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21  Economy / Securities / Re: [BitFunder] Ukyo.Loan - Paying 0.05% daily. on: July 11, 2014, 10:51:42 PM
Ukyo has made a lot of promises. I've talked to him here and there about his plans for the ukyo.loan funds.

Like others, he has told me he is working on a big project but I know even less about it that other posters here seem to.

He has said he would be posting here soon with a status update. I can understand why he avoids these boards, but we, as creditors, need something.

The big question is how long are we willing to wait?

At some point his biggest creditors are going to sue him forcing him to pay up what he can and declare bankruptcy to get rid of the rest.

I hope it doesn't come to that, but it really is a question of how patient are we willing to be.

Does ukyo really have a big project that will enable him to pay off the debt by the end of the year (as he has claimed) or is he simply living off of all our bitcoins?

Personally, I think we deserve more information from him. I have had an awful hard time contacting him recently and have a lawyer on retainer if it seems like he has abandoned us. I am trying to give him the benefit of the doubt but I am about to start the legal process in the meantime as he his lack of communication is leaving me no other choice.

FWIW, ukyo owes me >250 btc presently. I might be his biggest creditor. I'm not entirely sure.
22  Bitcoin / Mining speculation / Re: Mining Projections given the 25%+ diff increase expected this next week on: June 26, 2014, 07:54:52 PM
I expect anyone with a BFL miner will be turning it off in 2 days. Avalons are already long gone. KNC, Hashfast, Bitfury are still around for now... but maybe not for long.

23  Bitcoin / Mining speculation / Re: Noob question, bitcoin difficulty / profitability, is it linear? on: June 26, 2014, 07:52:25 PM
Ahh ok I think I understand now.

So if in say one year, the difficulty doubles from 10 million to 20 million, a 100% increase, profitability (ignoring power costs) would then decrease to 50% (10/20 = 0.5).

Another example, if it increases from 10 million to say 45 million, profitability would decrease to 22% (10/45 = 0.222*).

Correct?

Yes, that that is correct.

It currently rises at roughly 15% every two weeks though which is waaaay more than 100% a year.
24  Economy / Securities / Re: [Weexchange issue] The fall of Ukyo III - Updates and references on: June 19, 2014, 10:57:17 PM
any news or update?
cheers

I've been trying to get in touch with Ukyo for almost a week now and I haven't had any luck.

Try it on IRC... the chances are you get him though he is really watching on strange times so one cant say when he is watching.

I've talked to him on IRC before.

But I've been messaging him there almost every day and have yet to hear from him.

You must try it on different times the day. At one point he always answered me then.

I've never had a problem getting in touch with him before. When was the last time you talked to him on IRC?
25  Economy / Scam Accusations / Re: The 94% Con by Jon Montroll on: June 19, 2014, 09:10:41 PM
Anyone have any news on this?

I've been trying to contact him for 2 weeks now and he hasn't been on bitcointalk for a while and does not respond to messages anymore.

I've begun my investigation and the lawyers are about to get involved.

I wish it didn't have to end this way, but he has given me no choice and no way to contact him.

I anticipate this will end pretty quickly with a personal bankruptcy declaration from ukyo while the rest of us divvy up what little assets he has remaining.

I imagine he has assets in bitcoin that he will not disclose. He is likely going to have to come up with a very good explanation for what happened to the ukyo.loan and bitfunder/weexchange money or he will be facing fraud charges in addition. It does not look good for him.

There seems to be at least a few people who are owed >100 btc. They are not going to sit around and let all that money disappear.

I hope for his own sake that he comes back and posts something here.
26  Economy / Securities / Re: [Weexchange issue] The fall of Ukyo III - Updates and references on: June 19, 2014, 07:57:56 PM
any news or update?
cheers

I've been trying to get in touch with Ukyo for almost a week now and I haven't had any luck.

Try it on IRC... the chances are you get him though he is really watching on strange times so one cant say when he is watching.

I've talked to him on IRC before.

But I've been messaging him there almost every day and have yet to hear from him.
27  Economy / Securities / Re: [Weexchange issue] The fall of Ukyo III - Updates and references on: June 18, 2014, 05:25:25 PM
any news or update?
cheers

I've been trying to get in touch with Ukyo for almost a week now and I haven't had any luck.
28  Economy / Securities / Re: Neo & Bee talk (spam free thread) on: June 12, 2014, 05:06:46 AM
I'm really surprised Havelock hasn't been shut down by the SEC already. BTCT and Bitfunder have both been shut down. Why is Havelock still around?
They are an investment company based and registered in Panama.  The (U.S.) Securities and Exchanges Commission  may perhaps "take an interest" in them if they sell to American citizens/residents, but oterwise it should have no jurisdiction over them.

Doesn't matter to the SEC. Look what happened to Liberty Reserve. They were based in Costa Rica and torn apart by the US Govt.

Bitfunder attempted to stop doing business with US residents and citizens in order to protect themselves but that wasn't enough. The SEC will shut down any unlicensed security exchange. It's just a matter of time.
29  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: Did you think Dogecoin will be the next bitcoin? on: June 11, 2014, 06:48:12 PM
longer answer: definitely no


dogecoin is a joke. It's a get-rich-quick scheme.

It's not a seriously currency and no one outside of internet nerds will every take it seriously.

Don't waste your money.
30  Economy / Securities / Re: *^*Potential SCAM WARNING*^* [HAVELOCK] on: June 11, 2014, 05:10:36 PM
Thanks for the warning, but we do a background check on all of our Funds. Any one that has applied to be listed on our exchange has submitted extensive information before getting approved to be listed.

Again we understand your concern, however anyone that has worked with us over the past couple of years knows we do not list any of our Funds lightly. If they are successful and able to raise the capital that falls on the merit of the company, not the exchange.

Havelock Investments

Yeah right, what about Neobee which you so heavily promoted?
31  Economy / Securities / Re: Neo & Bee talk (spam free thread) on: June 11, 2014, 05:09:46 PM
I'm really surprised Havelock hasn't been shut down by the SEC already. BTCT and Bitfunder have both been shut down. Why is Havelock still around?

Their relationship to Neobee is very suspect.

32  Economy / Securities / Re: [BitFunder] Ukyo.Loan - Paying 0.05% daily. on: June 11, 2014, 05:02:04 PM
how much does he owe you if you dont mind telling us ?
I do not understand why a bunch of you do not pool together.. you only need 1 solicitor.
surely a few of you together could afford it ?

Peronally I'd be on a plane to USA or wherever he is... but i am spiteful lol... espeacilly when money is involved.

I would say I wish you all the best of luck (and I do) but at this stage... it is not looking good.....
More chance of Pirate saying out....

I'm trying to contact him presently. He said in early May that he expected dividends to resume in about a month and expected to repay the loan by the end of the year.

I'm going to try to find out if he is still on track for that timeline.

I've talked to SOSLOVE868, and will likely join up with him for a lawsuit in the event the loan is not repaid. I think that are best chance is to avoid the legal route if at all possible. We may have no choice though.

fyi, ukyo owes me roughly 250 btc. I'm not sure how much he owes SOSLOVE868. A smaller amount, but still a significant amount if I recall correctly.
33  Bitcoin / Legal / Re: Report my Bitcoin earnings to the IRS? No way! on: April 17, 2014, 12:17:21 AM
Have fun in jail!

It doesn't matter if you own a pizza palor, mine bitcoins, or sell drugs.

You always owe taxes!

Why don't you move to a country where there are no capital gains tax and no income tax.

As long as you live in the US or are an US citizen you will be breaking the law and the IRS will catch up with you.



Plenty of cash only businesses under-report their earnings. Some get caught, many don't. If you know the tools that the IRS uses to catch these types of tax evaders (I do) it would be easy to keep your BTC-to-cash transactions under the radar and get away with this indefinitely. Even with a random audit. However, if the IRS for some reason or other opens a criminal investigation on you then it is a different story ...

Yes, but I doubt the OP is running a cash-only business with which he can use to launder his money.

The second he sells $5k worth of coins on Coinbase, wires in $5k from a sale on Bitstamp, deposits a check for $5k from CampBX, or $5k in cash from sales he made on localbitcoins, his bank is likely secretly filling out forms and reporting him. They won't tell him and in fact, they are not allowed to. Try to break up the deposits into smaller amounts and you'll be charged with structuring, which is a much more serious crime. I suppose you could use localbitcoins and keep it all in cash and spend it slowly. Try doing that with $100k+ though without attracting any suspicions. You become very limited with what you can do with your money. Fancy dinners are probably ok. Jewelry and sports cars are not.

So, yes, once that money hits your bank account, you run the risk of getting audited. And if you are audited, you'll have to explain it to the IRS. Yes, you can launder it, it happens all the time, and lots of people get away with it. But lots get caught too.

If you made <$5k from your bitcoins then really who gives a sh*t anyways. The IRS isn't going to care about that amount of chump change and frankly, as an honest taxpayer, I don't really care about that amount either.

34  Bitcoin / Legal / Re: Report my Bitcoin earnings to the IRS? No way! on: April 16, 2014, 09:23:12 PM
Have fun in jail!

It doesn't matter if you own a pizza palor, mine bitcoins, or sell drugs.

You always owe taxes!

Why don't you move to a country where there are no capital gains tax and no income tax.

As long as you live in the US or are an US citizen you will be breaking the law and the IRS will catch up with you.

35  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Transaction confirmation time down on: April 05, 2014, 02:33:47 AM
One could theoretically create an app that first sends out the payment to the merchant's address. But immediately after that also sends the same to 50 other addresses too. I think there is a chance one of those 50 will get confirmed and the merchant could end up with nothing. Is this possible?

It's possible but the merchant would see the duplicate transactions almost immediately. And then one transaction would very very quickly spread over the network kicking the other ones out, I believe.

The way to successfully double spend is to submit the transaction at two different nodes very far from each other. Even then, you only have seconds at most to grab the merchandise and run before the merchant notices the double spend. And you only have a 50/50 chance of it succeeding. And that is also assuming the merchant isn't very well connected to the bitcoin network. It isn't easy to do in practice, for small transactions it doesn't even matter, and usually will be noticed by the merchant.
36  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Transaction confirmation time down on: April 05, 2014, 02:30:01 AM
Average confirmation time of ~10 minutes is still quite significant. Won't cause any problem for the online shoppers. But people who want to use BTC for retail shopping won't be able to do it.

Retail transactions are routinely performed at 0 confirmations, because transaction propagation alone validates any given transaction better than any other payment method in existence already. 10 minute blocks being a hindrance to retail application is the biggest myth that absolutely refuses to die.

Except as a business owner I'm not giving you ANYTHING till I see 3 confirmations.


There is really no need for that. Once you see the transaction go through, even without confirmations, you are safe.
The transaction will end up going through...there is no way for the purchaser to reverse it once you see it show up.

OK, I thought that having 51% of the hashing power allows you to do just that and more....

Exactly! Since nobody controls or will control 51% of the hashing power, there is no fear for a business owner.

You could double spend the transaction.

If you control 10% of the hash power, you can replace the Tx in your mempool with one that overrides the existing one. It'll have a 10% chance of working.


Who controls even 10% of the hashpower??

And why would you risk losing your 25 bitcoin block reward just to have a small chance of double-spending some satoshi at your local starbucks, lol.

Any amount of money that would be comparable to the current block reward (25 btc) would wait for one confirmation at least.

Double spending <<1 BTC isn't worth the pain it would take to have the small chance of succeeding.

Do you remember when grocery stores used to cash checks for you so you could do your shopping? People defrauded them all the time and they'd put up your picture and never accept checks from you again. It was part of the cost of doing business but brought in a lot of customers because it was convenient.

 
37  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Transaction confirmation time down on: April 05, 2014, 02:25:34 AM
Average confirmation time of ~10 minutes is still quite significant. Won't cause any problem for the online shoppers. But people who want to use BTC for retail shopping won't be able to do it.

Retail transactions are routinely performed at 0 confirmations, because transaction propagation alone validates any given transaction better than any other payment method in existence already. 10 minute blocks being a hindrance to retail application is the biggest myth that absolutely refuses to die.

Except as a business owner I'm not giving you ANYTHING till I see 3 confirmations.

Well then you are going to lose customers to other businesses that are smart and realize there is no point to wait for a confirmation.

38  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: If there's a huge drop in hash power.. on: April 05, 2014, 01:16:50 AM
Wouldn't that cause issues?

Like let's say, the difficulty just reset, so we have 2016 blocks to go till the next change. At the current hash power, it'll take ~ 10 minutes / block like it's supposed to.

And for whatever reason, 95% of the hash power is taken off the network (which is NOT totally unrealistic. If there's a rise in electricity costs or a decline in bitcoin prices to the point where power cost > value of bitcoins mined, a lot of ASICs will be taken offline, since even if you wanted the bitcoin, it'd be cheaper to not run the ASIC and buy the bitcoin instead). The difficulty is still the same, and will remain the same for 2016 blocks. If 95% of the GH disappears, then each block will now take 200 minutes to find on average, for the next 280 days.

yes, it could happen, but probably wont
39  Economy / Securities / Re: Neo & Bee talk (spam free thread) on: April 04, 2014, 09:44:36 PM
I'm Hodling. I believe in Neo & Bee.

Quote of the day!!



I see two possible positive outcomes here:

1) Investors come in with enough liquid investment to keep the lights on for the next 6-12 months. They start making money. My idea would be via a BTC exchange. BitSTAMP are making around 80BTC a day (my estimate) in trading fees. There is not much money to be made in btc banking yet. In the future yes. Right now the way to make money is exchange through trading fees.

2) By the time the Karpeles and Ukyo coins are returned BTC is at 10k USD. That would make around 20Million USD. Enough to pay back all debtors and pay what....$1 a share? Maybe a lot more.

If Bitcoin was at 10k USD, Ukyo would not be able to afford to buy back all the coins to return to Neobee.
Likely the same is true with Karpeles and the "missing" coins.
40  Economy / Securities / Re: I'm done with Bitcoin Securities... on: April 04, 2014, 12:53:16 AM
Of course there is crap in traditional investments, but not to nearly the same percentage that there is in BTC Securities. I have dealt with plenty of both types of investments to know that most of the crap is in BTC Securities.
Yes because the "investors" here are morons with no experience.
For instance you often see refusal of financial reports because "IBM doesn't do that". Crazy, right?
Because instead of questioning the stuff that doesn't add up, they shill more because they think it's their interest.

And the bankers who sold the crappy investments still run free.

The Banksters definitely need to be held accountable. Perhaps as dpb suggests a privately run or sponsored citizens/investors coalition could be formed that we could all trust to do the basic vetting for us.

dpb I did not mean to suggest that a simple criminal background check was all that was required for due diligence. My example was meant to point out that it would be crazy to expect 1000's of investors for a fund to have to each carry out the same process of vetting the funds. If you think of securities in general there are probably thousands if not millions of funds, and thousands if not hundreds of thousands of investors in each one. Without a central place, either public or private, where vetting can occur it would make it very wasteful for all these people to individually exercise due diligence on each one.

A simple credit rating check is often a better indicator of character than a criminal check, but even then there is no simple answer as a good man can become bad.

Most Bitcoin users are not investors; they are average folks who got lucky and now have access to more wealth than they know how to manage. Handing your money over to a stranger doesn't make you an investor; it makes you an idiot. How do you think individuals make a living out of investing if any nobody could do it from home on his iPad?

Most people would tell you only an idiot would but some nonexistent currency from some website in Japan that used to sell collectable nerd cards.

At least that's what people told me when I bought my first bitcoin a year and a half ago.

These days they are asking me why they I didn't tell them to buy any when I first bought in.

So I think you had to have been kind of an idiot to take a risk on Bitcoin to begin with.
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