Latest posts of: Bugpowder

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201

Economy / Securities / Re: Want to borrow up to 1000 ASICMINER passthru shares

on: March 26, 2013, 08:22:06 PM

Quote from: creativex on March 26, 2013, 01:48:47 PM Think they're goin' down eh? They took a nice haircut yesterday. I guess I'm a week late on this idea... [16:17] <@assbot> [BTCTC] [ASICMINER-PT] 1 @ 0.744 BTC [16:17] <@assbot> [BTCTC] [ASICMINER-PT] 1 @ 0.743 BTC [-] [16:17] <@assbot> [BTCTC] [ASICMINER-PT] 1 @ 0.742 BTC [-] [16:17] <@assbot> [BTCTC] [ASICMINER-PT] 1 @ 0.741 BTC [-] [16:17] <@assbot> [BTCTC] [ASICMINER-PT] 1 @ 0.74 BTC [-] [16:17] <@assbot> [BTCTC] [ASICMINER-PT] 1 @ 0.73801 BTC [-] [16:17] <@assbot> [BTCTC] [ASICMINER-PT] 1 @ 0.738 BTC [-] [16:17] <@assbot> [BTCTC] [ASICMINER-PT] 1 @ 0.7191 BTC [-] [16:17] <@assbot> [BTCTC] [ASICMINER-PT] 2 @ 0.695 = 1.39 BTC [-] [16:17] <@assbot> [BTCTC] [ASICMINER-PT] 20 @ 0.6502 = 13.004 BTC [-] [16:17] <@assbot> [BTCTC] [ASICMINER-PT] 1 @ 0.6501 BTC [-] [16:17] <@assbot> [BTCTC] [ASICMINER-PT] 3 @ 0.6501 = 1.9503 BTC [-] [16:17] <@assbot> [BTCTC] [ASICMINER-PT] 1 @ 0.65 BTC [-] [16:17] <@assbot> [BTCTC] [ASICMINER-PT] 3 @ 0.61002 = 1.8301 BTC [-] [16:17] <@assbot> [BTCTC] [ASICMINER-PT] 1 @ 0.6 BTC [-] [16:17] <@assbot> [BTCTC] [ASICMINER-PT] 19 @ 0.6 = 11.4 BTC [-] [16:17] <@assbot> [BTCTC] [ASICMINER-PT] 1 @ 0.59998 BTC [-]

202

Economy / Service Discussion / Re: Fastcash4bitcoin

on: March 26, 2013, 06:18:26 PM

Quote from: reefless on March 24, 2013, 07:51:58 AM Has anyone tried to trade with this website yet? Is there any proof that there will be no problem to sell bitcoin for USD in paypal? Please give your evidence here Thx My friend cashed out over $20,000 in coins from them. Did 1 wire a day for 4 days. Money came next day each time. Highly recommended.

203

Economy / Securities / Want to borrow up to 1000 ASICMINER passthru shares

on: March 26, 2013, 04:02:30 AM

Looking to borrow up to 1,000 ASICMINER pass thru shares. I pay you 1.05x dividends, will return shares after a minimum term of 30 days. Post here to claim, or send me a pm to negotiate specifics. I can privately demonstrate access to sufficient BTC capital to cover any potential losses from short-selling the shares.

204

Economy / Securities / Re: S.DICE - SatoshiDICE 100% Dividend-Paying Asset on MPEx

on: March 20, 2013, 05:33:04 AM

Quote from: ThickAsThieves on March 20, 2013, 05:30:34 AM How about, SDICE is low because profit is down this month again? Bitcoin dividends are a large part of asset value. Most bitcoin 'investors' can't see more than 2 days beyond the next payday.

205

Economy / Service Discussion / Does CoinLab Beta actually exist?

on: March 20, 2013, 04:54:38 AM

Has anyone actually been selected to be one of the 5,000!! beta testers for coinlab? I signed up for the alpha first day and heard nothing. I do a pretty high volume of trading. This whole thing reeks of a hail mary switch of business plan and an exchange desperate to extract itself from an imminent FATCA apocalypse. I've been wiring out funds every day from gox, trying to get out before this switch gets botched. The website language is incredibly unprofessional. The photos of the coinlab team are just slightly less embarrasing than the updated Tradehill photos in VentureBeat (The original VentureBeat TradeHill photos were clearly taken in a bar). Is it too much to ask for our biggest financial services team to buy suits for their publicity photo? To have them talk like an adult that know what the fuck the DFI is? To not have conflicting dates on the Transition Plan page? To not have typos on their splash page (fixed!). Mt.Gox is handling $50,000,000 in trades A DAY. This is big-time money, try to be a little more convincing when you pretend that you know what you are doing. This switchover is the biggest clear and present threat to the bitcoin price and I have no confidence it is going to go smoothly. Does anyone else have confidence? Why?

206

Economy / Securities / Re: [BitFunder] TU.SILVER -- Request for Discussion

on: March 20, 2013, 04:32:08 AM

Quote from: usagi on March 20, 2013, 04:09:51 AM Lol, this guy! I'm in tears! THANK YOU, Deprived! I'm going to have to put this guy on ignore just to get some work done, I'm laughing so hard! Deprived is within the top 5 of most insightful posters on this message board. You should probably put him on ignore though, responding to him just gives him motivation, and what TU.SILVER needs is pure, unadulterated stream of your consciousness. Frankly I don't see why he bothers with your microstakes pseudo fund. Waste of his time.

207

Economy / Service Discussion / Re: who is the most trusted arbitrator in the bitcoin community?

on: March 18, 2013, 01:33:20 AM

Quote from: Anon136 on March 16, 2013, 04:34:20 PM Notice this is a different question from who do you trust the most, i want to know who is the most trusted, generally speaking, by the bitcoin community as a whole. Feel free to also list those you see as the runner ups. I'm not just asking out of curiosity im trying to build a business and i actually need to know. thanks! This is why there is a Web of Trust database http://bitcoin-otc.com/viewratings.php

208

Other / Off-topic / Re: Censored TED Talk -- The War on Consciousness

on: March 17, 2013, 02:27:22 AM

Quote from: benjamindees on March 17, 2013, 02:14:56 AM http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SHbkEs_hSec The War on Consciousness - Graham Hancock That's a TEDx talk, not a TED talk, and the dude is a crackpot.

209

Economy / Service Discussion / Re: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis

on: March 15, 2013, 09:40:46 PM

Quote from: Bugpowder on February 10, 2013, 01:09:51 AM The following addresses contributed approximately 40,000BTC to S.DICE's profits. This is how much they have left. Code: Remaining 15HJgkvj6roZQvNRC3pUJNKP2YgfEuD8wo 0BTC 17sjYPaYJAvtwXM2q5ojzrCiYewnQMBi9y 0BTC 1A3z7M6GhpUejQ5eqgSyjVWRuezeepdKKV 0BTC 1B5h9sf6xNLYGa3NBk48hwYbxyNZ22PRJk 0BTC 1DBH7Xum2re7LXd8YNSe1uRznttsqeMXGK 0BTC 1Di6ux3CQBNXCZLD76BsnYWDo6XnFGzQah 0BTC 1EP4rM8hLZCRSWPNZDWJp9zdvmoWYkkgbQ 0BTC 1MxgyKiKiHEemMUTJuq9NAbjmhKnUL5Ric 0BTC Any questions? Updated the stats. I DO think there is another whale out there with at least 10k distributed across other addresses. That guy uses a similar betting pattern to the first whale but much smaller bet sizes.

210

Economy / Service Discussion / Re: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis

on: March 15, 2013, 09:36:06 PM

Quote from: ThickAsThieves on March 15, 2013, 09:19:34 PM Thoughts on why profits are so low this month? https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=80312.msg1515541#msg1515541 THIS ^ https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=80312.msg1555528#msg1555528 But also see this ^

211

Economy / Securities / Re: S.DICE - SatoshiDICE 100% Dividend-Paying Asset on MPEx

on: March 07, 2013, 04:00:47 AM

212

Economy / Service Discussion / Re: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis

on: March 05, 2013, 10:26:31 PM

New address in the 'whale' network... http://blockchain.info/address/1HqxVdsWmUBsLoUvangMPfbsG5VdApETZJ Has 2,700 BTC ready to bet.

213

Economy / Securities / Re: S.DICE - SatoshiDICE 100% Dividend-Paying Asset on MPEx

on: March 05, 2013, 02:38:43 PM

Quote from: Deprived on March 05, 2013, 10:55:21 AM If you STILL aren't convinced then look at the results for the month that just ended. Now look at how far ABOVE expectation S.DICE did. Now try to think of a good reason why it can finish that much above expectation but not that much below expectation given a small house margin and fair games (hint: there's no such reason). Exactly.

214

Economy / Securities / Re: S.DICE - SatoshiDICE 100% Dividend-Paying Asset on MPEx

on: March 03, 2013, 03:57:59 AM

Quote from: Deprived on March 03, 2013, 03:52:30 AM Quote from: zkay on March 03, 2013, 03:40:43 AM Quote from: Deprived on March 03, 2013, 03:31:09 AM Quote from: zkay on March 03, 2013, 03:17:24 AM Any ideas why the share price is diving right before the dividend release? Last trade was barely above the last tranche evorhees released. It's absolutely tiny volume. One person selling 0.01% of the outstanding shares needs no reason other than that one person needed or wanted to sell their shares. There's usually very few buy orders up (other than at low prices to catch anyone who mistypes the number of zeros) so it only take someone selling a few 10ks of shares to make it look like the price is crashing. If there was some significant reason then you'd be seeing Ask walls up with hundreds of thousands of shares in them. There's one person trying to sell 30k shares - looks like he just automatically undercut a 1k order at .006. The other small sell orders will be people who just got sold into and are looking to flip the shares quickly to pick some more up from anyone who is panicking. When there's only one sell order of any size at a low price there's two possibilities: 1. One person somehow knows something major about S.DICE that noone else knows. 2. One person needs some cash quickly. One of those two options is a regular occurrence. There IS actually at least one more option - but you'll have to work that one out for yourself. Awesome! Thank you for this. As a person new to btc and investing I greatly appreciate clear explanations. What happened next is also standard. He puts up his sell order. Other people (I'm one of them) realise he's in a rush to sell - so lower their own bids and also put up small asks just below his. Although those orders are small they force him to either undercut or to sell into the bids. But he's in a rush to sell and will have noticed bids being taken down/lowered. Which is why the 30k Ask vanished and bids got filled down to .005. But he left up a single 100 bid at .005. What does that mean? That means he still has shares left and left it up as he wants people to overbid it. So of course anyone with awareness of what's happening will put up more bids BELOW that to try get shares as cheap as they can (though inevitably someone who doesn't know what's going on will overbid it and everyone else then has to raise their bids). That's one of the ways to make profit in an illiquid market - when you see someone is desperate to sell OR buy, try to make them do it from YOU at the most advantageous price you can. Well the 637k ask wall came down. About 100k has been bought around .005-.0055 in the last 10 minutes. So I would say there is about 537k of 'shadow' inventory for sale at .0050001. If you want to put a bid up at or above there, I'm sure it will get sold into.

215

Economy / Securities / Re: S.DICE - SatoshiDICE 100% Dividend-Paying Asset on MPEx

on: March 03, 2013, 03:35:05 AM

Quote from: thoughtfan on March 03, 2013, 03:33:52 AM Quote from: zkay on March 03, 2013, 03:17:24 AM Any ideas why the share price is diving right before the dividend release? Last trade was barely above the last tranche evorhees released. I had been wondering when the ownership of the shares is taken for the calculations. If for instance it is midnight UCT then regardless of when the actual payment is shares could change hands without affecting the payout. On the other hand if the calcs are done on the basis of share ownership at the time of payout then selling up prior is not the best idea. Maybe MPOE-PR can clarify? Div goes to owners at time of payout. Sell now, get no div.

216

Economy / Securities / Re: S.DICE - SatoshiDICE 100% Dividend-Paying Asset on MPEx

on: March 03, 2013, 03:34:05 AM

Quote from: Deprived on March 03, 2013, 03:31:09 AM One of those two options is a regular occurrence. There IS actually at least one more option - but you'll have to work that one out for yourself. The bot broke again!

217

Economy / Service Discussion / Re: How many btc/month would Coinbase have to sell to become the largest exchange?

on: February 28, 2013, 03:31:50 AM

$50 million / month.

218

Economy / Service Discussion / Re: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis

on: February 24, 2013, 01:04:41 PM

I found this transfer from one of the "new whale" addresses. Looks like this coin may be passed around between the addresses.

Code:

19w1eXEHM973TQfoXsEG2tzGybMSi8kc1D 1,111 BTC
13iH15i8CesFkNo64L9T58zXgSSngLu8kq 7,422 BTC
19CNK8uvq2Kv9KrDmm3A6nk1S3Bixw5HWz 589 BTC
1PLVVXQBZtjy2uBSXR1kbRGLK3dTX3fRXR 1,151 BTC
1N1banjrhLH5pje6ec4xwbRY57QiQPztde 3,321 BTC
12e8YvJQnpNV7qEgrFWqBqAMmisPKx4LzM 2,144 BTC
18L1bftQXum9bGHmc8UVnVE5ndYuZrYYaK 1,574 BTC
1BaMK7jsCiMMkdNNjpuTE4JMSvvsPzKC85 456 BTC
18L3npzAQ8c6JxwHfMmXksDXxCsrdM3Ytc 758 BTC
1Gte5WLQ8oFTYVbzakQgcYQf1hcF9S8Seb 1,456 BTC
12nnoy2G6QeVWMtDnQkhkhV7efPiSfEwQN 1,111 BTC
1JGGhNXaFJhHc6fDtd6PNMRYT5sxc6Fx1v 1,145 BTC
1VvxJdSapervZTWsAgZysSnF2uozvpLX2 755 BTC
1DCFhkCUyM9YfL4aNJQVkQAr9D1YmmDWu6 115 BTC
18HnLehhNwNUu74booJdBYUvWDpTFSnYx7 214 BTC
1VvxJdSapervZTWsAgZysSnF2uozvpLX2 0.17479994 BTC

This address has over 10,000 BTC from this network, is associated with a 'new whale' address but hasn't started betting... YET.

http://blockchain.info/address/17dmDKohWioPHVZT2uzXqwECLYpfCfm2ut

new whale address

http://blockchain.info/address/12Gsb2qQA8ycGWchDxZ3XwbDcT5jUUzTwX

219

Economy / Securities / Re: [BitFunder] My name is Bond. MPOE Bond. ( Jan return: 9.99%, Feb return: 4.8% )

on: February 24, 2013, 12:33:38 AM

Quote from: rini17 on February 23, 2013, 11:36:21 PM Very interesting how February interest rate unfolded, it is possible market reacted to our announcement to set our request to 4.8%, despite MPBPT-E was among smallest players. So this time we will announce it only after bond will be bought. At the moment 178.2 BTC was raised in MPBPT-O for March bonds, bid still open till tomorrow evening. Doubtful. The total exposure was MUCH less this month, so the higher interest rates never triggered. 7`155.47 BTC max exposure this month vs 60`807.41 BTC max last month.

220

Economy / Service Discussion / Re: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis

on: February 23, 2013, 10:44:06 PM

Quite a bit of action from some new addresses. Most interesting is http://blockchain.info/address/12Gsb2qQA8ycGWchDxZ3XwbDcT5jUUzTwX who got the coins from http://blockchain.info/address/1BaMK7jsCiMMkdNNjpuTE4JMSvvsPzKC85 and http://blockchain.info/address/18L3npzAQ8c6JxwHfMmXksDXxCsrdM3Ytc About 5,000 BTC left between the set of addresses. And still 3,000 BTC in the original whale addresses, though they have been shifted between members of the 8 addresses. Large profits may continue for another month, or more...

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