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201  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Tennis League All Thread on: January 30, 2024, 11:17:27 PM



Quote from: aoluain


BTW, any of you guys betting on UTR Pro Tennis events?

No but watching some matches at the ATP Montpellier in France.

We watched Murray v Paire, Paire went through in 3 sets. Not great Tennis but entertaining
anyway. Murray just isnt enjoying his Tennis, he has said that but he really needs to finish up.

At this stage he is struggling to beat almost everyone on tour at ATP level, no disrespect to Paire.
He's struggling, but he doesn't have a plan to announce his retirement. He fought well against Paire, but he wasn't able to make it his match. Soon after the match, he said most of the players in my situation will retire, but I don't want to be the most, and I'll fight and work to produce the performance he's capable of. Last year, he mentioned that if his play isn't satisfactory, he'll announce his retirement in December 2023, and it continues.

Andy just loves tennis and loves playing so much he just can't quit. I remember right after the hip surgery he had, doctors told him he shouldn't play or the artificial joint will wear out too quickly. I guess they mentioned something like 1-2 years. But Andy wants to play so bad he doesn't give a damn.  
202  Economy / Economics / Re: Tech Layoffs on: January 30, 2024, 10:29:15 PM
Not a day goes by without a tech company announcing major job cuts. Today Paypal and Block (both payment service providers) have announced a total of 3500 job cuts, and recently Salesforce, Microsoft, SAP, Google, Ebay etc. have also done so. According to https://layoffs.fyi, 25,000 documented tech jobs have already been cut this year.

What do you think? Is it just a shrinkage and normalization after the strong build-up of the workforce during Corona or a long-term trend that will accelerate through the use of AI?


I guess it's mostly because of recession and general economic downturn. AI as the reason for layoffs? Can't think of any tech professional which could be replaced by AI right now. However, I can't exclude it can happen over time with AI becoming more advanced.
203  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Jamie Dimon-JP Morgan CEO "Satoshi will come back and erase bitcoin" on: January 30, 2024, 10:04:30 PM
"“I think there’s a good chance that … when we get to that 21 million Bitcoins, [Satoshi Nakamato] is going to come on there, laugh hysterically, go quiet, and all Bitcoin is going to be erased.” - https://cryptoslate.com/jpms-jamie-dimon-believes-satoshi-nakamoto-will-either-increase-or-erase-bitcoin-supply/

Watch - https://youtu.be/eneB3s9bCdI?si=GWdEagybtmQ2lUur

Clearly this scumbag ( with 40 BILLION dollars in fraud violations since the year 2000 https://violationtracker.goodjobsfirst.org/parent/jpmorgan-chase ) has either no clue how bitcoin works or is just simply spreading straight FUD.

Satoshi no longer has access to being a core dev, and it's written in to the blockchain that 21 million is the supply cap.  I hate this man with a passion, and trust me I know hate is a very strong word.  

Honestly, I don't think Satoshi is still alive. Scenario of Satoshi being alive and destroying Bitcoin after 21m cap is reached seems too unrealistic. But well, what can you expect from old Bitcoin hater Dimon?
204  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: You must have a source on: January 30, 2024, 01:30:02 PM
You must have a source of income if you must succeed in your holdings.

For the few years I have been into cryptocurrency, I have discovered that you can't hold till the right time if your don't have a source of income. Just imagine that you have a pressing basic needs like feeding or rent, then you don't have money  to finance it, you will be forced to sell your Bitcoin at a loss if you don't have a source of income outside your holdings.

Most people that have sold their Bitcoin holdings at a loss or at an average price actually have the patience but don't have the knowledge of how to hold, because a good holder must be aware that he needs a source of income for him to be able to consolidate to his holdings.

It has happened to me severally, I have been able to hold now, since I started working as a merchandiser with Guinness, I think most times, experience is the best teacher.

So very true, but with one exception: if you are an early adopter and possess lots of coins it won't affect you much. Otherwise, living off your coins (without additional income) is a terrible idea, which could lead to premature liquidation and eventually going bust.
205  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Tennis League All Thread on: January 30, 2024, 08:02:33 AM
2 sets down though is a lot to claw back from, the only one I can remember doing
it in a grand slam is Djokovic...
Well, Medvedev came back from 0:2 in a semi-final against Zverev. Or you meant GS finals?

Quote from: aoluain
Yup and those young guns are Sinner, Alcaraz, Rune and Medvedev, and it will be
interesting to see what Zverev can do as the season progresses.
Young? Medvedev is 28, Zverev turning 27 this year. Sinner is 22, I guess we can call him young...

Alcaraz, Shelton, Prizmic are next-gen players we should focus on. WTA tour: Andreeva, Fruhvirtova, Korneeva...

BTW, any of you guys betting on UTR Pro Tennis events?
206  Economy / Economics / Re: Russian Gas ban - A problem for Europe or suicide for Russia? on: January 29, 2024, 11:06:17 PM
It is now completely obvious that Russia’s plan to blackmail European countries by cutting off gas supplies to these countries has completely failed. In the end, Russia only made things worse for itself. Europe, although experiencing certain difficulties, is quite successfully switching to other gas suppliers. But for Russia it is much more difficult to find markets for gas in such large quantities.

Russia hoped to freeze Europe. But this winter there are big difficulties with heating only in Russia. Near Moscow and in other regions, entire settlements are freezing in their houses and apartments due to problems with housing and communal services. People warm themselves in the streets near the fire.

What plan? There was no plan. US and EU sanctioned Russia and refused to buy gas and oil and many other stuff. So what plan are you talking about?  But if you're unaware EU keep buying Russian oil and gas up to this day via proxies.

Russia hoped to freeze Europe? Really? They never sanctioned oil and gas exports, whereas US together with some NATO states blew up Nord Stream pipelines. So, who hopes to freeze Europe?  Grin  
207  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Tennis League All Thread on: January 29, 2024, 05:26:54 PM
Medvedev himself experienced perhaps more emotions than he did to Zverev 3 days ago. It is really difficult to lose a match when you are leading 2-0 in sets. Especially if it is the championship final, it is even more difficult. Sinner showed a great example of struggle. It is not easy to turn the match from 2-0 against an opponent like Medvedev, but Sinner managed to do it.
Young tennis players who will make their mark on the future are coming. Alcaraz and Sinner are candidates to be the Nadal and Djokovic of the future. I will watch them with excitement.
Maybe Medvedev does have psychological problems, because this is not his first lost final.
It seems that he was only able to beat Novak Djokovic once in 2021, and all other finals he lost.

Sinner played terribly in the first two sets and made almost every possible mistake and it was more his failure than Medvedev's, but then Sinner was able to pull himself together and win the match.

Of course for Medvedev this is the second five-set match in 24 hours and he probably couldn't take such a load.
So fatigue and psychology probably predetermined Medvedev's defeat in this final.

Yeah, Medvedev's fuel tank was almost empty after the 5-set match against Zverev. And yet, he had very good opportunities twice - he lost his serve game in the 3rd set while trailing 4:5, which eventually lead to losing the set and exactly the same carbon copy scenario in the 4th set - again 4:5 and again serve lost. I'm pretty sure if Medvedev would manage to take it into the tie breaker he would have an opportunity to win the match. In the 5th set Daniil was too tired, he even tried going to the net which he is not particularly comfortable with. Of course he lost points, but he was so desperate and tired to try anything else.
208  Economy / Services / Re: [OPEN] MetaWin.com Signature Campaign | The First WEB3 Casino | Sr Member+ on: January 28, 2024, 12:05:24 PM
Rank- Legendary
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209  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Tennis League All Thread on: January 28, 2024, 08:04:04 AM
Gentlemen, big day today! Sinner is taking on Medvedev in 2024 AO final. The Italian was pretty convincing throughout the tournament, eliminating Novak Djokovic himself on the way to the final. However, Medvedev shouldn't be underestimated - he also played very well in Melbourne this year, defeating top players like Zverev. The Russian has more GS experience, particularly playing in the later stages, like finals. Not sure if this is going to help him and will be enough to come out victorious in today's final battle. I placed a tiny bet on Jannik because I'm not quite sure of the outcome, despite bookies considering him an overwhelming favourite.     
210  Economy / Economics / Re: Food security in the world has been shaken by Russia's actions on: January 27, 2024, 10:51:44 AM
Oh, you're still here? Why is that? You have to fight for your Motherland in Donbas! For such a great patriot like yourself, it's your #1 duty! Too afraid?

You also retell the touching propaganda tale about "28 Panfilovtsy" and how the USSR did not start the Second World War, but was its victim - the level of nonsense will be commensurate. You are the perfect heir of Soviet fans of fictitious victories ! Smiley
Oh, the USSR started the WW2? Mmmkay... your should check your mental health ASAP.  Grin What is the next BS you're saying? Hitler was a good guy in fact?  Grin

Quote from: DrBeer
How are the A50, IL22, IL67 and why does a victorious country build air defense rings around St. Petersburg and Moscow ? Smiley
Oh, I'm glad you mentioned that IL67 plane. For those who are not aware, it's the story of the glorious AFU downing the plane carrying UKRAINIAN prisoners of war!  Grin Grin Grin
Your military are really good at recycling your own citizens and troops. You'ŗe doing it at record rate! Should receive some award or medal from Putin for that!  Grin

Quote from: DrBeer
Dialogue with a person from real, fictional reality is over. Let's move on to real events:
1. As you have all noticed, after the rashist regime of Russia received a blow to the face, and was forced to withdraw its fleet to the eastern coast of the Black Sea, in the UN sharply disappeared squeals of pocket dogs of the Kremlin, that only Russia can save the world from hunger. No one is suffering anymore, there is no shortage of grain. But there is a cornered Russian Black Sea fleet. Or rather its miserable remnants Smiley
2 And some statistics from Rosstat Smiley
The cost of ritual services and goods has risen sharply in Russia against the background of the war with Ukraine, which brought the army record losses since the Second World War.
In 2022-23, the average price of coffin making in the country jumped 22.2%, according to statistics from Rosstat. In the first year of the war, coffins went up by 15.82%, and last year by another 5.55%.
https://fedstat.ru/indicator/31074
Perhaps the best indirect indicator of "economic stability" and "victories".
I'm sure this data will be classified soon too Smiley
Your link to the "source" doesn't work (as always) so I presume just another "facts" you saw in your dream?  Grin
211  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Tennis League All Thread on: January 26, 2024, 11:29:11 PM
Ladies final tomorrow. Sabalenka is going to face Zheng. Last year's AO champ is a favourite of course, but the young Chinese can shock the tennis world by beating WTA #2. Belarussian is showing perhaps the best women's tennis since Serena. She is more experienced and has more titles, including GS.

What worries me the most is the slight performance drop Sabalenka showed in a match against Gauff. She lost momentum and was kind of hesitant , confused and lost her focus a bit. If something similar will happen tomorrow vs Zheng, she could potentially lose the match. 
212  Economy / Economics / Re: Economic Implications of War on Individuals on: January 26, 2024, 11:01:37 PM
European countries are now faced with the need to transfer their economies to a military footing, since it is already obvious that Russia will not limit itself to seizing the territory of Ukraine. This means that instead of efforts aimed at improving people’s lives, shells and missiles will be manufactured that will cause yet another mass of deaths.
Really? Obvious? Can you provide any source, colonel?  Grin It doesn't look obvious to me at all. Russia will be exhausted after the war and they can't confront the entire NATO. That's BS. And why do your think Russia is going to seize the territory of Ukraine? Please quote any Russian politician or government official saying that.

Nobody is forcing them to manufacture weapons. They themselves decided to choose a side in this conflict.
213  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Tennis League All Thread on: January 24, 2024, 02:20:33 PM
And Zverev wins!  Cool
214  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bullrun top on: January 24, 2024, 01:40:40 PM
Hi all, long time investor   what's everyones opinion on this bullrun .?... IMO will see a market top q4 2024

each ATH (bullrun top) happens +1 year after halving
2011 ATH($30) year after first market open
2013 ATH($1.2k) year after 2012 halving
2017 ATH($20k) year after 2016 halving
2021 ATH($70k) year after 2020 halving
thus mid spring-summer 2025 prediction for next ATH (bullrun top)

halving year normally does not exceed previous ATH

2012 halving year reached $15:  did not exceed 2011 ATH($30)
2016 halving year reached $750:  did not exceed 2013 ATH($1.2k)
2020 halving year reached $20k:  did not exceed 2017 ATH($20k)

so 2024 pattern would expect to not exceed 2021 ATH($70k)

..
with that said. when a pattern is too well known. many people anticipate and plan to beat the pattern, thus breaking the pattern

Good post, only wondering why you think that next ATH is going to happen in spring/summer of 2025? Until now, all ATHs were reached in November/December.

Correct me if I'm wrong, but Bitcoin normally reaches previous cycle's ATH during the halving year. Then why do you think we're not going to exceed last cycle's ATH this year? 
215  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Tennis League All Thread on: January 24, 2024, 11:59:10 AM
Medvedev needed 5 sets for reaching the semi-finals. Hurkacz played more risky in this match, while Medvedev played it for safely. That was interesting to watch. It was a match that took a lot of energy. Medvedev said in the interview, hes is totally exhausted but happy. Now he can recover a little bit and watch who his next opponent will be. Alcaraz or Zverev.

Medvedev has never been a good tennis player in my eyes. Hurkacz fought well, but Medvedev came out on top.
It is a fact that Novak plays tennis more effectively despite his age. If Novak had not been banned from the Australian Open when he was anti-vaccination, he could have become the Australian Open champion that year too.
He is one of the favorites this year too, but there is a threat like Alcaraz. I am looking forward to seeing how Alcaraz will perform in front of Zverev.
Medvedev passed this round, only to be crushed by Alcaraz in the semi-finals.

Define "good player". Medvedev is real good, his is an ex #1 ATP player and a GS winner! If you mean he has poor technical skills, I agree, but that doesn't make him a bad player. There are thousands of players with perfect forehands and backhands and serves and volleys but unfortunately they can't win in a competitive match.

Anyway, WTA semifinals are known:

Sabalenka v Gauff
Yastremska v Zheng

The Ukrainian qualifier Yastremska is the biggest suprise of this tournament. And her journey is not over yet.

Now watching Zverev v Alcaraz and it's 6:1 Zverev first set. What a surprise! My bet is on Carlitos so I'm praying he's gonna come back.
216  Economy / Economics / Re: How do you consider the prospects of global economy in 2024? on: January 24, 2024, 07:04:14 AM
Another important thing to consider this year is that 2024 is the year of elections. There are a bunch of elections that could change the course of the world this year.

For example the elections in Taiwan that was in January 13. I don't follow that closely but some summaries from reliable source I read say those who won, moved China and Taiwan a big step closer to war. We know that this war would affect the global economy and the size experts suggest is $10 trillion.
There will be no war. Uncle Sam already stated they're not going to support Taiwan.

Quote
"We do not support independence..." Biden said, when asked for reaction to Saturday's elections.

Source: https://www.reuters.com/world/biden-us-does-not-support-taiwan-independence-2024-01-13/

Translation: Sorry guys, we don't have enough money to support you. We gave away too much money and military aid to Ukraine and Israel so you're now on your own. Nothing personal, just business.

Quote from: pooya87
Other important elections are US presidential elections in November, Russian presidential election in March both of which could affect the proxy war going on between NATO and Russia and consequently the economy.
And of course a lot of other countries that are seeing significant changes in their political scene (like in Europe) moving towards more "radical parties" that are making more radical decisions for their country which makes things unpredictable.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_elections_in_2024
Chances are, the Republicans are going to win in the US. Which means the war is going to stop (no chances for Ukraine without US support). 
217  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: 120 USD to transfer 25 cents - Taproot genius transaction on: January 24, 2024, 06:49:44 AM
]
I couldn't stop laughing about the imagined concept of distinguishable and rare satoshis. Did I miss the memo that satoshis are non-fungible now? Why people believe in such a bullshit? Even worse, they pay for it!
All satoshis are equally rare. Making money of dumb people on the other hand is not rare at all, it happens everywhere.

This. Unfortunately, very few understand it.
218  Economy / Economics / Re: How do you consider the prospects of global economy in 2024? on: January 23, 2024, 10:36:35 PM
The global economy is yet to stand upright after the Covid-19 pandemic. The uncertainty in the economy remains the same in 2024. Covid-19 has affected the global economy but Russia and Ukraine war affect more than the pandemic. A large part of economists think that we will not fully recover from its effects this year either. They believe that due to high interest rate policies and geopolitical difficulties in most countries in the world, an unstable environment has been created in almost every part of the world.

Image

A survey by the WEF- World Economic Forum revealed that around 56% of economists think the economy will remain weak in 2024 and 3% of economists think the economy will be worse this year than ever before. Overall, a large portion of economists think that the unemployment rate will also increase in the labor market. Moreover, the International Labor Organization (ILO) has expressed an opinion where they think 20 people will enter the target in 2024, unemployment rate may rise to 5.2 percent which was 5.1 percent in the previous year due to the low rate of employment. However, 57 percent of economists though provide negative attitude, while 43 percent of economists gave good news. They expect the economy to be stronger in 2024.

Image

On the other hand, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) is of the opinion that due to trade barriers in various countries, production will decrease, resulting in lower income economies suffering more.

Do you think the economy will be stronger in 2024 or could it be weaker?


Undoubtedly, world economy is not going to resume growth until the war is over. But I have a gut feeling that war is going to end later this year, probably fall or winter. So there's a fair chance of growth resuming in 2025. Good news is that it will coincide with Bitcoin's four year cycle's top.
219  Economy / Economics / Re: Vitalik Buterin's Financial Advice on: January 23, 2024, 09:50:28 PM
Vitalik Buterin Took to Twitter to share Some of His Financial Advice.
quoting a Tweet About Bill Gates and Warren Buffett He Wrote:

Quote
Some actual financial advice:

* Diversification is good.
* Save. Get to the point where you have enough to cover multiple years of expenses. Financial safety is freedom.
* Be boring with most of your portfolio.
* Don't use >2x leverage. Just don't.
Tweet Link: https://twitter.com/VitalikButerin/status/1743991285214527532

What are Your thoughts about his financial advice guys? I like the first and 2nd which I've been doing by myself too.

My thoughts is that this advice is pretty trivial, Vitalik is saying obvious things. You can get such "valuable" advise here on this forum by simply visiting every second thread.  Grin
220  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: 120 USD to transfer 25 cents - Taproot genius transaction on: January 23, 2024, 05:52:28 PM
This recent transaction stands out a bit...

0.00288744 BTC (120.19 USD) to transfer 600 sats (25 cents)

No change address (you're welcome, miners)

https://blockchair.com/bitcoin/transaction/7d57e84ab62612c501d4f2a6c3df1b806b7057165b82a444e97f041ad9f7516c

Here is the raw transaction (~25k bytes - for scrolling purposes):

Code:
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WHY?

What was the plan? Can we think of any sort of justisifaction other than making it to the hall of shame?

Probably fat finger or some retarded monkey pic buyer...  Cool
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