasion       < ----- you are here  Undecided
- This is a war between Russia and Ukraine.
- This is a war of aggression by Putin.
- This is a crime.
The topic is called invasion, technically it is an invasion, in fact it is a unique military special operation. Here we are discussing the Russian invasion of Ukraine, this is the military-political aspect of a larger hybrid economic-information war of the entire West against Russia. The economic aspect of the confrontation can be discussed in the economy section of this forum, there is also an interesting story with the European oil embargo following the coal embargo, and a powerful intrigue with paying for gas in rubles to circumvent sanctions. It's the perfect storm. Grin

No, I mean exactly what I wrote: that Putin has been brought into a war that is a trap. He is to blame for the invasion because he decided to invade - he may have decided something else, but he lacks a group of people that can tell him he is wrong and has been fooled into believing he could achieve a quick win. Him and his circle have  started  something they cannot finish. There are winners in this war, Russia is not one of them.
What nonsense, you draw at least premature conclusions, because the operation continues and seems to be quite successful. I would say that in general, things are going great for Russia. You were right about Dvornikov's tactics - they are very simple and effective. Reconnaissance drones, then the work of artillery and multiple launch rocket systems, then tanks under the cover of infantry and front-line aviation. The tactics of parallel short offensives to minimize the front line, in the Donbass, there is a methodical slow grinding of the fortified positions of the Armed Forces of Ukraine with minimal losses and a compact numerical strength. The most combat-ready units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the east have already been destroyed, taken prisoner or bled after two months of continuous fighting, and freshly mobilized reservists come to the eastern front as cannon fodder and I think the Ukrainians who want to die there will soon run out. Russia, the LPR and the DPR are slowly and methodically pressing from the east, and apparently soon they will push through the fortified areas of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the Donbass. What happens next is interesting to me, there are many interested actors and many options for the development of events, and the chances for Russia seem favorable to me.

A peace treaty? Are Ukraine and Russia at war then?  (I think they are, do you?)

Irony apart, there isn't anything like a full defeat, unconditional or conditional or any type of surrender. This is a bear trap and a nasty one.

You demand unconditional surrender from Ukraine while you argue they are not willing to negotiate. I am not sure you what type of deals have you closed in your life - usually someone concedes something and the other concedes as well so everyone is slightly unhappy with the result. In this case, by waging war, I can tell you that both sides are going to be worse off. There is no way the US and Europe are going to let Russia come better-off this war and there is no way Ukraine is going to forget. Needless to say that all the dead civilians and soldiers are not better off.
Of course, I would also prefer a quick and bloodless operation, without unnecessary casualties, destruction and bloodshed. Unfortunately, for this, Ukraine must capitulate, because Russia's policy towards Nazism is characterized by zero tolerance. Russia denounces Nazism and has strong evidence of widespread Nazism in Ukraine. There are serious documentary claims about the work of bio-laboratories in Ukraine. The contents of the bunker near Azovstal have not yet been fully disclosed, but the Azov fighters are already behaving there openly like terrorists, trying to exchange hostages for food by live weight. According to the results of the operation, there will be a court like Nuremberg 2, all those responsible will be punished. The fate of the territories of Ukraine liberated from Nazism will be decided by referendums of local residents following the Kosovo precedent. Everyone will again live a peaceful, calm life, as befits civilized Europeans.

But the biggest problem Putin will now face is not Ukraine. Finland, Sweden and Ukraine are certainly now almost forced to join NATO. Europe will take all steps to reduce or remove energy trading with Russia. Congratulations for your victory.
Scandinavians are much more adequate than Ukrainians and for the most part do not experience Russophobia. There are problems with the adequacy of politicians with a vagina who have fallen under the spell of the masculine image of NATO and make incomprehensible initiatives from which the people of Finland and Sweden are actively perplexed. So the entry of Finland and Sweden into NATO is still in question, in Finland there are debates in parliament and it seems that common sense is ready to prevail there.

Ukrainian people will pay a high price for freedom - it should have been much easier, if Russia had a decent leadership.
You can always do something better, it turns out as it turns out. It’s hard for me to blame Putin for something, it seems that his tactics are quite safe for the inhabitants of Russia, and his strategy is fully consistent with the interests of Russia as a sovereign state. I am sorry that Putin's actions do not meet your expectations and if they infringe on the anti-Russian interests of Ukraine. Ukraine is free to act as a sovereign state, but Russia is also free to respond to existential threats against itself.
1914  Economy / Economics / Re: Who will Replace Russian Gas Supplies to Europe? on: May 06, 2022, 08:20:56 AM
There will be alternatives but it will not happen that fast. It will be very costly too. There will be a lot of discussions to environmentalists and various stakeholders. There's geopolitical issues too that need resolutions like Algerian gas going Europe but most likely needs to pass thru Morocco.

The fact that Germany will be spending billions of dollars to fast-track their LNG terminals means it needs to be utilized for many years to come to cover its cost. I wonder what will be the future of Russia once Europe becomes free from its gas. More wars? Maybe more Russian aggression in order to salvage favorable economic deals? And NATO can freely move against Russia too.    
1. China. This is the most energy-deficient country in the world, China made its impressive economic breakthrough on cheap coal, the reserves of which are now severely depleted. China needs a lot of energy, much more than Germany, and Russia has a surplus. In January 2022, an agreement was reached on the construction of the Power of Siberia 2 gas pipeline for 50 billion cubic meters per year (like Nord Stream 2). Also, LNG terminals have been actively built in the Far East for several years, with a focus on the Southeast Asian market. The Power of Siberia gas pipeline with a capacity of 38 billion cubic meters per year has been in operation since 2019.

2. Domestic market. For many years, Gazprom has been export-oriented, often to the detriment of domestic consumers. Russia is a huge country with a harsh climate and there is still great potential for gasification of private households. Recently, one of the branches of Nord Stream 2 was reoriented from Europe to gasification of the North-West of Russia (Karelia, etc).

Do not worry about Russia, it is much easier to deal with excess energy than with energy shortages. Europe's withdrawal from Russian gas would be a disaster for Russia in 2014, but not in 2022 - Russia has done a lot to diversify during this time. But what Europe has been doing all this time is not entirely clear to me.
1915  Local / Политика / Re: ВОЙНА против РФ on: May 06, 2022, 05:25:07 AM
Но тут выяснился интересный нюанс: к этим древним Гепардам боеприпасов давно нет даже у самих немцев Grin
Они есть у Швейцарии, но Швейцария вдруг вспомнила о своей нейтральности и отказалась их поставлять, даже после неоднократных просьб Германии. Не прокатило у немцев списать старое говно по спекулятивным ценам, ну бывает.
1916  Local / Альтернативные криптовалюты / Re: [ETH] Ethereum - мировой компьютер on: May 06, 2022, 05:08:05 AM
По-твоему компромиссы перехода на PoS не принципиальные? То есть разработчики эфира такие типа, "чёт не получается просоответствовать собственным стандартам безопасности, поэтому пришлось пойти на компромиссы, зато экологично". И все такие, "а, ну раз экологично тогда норм - у трона то ещё хуже". Grin
Все идет по плану. Тренд на экологичность правильный, стандарты безопасности можно доработать.
В смысле снизить их до технически реализуемого уровня? Grin

Я всегда сравниваю эфириум с другими конкурентами, чтобы объяснить непонимающим всю проблему блокчейна и децентрализации, потому что многие экосистемы являются подобием блокчейна, а децентрализации там не было с самого начала, потому что 50% валидаторов свои.
В эфириуме  2.0 децентралицация намного лучше.
Вот не пиздел бы ты про децентрализацию эфира с его лютым премайном. Если все конкуренты пидорасы - это ещё не значит что эфир д'артаньян.
1917  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress] on: May 06, 2022, 05:01:18 AM
How about that Russian victory parade on May 9th, 2022 in Kyiv?

You are cordially invited to come, bring your Russian flags, Z posters/stickers, and sunflower seeds.

At this point, Ukrainians will not talk until all Russian soldiers either leave Ukraine (Donbas and Crimea) or die in Ukraine.

There is no other option, so keep drinking your Z kool-aide and keep dreaming of the Soviet Union.
It's embarrassing to quote myself, I've already answered a similar question.

Of course I'm right. People are generally stupid, ignorant and poorly educated, you are no exception.

Yeah, that's how the Nazis think. It's good that your words reflect what you really mean. How about we throw all the stupid, ignorant, and poorly educated people into concentration camps? Would that make you happy?

No, it won't make me happy. As Sri Aurobindo Ghose said, "Imperfect is joy that is not shared by all". I am hurt by the suffering of the Ukrainian people, who, due to their stupidity, are forced to experience all the horrors of war. I hope after the operation Ukraine will find a new worthy meaning of life, except for hatred for the fraternal Russian people.
1918  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress] on: May 06, 2022, 03:48:49 AM
Your arrogant snobbery looks funny. Impress naive girls with speculative links to Wikipedia, which anyone can edit, for a man with a beard, this is an unreliable source.
Says person who quotes Russian Defence Ministry, Kadyrov telegram and other Russian пoмoйкa as reliable sources.
It seems like a couple of times I gave a link to a specific video in Kadyrov's telegram as a prooflink. Or do you seriously think that Chechens know how to deepfake when they shoot a video on the selfie camera of their smartphone?

For a long happy life until Russia will come to take another slice of Ukraine...
Russia has no problems with territories, but it does have problems with a crazy neighbor who has been cultivating hatred of Russians as his national idea for a whole generation. He will have to be punished for this, since diplomatic efforts have not been successful. Be patient, at first it will hurt, and then life will get better.

I think we will soon see how events will develop in the West of Ukraine, because until the complete liberation of Donbass this is not a paramount issue and there are many interested parties, including Poland, Romania, Hungary and even Moldova. I'm not even sure that the West of Ukraine is now subordinate to Kyiv.
And how do you imagine such thing? All these countries sharing Ukraine into parts? It would be interesting to hear from your perspective what signs shows that it can happen. Because for me it looks like nothing more than poor Russian propaganda attempt to show that Ukraine is country without history and without future.
Most fun part about Moldova. They aren't capable to solve Transistria question and here they're cming to take slice of Ukraine.
The policy of Moldova can be called pro-Romanian, up to the plans for the Moldovan-Romanian union. Moldova in the issue of Ukraine is more like a proxy for Romania, plus for it it is a chance to resolve the issue with Transnistria.

Of course, Poland has the most legally justified claims to the western part of Ukraine. In fact, Ukraine voluntarily abandoned six western regions in favor of Poland when, in 2015, it signed a joint declaration condemning the Molotov-Ribbentrop Pact, according to which these territories that previously belonged to Poland were transferred to Ukraine. It is a pity that you did not know about it, well, now you know.

In addition to Poland, Hungary, Romania, Slovakia and Belarus also have territorial claims to Ukraine for historical reasons. There is an opinion (although I do not adhere to it) that Russia deliberately does not force the complete liberation of Donbass, expecting Poland to invade Western Ukraine. And even provokes Poland to such an invasion through the efforts of the Foreign Intelligence Service.

all thingsshows about Russia unwilingness to negotiate. Basically Russia gave ultimatum to Ukraine to surrender, give whole Donbass and Luhansk, forget about joining NATO, ''denazify'' themselves, not matter what it means and they don't show any intentions to negotiate.
And that was Russia's best offer for Ukraine. Ukraine had to agree, it was possible to save the lives of tens of thousands of Ukrainian soldiers and the Kherson region. Russia's next proposal will be even worse.
1919  Economy / Economics / Re: Who will Replace Russian Gas Supplies to Europe? on: May 06, 2022, 03:19:30 AM
This could be over soon as well, we are missing that out. I mean Russia needs money for their gas, if they can't sell gas to Europe then they will have to sell to other nations and let's be honest they would not be able to pay as much as Europe does, only china could and they would only do that to gain power over Russia in that partnership.

So, I am sure that Russia wants to go back to old days and sell gas to Europe at premium levels for whatever currency they can get without any sanctions or trouble. Europe is living in one of the most expensive periods because of this issue as well, high inflation and all so I am guessing that both parties want this to be gone already.
You are right and at the same time you are mistaken, I will explain why. Gazprom supplies gas to domestic consumers in Russia at a price of about $60 per thousand cubic meters, and this is not a subsidized price, but rather a benchmark for the lower limit of Gazprom's profitability. For Belarus, gas costs about x2 of the domestic price, for China, gas costs about x3 of the domestic price, for Europe last year, gas cost about x4 of the domestic price. Now look at the current spot price level at the hub in the Netherlands, which is x15 or higher from the domestic price. This is the price that Europe will pay and cry when buying gas from Gazprom, then cry again and pay again.
1920  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress] on: May 05, 2022, 06:59:02 PM
Yeah, I just don't see any reason why the Russians would want it, especially since the peeps in that are are likely to be much less friendly (even in the post Zenensky period.)  I don't really fully buy the argument of 'de-nazification' which strikes me as mostly a PR-friendly excuse.  The benefits of chasing the Nazis into the West is probably not worth the hassles, costs, and risks, and they would just back-fill when the area is vacated anyway.
I think we will soon see how events will develop in the West of Ukraine, because until the complete liberation of Donbass this is not a paramount issue and there are many interested parties, including Poland, Romania, Hungary and even Moldova. I'm not even sure that the West of Ukraine is now subordinate to Kyiv.

You still do not see it. Putin has been brought into a war that is a trap.
Do you now mean that Russia has become a victim of external manipulation and is not to blame for the invasion of Ukraine? This is something new from you.

Even in the best possible outcome, as war is happening now, Russia is still a looser. The army has demonstrated that is unable to wage modern warfare, even having in front an army that had less resources. He has suffered a number of diplomacy backslashes that are not easy to overcome. He has made Europe consider raising the military spending (seriously, Europe raising military spending... unheard of) to the delight of the US. Who could ever have thought that Germany and Europe would ever consider decoupling from Russian oil and start the process of finding alternative sourcing for gas? What a victory for Putin!

I really hope your guys are not betting your bitcoin on anything like a surrender. US cannot be happier than seeing Putin bleed himself and send the your Russian soldiers to serve as test dummies for their latest toys, the sea crews to test their naval missile and combined arms tactics, Russian pilots to test the Starstreaks, tanks to test the Javelins... Meanwhile, the money that should be flowing to make Russia a better a place and the people who should be making Russia a more populated nation are being sent to die on a war that cannot be "won".
I'm not sure I understand the red thread of these two paragraphs correctly. Do you accuse the United States of unleashing an armed conflict in Ukraine in order to weaken Russia and Europe, or what?

BTW, you do not seem to understand the concept of "unconditional", you may have read that in the official media I guess. Unconditional means "no conditions" - e.g. you do not get to keep any territory, nor army, nor government. It is all at the will of the victor - e.g. Japan after WW II so that you get the picture. I do not think you honestly believe that is going to happen.
I understand what unconditional means. Ukraine has already demonstrated a complete inability or unwillingness to negotiate, so I think a peace treaty between Russia and Ukraine will be concluded not as a result of successful negotiations, but as a result of the complete defeat of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.

Ok, so for now you do not like Jews (Hebrews should I say not to offend anyone?), you do not like the people who killed them either, you do not like Europe ("gayrope"?), the US... Sounds like the picture of a Russian supremacist (basically a Nazi). And you wonder why Ukraine did not want to play with you guys. Anyway, Putin is not challenging the world order, he is trying to be that order. Must be that all the countries (including Turkey!!) are ruled by the Israelis.
I didn't say I didn't like Jews. I said that being a Jew is not a panacea for Nazism, and gave very specific examples of Nazi Jews who are fighting on the side of Ukraine right now (some of them have very eclectic tattoos that combine a swastika and a Star of David).

"very experienced diplomat"
Do you doubt it? Lavrov touched Israel to the quick in passing, causing an (inadequately) violent reaction. Putin apologized for him and clarified the situation, having exhausted this conflict sucked from the finger. Perhaps now Israel will think before continuing to supply weapons and mercenaries to Ukraine, if its historical memory of the Holocaust is so dear to it. Good diplomacy.


My questions is.. do you also feel superior to all Semitic races and cultures?
I don't know how to formulate it. It seems strange to me that some people read and write from right to left, like Arabs and Jews. It also seems strange to me that some people read and write from top to bottom, like Chinese or Japanese. Is this a reason for me to feel superior because I read and write from left to right? I think not, although reading and writing from left to right personally seems to me definitely more familiar and convenient. And biodiversity is definitely important to me - that's why I'm willing to put up with the oddities of people of other nationalities, as long as they don't impose their cultural values ​​on me as the only correct ones.


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