Just a few months ago, I believed that the price of Bitcoin could rise to a new ATN only after a certain period of time after the halving, as was the case in previous cases. But Bitcoin still springs surprises from time to time. But I think that after this there will be a decent correction, since it has been growing in price for a very long time, approximately since October last year. The current situation with Bitcoin reaching a new price record has definitely been influenced by the approval of Bitcoin spot ETFs for trading. But according to forecasts, it is unlikely that its price will continue to grow at the same pace.

The conspiracy was that for many centuries we were forced to use only fossil fuel energy, the deposits of which were owned only by certain individuals and made multi-billion dollar fortunes from it. Therefore, they strictly ensured that the inventors of other types of energy and their inventions quickly died and disappeared. Now all of humanity is paying for this with rapid climate change throughout the planet. The temperature has already risen by about one and a half degrees, and this simply leads to catastrophic changes in everything. Scientists predict that soon people will be forced to flee from territories in which it will no longer be possible to live. At the same time, large areas of land will go under water, and the problem of drinking water will worsen. Fires, floods, hurricanes, earthquakes will become commonplace. Only after this will it dawn on some that the current problems with the transition to alternative energy sources were absolutely minor in comparison, which resulted in a reluctance to avoid influencing climate change. But unfortunately, it will be too late...

If you look at Russia, your theory does not work in this case. Natural resources, including oil and gas reserves, are colossal. The soil is fertile. Until recently, the country was considered one of the strongest in the world. But it is not under attack for its natural resources. She wages constant wars with her neighbors in order to further annex foreign territories. Moreover, it also once conquered territories that are rich in oil and gas. But all great empires fail sooner or later.
We live in such a world that if a country has good natural resources, we need to be able to protect them, and not move away from it.

If you look at the citizens of Russia and their behavior and statements during their war with Ukraine, it seems that your opinion that no nation wants war is very wrong.

A majority of Russians have supported the Russian invasion of Ukraine since early 2022. However, only a third of them believe that residents of the Russian Federation bear moral responsibility for the genocide of Ukrainians and the destruction caused by the Russian invasion on the territory of Ukraine. According to its results, as of January 2024, the majority of respondents (77%) support the war against Ukraine, 16% of respondents do not support it, and another 8% find it difficult to answer.
Imagine, three quarters of Russians want war and do not consider it immoral to kill women and children in Ukraine. Moreover, such a percentage within 70 exists constantly throughout the entire period of the war.

In addition, only half of those surveyed support the idea of peace negotiations, but this figure has decreased slightly compared to November last year.

66% of Russians agree that the Russian Federation is paying too high a price for participating in the war. Most often these are women, those who barely have enough to eat and those who believe that the country is moving in the wrong direction. 25% have the opposite opinion.

About 64% of Russians do not believe that the country made a mistake by starting the war, but this figure has gradually increased compared to September last year.
About 22% of respondents consider the start of the war against Ukraine a mistake. Most often these are respondents who do not support the policies of dictator Vladimir Putin (55%)
https://nv.ua/world/countries/skolko-rossiyan-podderzhivayut-voynu-protiv-ukrainy-procent-novosti-rossii-50390654.html

The extraction of natural resources and chemical elements in general from space objects will in any case bring great benefits to humanity, regardless of the amount of money spent on this activity. We constantly spend enormous amounts of material wealth and effort on waging endless wars and other wasteful activities, but flippantly brush aside what can later bring us significant and permanent benefit to our existence.

In addition, the organization of the extraction of useful substances on cosmic bodies should not be considered in isolation from other processes that will necessarily occur. We are talking about the probable settlement of these objects by people and the development of other related types of human activity. We definitely need to think now about duplicating human life on other planets, their satellites or even asteroids. After all, if any global catastrophe happens on our planet, then humanity may cease to exist. The presence of other people within our solar system will be at least some guarantee that this will not happen.

The opportunity provided for space exploration must be used immediately. When this process begins, new technologies for this development will appear, and its significant reduction in cost.

It looks like the global economy will continue to deteriorate this year. Due to Russia’s military aggression against Ukraine, which has been going on for three years now, the countries of the European Union have also felt a real danger from Russia. Trump's pre-election statements that the United States will not provide assistance to NATO countries and that NATO should be disbanded altogether are also causing confusion. Therefore, European countries are sharply increasing spending on the army and defense, the military industry is loaded with orders at full capacity. This, of course, increases the number of jobs, but the economy does not grow from this, because useful GDP is not added due to the increased production of tanks, guns and other deadly weapons.
There is also the possibility of further expansion of the military conflict and more states being directly drawn into it. French President Macron recently announced that he would send his troops into Ukraine to assist it if the front moves towards Odessa or Kyiv.
https://www.ukr.net/ru/news/details/politics/103193522.html

https://www.google.com/url?sa=t&source=web&rct=j&opi=89978449&url=https://rg.ru/2024/03/08/lindpendant-makron-vvedet-vojska-na-ukrainu-pri- ugroze-poteri-kieva-i-odessy.html&ved=2ahUKEwjbkYT_s-WEAxU51wIHHT0oBwMQFnoECBcQAQ&usg=AOvVaw3pHjKfjdl3vFN3jNWQRzqF

Your conclusions are completely inconsistent with logic. Russia forcibly seized the Ukrainian peninsula of Crimea, as well as parts of two eastern regions of Ukraine, back in 2014 and did not attack Russian territory until a full-scale attack in February 2022, although it had the right to do so. But to endure forever when Russia shells the entire territory of Ukraine every day, almost without exception, not to defend itself, not to take retaliatory measures would be not only very strange, but also completely stupid. It is impossible to defend effectively unless you strike the enemy on his territory and thus weaken his military power. Russia forced Ukraine to enter the war and defend itself. This is not an attack. The only aggressor in this case is Russia.

I am reporting the source of the Russian losses I mentioned near Avdeevka. This is a Russian propagandist and Ukrainophobe Andrei Morozov with the call sign Murz, who fought in the Donbass against Ukraine since 2014, called for genocide and mass murder of Ukrainians. After he mentioned the number of Russian losses near Avdeevka as 16,000 people, he wrote that he was forced to delete a message about this, after which he shot himself.
https://24tv.ua/ru/andrej-morozov-murz-zastrelilsja-pered-jetim-on-rasskazal-o-poterjah-rossijan-v-avdeevke-24-kanal_n2499063

Does the Ukrainian Armed Forces have no soldiers left? Then the Russian occupiers should rejoice and quickly capture Kyiv, as well as the rest of Ukraine. If not in a few days, then at least by the end of the month, we expect a joyful message from you that the Ukrainian Armed Forces have been completely destroyed and demilitarized, and the population of Ukraine joyfully greets their liberators from Bandera.
But from open sources you can find information that out of the million-strong army of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, only 300,000 have so far been at the front, and the mobilization reserve is several million more.

Are you outraged that I called the destroyed ship of the Russian Black Sea Fleet a corvette, and not a patrol boat? I would like to bring to your attention that patrol ships are divided into two types: corvettes /short range/ and frigates /long range/.
This is directly written about in the same Wikipedia:
“Corvette is a class of surface combat ships designed for patrol and convoy service, anti-submarine and air defense of naval bases (naval bases). The main tasks of modern corvettes are anti-submarine defense of a ship formation (convoy) or a coastal facility (naval base, port, etc.) P.)...
In the USSR Navy, the class of corvettes was not distinguished: from the standpoint of the Soviet classification, corvettes correspond to a subclass of anti-submarine ships - patrol ships (near zone, as opposed to a frigate - a far zone patrol ship)."
https://ru.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/%D0%9A%D0%BE%D1%80%D0%B2%D0%B5%D1%82

Corvette "Sergey Kotov" could not attack Ukraine and cause any harm? What was a warship of the Russian Black Sea Fleet doing in the territorial waters of Ukraine then? One of his tasks was to guard the so-called Crimean Bridge, illegally built by Russia to the Ukrainian peninsula of Crimea. At the time of destruction, "Sergey Kotov" was located off the southern coast of the Crimean Peninsula and 25 kilometers from the Crimean Bridge. The Ukrainian Armed Forces are soon going to destroy the Crimean Bridge, along which the Russians have been supplying the southern front in Ukraine with manpower and equipment for three years now, so systematic preparations and destruction of possible obstacles to this are underway.
If the Russian warship is not intended to harm anyone, nominate its creators for a peace prize.

Near Avdeevka, Russia lost from 16,000 of its soldiers, according to information from Russian sources, to 47,000 according to the Armed Forces of Ukraine. These losses are for 30 square kilometers of the ruins of a small town, in which several hundred residents of the 30,000 who lived before the “liberation” by the Russians remained. Moreover, Avdeevka was stormed mainly by the remnants of the elite of the Russian army - the Airborne Forces, Marines, Special Forces and others.

Since February 17, when the Ukrainian Armed Forces withdrew from Avdiivka due to the fact that the invaders destroyed the fortifications of the defenders with guided aerial bombs, over the next three weeks the Russians advanced up to five kilometers west of Avdeevka and captured several villages located there. But all the power of the “second army of the world” was thrown into this area, since for Putin’s upcoming next elections in Russia he needed to show big victories at the front. There, from the Russian side, everything that could shoot was continuously shooting. At that time, the Armed Forces of Ukraine had a “shell” famine due to problems with the supply of ammunition. Therefore, the Ukrainian Armed Forces responded to ten Russian shells with approximately only one shell. And with such a ratio and with a several-fold superiority in the number of infantry and equipment, the “second army of the world” achieved very modest successes. Now information is coming from the front that the Ukrainian Armed Forces have shells and there is a real hell near Avdeevka. In about another month, the occupiers will be exhausted with their big offensive since October last year. After this, the move will be for the Ukrainian Armed Forces.

As for the destruction of “another stupid boat,” the Ukrainian Armed Forces are destroying all Russian warships that are used in the war against Ukraine. But in Russia, apparently, only stupid warships remain among the newest ones, since the sunken corvette Sergei Kotov became part of the Black Sea Fleet only in July 2022, that is, already during this war. Let me remind you that the Ukrainian Armed Forces were the first to sink the flagship of the Russian Black Sea Fleet, the cruiser Moskva.

Bitcoin and its structural particles - Satoshi - cannot become the basis of the world economy simply because states will categorically not accept it. The economies of states operate on completely different principles than decentralized cryptocurrency. According to general rules, the amount of state currency should be equal to the amount of goods in circulation by the state. With an increase in the quantity of goods, that is, an increase in GDP, the state has the right to increase the amount of money supply by the magnitude of the increase. Based on this, the development of the economy of each state is planned. Bitcoin and other decentralized cryptocurrency cannot function depending on the growth or decline in the level of the economy, therefore planning the development of the economy in Bitcoin is impossible.

A decentralized cryptocurrency can effectively exist alongside the fiat of states, complementing it with its useful features, but it cannot replace fiat.

Due to the fact that humanity as a whole and almost every person individually is not doing enough to combat the climate crisis, we have long ago approached the brink beyond which we will simply die out. The study, published in the journal BioScience on October 24, identifies 35 climate change critical indicators, with 20 of them reaching record extremes.
One of the most alarming findings is the rapid rise in average global temperatures. Before 2000, the Earth had never experienced a temperature increase of 1.5 degrees Celsius compared to pre-industrial times. In 2023 alone, this threshold was exceeded by 38 days. The report also shows that July last year was the warmest month in perhaps the last 100,000 years.
Humanity, through its stupidity and selfishness, is pushing Earth's systems into dangerous instability, and by the end of this century, three to six billion people, a third to half of the planet's population, may be pushed beyond the "habitable region." This will lead to extreme heat and limited food availability.
https://24tv.ua/tech/ru/uchenye-bjut-trevogu-klimat-na-zemle-menjaetsja-bezvozvratno-tehno_n2420368

Compared to this, the problems of business and the transition from fossil fuel engines to electric propulsion seem insignificant when the very existence of people on our planet is at stake.

The highest price of ethereum was recorded in November 2021 and was around $4,880. The current price of this coin is approximately 3,750 after rising to $3,878 just a few days ago. Since October last year we have seen good growth in Ethereum, but in recent days there has already been a decline.
I don't think Ethereum will reach its previous price high this month. This coin will grow over the course of this and next year with periodic corrections, however, most likely, not at the same pace as in the last six months.
It is predicted that by the end of the year the price of ethereum will be $4000-4800, and by the end of the next year - $5300-6500.

The price of Bitcoin reached $68,270 yesterday, which was very close to its all-time high of $69,044 in November 2021. Thus, about a month and a half before the halving, to the surprise of many, Bitcoin almost set a new price record. Typically, this pace of bull season is expected 6-8 months and up to a year after the halving.
In this regard, forecasts for its price in this 2024 and next year have become more optimistic and are already several hundred thousand dollars.

But I don’t think that even in the event of an economic crisis in the global economy, Bitcoin will be able to reach a price of one million dollars. I don’t know how many people want to buy Bitcoin for several hundred thousand dollars, knowing that after some time its price may fall by 70 percent, as has happened before.
But in any case, Bitcoin or other decentralized cryptocurrency will never be able to replace the fiat money of states. First of all, the states themselves will not allow this.

It's hard to agree with your assertion that Russia's invasion of Ukraine could not have been avoided. If the United States and European countries had reacted more decisively to Russia's 2014 seizure of Ukraine's Crimea peninsula, as well as parts of the Donetsk and Luhansk regions, the Kremlin would likely be hesitant to launch a large-scale invasion of Ukraine with its eight armies in February 2022.
At that time, the United States and European countries were afraid of angering the aggressor and escalating the military conflict. Now they have to dramatically increase their armies and weapons production, and Europe has to prepare to repel a Russian attack on its territory.

But the situation of the conflict between Hamas and Israel is somewhat different. If Hamas had not attacked Israel on October 7 last year and its militants had not begun to indiscriminately kill Israelis, as well as take them hostage and take them to the Gaza Strip, then Israel would not now be carrying out retaliatory military actions to free the hostages and clear the Gaza Strip from Hamas to avoid a repeat attack in the future.

Quick peaceful resolutions to military conflicts do not always lead to lasting peace. Freezing the conflict in Ukraine now, when Ukraine is actually losing part of its territories, and Russia looks weak against this background, because it has not fully resolved any of its published goals, will not suit either side and will only be used by Russia to accumulate military power and the continuation of aggression against Ukraine in the future.
If Israel does not eliminate Hamas now, then over time the shelling from the Gaza Strip will continue again.

There is a big difference in the tactics and strategy of these actions between the offensive of the Russian invaders and the counter-offensive of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, and this explains the difference in the number of losses. The Russian offensive on a specific sector of the front is often dictated by political necessity and is carried out despite any losses in soldiers and military equipment. This happened in the battle for Bakhmut, and later for Avdeevka. If the equipment could not be used due to bad weather conditions, then soldiers were periodically sent into attacks without the necessary preparation and cover in order to capture a populated area by a certain date. Therefore, the losses were colossal. Due to such large losses, new units were transferred that did not know the terrain and fortifications of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, and often columns of equipment with troops walked through minefields. Despite the losses, they moved forward to carry out meaningless orders. Unlike the Armed Forces of Ukraine, where junior commanders had the right to quickly make decisions in a changed situation, the Russian troops still have the old Soviet military doctrine, according to which execution of orders is above all, even if the order is stupid in the current situation.

When the counter-offensive of the Ukrainian Armed Forces began last summer, armored vehicles were used, which began to be destroyed in minefields, and the infantry also suffered. Almost immediately, the command of the Armed Forces of Ukraine changed its tactics: frontal assaults stopped and predominantly targeted knocking out of armored vehicles, artillery, ammunition depots, command posts and accumulations of manpower and equipment began, while simultaneously clearing minefields in the dark and maneuvering small assault groups. This did not give a quick effect in liberating the territories, but it allowed to inflict heavy losses on the Russian army and saved the lives of many soldiers. At the same time, even Western analysts reported that during the counter-offensive the Ukrainian Armed Forces lost even fewer of their soldiers than the defending Russians.

As for Avdeevka, individual assault groups entered it and will enter it more than once and leave this territory after completing certain tasks.
Thus, today fresh information has appeared that in the area of the Avdeevsky coke and chemical plant, soldiers of the 3rd Special Brigade stole a Russian T-72 tank under the noses of the Russians and, under fire from a KA-52 helicopter, successfully evacuated it to the location of the Ukrainian Armed Forces.

https://focus.ua/amp/voennye-novosti/631069-bylo-nemnozhko-strashno-bojcy-3-j-brigady-ukrali-u-rossiyan-tank-pod-avdeevkoj-video

Elon Musk simply surprises with his statements on the X network in support of Russia’s war of aggression in Ukraine.
He recently said that Ukraine will lose the war in any case, so it supposedly must conclude a “peace agreement” with Russia. According to him, this should have been done a year ago, but now thousands of children “died for nothing.” But he does not understand at all that having captured Ukraine, he will continue to destroy Ukrainians in various ways, and will also continue to seize neighboring states.

In addition, the billionaire argued that “in the eastern regions of Ukraine, the majority of the population gives preference to Russia.” The founder of Tesla and SpaceX explained that in this way it is necessary to support the will of people “who constantly live in conflict.”
Moreover, he voiced an unexpected formula for “peace” between Ukraine and Russia. In particular, he proposed holding another “referendum” and “recognizing Crimea as Russian.”
Back in October 2023, Elon Musk published a meme about Ukrainian President Vladimir Zelensky. In the note, he ridicules the fact that Ukraine needs financial assistance in the fight against Russian aggression.

Elon Musk even went so far as to say on the social network X that he does not see the point of the existence of the North Atlantic Alliance. In response to this, the President of Latvia, Edgars Rinkevics, noted on the X network that NATO does not plan to cease to exist, and the reason why NATO was founded, exists and will exist is Russia and other enemies of the free world.

https://24tv.ua/ru/ilon-mask-zajavil-chto-ne-vidit-smysla-sushhestvovanii-nato-latvii_n2506677

Of course, Musk has done a lot in various fields as a businessman, including in the field of near space exploration, but it seems that he does not understand politics at all and behaves like a boy.

The war that Russia unleashed with its large-scale invasion of Ukraine in February 2022 has significantly increased the arms race in most countries, especially the United States and Europe. In Russia itself, all defense enterprises are now working around the clock and at full capacity. The production of military products has also been established at enterprises that previously specialized in the manufacture of civilian goods. As the Kremlin repeatedly threatens NATO member states, it is also modernizing its armed forces and allocating more funds to purchase weapons that have performed well in the war in Ukraine. On the one hand, this increases employment, but on the other hand, it practically does not contribute to an increase in GDP, since military products are almost immediately destroyed during military operations.

Your opinion is wrong that if other countries are drawn into this war, it will lead to the Third World War. If Ukraine is not helped, it will be conquered by a stronger Russia, after which Russia will certainly attack the Baltic countries - Latvia, Lithuania and Estonia. At the same time, Russia will force Ukrainians to fight on its side. Therefore, evil, if not stopped in time, will grow throughout the world. Other authoritarian states such as North Korea, Iran, China will take advantage of the weakness of democracy and also begin their wars of conquest. Then this will lead to the Third World War.

I present official statistics from my country, which I generally trust. I shouldn’t refer to information from Russian propaganda, which is generally far from reality. But in your messages I don’t see any links at all to the source of the information you specified. For example, where did you get the information that Ukraine lost 500,000 of its troops killed or seriously wounded?

Even if we do not take into account information about losses from the Ukrainian leadership, during 2023 Ukrainian losses were repeatedly mentioned in the Western media. Thus, citing leaks of American intelligence documents, the Reuters news agency in May 2023 wrote about 15.5 - 17.5 thousand dead and 109-113 thousand wounded Ukrainians. In August, The New York Times estimated the losses of the Ukrainian Armed Forces at around 70 thousand killed and 100-120 thousand wounded, and in October Time magazine already wrote about 100 thousand dead. At the same time, the losses of the Russian military, according to officials, were approximately twice as large.

The New York Times recently cited a figure of 500,000 killed and wounded, citing unnamed US administration officials.
But this was the number of casualties on both sides of the war in Ukraine in the year and a half since the start of the full-scale invasion in February 2022.

Are the Ukrainian Armed Forces fleeing near Avdeevka? Yes, recently three assault groups of the Ukrainian Armed Forces again ran into Avdeevka itself and captured several Russians.
https://m.gazeta.ua/ru/articles/life/_v-avdeevku-voshli-ukrainskie-vojska-i-zahvatili-plennyh/1173648

The situation there is developing very dynamically, since the occupiers sometimes destroy fortifications with heavy guided bombs and there is no point in holding them. But in general, the situation there has stabilized and the Russians are again stuck in the defense of the Ukrainian Armed Forces behind Avdievka and cannot advance further.

You are wrong to compare the cryptocurrency market to other markets, and the consequences of World War II to the possible consequences of World War III.

  Nuclear weapons appeared only at the end of World War II in the United States, and their use in August 1945 against Japan quickly led to the latter's surrender. Currently, at least seven major states have nuclear weapons, and their arsenal amounts to 17,270 nuclear weapons. If at least some of them explode during the next world war, then people will no longer care about cryptocurrency. It definitely won’t be on survival lists. If the Third World War is nuclear, then everything will change, from the climate, the atmosphere, to the way of life of the surviving people and their appearance.

Many say that such a war will not happen because there can be no winners in it. Yes it is. But the reasoning of idiots is different from the reasoning of ordinary people. They reason like this: if I don’t win, then no one will win this war. For example: how many times has Russia threatened to use nuclear weapons over the past two years of its own military aggression against Ukraine? But in such a tense situation, the response measure can be purely preventive, even if Russia is now bluffing.

The Russians turned the positions of the Ukrainian Armed Forces near Avdeevka into a pile of small stones with the help of guided bombs weighing up to a ton or more continuously dropped from SU-34 fighter-bombers. Therefore, the Ukrainian Armed Forces were forced to retreat to the next defensive positions behind this settlement. At the same time, a few more “victories” like those at Avdeevka and the Russians will have nothing to fight with. This is especially true for tanks and armored vehicles. Only near Avdeevka, Muscovites lost more of their soldiers than the USSR during ten years of war in Afghanistan

The Russian Z-blogger Lev Vershinin publicly stated about the losses near Avdeevka. In particular, he published a letter from the wives of deceased Russian soldiers, which talks about the number of victims. For example, in regiment No. 1015, out of 2,300 people, only 30 remained. And such losses are not only in this regiment.
https://www.unian.net/war/ot-polka-ostalos-30-chelovek-z-bloger-spalil-dikie-poteri-rossii-v-avdeevke-novosti-vtorzheniya-rossii-na-ukrainu-amp- 12561381.html

But the situation in this sector of the front has stabilized after 15 Russian aircraft were shot down since February 17, that is, over the last two weeks: 12 SU-34 fighter-bombers, two SU-35 fighters and one airborne early warning and control aircraft A -50. Since yesterday evening, not a single Russian military aircraft has appeared on the eastern front.
https://glavred.info/ukraine/amp-posle-likvidacii-su-34-aviaciya-rf-ne-riskuet-vs-ne-zafiksirovali-ni-odnogo-samoleta-10546844.html

And regarding the panicked flight of the Armed Forces of Ukraine from the village of Rabotino, then from February 17, when you wrote this post, the Armed Forces of Ukraine could have already retreated to Kyiv, if this had been the case in reality. But Rabotino is still under the control of the Ukrainian Armed Forces and Russians continue to die there en masse due to their continuous assaults.

By the way, today in a morning report to the Secretary of the Russian Security Council Nikolai Patrushev, representatives of the Russian Ministry of Defense reported that the irretrievable losses of personnel of the Russian Armed Forces in Ukraine amounted to 413,173 people. This was reported by the Russian public page “Kremlin Snuffbox”. Here we must also add 76,192 deaths from PMCs. Together this amounts to 489,365 people.
https://donpress.com/news/02-03-2024-v-kremle-podschitali-poteri-rossii-v-voyne-protiv-ukrainy

And most occupiers don’t even know why the  are giving their lives. A wild horde has broken into another country and is trying to kill everyone.