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1921  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker on: January 22, 2013, 12:15:06 PM
Whale?  Huh
1922  Economy / Speculation / Re: Please discuss whether this is bullish or bearish and why on: January 21, 2013, 10:38:48 PM
Its call a breakout Grin

It's called, soon there's going to be a race to the door.
1923  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker on: January 21, 2013, 01:15:44 PM
Just saw a pretty good size whale poke his head out...
1924  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker on: January 21, 2013, 12:46:30 PM

Yes.
1925  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker on: January 21, 2013, 12:24:12 PM
Get ready in 3, 2,...



very long-flying whale... this on moon?

Wait for it....
1926  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker on: January 21, 2013, 12:06:20 PM
Get ready in 3, 2,...

1927  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker on: January 19, 2013, 03:37:07 PM
It's just leveling off. This RSI is just exasperated by the weekend effect combined with the sudden rise.

We may see the uptrend continue after the weekend. BitInstant revenue data would be a good way to tell what will happen.

Maybe, but is seems clear enough that the big players are trying to scare the price down to grab more coins, and they have enough weight to do it.  Selling into everything above $15 could induce panic and they could easily place themselves to buy back in the panic that follows into the $14s.  I mentioned a day or two ago that the order book would probably be flipping (i.e. asks mounting up against bids), and it appears to be happening right now.  Bids are going to get scared away.  We're at the beginning of a long down trend, I think.

From $14-$15, there is a demand for 30,000 Bitcoins. That backing adds too much certainty for there to be a significant decline past $14.95. People can try to make a quick buck all they like but it's not based in market fundamentals.

Additionally, I think this is market is mature enough to be immune to such manipulation.

By comparison to standard markets, this market is tiny and absolutely ripe for this kind of manipulation.  There are plenty of people on MtGox with more than 30,000 bitcoins at their disposal to wipe out the "demand" above $14 and then some.  I almost consider it an act of pure charity that these people don't just take their insane profits (most of them probably accumulated well under $10, or even $2) and leave this market in shambles.
1928  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker on: January 19, 2013, 03:33:18 PM
Rally resumes Monday.

Bears were counting on the weekend dip, they counted wrong.

What are you talking about?  It's dipping.  And the order book has almost completely turned around.  The big buying money has been spent.  The people who spent it now have lots of bitcoins, and they're probably the same ones you're seeing placed as giant ask walls on the ask side.  The hope would be that they could use the bitcoins they just bought to scare the price back down and in the process sell some of them to buy back more.
1929  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker on: January 19, 2013, 03:28:52 PM
It's just leveling off. This RSI is just exasperated by the weekend effect combined with the sudden rise.

We may see the uptrend continue after the weekend. BitInstant revenue data would be a good way to tell what will happen.

Maybe, but is seems clear enough that the big players are trying to scare the price down to grab more coins, and they have enough weight to do it.  Selling into everything above $15 could induce panic and they could easily place themselves to buy back in the panic that follows into the $14s.  I mentioned a day or two ago that the order book would probably be flipping (i.e. asks mounting up against bids), and it appears to be happening right now.  Bids are going to get scared away.  We're at the beginning of a long down trend, I think.
1930  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker on: January 19, 2013, 03:16:51 PM

Trend reversal from here? The tides seem to be turning.




I think so.  Likely going to see a mutli-month decline/stagnation.
1931  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker on: January 18, 2013, 07:48:03 PM
I sold some on the way up, too. Just reset (forget about it) and make new decisions.

This is good advice.

Also, never sell Tongue

unless you gained at least a dollar

I like to sell high, buy low, sell high, buy low but... Didn't expect this huge breakout.... Now I have only this smelly USD.... hehehe...

BTW, I'm smelling a dump...

I can smell it from the other side of the ocean Cheesy

LOLOLOLOLOL

Come to 14.7X!!!  Pleeeease!!     ^_^

A proper dump like we've seen in the past could easily take out everything down $13.  I'm waiting for that one, and the subsequent panic selling.   Grin
1932  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker on: January 18, 2013, 01:14:32 PM
Meh, I'm still waiting on single digits before buying again.
1933  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker on: January 17, 2013, 08:23:10 PM
The end.
1934  Economy / Speculation / Re: Mt Gox order book (asks) on: January 17, 2013, 06:32:47 PM
There have been times when the asks have been even thinner than that.  2011 this happened a bunch of times, IIRC.  Hasn't been this thin for a while though.  Just wait, soon we'll be looking at an enormous wave of ask orders.  The order book will end up looking flipped around.
1935  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker on: January 17, 2013, 05:01:20 PM
Probably gonna see a pretty intense round of selling soon.  My guess is large dumps down to $14, followed by a bunch of panic selling into the $13s. 

proudhon, how many YEARS is it now that you've been trying to talk the price down?

Man, has it been that long already?  Still waiting to buy again at $2.
1936  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker on: January 17, 2013, 04:41:27 PM
Probably gonna see a pretty intense round of selling soon.  My guess is large dumps down to $14, followed by a bunch of panic selling into the $13s. 
1937  Economy / Speculation / Re: The asymmetry on: January 17, 2013, 10:49:33 AM

But is it normal for a "right translated cycle" to have so much more volume in the down turns?

This is overall not really true.
We see strong volume accumulation on the upside over the past weeks.


Since yesterday yes - but before that for a few weeks all the big moves were sells.  Sometimes it is hard to see on the historic charts - because you need high resolution to see it - but this is what I remember.

Look at the last 10 days on bitcoincharts with a timescale of 15 minutes.  You can confirm that the biggest moves were sells, including a 10k+ sell from $14.2x down to just under $14.00.
1938  Economy / Speculation / Re: Call the Peak Contest/Experiment (1 BTC Prize) on: January 16, 2013, 05:23:15 PM
Ok, whatever the 2012 high was.  It's not going higher than that this year.  That's my guess.
1939  Economy / Speculation / Re: [Poll] How long until $1000 per 1 Bitcoin? on: January 16, 2013, 12:54:42 PM
Not going to happen.  Never.
1940  Economy / Speculation / Re: Call the Peak Contest/Experiment (1 BTC Prize) on: January 14, 2013, 08:06:31 PM
Whatever the high was/is between the 1st of the year and now, that's the peak.  $14.3x, I don't care to look up exactly what it is.  Let's just say $14.40.
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